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· Accounting & Financial Analysis
· Analyze quarter-to-quarter (Q/Q) performance reflecting the
firm’s operating trends.
· Does the firm’s historic financial performance support
management’s future goals and strategies for the business?
· Is the firm’s historic financial performance in line with the
industry norms?
·
Template for
Fiscal Year Ended
2Q2011
3Q2011
4Q2011
1Q2012
2Q2012
Industry / Peers
Net Revenue
Gross Margin %
Operating Profit
Net Earning
Leverage Ratio
Net Working Capital
Liquidity Ratio
Inventory turnover ratio
ROA, ROE
Income Statement Analysis
· Discuss revenue recognition policies.
· Discuss changes in trends; unusual or extraordinary items
· Quality of earning: potential red flags
Balance Sheet Analysis
· Major changes in assets/liabilities
· Significant trends in liquidity, working capital and balance
sheet ratios.
· Identify off-balance sheet exposure and identify potential
impacts.
Cash Flow Statement Analysis
· Amount of cash generated;
· Source and uses of cash.
· Availability of funds to finance capital expenditures,
expansion of business activity, etc.
5). Pro Forma Financial Analysis (Cash Flow Statements)
i). Three sets of financial projections are required (base or most
likely case, worst case, best case). Results from all three cases
are to be included in the forecast comparison spreadsheet. In
each section the student should briefly summarize assumptions,
the rationale behind the assumptions.
ii). Valuation using price multiples (comparable
companies); Provide reasons why you select certain ratios
9). Conclusion: proposed action (buy, sell, hold, spin-off) and
its justification
Historical Data29/11/2012 23:42Error check = OK= Input on
this sheet= CalculationName - ScenarioHistoricalCurrencyOther
inputsNANANANANANANANANANA----------Historical
Income StatementRevenuesPositiveOther Operating
RevenuesPositiveCosts of Goods SoldNegativeSelling, Gen &
Admin ExpensesNegativeDepreciation ExpenseNegativeOther
Operating ExpenseNegativeReported
EBITA0000000000Goodwill WritedownsNegativeAmortization
of IntangiblesNegativeNon-Operating IncomePositiveInterest
IncomePositiveInterest ExpenseNegativeRestructuring
ChargesNegativeSpecial ItemsEarnings Before
Taxes0000000000Income TaxesNegativeMinority
InterestIncome Before Extraord. Items0000000000Extraord.
Items (After Tax)Net Income0000000000Preference
dividendsNegativeEarnings for common
shareholders0000000000Common dividendsNegativeRetained
profit0000000000Statement of changes in equityBeginning
Equity000000000Retained profit000000000Foreign Exchange
Rate ChangesIssue of New Shares/buy backGoodwill Written
OffNegativeOther Adjustments to Equity000000000Ending
Equity0000000000Historical Balance SheetOperating
CashPositiveExcess marketable securitiesPositiveAccounts
ReceivablePositiveInventoriesPositiveOther Current
AssetsPositiveTotal Current Assets0000000000Net Property
Plant and EquipPositiveGoodwillPositiveAcquired Intangible
AssetsPositiveOther Operating AssetsPositiveInvestments &
AdvancesPositiveDeferred tax AssetPositiveOther Non-op
AssetsPositiveRetirement Related Assets (non-
operating)PositiveTotal Assets0000000000Short Term
DebtPositiveAccounts PayablePositiveTax
PayablePositiveDividends PayablePositiveOther Current
LiabilitiesPositiveTotal Current
Liabilities0000000000Balancing DebtPositiveLong Term
DebtPositiveDeferred Income TaxesPositiveOther operating
liabilitiesPositiveRestructuring ProvisionsPositiveIncome
smoothing ProvisionsPositiveOn-going operating
ProvisionsPositiveLong-term operating
ProvisionsPositiveRetirement Related
LiabilitiesPositiveMinority InterestPositivePreferred
StockPositiveTotal Long Term Liabilities0000000000Total
Common EquityPositiveTotal Liabs and
Equity0000000000Balance sheet checkOK0000000000Off
Balance Sheet ItemsNon-operating Component of Income
Taxes%Note: Use + if non-op income was positive and taxes
were paid, otherwise use - (negative)Non-opea Component of
Incr in Def Tax LiabNote: Use + if increase in net deferred tax
liabilityCapital ExpenditurePositiveInitial Cumulative Goodwill
Written OffPositiveInitial Cumulative Intangibles Written
OffPositiveMarket Value of Common EquityPositiveNon-
operating component of pension expensePositiveWeighted
Average Cost of Capital%Risk Free Rate (10 yr T-bond, avg
yr.)%Operating LeasesPositiveInterest rate on Operating Leases
%%Interest rate on Long-term operating Provision%Number of
ordinary shares (average) (000)PositiveNumber of ordinary
shares (year end) (000)PositiveAdditional number of shares if
fully diluted(000)PositivePar value of preference shares
(Currency)Positive
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Forecast Drivers29/11/2012 23:42= Input on this sheet= Link to
historical data= Calculation= Input on this sheetError check =
OKName - ScenarioHistoricalDetailed ForecastKey driver
forecast000000CurrencyRange nameOther
inputsNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA
NANANANANANANANANA--------------------------
GeneralNameNameNameScenarioScenarioScenarioLatest year
endYEdd/mm/yy or mm/dd/yyValuation dateVal_DateMust be
after latest year endEnd of detailed forecast
periodEnd_DFNAContinuing value yearCVY_DateNAEnter any
year end from NA to NACurrencyCurrencyCurrencye.g. DM,
US$UnitsUnits1e.g. 1,000Share price for comparison with
valuationText:HighHighLowLowOperationsP&LOperating
Revenue: % GrowthNANANANANANANANANAOperating
revenuesRevPositive000000000000000Other Revenue: %
GrowthNANANANANANANANANAOther
