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August 20-21, 2013
Hyatt Regency
Dallas, TX
SUMMER
ROUNDTABLE
Thank you to our SPONSORS
Lead Sponsor
Thank you to our SPONSORS
Platinum Sponsors
Thank you to our SPONSORS
Gold Sponsors
Thank you to our SPONSORS
Silver Sponsors Bronze Sponsor
Thank you to our SPONSORS
General Sponsors
Benefits of Belonging
to the IARA
Bottom line – when you belong to the IARA, you become a
better remarketer; a professional that learns and
understands all facets of remarketing and how it will
positively affect your company’s financial performance, as
well as your value to your clients.
Benefits of Belonging
to the IARA
Here are a few ways that IARA
membership will assist you in
increasing your financial performance:
• Education and specific training
courses resulting in a remarketing
certification.
• Network with other remarketing
professionals to learn best
practices and benchmarks in your
market segment.
• Learn about opportunities for
improvement, problem
solving, and other issues that may
hinder your business.
• Have input on industry changes
(before they happen) on
standards, such as arbitration and
certification.
• Participate in discussions about
dozens of topics including:
– Maximizing net returns.
– Education/training your
remarketing staff.
– Auction performance.
– Transportation.
– Upstream remarketing.
– Vehicle inspections.
– Exporting techniques.
– Guidebooks.
– Reconditioning issues.
– Vehicle history reports.
– Vehicle sourcing.
Opening Remarks
Robert Wagner
President
Thank You!
A Long, Long Time Ago – 6 Years
• 6 Years Ago – IARA was at 56 members
• 6 Years Ago – Only 3 Certified Automotive
Remarketers
• 6 Years Ago – IARA was still sorting out its
financial viability
• 6 Years Ago – IARA was 6 Years Old
• 6 Years Ago . . .some thought that IARA
might not make it . . .maybe just maybe . . .
Then just like that –
• 5 Years Ago – I became a Second VP for
IARA
• 2 Years Ago – I became President & Levi
McCoy V.P.
• . . .just maybe . . .
Ten Year Anniversary
• Then just like that it
was here in
Dallas, 2011. It was
Cowboy Stadium.
• It was . . . Just like
that . . .
• IARA HAD
ARRIVED!
• A Decade . . .
Enhanced Conference Registration
Then just like that – here we are 2013.
• Today – Canada Committee – comes
along with 24 new members
• Today – IARA has $$$$$ in it Financial
Statement, VERY SOLID INDEED!
• Today – CAR is over 64 STRONG!
Tomorrow . . .
Soon, Levi is President!
just maybe, just maybe – IARA!
2013 Accomplishments
• Creation and growth of IARA Canada.
• Auto IMS improvement recommendations.
• Integrating with NAAA on critical Industry issues.
• Working with NAAA to improve Policy Guidelines for Arbitrations & Online Purchases.
• Working with NAAA Standards Committee to standardize Auction Announcements &
Disclosures.
• Partnered with the NAAA the present survey results to improve language in Vehicle
History Reports.
• Published an industry position paper on the future vision for Multiple Online Selling
Venues.
• Initiated initial audit template to be used for a Standardized CFPB Audit Process.
• IARA Analysis to improve Remote Rep features.
• Tremendous growth in CAR Certification enrollments & Certification Graduates.
• IARA website FORUM BLOG created.
• Twitter and Facebook presence created for IARA.
• Strengthening of IARA Financial position.
• Growth in Membership
• Standard membership fees of $1,250 for all members to be billed out annually in January.
Membership
IARA 2012-2013
New U.S. Members
• 166 Auto Auction
• America’s Auto Auction
• Auction Edge
• Capital One
• Caprock Auto Remarketing
• Complete Auto Services, Inc.
• Dealer’s Auto Auction of the
South
• DEKRA Inspections
• Diversified Vehicle Services
• FLD, Inc.
• Grow Financial Credit Union
• Harley-Davidson Financial
• Hearst Business Media
• Hyundai Motor America
• Liquid Motors, Inc.
• Motor Lease Corp.
