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S AT E L L I T E I M A G E RY F O R T R A C K I N G
E C O N O M I C C H A N G E
R i s h a b h S r i v a s t a v a | L o k i . a i | @ r i s h d o t b l o g
O V E R V I E W
A. Why use satellite data
B. How to use satellite data
C. Drawbacks and limitations of using satellite data to
estimate growth
A . W H Y U S E S AT E L L I T E D ATA ?
W E S T E R N D E L H I , I N D I A
U s e - C a s e
• Todd, a financial analyst
specialising in the
construction industry
• Wants to identify fast
growing cities (in terms of
infrastructure) in Asia
O b j e c t i v e
E s t i m a t e re l a t i v e i n f r a s t r u c t u re g ro w t h r a t e s
a c ro s s p ro v i n c e s i n A s i a
C h a l l e n g e s
1. Few “official” metrics for measuring granular growth
2. The ones that do exist (like province GDP) often
cannot be compared across countries
3. Even when available, official figures are unreliable
4. Figures in developing countries can come with a
massive (up to 18 months) time-lag
S o l u t i o n c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s
1. Reliable and impervious to manipulation
2. Regularly updated
3. Relatively inexpensive or free
S o l u t i o n :
S a t e l l i t e
I m a g e r y !
• Free sources:
• NOAA Nightlight Data
(updated daily)
• Sentinel-2 Data
(updated every 5 days)
• Paid sources (not covered
in this talk)
B . H O W T O U S E S AT E L L I T E D ATA ?
N I G H T L I G H T
D ATA
• An effective proxy for
economic growth in
developing countries
• Produced by NOAA (USA)
• Updated daily, free to use
A c c e s s i n g t h e
D a t a
• Data available as raster (GeoTiff)
files, where each pixel
represents the brightness (in
nanoWatts/cm2/sr) of a roughly
450m x 450m area
• Files can be read by Python
(with GDAL doing the heavy
lifting), using the rasterio library
• The rasterstats library can be
used to calculate summary
statistics for different areas in a
shapefile
rasterio
rasterstats
C o m p u t i n g
s u m m a r y s t a t s
• You can convert a raster to
a CSV file with average
luminosity in predefined
areas using literally 10 lines
of code
• Shapefile (which is a
machine readable map) of
a region needed for this
E x a m p l e f o r S i n g a p o re
Water reservoirs
Central
Business
District
M e a s u r i n g c h a n g e s o v e r
t i m e
• CSVs generated for each
time-unit can be used to
track changes in average
nightlight intensity over
time
• Significant seasonal
variations can exist
• Interactive version for
Indian districts: https://
embed.loki.ai/nightlight/
G ro w t h o f n i g h t l i g h t i n t e n s i t y i n
A s i a f ro m 2 0 1 3 - 2 0 1 8
I N T E R A C T I V E V E R S I O N : H T T P S : / / E M B E D . L O K I . A I / N I G H T L I G H T / A S I A . H T M L
S E N T I N E L - 2
S AT E L L I T E
I M A G E RY
• Measures reflected solar
radiation across 13-bands of
wavelength (3 of which are
RGB)
• 1 pixel represents 10m x 10m
• Produced by the European
Space Agency
• Updated roughly every 5
days, free to use
A c c e s s i n g t h e
D a t a
• Rasters can be
downloaded from the
ESA’s Sentinelhub, or from
a Google Cloud Storage /
Amazon S3 bucket
D i ff e re n t b a n d s c a p t u re d i ff e re n t
w a v e l e n g t h s o f l i g h t
Sentinel-2 Bands
Central
Wavelength (Nm)
Resolution
(M)
Band 1 - Coastal Aerosol 443 60
Band 2 - Blue 490 10
Band 3 - Green 560 10
Band 4 - Red 665 10
Band 5 - Vegetation Red Edge 705 20
Band 6 - Vegetation Red Edge 740 20
Band 7 - Vegetation Red Edge 783 20
Band 8 - Near Infra-Red 842 10
Band 8A - Vegetation Red Edge 865 20
Band 9 - Water Vapour 945 60
Band 10 - Short-Wave Infra Red 1375 60
