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Thermal Stability of Volatiles in the
                                                                                                                   Comparison between the areal
                                                                                                               coverage of model-calculated biannual
                                                                                                               maximum and average temperatures

North Polar Region of Mercury                                                                                  and the thermal stability of a range of
                                                                                                               candidate volatile species (Fig. 2) pro-
                                                                                                               vides strong evidence Mercury’s
David A. Paige,1* Matthew A. Siegler,1,2 John K. Harmon,3 Gregory A.                                           anomalous radar features are due dom-
               4                            4                    5                     5               1
Neumann, Erwan M. Mazarico, David E. Smith, Maria T. Zuber, Ellen Harju,                                       inantly to the presence of thermally
Mona L. Delitsky,6 Sean C. Solomon7,8                                                                          stable water ice, rather than some other
1                                                                                               2
                                                                                                               candidate frozen volatile species.
 Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. Jet             Within the region sampled, the vast
                                                     3
Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA. National Astronomy and Ionosphere Center, Arecibo,             majority of locations within which
                  4                                                                5
PR 00612, USA. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA. Department of Earth,
                                                                                                               biannual average temperatures are less
Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.
6                                                             7
 California Specialty Engineering, Flintridge, CA 91012, USA. Department of Terrestrial Magnetism,             than approximately 100 K are radar
                                                                   8
Carnegie Institution of Washington, Washington, DC 20015, USA. Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory,               bright, whereas for areas with biannual
Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA.                                                                 average temperatures of greater than
                                                                                                               100 K there are almost no radar-bright
*To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: dap@moon.ucla.edu
                                                                                                               deposits (Fig. 2C). This distribution




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                                                                                                               suggests that the radar-bright features
Thermal models for the north polar region of Mercury, calculated from topographic                              are due to the presence of a volatile
measurements made by the MESSENGER spacecraft, show that the spatial                                           species that is not thermally stable at
distribution of regions of high radar backscatter is well matched by the predicted                             temperatures higher than approximate-
distribution of thermally stable water ice. MESSENGER measurements of near-                                    ly100 K. Because of the exponential
infrared surface reflectance indicate bright surfaces in the coldest areas where                               dependence of vacuum sublimation
water ice is predicted to be stable at the surface, and dark surfaces within and                               loss rates with temperature, the thermal
surrounding warmer areas where water ice is predicted to be stable only in the near                            stabilities of the candidate volatile
subsurface. We propose that the dark surface layer is a sublimation lag deposit that                           species shown in Fig. 2A over time-
may be rich in impact-derived organic material.                                                                scales of millions to billions of years
                                                                                                               are well separated in temperature. As
Earth-based radar observations have yielded maps of anomalously shown in Fig. 2A and fig. S8, the temperatures at which at which 1 mm
bright, depolarizing features on Mercury that appear to be localized in of exposed water ice, or 1 mm of water ice buried beneath a 10-cm-thick
permanently shadowed regions near the planet’s poles (1, 2). Observa- lag deposit, would sublimate to a vacuum in 1 Gy is between 100 and
tions of similar radar signatures over a range of radar wavelengths imply 115 K, which we interpret as strong evidence that Mercury’s anomalous
that the radar-bright features correspond to deposits that are highly radar features are due dominantly to the presence of thermally stable
transparent at radar wavelengths and extend to depths of several meters water ice. Because the radar-bright regions are found to exist only in
below the surface (3). Cold-trapped water ice has been proposed as the regions that are just cold enough to trap subsurface water over billion-
most likely material to be responsible for these features (2, 4, 5), but year timescales, they therefore must consist mostly of water. As illus-
other volatile species that are abundant on Mercury such as sulfur have trated in Fig. 2, B and C, the fractional areal coverage of regions that are
also been suggested (6).                                                     both radar bright and sufficiently cold to trap subsurface elemental sul-
     Measurements of surface reflectance at a wavelength of 1064 nm fur, for instance, is less than 1 in 500. Although the temperatures of
made with the Mercury Laser Altimeter (MLA) on the MESSENGER Mercury’s radar bright regions are not a good match to thermal stability
spacecraft have revealed the presence of surface material that co-locates temperatures of sulfur, the existence of cold-traps at lower latitudes
approximately with radar-bright areas within north polar craters and that dominated by sulfur and other less volatile cold-trapped species cannot
has approximately half the average reflectance of the planet, as well as be excluded, nor can the possibility that Mercury’s water ice cold traps
bright material within Kandinsky and Prokofiev craters that has approx- themselves also contain minor quantities of less volatile cold-trapped
imately twice the average planetary reflectance (7). MLA measurements species.
have also provided detailed maps of the topography of Mercury’s north            The calculated depths at which near-surface water ice would be lost
polar region (8). Here we apply this information in conjunction with a to sublimation at a rate of less than 1 mm per billion years, under the
ray-tracing thermal model, previously used to predict temperatures in the assumption that the ice deposits are covered by material that has the
polar regions of Earth’s Moon (9), to calculate the thermal stability of same thermophysical properties as average surface material on Mercury
volatile species in the north polar region of Mercury.                       (5, 10), are shown in Fig. 1C. The thermal model results predict that
     Maximum and average modeled temperatures (10) over one com- most of Mercury’s water ice deposits equatorward of 83°N would be
plete, 2-year illumination cycle for the north polar region of Mercury are thermally stable only if buried beneath a ~10-cm-thick layer of low-
shown in Fig. 1, A and B. The topography model north of 84° N latitude conductivity, ice-free, soil-like material, a result consistent with interpre-
has been extrapolated from only a few off-nadir data tracks, so model tations of available radar data (3). At higher latitudes, the thermal model
temperatures within this circle should be taken only as estimates. On results predict that temperatures in larger impact craters are sufficiently
Mercury, biannual average temperatures can be interpreted as close ap- cold to permit the stability of surface ice deposits. The observation of
proximations to the nearly constant subsurface temperatures that exist anomalously high MLA surface reflectance values in Kandinsky and
below the penetration depths of the diurnal temperature wave [about Prokofiev craters (7) is consistent with the interpretation that the polar
0.3–0.5 m for ice-free regolith, and several meters for ice-rich areas (5, deposits in those craters contain water ice exposed at the surface. Com-
9)]. The latitudinal and longitudinal symmetries in surface and near- parisons of the areal coverage of model-calculated biannual maximum
surface temperatures result from Mercury’s near-zero obliquity, eccen- and average temperatures for MLA-dark areas to all areas measured by
tric orbit, and 3:2 spin-orbit resonance (11, 12).                           MLA in the circum-polar region 75°–83°N are shown in Fig. 2, D and E.


                           / http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/recent / 29 November 2012 / Page 1/ 10.1126/science.1231106
The MLA-dark regions display a wider range of temperatures and are             stability temperatures of a selection of simple organic compounds are
spatially more extensive than the radar-bright regions, even after ac-         such that if they were present in the Mercury polar environment, they
counting for Earth visibility. Area ratios for biannual maximum tempera-       would be readily incorporated into accumulating ice deposits. The pro-
tures in MLA-dark regions peak near 0.8 at ~160 K and decrease rapidly         cessing of simple organic material into dark macromolecular carbona-
at progressively lower temperatures. We interpret this trend as indicating     ceous material is facilitated by high-energy photons and particles (10,
an increasing tendency for the thermal stability of bright surface water       27–31), which are abundant in Mercury’s polar environment because of
ice deposits as biannual maximum temperatures approach 100 K, which            the configuration of magnetic field lines and the pattern of ion precipita-
we document in an unusually cold impact crater at 82.0° N, 215° E (fig.        tion at Mercury’s high latitudes (10, 32, 33). Under this scenario,
S3).                                                                           asteroidal and cometary impacts episodically release water and simple
     In total, the results of the thermal model calculations combined with     organic compounds into the Mercury environment, where they migrate
radar and MLA reflectance measurements present a quantitatively con-           to the polar regions, become cold trapped, and accumulate. The mixture
sistent case that Mercury’s polar deposits are composed dominantly of          of water ice and organic material sublimates and is reprocessed to form a
water ice. This conclusion is independently reinforced by measurements         dark sublimation lag deposit that is analogous to that observed on the
of the flux of fast and epithermal neutrons made with MESSENGER’s              surfaces of comet nuclei today. The radar absorption properties of low-