• Porsche Cars North
America
• RSA-FiServ
• Southeastern Auto
Auction
• Statewide Auto Auction
Canadian Committee Update
IARA Summer Roundtable
August 2013
Canadian Committee
• Drive change to strengthen the Canadian Remarketing industry
• Co-Develop industry guidelines for corporate performance
standards
• Conduct educational and training programs
• Discuss and develop industry best practices
• Provide a networking forum for remarketers
• Assist international growth and exposure
• Support and participate in industry events & seminars
Canadian Committee Meetings & Events
On track to hit our goal of hosting 3 annual IARA Canadian Committee
Meetings in Canada
Proposed & Planned Events in 2013
March CAR Conference - Las Vegas
April Auto Remarketing Canada Conference – Toronto
 IARA General Meeting
 IARA Canadian Remarketing Remarketer of the Year Award
June Canadian Committee Meeting – Toronto
 Standardizing Condition Reports – Panel Discussion
 Disclosures & Declarations – VHR Panel Discussion
August IARA 2013 Summer Round Table - Dallas
October Canadian Committee Meeting – Toronto
December Canadian Committee Meeting – Toronto
AutoRemarketing Canada Conference
• AutoRemarketing Canada Conference in Toronto – over 700 attendees!
– Hosted an IARA Canadian Committee meeting with over 100 in attendance
– Presented our current IARA Canadian initiatives, conducted a membership drive
– 7 new prospective members approached us after meeting
– Hosted our first “Consignors Only Meeting”
• IARA Canadian Committee Award Presented at AR Canada Conference
John Carere – National Remarketing Manager – RBC Automotive Finance (ALLY)
IARA / AR Canada – Remarketer of the Year Award 2013
Canadian Committee Accomplishments
• Met our goal of hosting three Canadian Committee meetings in Toronto in
2012 and are on track for 2013.
• Each meeting / event hosted record attendance!
• Hosted 2 “Consignor Only” events
• Continue to host monthly Canadian Committee conference calls.
• Canadian committee leads are joining U.S. Committee conference calls.
• Created a NEW membership enrollment process.
Canadian Sub-Committee Teams
•
Education and Certification
John Paonessa – Lead (GM Financial)
Gerry Corcoran - Pattison Lease
Claudio De Angelis – Foss
Steve Langdon - ADESA
Brent Burpee - CarFax
Dave Sutton
Membership Development
Doug Collis – Lead (Ford)
Marty Meadows - CarProof
Stu Ralph - North Toronto
Kathy Ward – Canadian Black Book
Press & PR
Josh Bailey – Lead (Canadian Black Book)
Stu Ralph – North Toronto
Remy Rousseau – Rousseau Publications
Industry Recognition and Rewards
Alex Johnston – Lead (Hyundai)
Larry Shred – Canadian Black Book
Richard Pasta – Kia Canada
Technology and Standards
Volunteer Needed!!!!
Don Wallace – Co-Lead (Manheim)
Kim Thomson - Porsche
Bernard de Souza - Nissan
Larry Shred – CBB
Lisa Scott – ADESA / Openlane - NAAA
Current & Completed Canadian Initiatives
• Post Sale Inspection standardization
– Recent panel discussion
• Disclosure & Declaration standardization
– Recent VHR panel discussion
• Monitor/provide industry input into pending provincial MVDA
legislation
– NS, SK and MB updates
• Central Repository for OEM Build Data
– New Initiative
Current/Completed US/Cdn Initiatives
• Multi-Platform Selling facilitation
• Internet-based resources for remarketers
• Align IARA and NAAA (Cdn) standards
– Pending NAAA (US) draft and meeting July 1, 2013
• Structural Damage Policy revisions and clarifications
– NAAA (US) draft revisions
• Used Vehicle Condition Report & Grading System
Standardization
– panel discussion
IARA Canadian Committee Membership
• Current Canadian membership consists of 24 companies
• Identified 28 new potential members
• Will continue to expand membership base over the
coming year.
2012-2013 New Canadian Members
• ADESA / OpenLane Canada
• Ally Bank / RBC
• ARI
• BMW Canada
• Canadian Black Book
• Canadian Dealer Services
• CarFax
• CarProof
• Data Scan
• Ford of Canada
• Foss National Leasing
• GM Financial Canada
• Honda Finance Canada
• Hyundai Auto Canada
• Jim Pattison Lease
• Kia Canada, Inc.