revenuesOORPositive000000000000000COGS: %
RevenueNANANANANANANANANANACost of Goods
SoldCOGSNegative000000000000000SGA: %
RevenueNANANANANANANANANANASGASGANegative000
000000000000Other Op Exp: %
RevenueNANANANANANANANANANAOther Operating
ExpenseOOENegative000000000000000Working capitalOp
Cash: % RevenueNANANANANANANANANANAOperating
cashOpCashPositive000000000000000Inventories: %
RevenueNANANANANANANANANANAInventoriesInvPositiv
e000000000000000Acc Rec: %
RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANAAccounts
receivableTradDebtPositive000000000000000Acc. Pay: %
RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANAAccounts
payableTradCredPositive000000000000000OCA: %
RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANAOther current
assetsOCAPositive000000000000000OCL: %
RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANAOther current
liabilitiesOCLPositive000000000000000Total operating
working capitalWC_Bal000000000000000WC
increase/(decrease)WC_Delta00000000000000WC: %
RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANABal
ance Sheet ItemsProperty Plant & EquipPPE
NetPPE_NetPositive000000000000000Capital expenditure
optionEnter 1,2 or 311: Net PPE as %
revenuesNANANANANANANANANA2: % Operating
revenuesNANANANANANANANANA3: Cash amount
Currency000000000Capital
expenditureCapexPositive00000000000000Depreciation: % Net
PPE
b/fNANANANANANANANANADepreciationDepnNegative000
000000000000Balancing
itemNANANANANANANANANAOther historical fixed asset
movtsFA_Hist0NANANANANANANANAGoodwillOpening000
00000000000Additions/(disposals)GW_Cash000000000Writedo
wnsGW_AmortNegative0000000000ClosingGW_BalPositive000
000000000000Initial goodwill written
offGW_InitPositive0Acquired
IntangiblesOpening00000000000000Additions/(disposals)Intang
_Cash000000000AmortisationIntang_AmortNegative000000000
0ClosingIntang_BalPositive000000000000000Initial intangibles
written offIntang_InitPositive0Other operating
assetsOpening00000000000000Additions/(disposals)OOA_Cash
0NANANANANANANANAClosingOOA_BalPositive00000000
0000000Other operating
liabilitiesOpening00000000000000Additions/(disposals)OOL_C
ash0NANANANANANANANAClosingOOL_BalPositive000000
000000000Non-operating
assetsOpening00000000000000Additions/(disposals)NOA_Cash
0NANANANANANANANAClosingNOA_BalPositive00000000
0000000Retirement Related
AssetsOpening00000000000000Increase/(decrease)RetRelA_Cas
h0NANANANANANANANAClosing
balanceRetRelA_BalPositive000000000000000Retirement
Related
LiabilitiesIncrease/(decrease)RetRel_Cash000000000Closing
balanceRetRel_BalPositive000000000000000Memo: %
RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANon
-operating
componentRetRel_Nonop0000000000InvestmentsOpening00000
000000000Additions/(disposals)Inv_Cash0NANANANANANA
NANAClosingInv_BalPositive000000000000000Off-Balance
Sheet ItemsOperating leasesImplied
principalOpLease_BalPositive0000000000Investment in
operating
leasesOpLease_Cash0NANANANANANANANA00000Interest
rate0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Implied
interestOpLease_IntPositive00000000000000Adjustments to
operating valueValuation basisBook valuePV (discounted at
WACC)Excess Marketable SecuritiesEMS0Book0Financial
InvestmentsFFA0Max(BV,PV)00Excess pension
assetsPen_ExcessManual
calc30DebtMV_Debt0Book0Capitalized Operating
LeasesMV_OpLease0Book0Retirement Related
LiabilityMV_RetRel0Book0Preferred
StockMV_Prefs0Book0Minority
InterestMV_Min0Max(BV,PV)00Restructuring
ProvisionMV_Restr0Max(BV,PV)00Long-term operating
ProvisionMV_LTOp0Book0Value of Options
OutstandingOptionsManual calcValue of Future Stock
OptionsFuture_OptionsManual calcProvisions & Non-Op.
P&LNon-operating P&L itemsNon-operating income %
growthNANANANANANANANANANon-operating
income/(expense)NOI000000000000000Special (pretax)
income/(expense)SpecItem0000000000Extraordinary
items/(expense)ExtraordItem0000000000Income smoothing
ProvisionIncrease/(decrease)Prov_CashNegative000000000Clos
ing balanceProv_BalPositive000000000000000Memo: %
RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANAOn-
going operating
ProvisionsIncrease/(decrease)OOP_Cash0NANANANANANAN
ANAClosing
balanceOOP_BalPositive000000000000000Restructuring
ProvisionsOpening00000000000000P&L
additionsRestr_ProfPositive0000000000Cash
paymentsRestr_CashNegative000000000ClosingRestr_BalPositi
ve000000000000000Long-term operating
ProvisionsOpening00000000000000Implied
InterestLOP_Int00000000000000Interest
RateLOP_IntR0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Exp
ense00000000000000ClosingLOP_BalPositive0000000000Incre
ase/(decrease)LOP_Cash0NANANANANANANANA00000Mino
rity interestsOpening00000000000000P&L attributed
(+ve)Min_ProfPositive0000000000Cash
paymentsMin_CashNegative000000000ClosingMin_BalPositive
000000000000000Debt Finance & WACCInterest ratesExcess
cashBalancing debtShort term debtLong term debt - 1Long term
debt - 2Historical balancesExcess
cashCashPositive000000000000000Balancing
debtODPositive000000000000000Short term
debtSTD_BalPositive000000000000000Long term debt -
1000000000000000Long term debt - 2Use this if you want to
subdivide
LTD00000TotalLTD_BalPositive000000000000000Scheduled
additions/(repayments)Short term
debtSTD_Cash000000000Long term debt - 1Long term debt -
2TotalLTD_Cash00000000000000Interest calculationsExcess
cashInt_IncPositive000000000000000Balancing debt00000Short
term debt00000Long term debt - 100000Long term debt -
200000Total interest
expenseInt_ExpNegative000000000000000Total interest
expense (excl
OD)Int_Exp_Excl_ODNegative00000WACCWACC0.0%0.0%0.
