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The Research Revolution Will not be Televised
1. research
^
but it will be tweeted
Clinical and Translational Science Seminar Series
12/12/12
Richard J. Bookman
rbookman@miami.edu
@rbookman
2. “The United States is in the midst of
a profound reorganization of how
research is done, where it is done,
who does it, and how its results find
their way to the marketplace.”
opening sentence of
Transformation and Opportunity: The Future of the U.S. Research Enterprise, by the
President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST)
November 30, 2012
http://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/microsites/ostp/pcast_future_research_enterprise_20121130.pdf
3.
4. NIH Purchasing Power – 2003-2013
NIH Purchasing Power – 2003-2013
$32 $31.0
$30.5 $30.7 $30.6 $30.7
$30 $29.3
$29.0
$27.9 $28.5 $28.5
$27.1
$28 $26.9 $26.4
Billions
$25.3
$26 $24.8
$23.9 $24.2 $23.9
$24
$23.0
$22.4
$21.9
$22
$20
$18
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Current Constant (BRDPI) Senate
Labor-HHS BA only
Labor-HHS NIHonly
Sources: BA Budget Office; House and Senate Appropriations Committees
Sources: NIH Budget Office; House and Senate Appropriations Committees
8. Over the past decade, before pursuing a particular line of research, scientists (including
C.G.B.) in the haematology and oncology department at the biotechnology firm Amgen in
Thousand Oaks, California, tried to confirm published findings related to that work. Fifty-
three papers were deemed 'landmark' studies. It was acknowledged from the outset that
some of the data might not hold up, because papers were deliberately selected that
described something completely new, such as fresh approaches to targeting cancers or
alternative clinical uses for existing therapeutics. Nevertheless, scientific findings were
confirmed in only 6 (11%) cases. Even knowing the limitations of preclinical research, this
was a shocking result.
13. John von Neumann at IAS, Princeton, 1945
From G. Dyson, Turing’s Cathedral, 2012
14. 2012: a tipping point year?
Majority of computers sold are smartphones
50% of all US book* sales are e-books
Online movie views surpass in-theatre views
3-D printers fall below $1000 & self-replicate!
* non-textbook sales
34. Abstract
Patients with serious diseases may experiment with drugs
that have not received regulatory approval. Online patient
communities structured around quantitative outcome data
have the potential to provide an observational environment
to monitor such drug usage and its consequences. Here
we describe an analysis of data reported on the website
PatientsLikeMe by patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS)
who experimented with lithium carbonate treatment.
To reduce potential bias owing to lack of randomization, we
developed an algorithm to match 149 treated patients to multiple
controls (447 total) based on the progression of their disease course.
At 12 months after treatment, we found no effect of lithium on
disease progression. Although observational studies using unblinded
data are not a substitute for double-blind randomized control
trials, this study reached the same conclusion as subsequent
randomized trials.
http://www.nature.com/nbt/journal/v29/n5/pdf/nbt.1837.pdf
38. “If patient engagement were a
drug, it would be the blockbuster
drug of the century and
malpractice not to use it.”
Leonard Kish
http://www.hl7standards.com/blog/2012/08/28/drug-of-the-century/
39.
40.
41. Research 3.0
who’s doing research?
who’s paying for research?
how is research organized?
how is research communicated?
Title is reference to poem by Gil Scott-Heron…..and the poem’s message was that the revolution was happening live all around you.Goal is to get you to think differently about the research questions you want to pursue….And make you aware of hints of a new research world taking shape around us.
Let’s explore something about the context for that statement….Never waste a good cliff
Wile E Coyote and Road Runnerhttp://1.bp.blogspot.com/-2qw4x9YH4b0/UIMKjdA-dwI/AAAAAAAAHL4/yStlPHZRljU/s1600/wile_e__coyote_and_road_runner_by_fabulousespg-d39luwo.jpg
Nature 483 531-533 (29 March 2012) doi:10.1038/48351ainteresting comment in May, 2012….can’t disclose which papers bec/ of confidentiality agreements between Amgen and authors of the original papers.AlsoNature Reviews Drug Discovery10, 712 (September 2011) | doi:10.1038/nrd3439-c1Believe it or not: how much can we rely on published data on potential drug targets?See also: News and Analysis by ArrowsmithFlorian Prinz1, Thomas Schlange2 & Khusru Asadullah3Also
Clay Shirky is at NYU.
JvN: “I am thinking about something much more important than bombs. I am thinking about computers.”Numbers that mean things vs. numbers that do things.Code that can modify code. 53kB in 1953DRAM production in 2012: ~10**15kB/year …..~10**8kB/sec…..100,000 kB / millisecond…..100kB / microsecond
And by 2020, there will be 5,200 Gb of data per person on earth…..every man woman and child…
…within 24 hours of launch we were stunned to be receiving almost 70,000 classifications an hour.In the end, more than 50 million classifications were received by the project during its first year, contributed by more than 150,000 people.from: http://www.galaxyzoo.org/#/story
Also…problem of confounding variables that we don’t see….
Andgoogle would NEVER make decisions about ads based on clinical trial sample sizes…..
So PLM is one example of an innovative platfor for discovery.It’s open to patients but its data are closed to others….or sold to others.
http://patientslikeme.com
Synapse…a platform from Sage Bionetworks…is open.…and uses competitions.