• Manheim Canada
• Mitsubishi Canada
• Nissan Canada
• North Toronto Auction
• Pareto Corporation
• Porsche Cars Canada
• RSR Canada
Membership News!
• New Membership Registration - $1250 for all Members!
• Membership renewal – a predetermined date will be set
for annual renewal
• Now accepting membership dues in Canadian Dollars!
Membership Registration News!
Our Canadian Membership Committee will be sending all
current and prospective members an IARA membership
package which will include:
• Payment options in Canadian Dollars (invoice / online)
• Membership benefits form
• Contact info for Membership Committee
On behalf of the IARA
Canadian Committee
Thank You for Your
Support!
August 20-21, 2013
Hyatt Regency
Dallas, TX
CERTIFIED AUTOMOTIVE
REMARKETER (CAR)
PROGRAM
Certified Automotive Remarketer (CAR)
The mission of CAR is to enhance and promote the profession of Vehicle
Remarketing by providing the premier credential in the industry.
Curriculum includes 20 courses in five units:
1. Remarketing Channels
2. Pre-sale Activities
3. Actual-sale Activities
4. Post-sale Activities
5. Legal, Ethics, and Terminology
• Each module is 10-20 pages in length (great to read on planes!)
• The test are multiple choice, a score of 75% or better is required to pass
• Testing is available at industry events and throughout the country using
CAR graduates and other approved proctors
• Many recent graduates completed all 20 modules in less than 4 months!
Education & Certification Update
The IARA Certification program has really taken off!
120 – # of people who have taken at least one module toward certification
41 – # of companies supporting the certification process
20 – Number of companies with at least one CAR Graduate
70 – # of people who have successfully completed all 20 exams YTD
Certified Automotive Remarketers
2008 - Sal Terranova Carolina AA Chris Wise Charleston AA
2009 - Ricky Beggs Black Book USA Dave Sutton CARFAX
2010 - Jim Jackson ARI John Elizaga Emkay Les Lynott Emkay Mona Spoon Emkay David Thompson
Emkay Scott Braidwood ARI Steve Johnson ARI Jennifer Schade ARI Jill Tarallo Manheim/DealerTrack
Brian McBrearty ARI Dave Seher ARI Chris Slaughter ARI John Wright ARI
2011 - Brian Garner ARI Fred Walerski ARI Gus Xamplas Donlen Mike Kreider Credit Acceptance
2012 - Phillip Finley JD Byrider Stephanie Gingras DAASW Irina Toader Manheim Rob Wagner Hyundai
Bill McCready Charleston AA Laura Taylor Charleston AA Don Roccia Credit Acceptance Fred Uhter TSAA
Jeannie Chiaromonte Bank of America Randy Gold CARFAX Mike Bradley 166 Auto Auction Jackie Malik
Credit Acceptance Jiles Wanna TPC MGMNT Mark Hopkins Dealers AA Chuck Novince Manheim Scott
Kolb United Road Jackie Matejewski Credit Acceptance Diane Scharafin CARFAX Juan Spears Credit
Acceptance Rod Feuell Credit Acceptance
2013 (YTD) - Matthew Yoo CARFAX Mark Pelech Credit Acceptance Laura Westray Black Book USA
Terry Park Black Book USA Drew Smith GM Financial Steve Collins Black Book USA Bill Boutwell
Manheim-New England John McDavid Black Book USA Josh Giles Black Book USA David Heslet GM
Financial Tim West Black Book USA Heather Crawford Black Book USA Scott Yarborough Black Book
USA Eric Lawrence Black Book USA Zach Staruch Black Book USA Stacey Scarnati DAA Rockies
Michelle Noblitt DAA Rockies Charles Cathey Black Book USA Mark Simpson Black Book USA John
Carter GM Financial Joshua Hunt GM Financial Jimmy Marino GM Financial Chris Watkins GM Financial
Levi McCoy LeasePlanUSA Randall Harshman LeasePlanUSA Spence Couch MidSouth AA Stephen
"Derik" Page Black Book USA Brett Swanson Black Book USA Linda Amerman Black Book USA
Online Remarketing Courses
• Remarketing Orientation Courses – Online 24/7
• Delivered via Northwood University – CEU’s
• More than 150 Participants to Date
• Twelve Courses:
• Terminology
• Transportation
• VIN description
• Ethics
• Resale Channels
• Titling
• Introduction to Remarketing
• Inspections
• Reconditioning
• Guidebooks
• Technology
• Factors Affecting Values
More information regarding both programs can be found at:
www.iaraonline.org/training
August 20-21, 2013
Hyatt Regency
Dallas, TX
Introductions!