Neutron Spectrometer (13). In the region studied, radar-bright deposits        density macromolecular carbonaceous material have been measured and
are observed to be in essentially every surface and subsurface location        are found to be less lossy than low-density soil (34). Therefore, the pres-
where water ice is thermally stable, despite the activity of such ice de-      ence of a layer of organic-rich material overlying ground ice deposits, or
struction processes as Lyman alpha photodissociation (14) and burial by        the presence of minor concentrations of organic-rich material within ice




                                                                                                                                                                   Downloaded from www.sciencemag.org on December 1, 2012
meteoroid gardening (15). Calculated temperatures in the coldest loca-         deposits, is not inconsistent with available radar observations. The pos-
tions on Mercury are sufficiently low that water molecules in these cold       sibility for synthesis of organic compounds in the permanently shadowed
traps have very little diffusive mobility (16). The fact that bright surface   regions of Earth’s Moon has been suggested (35), and the spectroscopic
ice deposits are observed in these locations requires a geologically recent    detection of simple organic compounds during the impact of the Lunar
or ongoing supply of water. In regions of currently stable ground ice,         Crater Observation and Sensing Satellite (36) provides further evidence
temperatures are sufficiently warm to allow for diffusive vertical and         that organic material and organic precursors co-exist within the polar
lateral mobility of water (17), which has enabled water to actively mi-        cold traps of solar system airless bodies.
grate to sites of present thermal stability.                                        Forming Mercury’s ground ice deposits via the sublimation of a
     The thermal model results provide insights into the nature and origin     mixture of water ice and organic contaminants solves a longstanding
of MLA-dark surface deposits. Figure 2D shows that equatorward of              problem regarding their origin. Today, thick deposits of ground ice are
84°N dark material is found almost universally in regions with biannual        found near 75°N in areas with biannual maximum surface temperatures
average temperatures of 100 K and biannual maximum temperatures of             in excess of 150 K. At these temperatures, pure exposed water ice depos-
160 K, but dark material is entirely absent in regions with biannual aver-     ited by a cometary impact would sublimate at a rate of 1 m per thousand
age temperatures greater than 210 K and biannual maximum tempera-              years. The ice deposit would disappear on timescales of tens of thou-
tures greater than 300 K. This systematic temperature dependence would         sands years if not thermally protected by a ~10-cm-thick layer of overly-
not be apparent if the dark material were being redistributed about this       ing ice-free material, but this geometry is problematic because the
region by impact processes alone. The distribution of dark material must       timescales for burial to these depths by impact-gardened soil from adja-
be controlled by the presence of a volatile substance that is not thermally    cent regions is estimated to be on the order of tens of millions of years
stable above these temperatures. Given the clear association between the       (3, 15). If Mercury’s ground ice deposits contain sufficient less-volatile
dark material and water ice that exists on Mercury today, we suggest that      cold-trapped contaminants to create a surface lag deposit as they subli-
this volatile substance is water. As shown in Fig. 2A and fig. S7, the         mate, then it would not be necessary to invoke a recent cometary impact
temperature at which a water ice deposit can be considered thermally           to explain their present vertical and horizontal distribution. The fact that
stable depends on the timescale under consideration. At a temperature of       all of Mercury’s surface and subsurface water ice deposits appear to be
102 K, for instance, a 1-m-thick layer of pure water ice would sublimate       in a thermally stable configuration means that the sources of water and
to space in 1 Gy, whereas at a temperature of 210 K a 1-m-thick layer of       the mobility of water in Mercury’s environment are sufficiently robust to
pure water ice would sublimate in 35 days. We suggest that the MLA-            overcome the combined effects of all other processes that would tend to
dark deposits are sublimation lags formed on the surfaces of metastable        destroy and disrupt them.
