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What is up with the Stock Market for WE - April 28 2023.pptx

Blog – Stock Market Analysis for the Weekend April 28 2023 • Stocks close higher to end the week – The U.S. and Canadian equity markets closed sharply higher on Friday. This comes even as Amazon warned about cooling growth in its cloud-computing business. In addition, investors are monitoring the fate of First Republic Bank, which was down about 49% on the day and over 95% for the week*. The bank is seeking strategic alternatives and will likely require support from the government or larger banks for it to remain solvent. Nonetheless, the S&P 500 is headed towards a positive week and month, in part driven by better-than-expected earnings results for the first quarter. Meanwhile volatility remains subdued, with the VIX volatility index down over 25% this year*. • Inflation data continues to trend lower – The PCE inflation data in the U.S. for the month of March continued to move lower, both on a headline and core basis. Headline PCE inflation came in at 4.2% year-over-year, below last month's 5.1% reading, although slightly above consensus expectations of 4.1%. This is the ninth consecutive lower reading in PCE inflation since it peaked at 7.0% in June 2022. Core inflation also ticked lower, coming in at 4.6%, slightly below last month's 4.7% reading, but above expectations of 4.5%*. Overall, while the direction of travel has been positive, inflation remains elevated versus the Fed's 2.0% target. Given this is the Fed's last look at inflation ahead of their May 2-3 meeting, we believe this will keep the Federal Reserve on track for a 0.25% rate hike next week, bringing the fed funds rate to around 5.25%. This, however, may be the final rate hike before the Fed takes an extended pause to assess both the economy and inflation. • Earnings season rolls on – We are now about 53% of the way through first-quarter earnings season for S&P 500 companies. Of the companies that have reported, about 80% have delivered a positive surprise, above the historical trend of 73%. Earnings overall are on pace for about a -3.7% year-over-year growth rate, above the expected -7.0% growth that had been expected at the start of the year*. This week we have seen strong earnings reports from several notable mega-cap technology companies, including Microsoft, Google, Meta and Amazon. While the bar had been set high heading into earnings season because growth sectors have outperformed the broader S&P 500, these companies continue to deliver solid results and, in many cases, return value to shareholders through stock-repurchase programs. We have seen better-than-expected results across sectors as well, most notably in consumer staples, energy and materials, which have supported positive market performance year-to-date. https://www.edwardjones.ca/ca-en/market-news-insights/stock-market-news/daily-market-recap

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WHAT IS UP
WITH THE
STOCK MARKET
Presenter Name:
Paul Young CPA
CGA
Date: April 28,
2023
PAUL YOUNG - BIO
Contact information email: paul.young_cga@outlook.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/
CPA, CGA
(1996)
Academia (PF1,
FA4, FN2, MU1.
and MS2)
SME –
Customer
Success
Management
SME – Risk
Management
SME – Close,
Consolidate and
Reporting
SME – Public
Policy
SME –
Emerging
Technology
SME – Business
Process Change
SME – Financial
Solutions
SME –
Macro/Micro
Indicators
SME – Supply
Chain
Management
SME – Data, AI,
Security, and
Platform
SME – Internal
Controls and
Auditing
SME –
Sustainability
and ESG
Reporting
AGENDA
• Commodities (Key)
• TSX – Canada
• United States Market
• Audit
• Corporate Reporting
• Automation
• Threats of geopolitical risks and events
• Canada and USA scorecards
• New Zealand and Australia
• Asia
• Middle East and Africa
• South America
• Key Blogs
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 3
COMMODITIES
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 4
CANADA AND STOCK MARKET
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 5
UNITED STATES – STOCK MARKET
PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 6

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What is up with the Stock Market for WE - April 28 2023.pptx

  • 1. WHAT IS UP WITH THE STOCK MARKET Presenter Name: Paul Young CPA CGA Date: April 28, 2023
