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Retail Sales – USA – December 2018
Paul Young CPA CGA
February 16, 2019
Paul Young - Bio
• CPA, CGA
• Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2)
• SME – Risk Management
• SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting
• SME – Public Policy
• SME – Internal Controls
• SME – Financial Planning and Analysis
• SME – Business Strategy
• SME – Emerging Technology
• SME – Financial Solutions
• SME – Business Process Change
• SME – Supply Chain Management
Contact information:
Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
Agenda
• Summary – Retail Sales
• Retail Sales for past 10 years (USA)
• BMO Economics / USA Retail Sales
• Retail Store Closures / USA
• eCommerce / USA
• Retail Trends
USA Retail Sales – December 2018
Source - https://www.census.gov/retail/index.html
Trump Era
Retail Sales Trends – USA
Source - https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/retail-sales
USA Retail Sales / BMO
Source – BMO Economics
Retail Store / Closures
Source -
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/0
2/13/another-wave-of-retail-
store-closures-coming-no-
light-at-the-end-of-the-
tunnel.html
USA eCommerce Trends
Source – BMO Economics
Retail Trends
Source - https://www.adweek.com/digital/3-surprising-retail-trends-that-
emerged-from-nrfs-big-show/
• Personalization and customer experience are still key -Personalization and customer experience aren’t
exactly flashy, but both are seeing modern upgrades. Pravin Pillai, global head of industry solutions, retail at
Google Cloud, said in-store tools like vision based analytics or robotics are part of delivering a good
customer experience.
• Reimagining the purpose of a store - Retail was never really dead, but how it functions and what it can do
for consumers is changing. Rob Garf, vp of industry strategy and insights at Salesforce, said he’s seeing more
retailers think about digital transformation and “the role of the store.” Different solutions will work better for
different stores. For example, a drive-thru to pick up product works better for a grocery store than a store
that has activities for kids while parents shop.
• Is this the year for voice commerce? Every year, the hype around voice commerce rises. But this year, the
growing number of people who own such devices from Amazon or Google suggests it’s time for retailers to
figure out what they can do with these products, Gosek said. “There’s so many devices out there that can
offer an experience to purchase goods or interact with the brand we’ve been leveraging,” Gosek said.
What’s next for USA Retail Sales
• Fed is monitoring both the economy and consumer debt -
https://moneymaven.io/mishtalk/economics/household-debt-up-
18-consecutive-quarters-to-a-new-record-card-stress-rising-
U3M33uq5MUe161jSMWaCHg/
• USA tax cuts have flowed through the economy. Consumers will
continue to watch their household budgets
• USA trade policies, i.e. China Trade War needs to be resolved -
https://www.magnifymoney.com/blog/news/us-china-trade-war-
affect-american-consumers727396434/ - Any tariffs on Chinese
goods coming into USA will have an impact on consumer pricing

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Retail Sales| USA| December 2018

  • 1. Retail Sales – USA – December 2018 Paul Young CPA CGA February 16, 2019
  • 2. Paul Young - Bio • CPA, CGA • Academia (PF1, FA4 and MS2) • SME – Risk Management • SME – Close, Consolidate and Reporting • SME – Public Policy • SME – Internal Controls • SME – Financial Planning and Analysis • SME – Business Strategy • SME – Emerging Technology • SME – Financial Solutions • SME – Business Process Change • SME – Supply Chain Management Contact information: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com
  • 3. Agenda • Summary – Retail Sales • Retail Sales for past 10 years (USA) • BMO Economics / USA Retail Sales • Retail Store Closures / USA • eCommerce / USA • Retail Trends
  • 4. USA Retail Sales – December 2018 Source - https://www.census.gov/retail/index.html Trump Era
  • 5. Retail Sales Trends – USA Source - https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/retail-sales
  • 6. USA Retail Sales / BMO Source – BMO Economics
  • 7. Retail Store / Closures Source - https://www.cnbc.com/2019/0 2/13/another-wave-of-retail- store-closures-coming-no- light-at-the-end-of-the- tunnel.html
  • 8. USA eCommerce Trends Source – BMO Economics
  • 9. Retail Trends Source - https://www.adweek.com/digital/3-surprising-retail-trends-that- emerged-from-nrfs-big-show/ • Personalization and customer experience are still key -Personalization and customer experience aren’t exactly flashy, but both are seeing modern upgrades. Pravin Pillai, global head of industry solutions, retail at Google Cloud, said in-store tools like vision based analytics or robotics are part of delivering a good customer experience. • Reimagining the purpose of a store - Retail was never really dead, but how it functions and what it can do for consumers is changing. Rob Garf, vp of industry strategy and insights at Salesforce, said he’s seeing more retailers think about digital transformation and “the role of the store.” Different solutions will work better for different stores. For example, a drive-thru to pick up product works better for a grocery store than a store that has activities for kids while parents shop. • Is this the year for voice commerce? Every year, the hype around voice commerce rises. But this year, the growing number of people who own such devices from Amazon or Google suggests it’s time for retailers to figure out what they can do with these products, Gosek said. “There’s so many devices out there that can offer an experience to purchase goods or interact with the brand we’ve been leveraging,” Gosek said.
  • 10. What’s next for USA Retail Sales • Fed is monitoring both the economy and consumer debt - https://moneymaven.io/mishtalk/economics/household-debt-up- 18-consecutive-quarters-to-a-new-record-card-stress-rising- U3M33uq5MUe161jSMWaCHg/ • USA tax cuts have flowed through the economy. Consumers will continue to watch their household budgets • USA trade policies, i.e. China Trade War needs to be resolved - https://www.magnifymoney.com/blog/news/us-china-trade-war- affect-american-consumers727396434/ - Any tariffs on Chinese goods coming into USA will have an impact on consumer pricing