0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Note: to be calculated in
separate modelEquity FinancePreferred
stockOpening00000000000000New
issues/redemptionPrefs_Cash00000000000000ClosingPrefs_Bal
Positive000000000000000Dividend: Coupon % average
balanceNANANANANANANANANADividendsPrefs_DivNegat
ive000000000000000Par value per share0No. preferred shares
(thousands)Prefs_No000000000000000Common
equityOpeningEquity_Bal _BFPositive1000000000000000Net
earnings for year00000000000000Dividends: %
earningsNANANANANANANANANADividendsDiv_ComNegat
ive000000000000000Translation
effectsTranslation000000000New issues/(buy-
backs)Equity_Cash000000000Goodwill write
offGW_writeoffNegative000000000Other
adjustmentsEquity_Adj000000000ClosingEquity_BalPositive00
0000000000000Number of common sharesCurrent no. shares
(thousands)AverageShares_AvPositive000000000000000Movem
ent in year0NANANANANANANANAYear
endShares_YEPositive000000000000000Fully diluted no. shares
(thousands)Additional
sharesPositive0000000000AverageShares_FD_AvPositive00000
0000000000Year
endShares_FD_YEPositive000000000000000Dividends payable
(B/S)Opening00000000000000Dividends
declared00000000000000Dividends
paidDiv_CashNegative000000000ClosingDiv_BalNegative0000
00000000000TaxCurrent taxEarnings before
tax000000000000000Tax
chargeTax_ChargeNegative000000000000000Tax creditor
b/f00000000000000Current tax payable00000000000000Tax
paidTax_PaidNegative000000000Tax creditor
c/fTax_Cred_BalPositive000000000000000Tax creditor
deltaTax_Cred_Delta00000000000000Tax
ratesEffectiveNANANANANANANANANANANon-operating
Component of Income TaxesNon Op Taxes- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0-
0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0Non-oper Comp of Incr Def Tax Liab- 0- 0- 0-
0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0Deferred taxAsset
Increase/(decrease)DefTaxA_Delta000000000Deferred tax
assetDefTaxA_BalPositive000000000000000Liability
Increase/(decrease)DefTax_Delta000000000Deferred tax
liabilityDefTax_BalPositive000000000000000Phase 2 & CV
driversPhase 2 InputsRevenue
growthNANANANARevenueRev_P20000000000000000Adjuste
d EBITA marginNANANANANAAdjusted
EBITAAdj_EBITA_P20000000000000000Cash tax
rateCashTax_P2NANANANANANOPLATNOPLAT_P20000000
000000000Closing Net PPE as % RevenuesNANANANANANet
PPE0000000000000000Other Invested Capital as %
RevenuesNANANANANAOther Invested
Capital0000000000000000Invested Capital (pre-
Goodwill)Inv_CapP_P20000000000000000Cumulative
Goodwill00000Invested
CapitalInv_Cap_P20000000000000000Net
InvestmentNet_Inv_P200000000000Continuing value
inputsChoose ROIC optionEnter 1,2 or 311: Input value2: Last
year of phase 2NA3: WACC0.0%ROIC usedROIC0.0%Growth
in NOPLATgConstants & datesDays in yearDIY365Months in
yearMIY12OneOne1Units -
labelUnit_label11000thousands1000000millions1000000000billi
onsDatesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA
NANANANANANANANANANAYear(9)(8)(7)(6)(5)(4)(3)(2)(1
)012345678910111213141516CVY000000000000000000000000
00FY10Mid year adjustment factor (months)MYAF0
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Results29/11/2012 23:42Error check = OKName -
ScenarioOKHistoricalDetailed ForecastKey driver
forecast000000CurrencyNANANANANANANANANANANAN
ANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA------------------
--------Income
StatementRevenues00000000000000000000000000Other
Operating Revenues000000000000000Cost of Goods
Sold000000000000000Selling, Gen & Admin
Expenses000000000000000Depreciation
Expense000000000000000Other Oper
Expense000000000000000Reported
EBITA000000000000000Goodwill
Writeoffs000000000000000Amortization of
Intangibles000000000000000Reported
EBIT000000000000000Non-Oper
Income000000000000000Interest
Income000000000000000Interest
Expense000000000000000Restructuring
Charges000000000000000Special
Items000000000000000Earnings Before
Taxes000000000000000Income
Taxes000000000000000Minority
Interest000000000000000Income Before Extraordinary
Items000000000000000Extraordinary Items (After
Tax)000000000000000Net Income000000000000000Preference
dividends000000000000000Earnings for common
shareholders000000000000000Common
dividends000000000000000Retained
profit000000000000000Earnings per share
(Currency)0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00NANANA
NANAEarnings per share - fully diluted
(Currency)0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00NANANA
NANAStatement of changes in equityOpening
balance00000000000000Retained profit00000000000000Foreign
Exchange Rate Changes00000000000000Issue of New
Shares00000000000000Goodwill Written
Off00000000000000Other Adjustments to
Equity00000000000000Closing
balance000000000000000Check: Changes in
EquityOK00000000000000Balance SheetOperating
Cash000000000000000Excess Marketable
Securities000000000000000Accounts
Receivable000000000000000Inventories000000000000000Other
Current Assets000000000000000Total Current
Assets000000000000000Net Property Plant and
Equipment000000000000000Goodwill000000000000000Acquire
d Intangible Assets000000000000000Other Operating
Assets000000000000000Investments000000000000000Deferred
tax asset000000000000000Other Non-operating
Assets000000000000000Retirement Related
Assets000000000000000Total Assets000000000000000Short
term debt000000000000000Accounts
Payable000000000000000Tax
payable000000000000000Dividends
payable000000000000000Other Current
Liabilities000000000000000Total Current
Liabilities000000000000000Balancing
Debt000000000000000Long Term
Debt000000000000000Deferred Income
Taxes000000000000000Other Operating
Liabilities000000000000000Restructuring
Provisions000000000000000Income smoothing
Provisions000000000000000On-going operating
Provisions000000000000000Long-term operating
Provisions000000000000000Retirement Related
Liabilities000000000000000Minority
Interest000000000000000Preferred
Stock000000000000000Total Common
Equity000000000000000Total Liabs and
Equity000000000000000Check: Assets =
LiabilitesOK000000000000000Traditional Cash flowReported
EBITA00000000000000Depreciation00000000000000EBITDA0
0000000000000Less investment in working
capital00000000000000Foreign exchange translation
effects00000000000000Operating
cashflow00000000000000Less tax paid00000000000000Capital
investmentsLess capex00000000000000Less
investment00000000000000Less goodwill & intangibles
acquired00000000000000On-going operating
Provision00000000000000Less other operating
assets/liabilities00000000000000Total capital
investments00000000000000FinanceInterest
Income00000000000000Interest Expense00000000000000Debt
raised/repaid00000000000000Total finance
payments00000000000000Plus non-operating income
&expenseNon-Oper Income00000000000000Special
items00000000000000Extraordinary
items00000000000000Investment in non-operating
assets00000000000000Retirement Related
Assets00000000000000Total non-operating
items00000000000000Less payments from reserves and to
minoritiesRestructuring charges00000000000000Income
smoothing Provision00000000000000Long-term operating
Provision00000000000000Retirement Related
Liabilities00000000000000Minority
interest00000000000000Total payments to
reserves/minorities00000000000000EquityLess pref dividends
paid00000000000000Prefs
issued/(redeemed)00000000000000Less dividends
paid00000000000000Equity raised/repaid00000000000000Total
equity cash payments00000000000000Net
Cashflow00000000000000Cash/overdraftOpening
balance00000000000000Increase/
(Decrease)00000000000000Closing
balance000000000000000Check: Cash calc = Cash
balanceOK00000000000000Excess
cashCash_Calc00000000000000Balancing
debtCash_OD00000000000000NOPLATReported
EBITA00000000000000Adj for Operating
Leases00000000000000Adj for Non-operating component of
pension expense00000000000000Add: Interest associated with
Long-term operating Provision00000000000000Add: Increase in
Income smoothing Provision00000000000000Adjusted
EBITAEBITA_Adj0000000000000000000000000Taxes on
EBITA00000000000000Change in Deferred Taxes
Operating00000000000000NOPLATNOPLAT000000000000000
0000000000Taxes on EBITAProv for Inc
Taxes00000000000000Non-operating Component of Income
Taxes00000000000000Taxes on
EBITA00000000000000Reconciliation to Net IncomeNet
Income00000000000000Add: Increase in Deferred Taxes
Operating00000000000000Add: Non-operating Component of
Income Taxes00000000000000Add: Increase in Income
smoothing Provision00000000000000Add: Amort of Intangible
and GW Writeoffs00000000000000Add: Extraordinary
Items00000000000000Add: Special Items00000000000000Add:
Minority Interest00000000000000Adjusted Net
Income00000000000000Add: Interest
Expense00000000000000Add: Interest Exp. On Long-term
operating Provision00000000000000Add: Interest Exp. on Op.