Band 11 - Short-Wave Infra Red 1610 20
Band 12 - Short-Wave Infra Red 2190 20
P ro c e s s i n g t h e d a t a
• Different bands can be combined to get meaningful
metrics — like amount of built-up area in a city, amount
of green space etc
• For instance, roads and buildings tend to absorb more
infra-red light (heat) and reflect more visible light
(specially in the blue spectrum)
• A simple, “built-up” index that is commonly used is
(Blue-NIR)/(Blue+NIR). Note: areas with water tend to
also have a high built-up index
Tr u e - C o l o r i m a g e o n l e f t , b u i l t - u p i n d e x b a s e d
i m a g e o n r i g h t ( d a r k e r = m o re b u i l t - u p a re a )
B u i l t - u p a re a b y re g i o n i n S i n g a p o re
( d a r k e r a re a s = m o re b u i l t u p )
Q u a n t i f y i n g
c h a n g e o v e r t i m e
• Changes in built-up
indices can be computed
over time. Extremely
effective at the micro-scale
C h a n g e i n H o C h i M i n h C i t y ’s D i s t r i c t 2 o v e r t i m e
( 2 0 1 9 o n l e f t , 2 0 1 6 i n c e n t re , c h a n g e - m a p o n r i g h t )
C h a n g e i n H o C h i M i n h C i t y ’s D i s t r i c t 2 o v e r t i m e
( 2 0 1 9 o n l e f t , 2 0 1 6 i n c e n t re , c h a n g e - m a p o n r i g h t )
C h a n g e i n H o C h i M i n h C i t y ’s D i s t r i c t
2 o v e r t i m e
Feb, 2019 Jan, 2016
Change Map
(Red= more built)
C . L I M I TAT I O N S A N D C AV E AT S
C L O U D S O V E R S I N G A P O R E
K e y
D r a w b a c k s
• Cloud-cover makes using
satellite imagery far more
difficult
• Extreme haze in India and
China can cause nightlight
and index-based approaches
to go awry
• Algorithm can sometimes
think that water-logged
neighbourhoods are highly
built-up
L i m i t a t i o n s
• Growth due to non-
infrastructure factors (like
Finance or Software) not
measured through satellites
• Assumes that increase in
supply of infrastructure,
nightlights, and buildings =
growth. Not always the case
(Japanese Roads to
Nowhere)
R i s h a b h S r i v a s t a v a
r i s h a b h @ l o k i . a i | l o k i . a i
@ r i s h d o t b l o g
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Using satellite imagery to track economic change

  • 1. S AT E L L I T E I M A G E RY F O R T R A C K I N G E C O N O M I C C H A N G E R i s h a b h S r i v a s t a v a | L o k i . a i | @ r i s h d o t b l o g
  • 2. O V E R V I E W A. Why use satellite data B. How to use satellite data C. Drawbacks and limitations of using satellite data to estimate growth
  • 3. A . W H Y U S E S AT E L L I T E D ATA ? W E S T E R N D E L H I , I N D I A
  • 4. U s e - C a s e • Todd, a financial analyst specialising in the construction industry • Wants to identify fast growing cities (in terms of infrastructure) in Asia
  • 5. O b j e c t i v e E s t i m a t e re l a t i v e i n f r a s t r u c t u re g ro w t h r a t e s a c ro s s p ro v i n c e s i n A s i a
  • 6. C h a l l e n g e s 1. Few “official” metrics for measuring granular growth 2. The ones that do exist (like province GDP) often cannot be compared across countries 3. Even when available, official figures are unreliable 4. Figures in developing countries can come with a massive (up to 18 months) time-lag
  • 7. S o l u t i o n c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s 1. Reliable and impervious to manipulation 2. Regularly updated 3. Relatively inexpensive or free
  • 8. S o l u t i o n : S a t e l l i t e I m a g e r y ! • Free sources: • NOAA Nightlight Data (updated daily) • Sentinel-2 Data (updated every 5 days) • Paid sources (not covered in this talk)
  • 9. B . H O W T O U S E S AT E L L I T E D ATA ?