  • 2. PAUL YOUNG - BIO Contact information email: paul.young_cga@outlook.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paul-young-055632b/ CPA, CGA (1996) Academia (PF1, FA4, FN2, MU1. and MS2) SME – Customer Success Management SME – Risk Management SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting SME – Public Policy SME – Emerging Technology SME – Business Process Change SME – Financial Solutions SME – Macro/Micro Indicators SME – Supply Chain Management SME – Data, AI, Security, and Platform SME – Internal Controls and Auditing SME – Sustainability and ESG Reporting
  • 3. AGENDA • Commodities (Key) • TSX – Canada • United States Market • Audit • Corporate Reporting • Automation • Threats of geopolitical risks and events • Canada and USA scorecards • New Zealand and Australia • Asia • Middle East and Africa • South America • Key Blogs PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 3
  • 5. CANADA AND STOCK MARKET PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 5
  • 6. UNITED STATES – STOCK MARKET PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 6
  • 12. OECD AND GDP GROWTH
  • 13. STOCK MARKET / WORLD PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 13 Markets - October 2021.pdf
  • 14. AUDIT Blog – A new eye on audit quality using Data and AI - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-new-eye- audit-quality-using-data-ai-paul-young/?published=t 2/11/20XX 14
  • 15. CORPORATE REPORTING CHALLENGES PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 15 Here is my work on close, consolidate, and reporting - https://ibm.box.com/s/i7efp948qvb5l8bt96y8sigsup8yes2u Here is my work on ESG - https://ibm.box.com/s/vmyitcackqevvm1hcxv7wke6gudrpnce
  • 16. CRISIS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 16 How Data and AI can help better safeguard assets through better Emergency and Crisis Management Planning and Reporting Emergency and Crisis Management planning and reporting are growing important as both public and private sectors look at better ways to safeguard their assets. This presentation discusses how organizations can embrace Industry 4.0, monitoring, Data, and AI as part of defining their policies and procedures when it comes to business continuity and disaster planning and reporting. My video - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyMy6Fnsbcw My presentation: https://ibm.box.com/s/oi8wxfsbwea7xfiiy076ki7qrafirobr
  • 17. AUTOMATION / BUSINESSES PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 17 Here is my latest look at automation including the use of robots and Robotic Process Automation https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/automation-robots-and-machine-learning Blog – How to ensure structural integrity of buildings using better risk management - https://ibm.box.com/s/rsp6p9tez8uru9fo0wu5d13bxt7rtrr0 Blog - Cobots lead the future of the global industrial robotics market - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-cobots- lead-future-global-industrial-robotics-market-young/?published=t Blog - Almost all workers will be required to learn new digital skills in the next decade - By the time we hit 2030, almost all workers in the UK (90 percent) will be required to learn new digital skills to do their jobs, a new report from CRM provider Salesforce and analyst firm IDC argues. Blog – How to Reform STEM – Education and Training - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/how-reform-stem-education- training-paul-young/?published=t How to improve job quality - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-best-to-improve-job-quality-for-canadians
  • 18. ESG REPORTING PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 18 Blog - Materiality Question Dogs SEC’s ESG Disclosure Project - “When it comes to disclosure, investors have told us what they want,” Gensler tweeted in early August. “It’s now time for the commission to take the baton.” However, it would be practically impossible for the SEC to require all the above-listed information in one expansive rule. In addition, though it might please climate change activists, it would alienate issuers and bring heaps of scorn from the business lobby. More importantly, though, it could violate a bedrock principle of SEC disclosure mandates: materiality. Disclosures are material when they are reasonably likely to impact a company’s financial condition or operating performance. Therefore, they are the most important to investors, to use the definition of the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board. https://www.cfo.com/regulation/2021/08/materiality-question-dogs-secs-esg-disclosure-project/ Here is my work - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/introductory-to-esg-and-sustainability-reportingpptx