Leases00000000000000Add: Interest Exp. on Non-operating
component of pension expense00000000000000Add:
Restructuring Charges00000000000000Less: Interest
Income00000000000000Less: Non-operating
Income00000000000000NOPLAT00000000000000Check:
NOPLATOK00000000000000Invested CapitalOperating
Working Capital000000000000000Net Property Plant and
Equipment000000000000000Other Assets Net of Other
Liabs000000000000000Less: On-going operating
Provision000000000000000Value of Operating
Leases000000000000000Op. Invested Capital
(excl.Goodwill)00000000000000000000000000Goodwill &
Intangibles000000000000000Cumulative Written Off &
Amortized0000000000000000Op. Invested Capital
(incl.Goodwill)Inv_Cap00000000000000000000000000Excess
Marketable
Securities000000000000000Investments000000000000000Non-
operating Assets000000000000000Retirement Related
Assets000000000000000Total Investor
Funds000000000000000Total Common Equity & Pref.
Stock000000000000000Cum Goodwill Written Off &
Amortized000000000000000Deferred Income
Taxes000000000000000Dividends
Payable000000000000000Income smoothing
Provision000000000000000Adjusted
Equity000000000000000Minority
Interest000000000000000Restructuring
Provisions000000000000000Long-term operating
Provision000000000000000Retirement-Related
Liabilities000000000000000Interest Bearing
Debt000000000000000Value of Operating
Leases000000000000000Total Investor
Funds000000000000000Check: Investor
FundsOK000000000000000Free Cash
FlowNOPLAT0000000000000000000000000Depreciation00000
000000000Gross Cash Flow00000000000000Increase in
Working Capital00000000000000Capital
Expenditures00000000000000Incr in other operating
assets/liabilities00000000000000Incr in Ongoing operating
Provisions00000000000000Inv in Operating
Leases00000000000000Gross Investment00000000000000Free
Cash Flow Excl. Goodwill00000000000000Investment in
Goodwill and Intangibles00000000000000Free Cash Flow Incl.
GoodwillFCF0000000000000000000000000Interest
Income00000000000000(Incr)/Decr Excess Mkt
Sec00000000000000Foreign Exchange
Translation00000000000000(Incr)/Decr Retirement Related
Assets00000000000000Non-operating Cash
Flow00000000000000Restructuring Cash
Flow00000000000000Non-operating Component of Income
Taxes00000000000000Extraordinary
items00000000000000Cash Flow Available to
Investors00000000000000Financing FlowInterest
Expense00000000000000Interest on Operating
Leases00000000000000Interest on Nonoperating Component of
Pension Expense00000000000000Interest on Long-term
Operating Provision00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in
Debt00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Operating
Leases00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Retirement Rel.
Liab00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Long-term Operating
Provision00000000000000Payments to
Minorities00000000000000Common
Dividends00000000000000Preferred
Dividends00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in
Preferred00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Share
Capital00000000000000Total Financing
Flow00000000000000Check: Investors CF = Financing
CFOK00000000000000Economic ProfitBefore GoodwillReturn
on Invested
Capital0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.
0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.0%WACC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.
0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.0%0.0%Spread0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.
0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.0%0.0%0.0%Invested Capital (Beg of
Year)0000000000000000000000000Economic Profit (before
Goodwill)0000000000000000000000000NOPLAT000000000000
0000000000000Capital
Charge0000000000000000000000000Economic Profit (before
Goodwill)0000000000000000000000000After GoodwillReturn
on Invested
Capital0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.
0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.0%WACC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.
0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.0%0.0%Spread0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.
0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
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0000000000000Capital
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001.001.001.00PV of FCF000000000000000000Continuing
value00000000000000000PV of Continuing
value000000000000000000Operating value0Economic
profit00000000000000000Discount
Factor1.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.
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value00000000000000000PV of Continuing
value000000000000000000Invested capital at start of
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factor1.001.001.001.001.001.00Present Value000000Non-
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factor1.001.001.001.001.001.00Present
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&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
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&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
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&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
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&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
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Valuation Summary29/11/2012 23:42OKName -
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&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
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&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
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&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
&L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
Confidential&C&F&RPage &P

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· Accounting & Financial Analysis· Analyze quarter-to-quarter (Q.docx

  • 1. · Accounting & Financial Analysis · Analyze quarter-to-quarter (Q/Q) performance reflecting the firm’s operating trends. · Does the firm’s historic financial performance support management’s future goals and strategies for the business? · Is the firm’s historic financial performance in line with the industry norms? · Template for Fiscal Year Ended 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 Industry / Peers Net Revenue Gross Margin % Operating Profit
  • 2. Net Earning Leverage Ratio Net Working Capital Liquidity Ratio Inventory turnover ratio
  • 3. ROA, ROE Income Statement Analysis · Discuss revenue recognition policies. · Discuss changes in trends; unusual or extraordinary items · Quality of earning: potential red flags Balance Sheet Analysis · Major changes in assets/liabilities · Significant trends in liquidity, working capital and balance sheet ratios. · Identify off-balance sheet exposure and identify potential impacts. Cash Flow Statement Analysis · Amount of cash generated; · Source and uses of cash. · Availability of funds to finance capital expenditures, expansion of business activity, etc. 5). Pro Forma Financial Analysis (Cash Flow Statements) i). Three sets of financial projections are required (base or most likely case, worst case, best case). Results from all three cases are to be included in the forecast comparison spreadsheet. In each section the student should briefly summarize assumptions, the rationale behind the assumptions. ii). Valuation using price multiples (comparable companies); Provide reasons why you select certain ratios 9). Conclusion: proposed action (buy, sell, hold, spin-off) and its justification