IARA Officers
Robert Wagner, CAR
President
Levi McCoy, CAR
Vice President
Gus Xamplas, CAR
Director
Jeff Bescher
Treasurer
Mike Antich
Secretary
Bob Graham
Chairman of the Board
IARA Directors
Jeannie Chiaromonte, CAR
Don Fowler
David Alfonso Eric Autenreith Dick Curtis
Mary Haller Dan Heinrich
IARA Directors
Layne Weber
Mike Kreider, CAR
Chuck Novince, CAR
Scott Kolb, CAR Tim Meta
Jack Rennels
Jason Herman
IARA Committee Chairs
Dave Alfonso
Industry Recognition
& Awards
Mike Antich
Press & Public Relations
Communication
Dave Sutton, CAR
IARA CAR Certification
Don Fowler - Membership
Development & Recruitment
Stephanie Gingras, CAR
Technology &
Social Media
Dan Heinrich - Remarketing
Industry Standards &
Vehicle Certification
Scot Kolb , CAR
Education & Conference
Management
August 20-21, 2013
Hyatt Regency
Dallas, TX
SUMMER
ROUNDTABLE
NIADA Update
Chase Tidwell
Vice President of Media Services
NIADA Overview Presentation
Chase Tidwell
VP of Media Services
NIADA
IARA Meeting, Dallas, TX 8-20-13
INTRODUCING NIADA
Today’s Agenda
 About NIADA
 Benefits of Membership
 NIADA Partnerships with NAAA and IAA
 Membership Profile
 Industry Trends
 Regulatory Challenges
 Auto Remarketing Challenges
 Q&A
About NIADA
 Founded in 1946
 5th largest trade association in the US
 Focused on:
 Legislative Advocacy
 Regulatory Compliance Support
 Member Education
 Member Services Programs
 Member Consulting Services
 Industry Relations
 Voice of the Independent Auto Retail Industry
Benefits of Membership
 Discounts on products & services
 Legislative Advocacy
 Educational Opportunities
 Certified Master Dealer Program
 NIADA National Convention & Expo
 NIADA.TV Education Resources
 NEW! Twenty Group Program
 NIADA Leadership Conference
 Industry News
 Used Car Dealer Magazine
 Annual Used Car Industry Report
 NIADA Member Benefits Mailings and e-Newsletters
 Business Resources
 Expert advice on financing, marketing, taxes, legal matters and more.
NIADA Partnership with NAAA
 NIADA’s Used Car Dealer Magazine and NAAA’s On the Block
Newsletter Merge.
 One publication will be shared with all NAAA auctions /members and
all NIADA Dealer Members
 Cost effective and efficient way to inform and educate both auctions
and used car dealers about each other’s side of the industry.
 A great way to unify the remarketing industry and the dealers you do
business with everyday.
 New discounted Auction Directory Listing Packages available
to all NAAA Members. Greater exposure and promotion of all
of your consignment and lane sales at auctions nationwide.
 NAAA’s Annual Report will merge with NIADA’s Annual Used
Car Industry Report in 2014.
 The release and availability of NAAA’s upcoming new
arbitration policies to all NIADA Dealer Members
NIADA & IAG Member Benefits
 NIADA has recently worked with existing NIADA vendor
discount programs that were originally designed for
dealers to expand their services and provide similar
discount programs specifically for the smaller
independent auctions.
 IAG and NIADA now offer excellent member benefits to
help IAG members grow their business, protect their
assets and enhance their profitability.
 For a complete listing of over 20 IAG member benefit and
discount programs through NIADA, visit
www.independentauctiongroup.com and click on the
member benefits tab from the home page.