water ice, i.e., that Mercury’s polar deposits were more extensive at
some point in the past, and then retreated rapidly to their present long-      References and Notes
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                               / http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/recent / 29 November 2012 / Page 3/ 10.1126/science.1231106
Downloaded from www.sciencemag.org on December 1, 2012
Fig. 1. Maps of calculated surface and subsurface temperatures and water ice stability
in the north polar region of Mercury, superposed on a shaded-relief map of
MESSENGER topography. (A) Biannual maximum surface temperatures. (B) Biannual
average temperatures at 2 cm depth. (C) Calculated depths below which water ice
                                                            −2
would be lost to sublimation at a rate of less than 1 kg m per billion years. White
regions indicate locations where water ice can be cold trapped at the surface, colored
regions show the minimum depths at which thermally stable water ice can be buried
below the surface, and gray regions indicate locations where subsurface temperatures
are too warm to permit the cold-trapping of water ice.




/ http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/recent / 29 November 2012 / Page 4/ 10.1126/science.1231106
Downloaded from www.sciencemag.org on December 1, 2012
Fig. 2. Histograms of calculated biannual maximum (Tmax) and biannual average (Tavg)
temperatures for radar-bright and MLA-dark areas in the north polar region of Mercury compared
with the stability temperatures of a range of candidate volatile species. (A) The vacuum
sublimation loss times for 1-mm-thick pure layers of selected cold-trapped volatile species as a
function of temperature (37, 38). (B and C) Temperature histograms and areal coverage for radar-
bright areas within Earth-visible areas at the times of the radar measurements in the region 75°–
83°N, 30°–90°E (39). (D and E) Temperature histograms and areal coverage for MLA-dark areas
for the region 75°–83°N.




     / http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/recent / 29 November 2012 / Page 5/ 10.1126/science.1231106

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Thermalstabilityofvolatilesinthenorthpolarregionofmercury 121201031651-phpapp01

  • 1. Reports  Thermal Stability of Volatiles in the Comparison between the areal coverage of model-calculated biannual maximum and average temperatures North Polar Region of Mercury and the thermal stability of a range of candidate volatile species (Fig. 2) pro- vides strong evidence Mercury’s David A. Paige,1* Matthew A. Siegler,1,2 John K. Harmon,3 Gregory A. anomalous radar features are due dom- 4 4 5 5 1 Neumann, Erwan M. Mazarico, David E. Smith, Maria T. Zuber, Ellen Harju, inantly to the presence of thermally Mona L. Delitsky,6 Sean C. Solomon7,8 stable water ice, rather than some other 1 2 candidate frozen volatile species. Department of Earth and Space Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. Jet Within the region sampled, the vast 3 Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA. National Astronomy and Ionosphere Center, Arecibo, majority of locations within which 4 5 PR 00612, USA. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD 20771, USA. Department of Earth, biannual average temperatures are less Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA. 6 7 California Specialty Engineering, Flintridge, CA 91012, USA. Department of Terrestrial Magnetism, than approximately 100 K are radar 8 Carnegie Institution of Washington, Washington, DC 20015, USA. Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, bright, whereas for areas with biannual Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA. average temperatures of greater than 100 K there are almost no radar-bright *To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: dap@moon.ucla.edu deposits (Fig. 2C). This distribution Downloaded from www.sciencemag.org on December 1, 2012 suggests that the radar-bright features Thermal models for the north polar region of Mercury, calculated from topographic are due to the presence of a volatile measurements made by the MESSENGER spacecraft, show that the spatial species that is not thermally stable at distribution of regions of high radar backscatter is well matched by the predicted temperatures higher than approximate- distribution of thermally stable water ice. MESSENGER measurements of near- ly100 K. Because of the exponential infrared surface reflectance indicate bright surfaces in the coldest areas where dependence of vacuum sublimation water ice is predicted to be stable at the