  • 4. Historical Data29/11/2012 23:42Error check = OK= Input on this sheet= CalculationName - ScenarioHistoricalCurrencyOther inputsNANANANANANANANANANA----------Historical Income StatementRevenuesPositiveOther Operating RevenuesPositiveCosts of Goods SoldNegativeSelling, Gen & Admin ExpensesNegativeDepreciation ExpenseNegativeOther Operating ExpenseNegativeReported EBITA0000000000Goodwill WritedownsNegativeAmortization of IntangiblesNegativeNon-Operating IncomePositiveInterest IncomePositiveInterest ExpenseNegativeRestructuring ChargesNegativeSpecial ItemsEarnings Before Taxes0000000000Income TaxesNegativeMinority InterestIncome Before Extraord. Items0000000000Extraord. Items (After Tax)Net Income0000000000Preference dividendsNegativeEarnings for common shareholders0000000000Common dividendsNegativeRetained profit0000000000Statement of changes in equityBeginning Equity000000000Retained profit000000000Foreign Exchange Rate ChangesIssue of New Shares/buy backGoodwill Written OffNegativeOther Adjustments to Equity000000000Ending Equity0000000000Historical Balance SheetOperating CashPositiveExcess marketable securitiesPositiveAccounts ReceivablePositiveInventoriesPositiveOther Current AssetsPositiveTotal Current Assets0000000000Net Property Plant and EquipPositiveGoodwillPositiveAcquired Intangible AssetsPositiveOther Operating AssetsPositiveInvestments & AdvancesPositiveDeferred tax AssetPositiveOther Non-op AssetsPositiveRetirement Related Assets (non- operating)PositiveTotal Assets0000000000Short Term DebtPositiveAccounts PayablePositiveTax PayablePositiveDividends PayablePositiveOther Current LiabilitiesPositiveTotal Current Liabilities0000000000Balancing DebtPositiveLong Term DebtPositiveDeferred Income TaxesPositiveOther operating liabilitiesPositiveRestructuring ProvisionsPositiveIncome
  • 5. smoothing ProvisionsPositiveOn-going operating ProvisionsPositiveLong-term operating ProvisionsPositiveRetirement Related LiabilitiesPositiveMinority InterestPositivePreferred StockPositiveTotal Long Term Liabilities0000000000Total Common EquityPositiveTotal Liabs and Equity0000000000Balance sheet checkOK0000000000Off Balance Sheet ItemsNon-operating Component of Income Taxes%Note: Use + if non-op income was positive and taxes were paid, otherwise use - (negative)Non-opea Component of Incr in Def Tax LiabNote: Use + if increase in net deferred tax liabilityCapital ExpenditurePositiveInitial Cumulative Goodwill Written OffPositiveInitial Cumulative Intangibles Written OffPositiveMarket Value of Common EquityPositiveNon- operating component of pension expensePositiveWeighted Average Cost of Capital%Risk Free Rate (10 yr T-bond, avg yr.)%Operating LeasesPositiveInterest rate on Operating Leases %%Interest rate on Long-term operating Provision%Number of ordinary shares (average) (000)PositiveNumber of ordinary shares (year end) (000)PositiveAdditional number of shares if fully diluted(000)PositivePar value of preference shares (Currency)Positive &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company
  • 6. Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P Forecast Drivers29/11/2012 23:42= Input on this sheet= Link to historical data= Calculation= Input on this sheetError check = OKName - ScenarioHistoricalDetailed ForecastKey driver forecast000000CurrencyRange nameOther inputsNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA NANANANANANANANANA-------------------------- GeneralNameNameNameScenarioScenarioScenarioLatest year endYEdd/mm/yy or mm/dd/yyValuation dateVal_DateMust be after latest year endEnd of detailed forecast periodEnd_DFNAContinuing value yearCVY_DateNAEnter any year end from NA to NACurrencyCurrencyCurrencye.g. DM, US$UnitsUnits1e.g. 1,000Share price for comparison with valuationText:HighHighLowLowOperationsP&LOperating Revenue: % GrowthNANANANANANANANANAOperating revenuesRevPositive000000000000000Other Revenue: % GrowthNANANANANANANANANAOther
  • 7. revenuesOORPositive000000000000000COGS: % RevenueNANANANANANANANANANACost of Goods SoldCOGSNegative000000000000000SGA: % RevenueNANANANANANANANANANASGASGANegative000 000000000000Other Op Exp: % RevenueNANANANANANANANANANAOther Operating ExpenseOOENegative000000000000000Working capitalOp Cash: % RevenueNANANANANANANANANANAOperating cashOpCashPositive000000000000000Inventories: % RevenueNANANANANANANANANANAInventoriesInvPositiv e000000000000000Acc Rec: % RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANAAccounts receivableTradDebtPositive000000000000000Acc. Pay: % RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANAAccounts payableTradCredPositive000000000000000OCA: % RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANAOther current assetsOCAPositive000000000000000OCL: % RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANAOther current liabilitiesOCLPositive000000000000000Total operating working capitalWC_Bal000000000000000WC increase/(decrease)WC_Delta00000000000000WC: % RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANABal ance Sheet ItemsProperty Plant & EquipPPE NetPPE_NetPositive000000000000000Capital expenditure optionEnter 1,2 or 311: Net PPE as % revenuesNANANANANANANANANA2: % Operating revenuesNANANANANANANANANA3: Cash amount Currency000000000Capital expenditureCapexPositive00000000000000Depreciation: % Net PPE b/fNANANANANANANANANADepreciationDepnNegative000 000000000000Balancing itemNANANANANANANANANAOther historical fixed asset movtsFA_Hist0NANANANANANANANAGoodwillOpening000 00000000000Additions/(disposals)GW_Cash000000000Writedo wnsGW_AmortNegative0000000000ClosingGW_BalPositive000
  • 8. 000000000000Initial goodwill written offGW_InitPositive0Acquired IntangiblesOpening00000000000000Additions/(disposals)Intang _Cash000000000AmortisationIntang_AmortNegative000000000 0ClosingIntang_BalPositive000000000000000Initial intangibles written offIntang_InitPositive0Other operating assetsOpening00000000000000Additions/(disposals)OOA_Cash 0NANANANANANANANAClosingOOA_BalPositive00000000 0000000Other operating liabilitiesOpening00000000000000Additions/(disposals)OOL_C ash0NANANANANANANANAClosingOOL_BalPositive000000 000000000Non-operating assetsOpening00000000000000Additions/(disposals)NOA_Cash 0NANANANANANANANAClosingNOA_BalPositive00000000 0000000Retirement Related AssetsOpening00000000000000Increase/(decrease)RetRelA_Cas h0NANANANANANANANAClosing balanceRetRelA_BalPositive000000000000000Retirement Related LiabilitiesIncrease/(decrease)RetRel_Cash000000000Closing balanceRetRel_BalPositive000000000000000Memo: % RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANon -operating componentRetRel_Nonop0000000000InvestmentsOpening00000 000000000Additions/(disposals)Inv_Cash0NANANANANANA NANAClosingInv_BalPositive000000000000000Off-Balance Sheet ItemsOperating leasesImplied principalOpLease_BalPositive0000000000Investment in operating leasesOpLease_Cash0NANANANANANANANA00000Interest rate0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Implied interestOpLease_IntPositive00000000000000Adjustments to operating valueValuation basisBook valuePV (discounted at WACC)Excess Marketable SecuritiesEMS0Book0Financial InvestmentsFFA0Max(BV,PV)00Excess pension assetsPen_ExcessManual
  • 9. calc30DebtMV_Debt0Book0Capitalized Operating LeasesMV_OpLease0Book0Retirement Related LiabilityMV_RetRel0Book0Preferred StockMV_Prefs0Book0Minority InterestMV_Min0Max(BV,PV)00Restructuring ProvisionMV_Restr0Max(BV,PV)00Long-term operating ProvisionMV_LTOp0Book0Value of Options OutstandingOptionsManual calcValue of Future Stock OptionsFuture_OptionsManual calcProvisions & Non-Op. P&LNon-operating P&L itemsNon-operating income % growthNANANANANANANANANANon-operating income/(expense)NOI000000000000000Special (pretax) income/(expense)SpecItem0000000000Extraordinary items/(expense)ExtraordItem0000000000Income smoothing ProvisionIncrease/(decrease)Prov_CashNegative000000000Clos ing balanceProv_BalPositive000000000000000Memo: % RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANAOn- going operating ProvisionsIncrease/(decrease)OOP_Cash0NANANANANANAN ANAClosing balanceOOP_BalPositive000000000000000Restructuring ProvisionsOpening00000000000000P&L additionsRestr_ProfPositive0000000000Cash paymentsRestr_CashNegative000000000ClosingRestr_BalPositi ve000000000000000Long-term operating ProvisionsOpening00000000000000Implied InterestLOP_Int00000000000000Interest RateLOP_IntR0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Exp ense00000000000000ClosingLOP_BalPositive0000000000Incre ase/(decrease)LOP_Cash0NANANANANANANANA00000Mino rity interestsOpening00000000000000P&L attributed (+ve)Min_ProfPositive0000000000Cash paymentsMin_CashNegative000000000ClosingMin_BalPositive 000000000000000Debt Finance & WACCInterest ratesExcess cashBalancing debtShort term debtLong term debt - 1Long term debt - 2Historical balancesExcess
  • 10. cashCashPositive000000000000000Balancing debtODPositive000000000000000Short term debtSTD_BalPositive000000000000000Long term debt - 1000000000000000Long term debt - 2Use this if you want to subdivide LTD00000TotalLTD_BalPositive000000000000000Scheduled additions/(repayments)Short term debtSTD_Cash000000000Long term debt - 1Long term debt - 2TotalLTD_Cash00000000000000Interest calculationsExcess cashInt_IncPositive000000000000000Balancing debt00000Short term debt00000Long term debt - 100000Long term debt - 200000Total interest expenseInt_ExpNegative000000000000000Total interest expense (excl OD)Int_Exp_Excl_ODNegative00000WACCWACC0.0%0.0%0. 0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Note: to be calculated in separate modelEquity FinancePreferred stockOpening00000000000000New issues/redemptionPrefs_Cash00000000000000ClosingPrefs_Bal Positive000000000000000Dividend: Coupon % average balanceNANANANANANANANANADividendsPrefs_DivNegat ive000000000000000Par value per share0No. preferred shares (thousands)Prefs_No000000000000000Common equityOpeningEquity_Bal _BFPositive1000000000000000Net earnings for year00000000000000Dividends: % earningsNANANANANANANANANADividendsDiv_ComNegat ive000000000000000Translation effectsTranslation000000000New issues/(buy- backs)Equity_Cash000000000Goodwill write offGW_writeoffNegative000000000Other adjustmentsEquity_Adj000000000ClosingEquity_BalPositive00 0000000000000Number of common sharesCurrent no. shares (thousands)AverageShares_AvPositive000000000000000Movem ent in year0NANANANANANANANAYear endShares_YEPositive000000000000000Fully diluted no. shares (thousands)Additional
  • 11. sharesPositive0000000000AverageShares_FD_AvPositive00000 0000000000Year endShares_FD_YEPositive000000000000000Dividends payable (B/S)Opening00000000000000Dividends declared00000000000000Dividends paidDiv_CashNegative000000000ClosingDiv_BalNegative0000 00000000000TaxCurrent taxEarnings before tax000000000000000Tax chargeTax_ChargeNegative000000000000000Tax creditor b/f00000000000000Current tax payable00000000000000Tax paidTax_PaidNegative000000000Tax creditor c/fTax_Cred_BalPositive000000000000000Tax creditor deltaTax_Cred_Delta00000000000000Tax ratesEffectiveNANANANANANANANANANANon-operating Component of Income TaxesNon Op Taxes- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0Non-oper Comp of Incr Def Tax Liab- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0- 0Deferred taxAsset Increase/(decrease)DefTaxA_Delta000000000Deferred tax assetDefTaxA_BalPositive000000000000000Liability Increase/(decrease)DefTax_Delta000000000Deferred tax liabilityDefTax_BalPositive000000000000000Phase 2 & CV driversPhase 2 InputsRevenue growthNANANANARevenueRev_P20000000000000000Adjuste d EBITA marginNANANANANAAdjusted EBITAAdj_EBITA_P20000000000000000Cash tax rateCashTax_P2NANANANANANOPLATNOPLAT_P20000000 000000000Closing Net PPE as % RevenuesNANANANANANet PPE0000000000000000Other Invested Capital as % RevenuesNANANANANAOther Invested Capital0000000000000000Invested Capital (pre- Goodwill)Inv_CapP_P20000000000000000Cumulative Goodwill00000Invested CapitalInv_Cap_P20000000000000000Net InvestmentNet_Inv_P200000000000Continuing value inputsChoose ROIC optionEnter 1,2 or 311: Input value2: Last year of phase 2NA3: WACC0.0%ROIC usedROIC0.0%Growth
  • 12. in NOPLATgConstants & datesDays in yearDIY365Months in yearMIY12OneOne1Units - labelUnit_label11000thousands1000000millions1000000000billi onsDatesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA NANANANANANANANANANAYear(9)(8)(7)(6)(5)(4)(3)(2)(1 )012345678910111213141516CVY000000000000000000000000 00FY10Mid year adjustment factor (months)MYAF0 &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &L&BMcKinsey && Company Confidential&B&C&D&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&BMcKinsey && Company Confidential&B&C&D&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P
  • 13. &C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P Results29/11/2012 23:42Error check = OKName - ScenarioOKHistoricalDetailed ForecastKey driver forecast000000CurrencyNANANANANANANANANANANAN ANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA------------------ --------Income StatementRevenues00000000000000000000000000Other Operating Revenues000000000000000Cost of Goods Sold000000000000000Selling, Gen & Admin Expenses000000000000000Depreciation Expense000000000000000Other Oper Expense000000000000000Reported EBITA000000000000000Goodwill Writeoffs000000000000000Amortization of Intangibles000000000000000Reported EBIT000000000000000Non-Oper Income000000000000000Interest Income000000000000000Interest Expense000000000000000Restructuring Charges000000000000000Special Items000000000000000Earnings Before Taxes000000000000000Income Taxes000000000000000Minority Interest000000000000000Income Before Extraordinary Items000000000000000Extraordinary Items (After Tax)000000000000000Net Income000000000000000Preference dividends000000000000000Earnings for common shareholders000000000000000Common dividends000000000000000Retained profit000000000000000Earnings per share (Currency)0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00NANANA NANAEarnings per share - fully diluted (Currency)0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00NANANA NANAStatement of changes in equityOpening
  • 14. balance00000000000000Retained profit00000000000000Foreign Exchange Rate Changes00000000000000Issue of New Shares00000000000000Goodwill Written Off00000000000000Other Adjustments to Equity00000000000000Closing balance000000000000000Check: Changes in EquityOK00000000000000Balance SheetOperating Cash000000000000000Excess Marketable Securities000000000000000Accounts Receivable000000000000000Inventories000000000000000Other Current Assets000000000000000Total Current Assets000000000000000Net Property Plant and Equipment000000000000000Goodwill000000000000000Acquire d Intangible Assets000000000000000Other Operating Assets000000000000000Investments000000000000000Deferred tax asset000000000000000Other Non-operating Assets000000000000000Retirement Related Assets000000000000000Total Assets000000000000000Short term debt000000000000000Accounts Payable000000000000000Tax payable000000000000000Dividends payable000000000000000Other Current Liabilities000000000000000Total Current Liabilities000000000000000Balancing Debt000000000000000Long Term Debt000000000000000Deferred Income Taxes000000000000000Other Operating Liabilities000000000000000Restructuring Provisions000000000000000Income smoothing Provisions000000000000000On-going operating Provisions000000000000000Long-term operating Provisions000000000000000Retirement Related Liabilities000000000000000Minority Interest000000000000000Preferred Stock000000000000000Total Common Equity000000000000000Total Liabs and
  • 15. Equity000000000000000Check: Assets = LiabilitesOK000000000000000Traditional Cash flowReported EBITA00000000000000Depreciation00000000000000EBITDA0 0000000000000Less investment in working capital00000000000000Foreign exchange translation effects00000000000000Operating cashflow00000000000000Less tax paid00000000000000Capital investmentsLess capex00000000000000Less investment00000000000000Less goodwill & intangibles acquired00000000000000On-going operating Provision00000000000000Less other operating assets/liabilities00000000000000Total capital investments00000000000000FinanceInterest Income00000000000000Interest Expense00000000000000Debt raised/repaid00000000000000Total finance payments00000000000000Plus non-operating income &expenseNon-Oper Income00000000000000Special items00000000000000Extraordinary items00000000000000Investment in non-operating assets00000000000000Retirement Related Assets00000000000000Total non-operating items00000000000000Less payments from reserves and to minoritiesRestructuring charges00000000000000Income smoothing Provision00000000000000Long-term operating Provision00000000000000Retirement Related Liabilities00000000000000Minority interest00000000000000Total payments to reserves/minorities00000000000000EquityLess pref dividends paid00000000000000Prefs issued/(redeemed)00000000000000Less dividends paid00000000000000Equity raised/repaid00000000000000Total equity cash payments00000000000000Net Cashflow00000000000000Cash/overdraftOpening balance00000000000000Increase/ (Decrease)00000000000000Closing balance000000000000000Check: Cash calc = Cash
  • 16. balanceOK00000000000000Excess cashCash_Calc00000000000000Balancing debtCash_OD00000000000000NOPLATReported EBITA00000000000000Adj for Operating Leases00000000000000Adj for Non-operating component of pension expense00000000000000Add: Interest associated with Long-term operating Provision00000000000000Add: Increase in Income smoothing Provision00000000000000Adjusted EBITAEBITA_Adj0000000000000000000000000Taxes on EBITA00000000000000Change in Deferred Taxes Operating00000000000000NOPLATNOPLAT000000000000000 0000000000Taxes on EBITAProv for Inc Taxes00000000000000Non-operating Component of Income Taxes00000000000000Taxes on EBITA00000000000000Reconciliation to Net IncomeNet Income00000000000000Add: Increase in Deferred Taxes Operating00000000000000Add: Non-operating Component of Income Taxes00000000000000Add: Increase in Income smoothing Provision00000000000000Add: Amort of Intangible and GW Writeoffs00000000000000Add: Extraordinary Items00000000000000Add: Special Items00000000000000Add: Minority Interest00000000000000Adjusted Net Income00000000000000Add: Interest Expense00000000000000Add: Interest Exp. On Long-term operating Provision00000000000000Add: Interest Exp. on Op. Leases00000000000000Add: Interest Exp. on Non-operating component of pension expense00000000000000Add: Restructuring Charges00000000000000Less: Interest Income00000000000000Less: Non-operating Income00000000000000NOPLAT00000000000000Check: NOPLATOK00000000000000Invested CapitalOperating Working Capital000000000000000Net Property Plant and Equipment000000000000000Other Assets Net of Other Liabs000000000000000Less: On-going operating Provision000000000000000Value of Operating Leases000000000000000Op. Invested Capital
  • 17. (excl.Goodwill)00000000000000000000000000Goodwill & Intangibles000000000000000Cumulative Written Off & Amortized0000000000000000Op. Invested Capital (incl.Goodwill)Inv_Cap00000000000000000000000000Excess Marketable Securities000000000000000Investments000000000000000Non- operating Assets000000000000000Retirement Related Assets000000000000000Total Investor Funds000000000000000Total Common Equity & Pref. Stock000000000000000Cum Goodwill Written Off & Amortized000000000000000Deferred Income Taxes000000000000000Dividends Payable000000000000000Income smoothing Provision000000000000000Adjusted Equity000000000000000Minority Interest000000000000000Restructuring Provisions000000000000000Long-term operating Provision000000000000000Retirement-Related Liabilities000000000000000Interest Bearing Debt000000000000000Value of Operating Leases000000000000000Total Investor Funds000000000000000Check: Investor FundsOK000000000000000Free Cash FlowNOPLAT0000000000000000000000000Depreciation00000 000000000Gross Cash Flow00000000000000Increase in Working Capital00000000000000Capital Expenditures00000000000000Incr in other operating assets/liabilities00000000000000Incr in Ongoing operating Provisions00000000000000Inv in Operating Leases00000000000000Gross Investment00000000000000Free Cash Flow Excl. Goodwill00000000000000Investment in Goodwill and Intangibles00000000000000Free Cash Flow Incl. GoodwillFCF0000000000000000000000000Interest Income00000000000000(Incr)/Decr Excess Mkt Sec00000000000000Foreign Exchange Translation00000000000000(Incr)/Decr Retirement Related
  • 18. Assets00000000000000Non-operating Cash Flow00000000000000Restructuring Cash Flow00000000000000Non-operating Component of Income Taxes00000000000000Extraordinary items00000000000000Cash Flow Available to Investors00000000000000Financing FlowInterest Expense00000000000000Interest on Operating Leases00000000000000Interest on Nonoperating Component of Pension Expense00000000000000Interest on Long-term Operating Provision00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Debt00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Operating Leases00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Retirement Rel. Liab00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Long-term Operating Provision00000000000000Payments to Minorities00000000000000Common Dividends00000000000000Preferred Dividends00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Preferred00000000000000Decr/(Incr) in Share Capital00000000000000Total Financing Flow00000000000000Check: Investors CF = Financing CFOK00000000000000Economic ProfitBefore GoodwillReturn on Invested Capital0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0. 0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0% 0.0%WACC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0. 0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0% 0.0%0.0%Spread0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0. 0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0% 0.0%0.0%0.0%Invested Capital (Beg of Year)0000000000000000000000000Economic Profit (before Goodwill)0000000000000000000000000NOPLAT000000000000 0000000000000Capital Charge0000000000000000000000000Economic Profit (before Goodwill)0000000000000000000000000After GoodwillReturn on Invested Capital0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.