About our Members & the Used Vehicle Industry
 Almost 38,000 Used Dealers Nationwide, according to
CNW Research. (those that sell 10+ vehicles per month)
 NIADA Members represent approximately 40% of the
used vehicle retail market
 14M units sold in 2012 worth $125-B dollars (CNW- 2012)
 Average annual retail sales were at 370 units and at an
average price of $8,916 (CNW- 2012)
 82% of NIADA dealer member inventory sourced via
auto auctions
 Dealer Consignment Represented 58% of auction sales
in 2012 (NAAA 2013 Annual Report)
 Diverse Membership: Used Retail Operators, BHPH
Dealers, New Car Franchise Dealers, Wholesalers
Industry Trends
 Increased competition from new vehicle franchise
dealers. New dealers are holding onto and selling more
used units instead of sending their trades to auction.
 The Non-prime auto finance market continues to expand:
57% of used vehicle retail originations reported in 2012
 F&I regulatory burden is growing: items such as adverse
risk notice, red flags, risk based pricing, CFPB
actions, etc. are keeping dealers and our entire industry
on high alert.
 Used vehicle demand is strong, There were 40M used
retail units sold in 2012 (CNW 2012). For every new
vehicle sold there were nearly three used sales.
Regulatory Issues
 FTC Used Car Rule Updates: Issues NIADA is
monitoring:
 Consumer groups continue to push for vehicle history data on every
buyers guide
 The need for Spanish Buyers Guides
 OEM warranty remaining on all Buyers Guides.
 CFPB Actions: Issues NIADA is monitoring:
 ”Large market participants rule” effecting BHPH Dealers
 2013 focus payday lenders, BHPH dealers
 Adverse Risk, Risk Based Pricing, and Red Flags compliance
 Rental Car Recall Vehicle Legislation
Member Auto Remarketing Challenges
 Becoming more familiar and comfortable with the
online remarketing channels. Our Dealers still like to
go to the auctions and kick those wheels.
 Dealers are looking for auctions to provide more
retail ready vehicles that they can place directly on
the front line without having to take the time and
energy to recondition them.
 Finding the right market analytics tools to determine
the correct inventory levels for the right customer at
the right price
 Competitive floorplan financing resources due to
heightened level of wholesale investment
Questions?
Chase Tidwell
VP Media Services
NIADA
Telephone: 817-640-3838
Email: chase@niada.com
August 20-21, 2013
Hyatt Regency
Dallas, TX
SUMMER
ROUNDTABLE
NAAA Update
Ira Silver, Ph.D.
Economist
THE ECONOMY, AUTO SALES
& AUTO AUCTIONS
Dr. Ira Silver
NAAA Economist
Slow Real GDP Growth
0.3
3.1
2.7
1.5
-2.7
2.0
-2.0
-8.3
-5.4
-0.4
1.3
3.9
1.6
3.9
2.8 2.8
-1.3
3.2
1.4
4.9
3.7
1.2
2.8
0.1
1.1
1.7
-11.0
-9.0
-7.0
-5.0
-3.0
-1.0
1.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Percent Change From Prior
Quarter at Annual Rate
Recession
Percent Change From Prior Year
Is this all bad?
