The Indian rupee was slightly lower against the dollar in early trade, as investors awaited the fiscal deficit estimates, which the government will detail in today’s interim budget announcement. All eyes will be on the fiscal deficit numbers, while any comments on farm loan package and its impact on the fiscal deficit for next year will drive the rupee. We expect a volatile session and will not be surprised if the central bank is present on both sides of the trade to curb volatility.

1. Morning Brief Daily Forex Research Report as on 01‐Feb‐2019
Indian Rupee
 The Indian rupee little changed at 71.10 pair now at 71.13 against
71.0750 previous close.
 Pair to tip in 70.80‐71.40 range today.
 The Indian rupee was slightly lower against the dollar in early trade,
as investors awaited the fiscal deficit estimates, which the
government will detail in today’s interim budget announcement. All
eyes will be on the fiscal deficit numbers, while any comments on
farm loan package and its impact on the fiscal deficit for next year
will drive the rupee. We expect a volatile session and will not be
surprised if the central bank is present on both sides of the trade to
curb volatility.
Global Currency
 India's financial markets were steady on Friday morning as traders
remained on the sidelines, awaiting details on the extent to which
the government will spend on populist measures in a pre‐election
budget due later in the day.
 Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government is expected to try and
shore up its political support with big ticket farm giveaways and tax
cuts for the middle class in its final federal budget on Friday, months
before elections. by opposition parties' victories in three state polls
in December and an impending national elections by May, Modi has
already exempted many small businesses from paying taxes under a
unified goods and services tax (GST). He is likely to do more to win
back more voters including farmers and youth.
Global Markets
 Oil prices held steady on Friday, torn between hopes the US and
China could soon settle their trade disputes and new data raising
fresh concerns over China's economic slowdown. Crude oil were at
$60.87 per barrel.
 First it was palladium's turn and now gold is racing to new highs
above $1,300 an ounce, leaving other precious metals in the dust.
Gold chalked up its fifth‐straight day of gains as January trading.

2. Global Markets at one Glance
Markets Today In INR % Change
USD/INR 71.1775 71.1925 0.32
EUR/USD 1.14409 81.40 0.2
GBP/USD 1.30956 93.15 0.19
USD/JPY 108.858 0.65 0.24
SEK/INR 9.0579 7.8581 0.0135
DKK/INR 6.3537 11.2025 0.0325
AUD/USD 1.3815 51.51 0.13
TIME USD LIBOR EURO LIBOR
1M 2.50913 ‐0.42229
3M 2.73625 ‐0.34286
6M 2.8115 ‐0.29229
1Y 3.02063 ‐0.17
Index
Today % Change
NIFTY 10869.6 0.36
SENSEX 36404.79 0.41
BANK NIFTY 27304.95 0.03
SGX NIFTY 9347.5 0.33
NIKKEI 20773.49 1.06
HANG SENG 27854.79 ‐0.31
SHANGHAI 2604.5748 0.77
ASX200 5862 ‐0.05
DOW JONES 24999.67 ‐0.06
S&P500 # 2704.1 0.86
NASDAQ # 6906.839 1.45
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5 Minutes INR=IN 8:55 AM 01/30/2019 - 11:00 AM 02/01/2019 (DEL)
Cndl, INR=IN, 10:50 AM 02/01/2019, 71.1800, 71.1800, 71.1800, 71.1800, +0.1050, (+0.15%) Price
INR
70.85
70.9
70.95
71
71.05
71.1
71.15
71.2
71.25
71.3
71.35
71.1800
10:35 12:35 14:35 16:35 10:35 12:35 14:35 16:35 10:35
January 30 2019 January 31 2019 Feb 01 19
Key Events of the Day
Date Time Currency Event Forecast Previous
01‐Feb‐2019 14.25 EUR German Manufacturing PMI (Jan) 49.9 49.9
01‐Feb‐2019 15.00 GBP Manufacturing PMI (Jan) 53.5 54.2
01‐Feb‐2019 Tentative EUR CPI (YoY) (Jan) 1.4% 1.6%
01‐Feb‐2019 19.00 USD Nonfarm Payrolls (Jan) 165K 312K
01‐Feb‐2019 19.00 USD Unemployment Rate (Jan) 3.9% 3.9%