Salvatore IaconesiIPLM, PVI, and la cura are all examples of platforms that support patient engagement.This notion is increasing in importance and is reflected in some new proposed standards for meaningful use in health IT:
Issued by the national ehealth collaborative in late 2012.http://www.nationalehealth.org/ckfinder/userfiles/files/NEHC_Patient%20Engagement%20Framework_FINAL.pdf
See also:http://www.forbes.com/sites/davechase/2012/09/09/patient-engagement-is-the-blockbuster-drug-of-the-century/
The Revolution Will Not Be TelevisedYou will not be able to stay home, brother.You will not be able to plug in, turn on and cop out.You will not be able to lose yourself on skag and skip,Skip out for beer during commercials,Because the revolution will not be televised.The revolution will not be televised.The revolution will not be brought to you by XeroxIn 4 parts without commercial interruptions.The revolution will not show you pictures of Nixonblowing a bugle and leading a charge by JohnMitchell, General Abrams and Spiro Agnew to eathog maws confiscated from a Harlem sanctuary.The revolution will not be televised.The revolution will not be brought to you by the Schaefer Award Theatre and will not star NatalieWoods and Steve McQueen or Bullwinkle and Julia.The revolution will not give your mouth sex appeal.The revolution will not get rid of the nubs.The revolution will not make you look five poundsthinner, because the revolution will not be televised, Brother.There will be no pictures of you and Willie Maypushing that shopping cart down the block on the dead run,or trying to slide that color television into a stolen ambulance.NBC will not be able predict the winner at 8:32or report from 29 districts.The revolution will not be televised.There will be no pictures of pigs shooting downbrothers in the instant replay.There will be no pictures of pigs shooting downbrothers in the instant replay.There will be no pictures of Whitney Young beingrun out of Harlem on a rail with a brand new process.There will be no slow motion or still life of RoyWilkens strolling through Watts in a Red, Black andGreen liberation jumpsuit that he had been savingFor just the proper occasion.Green Acres, The Beverly Hillbillies, and HootervilleJunction will no longer be so damned relevant, andwomen will not care if Dick finally gets down withJane on Search for Tomorrow because Black peoplewill be in the street looking for a brighter day.The revolution will not be televised.There will be no highlights on the eleven o'clocknews and no pictures of hairy armed womenliberationists and Jackie Onassis blowing her nose.The theme song will not be written by Jim Webb,Francis Scott Key, nor sung by Glen Campbell, TomJones, Johnny Cash, EnglebertHumperdink, or the Rare Earth.The revolution will not be televised.The revolution will not be right back after a messagebbout a white tornado, white lightning, or white people.You will not have to worry about a dove in yourbedroom, a tiger in your tank, or the giant in your toilet bowl.The revolution will not go better with Coke.The revolution will not fight the germs that may cause bad breath.The revolution will put you in the driver's seat.The revolution will not be televised, will not be televised,will not be televised, will not be televised.The revolution will be no re-run brothers;The revolution will be live.
The Revolution Will Not Be TelevisedYou will not be able to stay home, brother.You will not be able to plug in, turn on and cop out.You will not be able to lose yourself on skag and skip,Skip out for beer during commercials,Because the revolution will not be televised.The revolution will not be televised.The revolution will not be brought to you by XeroxIn 4 parts without commercial interruptions.The revolution will not show you pictures of Nixonblowing a bugle and leading a charge by JohnMitchell, General Abrams and Spiro Agnew to eathog maws confiscated from a Harlem sanctuary.The revolution will not be televised.The revolution will not be brought to you by the Schaefer Award Theatre and will not star NatalieWoods and Steve McQueen or Bullwinkle and Julia.The revolution will not give your mouth sex appeal.The revolution will not get rid of the nubs.The revolution will not make you look five poundsthinner, because the revolution will not be televised, Brother.There will be no pictures of you and Willie Maypushing that shopping cart down the block on the dead run,or trying to slide that color television into a stolen ambulance.NBC will not be able predict the winner at 8:32or report from 29 districts.The revolution will not be televised.There will be no pictures of pigs shooting downbrothers in the instant replay.There will be no pictures of pigs shooting downbrothers in the instant replay.There will be no pictures of Whitney Young beingrun out of Harlem on a rail with a brand new process.There will be no slow motion or still life of RoyWilkens strolling through Watts in a Red, Black andGreen liberation jumpsuit that he had been savingFor just the proper occasion.Green Acres, The Beverly Hillbillies, and HootervilleJunction will no longer be so damned relevant, andwomen will not care if Dick finally gets down withJane on Search for Tomorrow because Black peoplewill be in the street looking for a brighter day.The revolution will not be televised.There will be no highlights on the eleven o'clocknews and no pictures of hairy armed womenliberationists and Jackie Onassis blowing her nose.The theme song will not be written by Jim Webb,Francis Scott Key, nor sung by Glen Campbell, TomJones, Johnny Cash, EnglebertHumperdink, or the Rare Earth.The revolution will not be televised.The revolution will not be right back after a messagebbout a white tornado, white lightning, or white people.You will not have to worry about a dove in yourbedroom, a tiger in your tank, or the giant in your toilet bowl.The revolution will not go better with Coke.The revolution will not fight the germs that may cause bad breath.The revolution will put you in the driver's seat.The revolution will not be televised, will not be televised,will not be televised, will not be televised.The revolution will be no re-run brothers;The revolution will be live.
Period of rapid change, Digital universe impacts, Disinternediation/reintermediationUsefulness of data, Return of citizen scientists