This research paper work was presented in National Level Management Conference Presentation on Brindavan College . The paper and presentation both appreciated as best research and presentation by jury panel headed by seasoned Banking Executives
Research on Basel 3 :New paradigm of Risk Management
1. BASEL III : NEW PARADIGM OF RISK
MANAGEMENT IN BANKING SECTOR
Purushottam Kumar Karna
MBA-VTU-3rd sem
National level Management Conference
Brindavan College Bangalore
3. INDEX
BASEL III: Introduction
Evolution of BASEL Accord
Basel III : Architecture & Key Components
Timeline proposed for Implementation of BASEL III
Basel III : Impact on Indian Economy
Basel III impact on Public Sector Banks
Basel III impact on Private Banks
Basel III impact on Foreign Banks
4. EVOLUTION OF BASEL ACCORDS
1 Tighter capital definition
2 Capital buffers
Capital Ratios
and Targets 3 Leverage ratio
4 Higher minimum ratios
5 Systemic add-on
Pillar-3 Disclosure
Pillar-2 ICAAP 6 Counterparty risk
RWA
Requirements Pillar-1 Operational risk Incremental risk
Pillar-1 Market risk 7 Trading book revisions
Pillar-1 Credit risk New Pillar-1 Credit risk Securitization revision
8 Coverage ratio
Liquidity 9 Net stable funding ratio
Standards
Tier 1 and 2 definition
Basel I Basel II Basel II.5 Basel III
5. KEY BASEL III COMPONENTS
Areas Main Basel III components
Capital ratios and targets
Capital definition
Countercyclical buffers
Leverage ratio
Minimum capital standards
Systemic risk
RWA requirements
Counterparty risk
Trading book
Liquidity standards
Liquidity coverage ratio
Net stable funding ratio
8. BASEL III : IMPACT ON INDIAN ECONOMY
Existing capital ratios of most of Indian banks are
above the prescribed norms
Unlikely to be significantly impacted by proposed
norms
Systemic important Financial Institution
Leverage in the Indian banking system is quite
moderate
Possibly some negative impact from
the shifting of deductions from regulatory
capital to common equity
large OTC bilateral derivatives positions
9. BASEL III IMPACT ON PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS
Initially there will be INR 326 billion deficit under total capital needed by PSU where 469 surplus in
common equity capital
Most of the capital deficit in initial year is expected to be maintained through tier II bond.
In 2017, common equity capital deficit will be reach up to 1718 billion and total capital deficit 2892
billion.
By 2019, Indian banking system will require additional capital of 3824 billion for which 70% of total
capital 2385 billion will be common equity i.e. share capital plus reserve excluding share premium.
10. BASEL III IMPACT ON PRIVATE BANKS
Source: E&Y
Implication:
Private Banks have sufficient surplus total capital base over the
implementation period due to higher additional tier I & tier II capital.
However even private bank will require common equity after 2015.
The total shortfall for equity capital will reach 540 billion on 2019.
11. BASEL III IMPACT ON FOREIGN BANKS
Resource:E&Y
Implication:
Foreign banks have surplus common equity but are expected to fall short of total capital after
2014 by 24 billion.
Foreign banks not tapping local bond market is expected to impact their RoE relative other banks
Access to corporate bond markets is expected to augment capital base of foreign banks in the
near term.
Increased retained earnings also can fulfill the future need of common equity section of capital
12. CHALLENGES OF BASEL III
Each percentage point increase in capital ratios will
reduce economic output by only 0.2% in any one
year of total GDP output.
The existence of shadow banking and complex
OTC derivative, securitized products and off
balance sheet exposure of toxic assets yet to be
managed properly.
Accounting Standard IFRS 9 – still evolving
Modification of IT systems
Up gradation of staff skills – capacity building
13. CONCLUSION : CONCERNS
Regulator authority RBI must devise policy for holistic
macro prudential management which addresses SIFI &
capital adjustments.
Different type of banks like PSU, Private and Foreign
banks have their own types of capital deficit need so
different types strategy will need to be adopted for capital
acquisition.
Forward looking provisions like contra cyclical
provisions, capital conservation buffers will make Banking
system more resilient.
Liquidity management facility will absorb liquidity risk
triggered recent banking crisis of US .