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What’s Next For Oil
Paul Young CPA, CGA
November 5, 2018
Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Financial Solutions
• SME – Business Process Changes
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and
Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Supply Chain
Management
• Academia – Advance
Accounting, Public Finance and
Advanced Management Systems
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
Agenda
 Monthly Oil Production by Key Countries
 Oil Application
 Automotive Market – World Wide
 Automotive Market – World Wide – Electrical Vehicles
 What are the risks to Electrical Vehicles
 Electrical Grid
 Will oil disappear
Introduction
Monthly Oil Production by Key Countries
Source - https://knoema.com/atlas/topics/Energy/Oil/Production-of-crude-oil
Oil Applications /
Refining
Source -
https://www.eia.gov/energyexplain
ed/index.php?page=oil_refining
Automotive World
Market
Source – Scotiabank -
https://www.scotiabank.com/content/da
m/scotiabank/sub-brands/scotiabank-
economics/english/documents/global-
auto-report/GAR_2018-10-23.pdf
Electrical Car Market
Source - https://insideevs.com/half-worlds-electric-cars-in-just-25-cities/
According to the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT), nearly half of all plug-in electric
passenger cars are used in just 25 metropolitan areas.
At the end of 2017, the number was 1.4 million out of 3.1 million, which translated to around 45% in those
25 cities.
That’s pretty interesting, especially since overall, those 25 markets represent only 12% of the world’s
passenger car sales. In other words, there are important reasons that make plug-ins appealing in certain
metro areas.
Risks to
Electrical
vehicles
Access to raw materials – Lithium, Vanadium, Cobalt and Rare
Metals - https://www.spglobal.com/en/research-
insights/articles/cobalt-key-to-electric-vehicles-but-
automakers-hushed-on-risks
The ability of the grid to handle plug-in stations -
https://www.forbes.com/sites/peterdetwiler/2013/01/28/el
ectric-cars-and-the-power-grid-how-are-they-coming-
together/#648168b31976
Access to plug-in stations
Ability of batteries to handle adverse weather conditions
World Electrical Grid
 OECD countries in general are
producing electricity using combustible
fuels, i.e. Coal and Natural Gas
 Canada produces over 80% of their
power from renewable sources
Future of Oil
Source - http://www.petroleum.co.uk/the-future-of-petroleum
Summary
 Oil is not go away anytime soon as hydrocarbons and
gasoline play a significant role in everyday lives of people
 China continues to build coal-fired plants. Catherine
McKenna keeps pushing for end to coal, but that will not
happen anytime soon -
https://www.chinadialogue.net/blog/10761-China-is-
building-coal-power-again/en
 Electrical cars need to be both cost-competitive and
reliable
 Pro-climate change people need to stop blaming the whole
world’s bad pollution laws on CO2 -
https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/blaming-
weather-related-issues-on-climate-change

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What's Next for Oil

  • 1. What’s Next For Oil Paul Young CPA, CGA November 5, 2018
  • 2. Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Financial Solutions • SME – Business Process Changes • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Supply Chain Management • Academia – Advance Accounting, Public Finance and Advanced Management Systems Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
  • 3. Agenda  Monthly Oil Production by Key Countries  Oil Application  Automotive Market – World Wide  Automotive Market – World Wide – Electrical Vehicles  What are the risks to Electrical Vehicles  Electrical Grid  Will oil disappear
  • 5. Monthly Oil Production by Key Countries Source - https://knoema.com/atlas/topics/Energy/Oil/Production-of-crude-oil
  • 6. Oil Applications / Refining Source - https://www.eia.gov/energyexplain ed/index.php?page=oil_refining
  • 7. Automotive World Market Source – Scotiabank - https://www.scotiabank.com/content/da m/scotiabank/sub-brands/scotiabank- economics/english/documents/global- auto-report/GAR_2018-10-23.pdf
  • 8. Electrical Car Market Source - https://insideevs.com/half-worlds-electric-cars-in-just-25-cities/ According to the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT), nearly half of all plug-in electric passenger cars are used in just 25 metropolitan areas. At the end of 2017, the number was 1.4 million out of 3.1 million, which translated to around 45% in those 25 cities. That’s pretty interesting, especially since overall, those 25 markets represent only 12% of the world’s passenger car sales. In other words, there are important reasons that make plug-ins appealing in certain metro areas.
  • 9. Risks to Electrical vehicles Access to raw materials – Lithium, Vanadium, Cobalt and Rare Metals - https://www.spglobal.com/en/research- insights/articles/cobalt-key-to-electric-vehicles-but- automakers-hushed-on-risks The ability of the grid to handle plug-in stations - https://www.forbes.com/sites/peterdetwiler/2013/01/28/el ectric-cars-and-the-power-grid-how-are-they-coming- together/#648168b31976 Access to plug-in stations Ability of batteries to handle adverse weather conditions
  • 10. World Electrical Grid  OECD countries in general are producing electricity using combustible fuels, i.e. Coal and Natural Gas  Canada produces over 80% of their power from renewable sources
  • 11. Future of Oil Source - http://www.petroleum.co.uk/the-future-of-petroleum
  • 12. Summary  Oil is not go away anytime soon as hydrocarbons and gasoline play a significant role in everyday lives of people  China continues to build coal-fired plants. Catherine McKenna keeps pushing for end to coal, but that will not happen anytime soon - https://www.chinadialogue.net/blog/10761-China-is- building-coal-power-again/en  Electrical cars need to be both cost-competitive and reliable  Pro-climate change people need to stop blaming the whole world’s bad pollution laws on CO2 - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/blaming- weather-related-issues-on-climate-change