Slow Growth Does Not Quickly Create
The Excesses That Lead To Recessions
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
Recession
Unemployment Rate
Recessions are preceded by very low unemployment
And the economy is growing
Institute for Supply Management
Indexes Indicate Continued Growth
Three-Month Moving Averages
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
55.0
60.0
65.0
70.0
78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12
Recession
Manufacturing Activity
Recession Level
Nonmanufacturing Activity
Employment Is Growing
Change (thousand of Jobs)
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Recession
Auto Sales Recover
(MILLIONS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AT ANNUAL RATE)
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12
Recession
Light Vehicle (right scale)
Auto Sales Recover
(MILLIONS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AT ANNUAL RATE)
Housing Recovery Starts
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
0.2
0.7
1.2
1.7
2.2
79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12
Recession
Housing Starts (left axis)
Light Vehicle (right scale)
Households Reduce Financial Obligations
Financial Obligations as a Percent of Disposable Personal Income
Back to Early 1980s Levels – Consumer Spending Will Grow
10.0
10.5
11.0
11.5
12.0
12.5
13.0
13.5
14.0
14.5
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
Recession
Household Wealth Recovers
Supports Future Spending
Stock Prices Surge & Home Prices Turn Up
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
300
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
1,900
91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13
Recession
S&P500 Stock Price (left axis)
House Price (right axis)
Corporate Cash & Excess Reserves
Will Ultimately Be Spent
Billions of Dollars
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
Nonfinancial Corporate Cash
Bank Excess Reserves
Corporate Profitability At Record Levels
Will Support Business Investment & Hiring
60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Recession
After-tax Profit Margin
Other Economic Drivers
Continued Monetary Stimulus If Needed
“the Committee decided
to keep the target range
for the federal funds rate
at 0 to 1/4 percent and
currently anticipates that
this exceptionally low
range for the federal funds
rate will be appropriate at
least as long as the
unemployment rate
remains above 6-1/2
percent”
Other Economic Drivers
Continued Monetary Stimulus If Needed
“the Committee decided
to keep the target range
for the federal funds rate
at 0 to 1/4 percent and
currently anticipates that
this exceptionally low
range for the federal funds
rate will be appropriate at
least as long as the
unemployment rate
remains above 6-1/2
percent”
Other Economic Drivers
Continued Monetary Stimulus If Needed
“the Committee decided
to keep the target range
for the federal funds rate
at 0 to 1/4 percent and
currently anticipates that
this exceptionally low
range for the federal funds
rate will be appropriate at
least as long as the
unemployment rate
remains above 6-1/2
percent”
Other Economic Drivers
The World Is Looking Better
Other Economic Drivers
U.S. Energy Production Soars (Quadrillion BTU)
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
00 03 06 09 12
Natural Gas
Oil
Other Economic Drivers
A potential game changer!
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
Natural Gas Prices
Dollars per Thousand Cubic Fee
Better Times Are Ahead!
Real GDP Percent Change
-0.3
-2.8
2.5
1.8
2.8
1.5
3.0
-4.0
-3.0
-2.0
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14
2.0
3.5
Auto Sales Recover
(MILLIONS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AT ANNUAL RATE)
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12
Recession
Light Vehicle (right scale)
Auto Sales Drivers
New Vehicle Sales
Continue Strong Recovery
Millions of Units
16.6 16.9 16.9 16.5 16.1
13.2
10.4 11.6
12.7
14.4
15.6
16.7
-1%
1% 0%
-3% -3%
-18%
-21%
11% 10%
13%
8%
7%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
New Vehicle Sales Percent Change
AUCTION UNIT VOLUME
PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2
2010 2011 2012 2013
Dealer Consignment Commercial Consignment Total
AuctionNet
Strong new car sales
AUCTION UNIT VOLUME
PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2
2010 2011 2012 2013
Dealer Consignment Commercial Consignment Total
AuctionNet
Weak past new car sales
Strong new car sales
AUCTION UNIT VOLUME
PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR
[VALUE]
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2
2010 2011 2012 2013
Dealer Consignment Commercial Consignment Total
AuctionNet
Weak past new car sales
Strong new car sales
Strong
past new
car sales
Turnaround in Commercial Consignment
Adds to Strong Dealer Consignment
Millions of Units Sold
10.0
9.7 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.5
8.9
8.3
7.7 7.9
8.4
9.0
4.6%
-3.0% -2.8%
1.2%
0.3%
-0.6%
-5.9%
-7.1% -7.6%
3.3%
6%
8%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Units Sold Percent Change NAAA Survey, NAAA
Bottom Line
Better Times Are Ahead!
• The economic recovery will
strengthen
• Auto sales will approach past levels
• Auction volume will increase this
year and next
– And probably further on
• Auctions need to ramp up to be
able handle the increased business
THE ECONOMY, AUTO SALES
& AUTO AUCTIONS
Dr. Ira Silver
NAAA Economist
Used Retail Sales Continue Recovering
Millions of Units & Percent Change
Source: CNW Research, NAAA
43.6 42.7 44.1
42.6 41.4
36.5 35.5 37.0
39.0 40.5
42.6
44.1
1.3%
-2.0%
3.4%
-3.6%
-2.7%
-11.8%
-2.8%
3.9%
5.2%
4.5% 5.0%
3.5%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Used Vehicle Sales Percent Change
August 20-21, 2013
Hyatt Regency
Dallas, TX
SUMMER
ROUNDTABLE
Keynote Speaker
Mike Broe
President, CEO
Auto IMS
Vehicle Buying Trends
For the Independent Auto Remarketers Association
August 21, 2013
Industry shifts to customer demands
Historical Industry Shifts
1945:
First Physical
Auctions
1980s:
First Reconditioning
Centers
2003:
First Simulcast
Auctions
1990s:
Floor Planning for
Wholesale Purchases
2003 2012
3,400 Buyers
41,000 Buyers
CAGR:
32%
(Source: Manheim)
Number of Buyers Purchasing Online
A 12X Increase in Ten Years
Number of Cars Purchased: Simulcast
(Source: Manheim)
2003 2012
43,000 cars
(Simulcast only)
553,000 cars
(Simulcast only)
CAGR:
34%
A 13X Increase in Ten Years
Number of Cars Purchased: Total Online
A 22X Increase in Ten Years
(Source: Manheim)
A 22X Increase in Ten Years
2003 2012
43,000 cars
(Simulcast only)
906,000 cars
(Simulcast & OVE)
CAGR:
40%
No. of Dealers Buying Exclusively Online
(Source: Manheim)
A 22X Increase in Ten YearsBuyers are getting more comfortable buying online
2003 2012
- 0 -
(No Dealers were
exclusively only)
10,500 Dealers
(15% of all Dealers)
Year
Page
Views Visits
2009 14.8M 2.9M
2012 20.0M 4.1M
OVE Dealer Traffic
Buyers are getting more comfortable buying online
(Source: Manheim)
Year
Avg.
Monthly Views
2009 342,000
2012 677,000
Retail View
More and more dealers are shopping
(Source: Manheim)
The Industry Does Move!
Historical Industry Shifts
1945:
First Physical
Auctions
1980s:
First Reconditioning
Centers
2003:
First Simulcast
Auctions
1990s:
Floor Planning for
Wholesale Purchases
 Mobile technology
 Multi-platform
 Exclusive online buying
 Upstream buying
2013 shifts coming faster and faster:
IARA 2013 Summer Roundtable Sponsors
Thank You
for Attending!
SUMMER
ROUNDTABLE

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IARA August 20-21 2013 Summary

  • 1. August 20-21, 2013 Hyatt Regency Dallas, TX SUMMER ROUNDTABLE
  • 2. Thank you to our SPONSORS Lead Sponsor
  • 3. Thank you to our SPONSORS Platinum Sponsors
  • 4. Thank you to our SPONSORS Gold Sponsors
  • 5. Thank you to our SPONSORS Silver Sponsors Bronze Sponsor
  • 6. Thank you to our SPONSORS General Sponsors
  • 7. Benefits of Belonging to the IARA Bottom line – when you belong to the IARA, you become a better remarketer; a professional that learns and understands all facets of remarketing and how it will positively affect your company’s financial performance, as well as your value to your clients.
  • 8. Benefits of Belonging to the IARA Here are a few ways that IARA membership will assist you in increasing your financial performance: • Education and specific training courses resulting in a remarketing certification. • Network with other remarketing professionals to learn best practices and benchmarks in your market segment. • Learn about opportunities for improvement, problem solving, and other issues that may hinder your business. • Have input on industry changes (before they happen) on standards, such as arbitration and certification. • Participate in discussions about dozens of topics including: – Maximizing net returns. – Education/training your remarketing staff. – Auction performance. – Transportation. – Upstream remarketing. – Vehicle inspections. – Exporting techniques. – Guidebooks. – Reconditioning issues. – Vehicle history reports. – Vehicle sourcing.
  • 11. A Long, Long Time Ago – 6 Years • 6 Years Ago – IARA was at 56 members • 6 Years Ago – Only 3 Certified Automotive Remarketers • 6 Years Ago – IARA was still sorting out its financial viability • 6 Years Ago – IARA was 6 Years Old • 6 Years Ago . . .some thought that IARA might not make it . . .maybe just maybe . . .