  • 19. ESG REPORTING PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 19 Blog – Sustainability and ESG Reporting – How best to Manage the Supply Chain to Achieve Net Zero - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young- 055632b_4-steps-supply-chain-leaders-can-take-now-activity-7038135133589176320-_CHz?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop Supply chain is critical aspect of day to day lives. The supply chain itself has many variables as part of taking the goods out of the ground and then getting the finished product to market. Here are key challenges that is facing the supply chain management as part of moving to net zero 1.Map your supply chain 2.Identified strategic suppliers 3.Build collaboration between suppliers and business partners partners 4.Align KPIS to a sustainability set https://www.gep.com/blog/strategy/net-zero-emissions-supply-chain-sustainability https://www.edie.net/nine-top-tips-for-making-your-supply-chains-more-sustainable-and-resilient/ Additional Links: Blog - Sustainability and ESG Reporting - Developing key Policies related to Waste and Pollution - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young- 055632b_waste-management-critical-for-businesses-activity-7038127159349039104- 66VS?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop
  • 20. ESG PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 20 Blog – Sustainability and ESG Reporting – How best to be a leader in Resource Stewardship - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_resource-stewardship-activity-7038124098052382720- JjNS?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop Biodiversity - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_what-is-biodiversity-and-how-does-it- affect-activity-7038115093066223617-CUHj?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop GRI https://w ww.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_data-collection-for-gri-biodiversity-standard-activity- 7037785203137789952-4gxk?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop Data Management - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-solve-data-management-isuses-for- both-the-private-and-public-sectorspptx-257454162 ESG and Sustainability Reporting - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_survey-details-data- officers-priorities-activity-7035607408462749696-_bXQ?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop Supply chain - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/supply-chain-and-analyticspptx
  • 21. 4/29/2023 21 I have done work on risk and compliance including discussing regulatory challenges like sustainability - https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/strengthen-internal-controls-and-compliance-through-data-and-ai-as-part- of-the-regulatory-and-corporate-reporting-cyclepptx
  • 22. GEOPOLITICAL RISKS PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 22 Blog – How best to manage Geopolitical Events as part of Safeguarding Assets. Geopolitical risks are nothing new for the public and private sectors as geopolitical risks have been around for decades. AI and Data can be used as part of mitigating geopolitical risks for both the public and private sectors. https://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/how-to-mitigate-geopolitical-risks-as-part-of-safeguarding-your-assets 1. Troop withdrawal from Afghanistan 2. Water shortages 3. Political stability 4. Rise of Cybersecurity attacks 5. Mitigating against future pandemics 6. Rise of inflation 7. Supply chain disruption 8. Iran elections 9. Adjusting to the new normal 10.Ukraine invasion by Russia 11.Development of natural resources in a sustainable way
  • 23. WORKING WITH WEATHER SERVICES AND ANALYTICS PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 23 Blog – Weather Services and Analytics integration with Data and AI The role of weather data will continue to play a key role with private and public sector forecasting, budgeting, and reporting cycles. This link discusses weather analytics and services as part of integrating those areas with Data and AI as part of better managing climate change-related issues. https://ibm.box.com/s/p9yzecfcp956l2d7jh25uflo3q8uof6j