  • 19. 0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0% 0.0%WACC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0. 0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0% 0.0%0.0%Spread0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0. 0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0% 0.0%0.0%0.0%Invested Capital (Beg of Year)0000000000000000000000000Economic Profit (after Goodwill)0000000000000000000000000NOPLAT000000000000 0000000000000Capital Charge0000000000000000000000000Economic Profit (after Goodwill)EP0000000000000000000000000DCF Valuation CalculationsCV period0000000000000000FCF periodSumSum1111111111111111Free Cash Flow00000000000000000Discount Factor1.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001. 001.001.001.00PV of FCF000000000000000000Continuing value00000000000000000PV of Continuing value000000000000000000Operating value0Economic profit00000000000000000Discount Factor1.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001.001. 001.001.001.00PV of EP000000000000000000Continuing value00000000000000000PV of Continuing value000000000000000000Invested capital at start of forecast00Operating value0Check: EV=FCFOKMinoritiesProfits attributable to minorities00000Perpetuity based on final year detailed forecast00000Discount factor1.001.001.001.001.001.00Present Value000000Non- operating assetsNon-operating income00000Perpetuity based on final year detailed forecast00000Discount factor1.001.001.001.001.001.00Present Value000000Restructuring costsRestructuring costs paid00000Discount factor1.001.001.001.001.001.00Present Value000000RatiosAdjusted EBITA / RevenuesCost of Goods Sold / RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANASG A costs /
  • 20. RevenueNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANAEBI TDA / RevenueNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANADepr eciation / RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANARep orted EBITA / RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANAAdj ustments to EBITA / RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANAAdjuste d EBITA / RevenuesNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA NANANANANANANANANAReturn on Invested Capital (BY)Net PPE / Revenues0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANAWork ing Capital / Revenues0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANet Other Assets / Revenues0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANARev. / Inv. Capital (pre- Goodwill)0.0NANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA NANANANANANANANANAPre-Tax ROIC0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANACash Tax Rate0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANA0.0%0.0% 0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%After-Tax ROIC (pre- Goodwill)0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANAN ANANANANANANANANANARev. / Inv. Capital (incl. Goodwill)0.0NANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA NANANANANANANANANAAfter-Tax ROIC (incl. Goodwill)0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANAN ANANANANANANANANANAReturn on Invested Cap (Avg)Net PPE / Revenues0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANAWork ing Capital / Revenues0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANet Other Assets /
  • 21. Revenues0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANARev. / Inv. Capital (pre- Goodwill)0.0NANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA NANANANANANANANANAPre-Tax ROIC0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANAAfter- Tax ROIC (pre- Goodwill)0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANAN ANANANANANANANANANAAfter-Tax ROIC (incl. Goodwill)0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANAN ANANANANANANANANANAAverage ROE0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANAGrowth RatesRevenue Growth Rate0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA NANANANANANANANAAdjusted EBITA Growth RateNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANAN ANANANANANANANANOPLAT Growth RateNANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANAN ANANANANANANANAInvested Capital Growth Rate0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANANANA NANANANANANANANANet Income Growth Rate0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANAInvestment Rates (excl. Goodwill)Gross Investment Rate0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANet Investment / NOPLAT0.0%NANANANANANANANANANANANANANAN ANANANANANANANANANAFinancingEBIT/Interest PayableNANANANANANANANANANANANANANAAdjusted EBITA/Interest payableNANANANANANANANANANANANANANACash Coverage (Gross CF / Interest)N/ANANANANANANANANANANANANANADebt / Total Cap (Book)NANANANANANANANANANANANANANANADebt / Total Cap (Market)NANANANANANANANANANAValuation indicatorsMkt Val Op Inv Cap/ BV Op Inv CapNANANANANANANANANAMarket / Book (incl. Cum
  • 22. Goodwill)NANANANANANANANANAMkt val Op Inv Cap / Adj EBITANANANANANANANANANAEnterprise value / EBITANANANANANANANANANANAPrice Earnings RatioNANANANANANANANANANA &C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &R&F &A &C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &R&F &A &C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P Valuation Summary29/11/2012 23:42OKName - ScenarioCurrencyValue of Operations: DCF approachValue of Operations: Economic ProfitValue of EquityFree CashDiscountPVEconomicDiscountPVOperating Value0YearFlowFactorof FCFYearProfitFactorof EPExcess Mkt Securities0NA01.0000NA01.0000Financial Investments0NA01.0000NA01.0000Excess Pension
  • 23. Assets0NA01.0000NA01.0000NA01.0000NA01.0000Enterprise Value0NA01.0000NA01.0000Debt0NA01.0000NA01.0000Capit alized Operating Leases0NA01.0000NA01.0000Retirement Related Liability0NA01.0000NA01.0000Preferred Stock0NA01.0000NA01.0000Minority Interest0NA01.0000NA01.0000Long-Term Operating Provision0NA01.0000NA01.0000Restructuring Provision0NA01.0000NA01.0000Future Stock Options0NA01.0000NA01.0000Stock options0NA01.0000NA01.0000Equity Value0NA01.0000NA01.0000Cont. Value01.0000Cont. Value01.0000No. shares (thousands)0Operating Value00Present Value of Economic Profit0Value per ShareNAInvested Capital (incl. goodwill)0Continuing value % Operating valueNA- HighNAOperating Value0-LowNAMid -Year Adjustment Factor1.000Mid -Year Adjustment Factor1.000Value Difference - HighNAOperating Value (Adjusted)0Operating Value (Adjusted)0Value Difference - LowNAComparison of key ratiosEvaluation of entry and exit multiplesAveragesFrom:NANANANATo:NANANANANANARe venue growth (CAG)NANANANAOperating Value00Adjusted EBITA growth (CAG)NANANANANOPLAT growth (CAG)NANANANAExcess Mkt Securities0Invested capital growth (CAG)NANANANAFinancial Investments0Adj. EBIT/RevenuesNANANANAEnterprise Value00Revenues/Invested Capital (pre- Goodwill)NANANANARevenue0NAROIC (after tax, pre- Goodwill)NANANANAAdjusted EBITA0NAROIC (after tax, including Goodwill)NANANANANOPLAT0NAAverage Economic Profit0000Enterprise / RevenueNANACash Tax RateNANA0.0%0.0%Enterprise / Adjusted EBITANANAWACCNA0.0%0.0%0.0%Enterprise / NOPLATNANA &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P
  • 24. &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P &L&"Times New Roman,Bold"McKinsey && Company Confidential&C&F&RPage &P