surface, and dark surfaces within and loss rates with temperature, the thermal surrounding warmer areas where water ice is predicted to be stable only in the near stabilities of the candidate volatile subsurface. We propose that the dark surface layer is a sublimation lag deposit that species shown in Fig. 2A over time- may be rich in impact-derived organic material. scales of millions to billions of years are well separated in temperature. As Earth-based radar observations have yielded maps of anomalously shown in Fig. 2A and fig. S8, the temperatures at which at which 1 mm bright, depolarizing features on Mercury that appear to be localized in of exposed water ice, or 1 mm of water ice buried beneath a 10-cm-thick permanently shadowed regions near the planet’s poles (1, 2). Observa- lag deposit, would sublimate to a vacuum in 1 Gy is between 100 and tions of similar radar signatures over a range of radar wavelengths imply 115 K, which we interpret as strong evidence that Mercury’s anomalous that the radar-bright features correspond to deposits that are highly radar features are due dominantly to the presence of thermally stable transparent at radar wavelengths and extend to depths of several meters water ice. Because the radar-bright regions are found to exist only in below the surface (3). Cold-trapped water ice has been proposed as the regions that are just cold enough to trap subsurface water over billion- most likely material to be responsible for these features (2, 4, 5), but year timescales, they therefore must consist mostly of water. As illus- other volatile species that are abundant on Mercury such as sulfur have trated in Fig. 2, B and C, the fractional areal coverage of regions that are also been suggested (6). both radar bright and sufficiently cold to trap subsurface elemental sul- Measurements of surface reflectance at a wavelength of 1064 nm fur, for instance, is less than 1 in 500. Although the temperatures of made with the Mercury Laser Altimeter (MLA) on the MESSENGER Mercury’s radar bright regions are not a good match to thermal stability spacecraft have revealed the presence of surface material that co-locates temperatures of sulfur, the existence of cold-traps at lower latitudes approximately with radar-bright areas within north polar craters and that dominated by sulfur and other less volatile cold-trapped species cannot has approximately half the average reflectance of the planet, as well as be excluded, nor can the possibility that Mercury’s water ice cold traps bright material within Kandinsky and Prokofiev craters that has approx- themselves also contain minor quantities of less volatile cold-trapped imately twice the average planetary reflectance (7). MLA measurements species. have also provided detailed maps of the topography of Mercury’s north The calculated depths at which near-surface water ice would be lost polar region (8). Here we apply this information in conjunction with a to sublimation at a rate of less than 1 mm per billion years, under the ray-tracing thermal model, previously used to predict temperatures in the assumption that the ice deposits are covered by material that has the polar regions of Earth’s Moon (9), to calculate the thermal stability of same thermophysical properties as average surface material on Mercury volatile species in the north polar region of Mercury. (5, 10), are shown in Fig. 1C. The thermal model results predict that Maximum and average modeled temperatures (10) over one com- most of Mercury’s water ice deposits equatorward of 83°N would be plete, 2-year illumination cycle for the north polar region of Mercury are thermally stable only if buried beneath a ~10-cm-thick layer of low- shown in Fig. 1, A and B. The topography model north of 84° N latitude conductivity, ice-free, soil-like material, a result consistent with interpre- has been extrapolated from only a few off-nadir data tracks, so model tations of available radar data (3). At higher latitudes, the thermal model temperatures within this circle should be taken only as estimates. On results predict that temperatures in larger impact craters are sufficiently Mercury, biannual average temperatures can be interpreted as close ap- cold to permit the stability of surface ice deposits. The observation of proximations to the nearly constant subsurface temperatures that exist anomalously high MLA surface reflectance values in Kandinsky and below the penetration depths of the diurnal temperature wave [about Prokofiev craters (7) is consistent with the interpretation that the polar 0.3–0.5 m for ice-free regolith, and several meters for ice-rich areas (5, deposits in those craters contain water ice exposed at the surface. Com- 9)]. The latitudinal and longitudinal symmetries in surface and near- parisons of the areal coverage of model-calculated biannual maximum surface temperatures result from Mercury’s near-zero obliquity, eccen- and average temperatures for MLA-dark areas to all areas measured by tric orbit, and 3:2 spin-orbit resonance (11, 12). MLA in the circum-polar region 75°–83°N are shown in Fig. 2, D and E. / http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/recent / 29 November 2012 / Page 1/ 10.1126/science.1231106