  • 24. AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 24 Markets The ASX 200 wasn't as enthusiastic as Wall Street, closing out the week in a rather choppy fashion. The market is trying to find a floor after falling for five straight days. So let's see if things continue to catch a bid next week. We've survived the bulk of US earning season, so stock and indexes can move a little more freely, without the 'megacap reports better-than-expected earnings after hours' that we've seen all week. •Healthcare stocks led to the downside. Most major names declined including CSL (-1.1%),Cochlear (-1.0%) and Sonic Healthcare (- 0.7%) •Staples heavyweight fell after Coles (-1.4%) posted its March quarter quarter update where Group sales rose 6.5% to $9.4bn Economy Australia’s producer price index rose 1.0% quarter-on-quarter and 5.2% year-on-year in the March quarter. •The main drivers to quarterly growth was electricity and gas supply (+13.3%), building construction (+1.1%) and education (+3.7%) •Areas that demonstrated price falls included petroleum refining (-7.2%), furniture and other manufacturing (-5.8%) and computer and electronic equipment manufacturing (-3.5%) The Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged at -0.1%. •"The Bank will continue to maintain stability of financing, mainly of firms, and financial markets, and will not hesitate to take additional easing measures if necessary." •Reiterated a dovish stance, tweaked its forward guidance and announced plans to conduct a policy review
  • 25. GDP PER CAPITA PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 25
  • 27. AUSTRALIA GDP PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 27 WestpacCoasttoCoas t2021December.pdf
  • 28. LATEST FORECAST PRESENTATI, ON TITLE 2/11/20XX 28
  • 29. MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA Source - https://www.mappr.co/thematic-maps/richest-arab- countries/ PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 29
  • 31. SOUTH AMERICA PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 31 Latin America’s economies held up well last year despite the shocks from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and global interest rate hikes. In 2022, the region’s economy expanded by nearly 4 percent, employment recovered strongly, and the service sector rebounded from the damage caused by the pandemic. Inflationary pressures are receding in many countries due to the early and determined efforts of central banks as well as lower global prices of food and energy. However, core inflation (that is, excluding food and energy), remains high at around 8 percent in Brazil, Mexico, and Chile (and somewhat higher in Colombia but lower in Peru).
  • 32. 1. Blog - Data Breaches Cost Companies $4.24M Per Incident On Average https://www.cfo.com/cyber-security-technology/2021/07/data-breaches-cost-companies-4-24m-per-incident-on- average/ I have done many blogs on data privacy, protection, security, and data governance: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_what-is-data-fabric-activity- 6826126720932941824-08Zb 2. SEC may require climate risk disclosures in expanded 10-Ks: Gensler - https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:ugcPost:6826481598666567681?updateEntityUrn=urn%3Ali%3Afs_feedUpdate%3A%28*%2Curn%3Ali%3AugcPost%3A682648159866656 7681%29 3. Blog – What is new for regulatory reporting and the accounting standards - https://ibm.box.com/s/x973uioy6ozwkzw7yvqaa07wdldp8gld 4. Blog – Insurance and Climate Change - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_how-do-you-insure-yourself-against-climate-activity-6823919255478792192-Zq7f 5. Blog - Top 8 Supply Chain Technology Trends for 2021 - https://www.linkedin.com/posts/paul-young-055632b_top-8-supply-chain-technology-trends-for-activity- 6826091811476516864-dvAx 1. Hyperautomation 2. Digital Supply Chain Twin (DSCT) 3. Immersive Experience and Applications 4. Edge Ecosystems 5. Supply Chain Security 6. Environmental Social Governance (ESG) 7. Embedded AI and Analytics 8. Augmented Data Intelligence 6. Blog - Cyber Attackers Could Weaponize Operational Tech to Harm Humans - Companies can reduce risk by implementing a security control framework. https://www.mhlnews.com/global-supply-chain/article/21170603/cyber-attackers-could-weaponize-operational-tech-to-harm- humans?utm_source=IY+IW+QM+News&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=CPS210723103&o_eid=7930I4506489J2B&rdx.ident=%5Bobject+Object%5D&oly_enc_id=7930I45064 89J2B 1. Blog - Improving cybersecurity means understanding how cyberattacks affect both governments and civilians - https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/blog-improving-cybersecurity- means-understanding-how-paul-young/?published=t PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 32