  • 10. N I G H T L I G H T D ATA • An effective proxy for economic growth in developing countries • Produced by NOAA (USA) • Updated daily, free to use
  • 11. A c c e s s i n g t h e D a t a • Data available as raster (GeoTiff) files, where each pixel represents the brightness (in nanoWatts/cm2/sr) of a roughly 450m x 450m area • Files can be read by Python (with GDAL doing the heavy lifting), using the rasterio library • The rasterstats library can be used to calculate summary statistics for different areas in a shapefile rasterio rasterstats
  • 12. C o m p u t i n g s u m m a r y s t a t s • You can convert a raster to a CSV file with average luminosity in predefined areas using literally 10 lines of code • Shapefile (which is a machine readable map) of a region needed for this
  • 13. E x a m p l e f o r S i n g a p o re Water reservoirs Central Business District
  • 14. M e a s u r i n g c h a n g e s o v e r t i m e • CSVs generated for each time-unit can be used to track changes in average nightlight intensity over time • Significant seasonal variations can exist • Interactive version for Indian districts: https:// embed.loki.ai/nightlight/
  • 15. G ro w t h o f n i g h t l i g h t i n t e n s i t y i n A s i a f ro m 2 0 1 3 - 2 0 1 8 I N T E R A C T I V E V E R S I O N : H T T P S : / / E M B E D . L O K I . A I / N I G H T L I G H T / A S I A . H T M L
  • 16. S E N T I N E L - 2 S AT E L L I T E I M A G E RY • Measures reflected solar radiation across 13-bands of wavelength (3 of which are RGB) • 1 pixel represents 10m x 10m • Produced by the European Space Agency • Updated roughly every 5 days, free to use
  • 17. A c c e s s i n g t h e D a t a • Rasters can be downloaded from the ESA’s Sentinelhub, or from a Google Cloud Storage / Amazon S3 bucket
  • 18. D i ff e re n t b a n d s c a p t u re d i ff e re n t w a v e l e n g t h s o f l i g h t Sentinel-2 Bands Central Wavelength (Nm) Resolution (M) Band 1 - Coastal Aerosol 443 60 Band 2 - Blue 490 10 Band 3 - Green 560 10 Band 4 - Red 665 10 Band 5 - Vegetation Red Edge 705 20 Band 6 - Vegetation Red Edge 740 20 Band 7 - Vegetation Red Edge 783 20 Band 8 - Near Infra-Red 842 10 Band 8A - Vegetation Red Edge 865 20 Band 9 - Water Vapour 945 60 Band 10 - Short-Wave Infra Red 1375 60 Band 11 - Short-Wave Infra Red 1610 20 Band 12 - Short-Wave Infra Red 2190 20
  • 19. P ro c e s s i n g t h e d a t a • Different bands can be combined to get meaningful metrics — like amount of built-up area in a city, amount of green space etc • For instance, roads and buildings tend to absorb more infra-red light (heat) and reflect more visible light (specially in the blue spectrum) • A simple, “built-up” index that is commonly used is (Blue-NIR)/(Blue+NIR). Note: areas with water tend to also have a high built-up index
  • 20. Tr u e - C o l o r i m a g e o n l e f t , b u i l t - u p i n d e x b a s e d i m a g e o n r i g h t ( d a r k e r = m o re b u i l t - u p a re a )
  • 21. B u i l t - u p a re a b y re g i o n i n S i n g a p o re ( d a r k e r a re a s = m o re b u i l t u p )
  • 22. Q u a n t i f y i n g c h a n g e o v e r t i m e • Changes in built-up indices can be computed over time. Extremely effective at the micro-scale
  • 23. C h a n g e i n H o C h i M i n h C i t y ’s D i s t r i c t 2 o v e r t i m e ( 2 0 1 9 o n l e f t , 2 0 1 6 i n c e n t re , c h a n g e - m a p o n r i g h t )
  • 24. C h a n g e i n H o C h i M i n h C i t y ’s D i s t r i c t 2 o v e r t i m e ( 2 0 1 9 o n l e f t , 2 0 1 6 i n c e n t re , c h a n g e - m a p o n r i g h t )
  • 25. C h a n g e i n H o C h i M i n h C i t y ’s D i s t r i c t 2 o v e r t i m e Feb, 2019 Jan, 2016 Change Map (Red= more built)
  • 26. C . L I M I TAT I O N S A N D C AV E AT S C L O U D S O V E R S I N G A P O R E
  • 27. K e y D r a w b a c k s • Cloud-cover makes using satellite imagery far more difficult • Extreme haze in India and China can cause nightlight and index-based approaches to go awry • Algorithm can sometimes think that water-logged neighbourhoods are highly built-up
  • 28. L i m i t a t i o n s • Growth due to non- infrastructure factors (like Finance or Software) not measured through satellites • Assumes that increase in supply of infrastructure, nightlights, and buildings = growth. Not always the case (Japanese Roads to Nowhere)
  • 29. R i s h a b h S r i v a s t a v a r i s h a b h @ l o k i . a i | l o k i . a i @ r i s h d o t b l o g Questions?