  • 2. The MLA-dark regions display a wider range of temperatures and are stability temperatures of a selection of simple organic compounds are spatially more extensive than the radar-bright regions, even after ac- such that if they were present in the Mercury polar environment, they counting for Earth visibility. Area ratios for biannual maximum tempera- would be readily incorporated into accumulating ice deposits. The pro- tures in MLA-dark regions peak near 0.8 at ~160 K and decrease rapidly cessing of simple organic material into dark macromolecular carbona- at progressively lower temperatures. We interpret this trend as indicating ceous material is facilitated by high-energy photons and particles (10, an increasing tendency for the thermal stability of bright surface water 27–31), which are abundant in Mercury’s polar environment because of ice deposits as biannual maximum temperatures approach 100 K, which the configuration of magnetic field lines and the pattern of ion precipita- we document in an unusually cold impact crater at 82.0° N, 215° E (fig. tion at Mercury’s high latitudes (10, 32, 33). Under this scenario, S3). asteroidal and cometary impacts episodically release water and simple In total, the results of the thermal model calculations combined with organic compounds into the Mercury environment, where they migrate radar and MLA reflectance measurements present a quantitatively con- to the polar regions, become cold trapped, and accumulate. The mixture sistent case that Mercury’s polar deposits are composed dominantly of of water ice and organic material sublimates and is reprocessed to form a water ice. This conclusion is independently reinforced by measurements dark sublimation lag deposit that is analogous to that observed on the of the flux of fast and epithermal neutrons made with MESSENGER’s surfaces of comet nuclei today. The radar absorption properties of low- Neutron Spectrometer (13). In the region studied, radar-bright deposits density macromolecular carbonaceous material have been measured and are observed to be in essentially every surface and subsurface location are found to be less lossy than low-density soil (34). Therefore, the pres- where water ice is thermally stable, despite the activity of such ice de- ence of a layer of organic-rich material overlying ground ice deposits, or struction processes as Lyman alpha photodissociation (14) and burial by the presence of minor concentrations of organic-rich material within ice Downloaded from www.sciencemag.org on December 1, 2012 meteoroid gardening (15). Calculated temperatures in the coldest loca- deposits, is not inconsistent with available radar observations. The pos- tions on Mercury are sufficiently low that water molecules in these cold sibility for synthesis of organic compounds in the permanently shadowed traps have very little diffusive mobility (16). The fact that bright surface regions of Earth’s Moon has been suggested (35), and the spectroscopic ice deposits are observed in these locations requires a geologically recent detection of simple organic compounds during the impact of the Lunar or ongoing supply of water. In regions of currently stable ground ice, Crater Observation and Sensing Satellite (36) provides further evidence temperatures are sufficiently warm to allow for diffusive vertical and that organic material and organic precursors co-exist within the polar lateral mobility of water (17), which has enabled water to actively mi- cold traps of solar system airless bodies. grate to sites of present thermal stability. Forming Mercury’s ground ice deposits via the sublimation of a The thermal model results provide insights into the nature and origin mixture of water ice and organic contaminants solves a longstanding of MLA-dark surface deposits. Figure 2D shows that equatorward of problem regarding their origin. Today, thick deposits of ground ice are 84°N dark material is found almost universally in regions with biannual found near 75°N in areas with biannual maximum surface temperatures average temperatures of 100 K and biannual maximum temperatures of in excess of 150 K. At