  • 33. SUMMARY • Summary • Concerns over housing debt and affordable housing are driving down markets • Access to critical metals has become a growing concerns for countries trying to shift to cleaner economic policies • Lack of focus on systemic issues with inflation • Supply chain disruptions continue to plague global supply chains • High inflation is challenge for global central banks • Threat of recession continues to rise each week • Bear market could lead to issues with pension solvency PRESENTATION TITLE 2/11/20XX 33 Blog – Stock Market Analysis for the Weekend April 28 2023  Stocks close higher to end the week – The U.S. and Canadian equity markets closed sharply higher on Friday. This comes even as Amazon warned about cooling growth in its cloud-computing business. In addition, investors are monitoring the fate of First Republic Bank, which was down about 49% on the day and over 95% for the week*. The bank is seeking strategic alternatives and will likely require support from the government or larger banks for it to remain solvent. Nonetheless, the S&P 500 is headed towards a positive week and month, in part driven by better-than-expected earnings results for the first quarter. Meanwhile volatility remains subdued, with the VIX volatility index down over 25% this year*.  Inflation data continues to trend lower – The PCE inflation data in the U.S. for the month of March continued to move lower, both on a headline and core basis. Headline PCE inflation came in at 4.2% year-over-year, below last month's 5.1% reading, although slightly above consensus expectations of 4.1%. This is the ninth consecutive lower reading in PCE inflation since it peaked at 7.0% in June 2022. Core inflation also ticked lower, coming in at 4.6%, slightly below last month's 4.7% reading, but above expectations of 4.5%*. Overall, while the direction of travel has been positive, inflation remains elevated versus the Fed's 2.0% target. Given this is the Fed's last look at inflation ahead of their May 2-3 meeting, we believe this will keep the Federal Reserve on track for a 0.25% rate hike next week, bringing the fed funds rate to around 5.25%. This, however, may be the final rate hike before the Fed takes an extended pause to assess both the economy and inflation.  Earnings season rolls on – We are now about 53% of the way through first-quarter earnings season for S&P 500 companies. Of the companies that have reported, about 80% have delivered a positive surprise, above the historical trend of 73%. Earnings overall are on pace for about a -3.7% year-over-year growth rate, above the expected -7.0% growth that had been expected at the start of the year*. This week we have seen strong earnings reports from several notable mega-cap technology companies, including Microsoft, Google, Meta and Amazon. While the bar had been set high heading into earnings season because growth sectors have outperformed the broader S&P 500, these companies continue to deliver solid results and, in many cases, return value to shareholders through stock-repurchase programs. We have seen better-than-expected results across sectors as well, most notably in consumer staples, energy and materials, which have supported positive market performance year-to-date. https://www.edwardjones.ca/ca-en/market-news-insights/stock-market-news/daily-market-recap Other Sources Oil Production - https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/oil-set-second-weekly-drop-recession- fears-rates-cloud-outlook-2023-04-28/

Editor's Notes

  1. Source - https://www2.deloitte.com/gu/en/pages/financial-advisory/articles/evolving-audit.html
  2. Source - https://www.ey.com/en_ca/assurance/how-can-corporate-reporting-connect-your-business-to-its-true-value
  3.   Source - https://www.itproportal.com/news/almost-all-workers-will-be-required-to-learn-new-digital-skills-in-the-next-decade/?utm_source=Selligent&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=20210709_ITPP_NWL&utm_content=20210709_ITPP_NWL+&utm_term=10232255&m_i=RD%2BcY95O_A5zbS4yLTHSzMvhTecFYm8HeuG5AcP6_w0myLpf4DCAm0mBFNvyJayOqHlm28oLkPtfCLrQi5NtInvUpTfABx%2BRRR&lrh=cc9185154e0b053cbfbfc4d317bce2e564a15772850bb7db3c7c0d783bb6954f&M_BT=52351102088106
  4. Source - https://www.geopoliticalmonitor.com or https://publicsectornetwork.co/insight/5-ways-to-reimagine-procurement-in-the-new-normal/ or https://www.foreignbrief.com/
  5. Source - https://www.marketindex.com.au/news
  6. Source - https://www.barrons.com/articles/chinas-consumer-led-growth-looks-more-like-a-bounce-not-a-recovery-32192d8b
  7. Source - https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2023/02/01/latin-america-faces-slowing-growth-and-high-inflation-amid-social-tensions
  8. https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks