Abstract: Ukraine has long been a target for the Kremlin's disinformation campaigns. Since the annexation of Crimea in 2014, Russia has employed a variety of ‘information operation’ tactics to undermine the Ukrainian government and destabilize Ukrainian society. For example, Russia deployed a network of paid internet trolls via the Internet Research Agency to spread disinformation in and about Ukraine. The use of these tactics have only intensified during Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
The presentation will introduce the ConflictMisinfo.org Dashboard, developed by the Social Media Lab at Toronto Metropolitan University, to monitor online dis- and misinformation about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The dashboard captures and visualizes debunked claims from 100s of trusted fact-checkers from around the world. Since the start of the invasion, the dashboard has recorded over 1000 false, misleading and unproven claims related to the Russia-Ukraine war. The second part of the presentation will highlight the results of a new report to be released by the Lab in early July on the Reach of Russian Propaganda and Disinformation in Canada. The presentation will conclude with a number of practical steps to help social media users to detect and limit the spread of dis- and misinformation on this and other topics.
2. Co-Directors
The Lab & The People
Socialmedialab.ca
The lab studies how social media is changing
the way people communicate, share information and
form communities online, and how these changes
impact society.
A Multidisciplinary Research
Laboratory at
Toronto Metropolitan University in
Toronto, Canada
4. Facebook posts mentioning Ukraine (in three languages)
across public pages, groups and verified accounts
Source: CrowdTangle
5. Social media use in Ukraine and Russia
Source:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1308258/
social-media-penetration-ukraine-russia
Source: Statista
9. NAME OR LOGO 10
The Russia-Ukraine
ConflictMisinfo
Research Portal
https://ConflictMisinfo.org
We launched the Portal to study the
prevalence and spread of online
misinformation and disinformation
about the Russia-Ukraine war
ConflictMisinfo.org
10. • Let users see the latest
debunked claims from around
the world in one place
• See what types of claims are
currently circulating online
• Discover when there are spikes
in the volume of debunked
claims
• Read up on each debunked
claim
The Russia-Ukraine
ConflictMisinfo
Dashboard
11. Step 2. We then automatically
translate all non-English claims
into English.
Step 1. Daily, we use a custom
Python script to collect all fact-
check claims that include
keywords related to the war from
Google Fact Check Tools API.
The Dashboard visualizes claims
reviewed by ~ 200 fact-checking
organizations
The Russia-Ukraine
ConflictMisinfo
Dashboard
12. NAME OR LOGO
○ FALSE CLAIM: A viral video
claims to show US
paratroopers landing in
Ukraine (shared on March 7,
2022)
○ The video does show
paratroopers from the US, but
it is from drills in North
Carolina.
13
Fact-check: https://fullfact.org/online/us-paratrooper-ukraine-video/
13. NAME OR LOGO
○ FALSE CLAIM: Viral video shows "crisis actors"
portraying dead Ukrainian victims of a Russian attack
laid out in body bags (shared on March 10, 2022)
○ The video is from a news broadcast of a climate protest
held in Vienna (Austria).
14
Fact-check: https://www.factcheck.org/2022/03/video-shows-climate-protest-in-austria-not-crisis-actors-in-ukraine
14. NAME OR LOGO
○ FALSE CLAIM: A deepfake video of the “Ukrainian president” ordering his soldiers to surrender the fight
against Russia (shared on March 16, 2022)
15
Fact-check: https://www.npr.org/2022/03/16/1087062648/deepfake-video-zelenskyy-experts-war-manipulation-ukraine-russia
16. NAME OR LOGO
Seven prevalent
claims pushed by
the Kremlin and pro-
Kremlin accounts
1. "Ukrainian nationalism is a neo-Nazi movement, so one of
the goals of Russia’s 'Special Operation' in Ukraine is to
'demilitarize and denazify' Ukraine"
2. "Russia is defending ethnic Russians in Ukraine"
3. "The Kyiv regime is spreading doctored photos and videos
of supposed atrocities by Russian troops as part of staged
production and provocation for Western media"
4. "Ukrainian government officials are the aggressor in the
Russia-Ukraine conflict"
5. “The West pushed Ukraine toward a conflict with Russia"
6. "Since the end of the Cold War, NATO has surrounded
Russia with military bases and broken their promise to not
offer NATO membership to former USSR republics, like
Ukraine"
7. "The United States has a network of biological weapons
labs in Ukraine"
17
https://conflictmisinfo.org
18. NAME OR LOGO
When using social media
platforms / messaging apps,
have you encountered any of
the following claims about the
Russia-Ukraine war?
○ About half (51%) of Canadians reported
encountering at least one pro-Kremlin claim
on social media.
○ This suggests that concerns about the
prevalence and reach of Russian propaganda
and disinformation in Canada is warranted.
19
24%
27%
27%
28%
29%
31%
35%
76%
73%
73%
72%
71%
69%
65%
7. The United States has a network of
biological weapons labs in Ukraine
6. Since the end of the Cold War, NATO
has surrounded Russia with military bases
and broken their promise to not offer…
5. The West pushed Ukraine toward a
conflict with Russia
4. Ukrainian government officials are the
aggressor in the Russia-Ukraine conflict
3. The Kyiv regime is spreading doctored
photos and videos of supposed atrocities
by Russian troops as part of staged…
2. Russia is defending ethnic Russians in
Ukraine
1. Ukrainian nationalism is a neo-Nazi
movement, so one of the goals of Russia’s
'Special Operation' in Ukraine is to…
Yes No
Source: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.20277855
19. NAME OR LOGO
How much do you believe in
the following claims about
the Russia-Ukraine war?
○ The relatively widespread difference
between the number of Canadians who
believe in one claim over another
suggests that some Russian
disinformation claims resonated more
with Canadians than others.
○ The claim about NATO expansion is the
one that gained the most traction with
the Canadian public.
20
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
7%
5%
5%
5%
4%
5%
5%
16%
15%
15%
15%
14%
13%
12%
22%
17%
17%
14%
16%
13%
11%
51%
59%
60%
62%
62%
66%
69%
6. Since the end of the Cold War, NATO has
surrounded Russia with military bases and broken
their promise to not offer NATO membership to…
3. The Kyiv regime is spreading doctored photos
and videos of supposed atrocities by Russian troops
as part of staged production and provocation for…
7. The United States has a network of biological
weapons labs in Ukraine
5. The West pushed Ukraine toward a conflict with
Russia
2. Russia is defending ethnic Russians in Ukraine
1. Ukrainian nationalism is a neo-Nazi movement,
so one of the goals of Russia’s 'Special Operation' in
Ukraine is to 'demilitarize and denazify' Ukraine
4. Ukrainian government officials are the aggressor
in the Russia-Ukraine conflict
A great deal A lot A moderate amount A little Not at all
Source: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.20277855
20. NAME OR LOGO
Political Ideology and Belief
in Pro-Kremlin Propaganda
○ Right-leaning Canadians are more
likely to believe at least to some extent
in all seven pro-Kremlin claims, relative
to respondents who are ideologically
left-leaning or mixed.
○ For example, 49% of right-leaning
Canadians believe to some extent that
“Ukrainian government officials are the
aggressor” (Claim #4), while only 20%
of left-leaning Canadians believe this
claim.
21
23%
27%
30%
20%
27%
43%
31%
46%
49%
52%
44%
49%
55%
50%
50%
57%
64%
49%
58%
64%
58%
1. "Ukrainian nationalism is a neo-Nazi movement,
so one of the goals of Russia’s 'Special Operation' in
Ukraine is to 'demilitarize and denazify' Ukraine"
2. "Russia is defending ethnic Russians in Ukraine"
3. "The Kyiv regime is spreading doctored photos
and videos of supposed atrocities by Russian troops
as part of staged production and provocation for…
4. "Ukrainian government officials are the aggressor
in the Russia-Ukraine conflict"
5. "The West pushed Ukraine toward a conflict with
Russia"
6. "Since the end of the Cold War, NATO has
surrounded Russia with military bases and broken
their promise to not offer NATO membership to…
7. "The United States has a network of biological
weapons labs in Ukraine"
Believe to some extent that ...
Left-leaning (n=823) Mixed (n=548) Right-leaning (n=129)
Source: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.20277855
21. NAME OR LOGO
54%
57%
66%
70%
57%
41% 42%
69%
58%
23%
Print
(newspapers,
magazines)
Radio
(broadcast,
satellite)
TV (broadcast,
cable)
Online (news
website or
mobile app)
Social media /
messaging
apps
Claim: "Ukrainian nationalism is a neo-Nazi
movement ..."
Believe to some extent (n=507) Not at all (n=993)
Preferred News Source and
Belief in Pro-Kremlin Propaganda
○ The percentage of those who preferred either
print, radio, TV, online (news website or mobile
app), or social media as their news source
○ The most striking difference between the two
groups is that those who believe in one or
more of the pro-Kremlin claims are more likely
to turn to social media as a news source about
the war than those who do not believe.
○ This finding suggests that there is a positive
correlation between using social media for
news consumption about the Russia-Ukraine
war and one’s tendency to believe in the
Kremlin’s propaganda.
22
Source: https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.20277855
23. Conclusions
1. Russia-Ukraine
ConflictMisinfo Research Portal
Socialmedialab.ca
Fact Checking works but …
Much of what is driving (dis-) misinformation is politics: What
do you do when government, politicians or leaders spread
misinformation?
Fact-checking is not a scalable solution
Fact-checking can be used to spread/reinforce disinformation
Not everything can be fact-checked
24. Conclusions
Socialmedialab.ca
Our research provides evidence that the Kremlin’s
disinformation is reaching more Canadians than one would
expect.
Individuals who hold right-leaning ideology are more likely to
believe in pro-Kremlin propaganda overall as compared to
those who hold mixed or left-leaning views.
Those who believe in pro-Kremlin propaganda are more likely
to rely on social media for news about the war than those
who do not believe.
2. The Reach of Russian
Propaganda and Disinformation
25. The Fog of War: Examining the Spread of
Dis- & Misinformation in the Russia-Ukraine
War on Social Media
Anatoliy Gruzd, PhD.
@Gruzd
Canada Research Chair,
Director of Research
Socialmedialab.ca