these temperatures, pure exposed water ice depos- 160 K, but dark material is entirely absent in regions with biannual aver- ited by a cometary impact would sublimate at a rate of 1 m per thousand age temperatures greater than 210 K and biannual maximum tempera- years. The ice deposit would disappear on timescales of tens of thou- tures greater than 300 K. This systematic temperature dependence would sands years if not thermally protected by a ~10-cm-thick layer of overly- not be apparent if the dark material were being redistributed about this ing ice-free material, but this geometry is problematic because the region by impact processes alone. The distribution of dark material must timescales for burial to these depths by impact-gardened soil from adja- be controlled by the presence of a volatile substance that is not thermally cent regions is estimated to be on the order of tens of millions of years stable above these temperatures. Given the clear association between the (3, 15). If Mercury’s ground ice deposits contain sufficient less-volatile dark material and water ice that exists on Mercury today, we suggest that cold-trapped contaminants to create a surface lag deposit as they subli- this volatile substance is water. As shown in Fig. 2A and fig. S7, the mate, then it would not be necessary to invoke a recent cometary impact temperature at which a water ice deposit can be considered thermally to explain their present vertical and horizontal distribution. The fact that stable depends on the timescale under consideration. At a temperature of all of Mercury’s surface and subsurface water ice deposits appear to be 102 K, for instance, a 1-m-thick layer of pure water ice would sublimate in a thermally stable configuration means that the sources of water and to space in 1 Gy, whereas at a temperature of 210 K a 1-m-thick layer of the mobility of water in Mercury’s environment are sufficiently robust to pure water ice would sublimate in 35 days. We suggest that the MLA- overcome the combined effects of all other processes that would tend to dark deposits are sublimation lags formed on the surfaces of metastable destroy and disrupt them. water ice, i.e., that Mercury’s polar deposits were more extensive at some point in the past, and then retreated rapidly to their present long- References and Notes term thermally stable state. Because Mercury’s low obliquity [2.04 ± 1. M. A. Slade, B. J. Butler, D. O. Muhleman, Mercury radar imaging: Evidence 0.08 arc min (18)] is likely to have persisted since its capture into a Cas- for polar ice. Science 258, 635 (1992). doi:10.1126/science.258.5082.635 Medline sini state > 3.5 billion years ago (Ga) (19), thermal conditions at Mercu- 2. J. K. Harmon, M. A. Slade, M. S. Rice, Radar imagery of Mercury’s putative ry’s poles have been relatively stable. The formation of the MLA-dark polar ice: 1999–2005 Arecibo results. 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  • 4. Downloaded from www.sciencemag.org on December 1, 2012 Fig. 1. Maps of calculated surface and subsurface temperatures and water ice stability in the north polar region of Mercury, superposed on a shaded-relief map of MESSENGER topography. (A) Biannual maximum surface temperatures. (B) Biannual average temperatures at 2 cm depth. (C) Calculated depths below which water ice −2 would be lost to sublimation at a rate of less than 1 kg m per billion years. White regions indicate locations where water ice can be cold trapped at the surface, colored regions show the minimum depths at which thermally stable water ice can be buried below the surface, and gray regions indicate locations where subsurface temperatures are too warm to permit the cold-trapping of water ice. / http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/recent / 29 November 2012 / Page 4/ 10.1126/science.1231106
  • 5. Downloaded from www.sciencemag.org on December 1, 2012 Fig. 2. Histograms of calculated biannual maximum (Tmax) and biannual average (Tavg) temperatures for radar-bright and MLA-dark areas in the north polar region of Mercury compared with the stability temperatures of a range of candidate volatile species. (A) The vacuum sublimation loss times for 1-mm-thick pure layers of selected cold-trapped volatile species as a function of temperature (37, 38). (B and C) Temperature histograms and areal coverage for radar- bright areas within Earth-visible areas at the times of the radar measurements in the region 75°– 83°N, 30°–90°E (39). (D and E) Temperature histograms and areal coverage for MLA-dark areas for the region 75°–83°N. / http://www.sciencemag.org/content/early/recent / 29 November 2012 / Page 5/ 10.1126/science.1231106