  • 12. Then just like that – • 5 Years Ago – I became a Second VP for IARA • 2 Years Ago – I became President & Levi McCoy V.P. • . . .just maybe . . .
  • 13. Ten Year Anniversary • Then just like that it was here in Dallas, 2011. It was Cowboy Stadium. • It was . . . Just like that . . . • IARA HAD ARRIVED! • A Decade . . .
  • 15. Then just like that – here we are 2013. • Today – Canada Committee – comes along with 24 new members • Today – IARA has $$$$$ in it Financial Statement, VERY SOLID INDEED! • Today – CAR is over 64 STRONG! Tomorrow . . . Soon, Levi is President! just maybe, just maybe – IARA!
  • 16. 2013 Accomplishments • Creation and growth of IARA Canada. • Auto IMS improvement recommendations. • Integrating with NAAA on critical Industry issues. • Working with NAAA to improve Policy Guidelines for Arbitrations & Online Purchases. • Working with NAAA Standards Committee to standardize Auction Announcements & Disclosures. • Partnered with the NAAA the present survey results to improve language in Vehicle History Reports. • Published an industry position paper on the future vision for Multiple Online Selling Venues. • Initiated initial audit template to be used for a Standardized CFPB Audit Process. • IARA Analysis to improve Remote Rep features. • Tremendous growth in CAR Certification enrollments & Certification Graduates. • IARA website FORUM BLOG created. • Twitter and Facebook presence created for IARA. • Strengthening of IARA Financial position. • Growth in Membership • Standard membership fees of $1,250 for all members to be billed out annually in January.
  • 18. IARA 2012-2013 New U.S. Members • 166 Auto Auction • America’s Auto Auction • Auction Edge • Capital One • Caprock Auto Remarketing • Complete Auto Services, Inc. • Dealer’s Auto Auction of the South • DEKRA Inspections • Diversified Vehicle Services • FLD, Inc. • Grow Financial Credit Union • Harley-Davidson Financial • Hearst Business Media • Hyundai Motor America • Liquid Motors, Inc. • Motor Lease Corp. • Porsche Cars North America • RSA-FiServ • Southeastern Auto Auction • Statewide Auto Auction
  • 19. Canadian Committee Update IARA Summer Roundtable August 2013
  • 20. Canadian Committee • Drive change to strengthen the Canadian Remarketing industry • Co-Develop industry guidelines for corporate performance standards • Conduct educational and training programs • Discuss and develop industry best practices • Provide a networking forum for remarketers • Assist international growth and exposure • Support and participate in industry events & seminars
  • 21. Canadian Committee Meetings & Events On track to hit our goal of hosting 3 annual IARA Canadian Committee Meetings in Canada Proposed & Planned Events in 2013 March CAR Conference - Las Vegas April Auto Remarketing Canada Conference – Toronto  IARA General Meeting  IARA Canadian Remarketing Remarketer of the Year Award June Canadian Committee Meeting – Toronto  Standardizing Condition Reports – Panel Discussion  Disclosures & Declarations – VHR Panel Discussion August IARA 2013 Summer Round Table - Dallas October Canadian Committee Meeting – Toronto December Canadian Committee Meeting – Toronto
  • 22. AutoRemarketing Canada Conference • AutoRemarketing Canada Conference in Toronto – over 700 attendees! – Hosted an IARA Canadian Committee meeting with over 100 in attendance – Presented our current IARA Canadian initiatives, conducted a membership drive – 7 new prospective members approached us after meeting – Hosted our first “Consignors Only Meeting” • IARA Canadian Committee Award Presented at AR Canada Conference John Carere – National Remarketing Manager – RBC Automotive Finance (ALLY) IARA / AR Canada – Remarketer of the Year Award 2013
  • 23. Canadian Committee Accomplishments • Met our goal of hosting three Canadian Committee meetings in Toronto in 2012 and are on track for 2013. • Each meeting / event hosted record attendance! • Hosted 2 “Consignor Only” events • Continue to host monthly Canadian Committee conference calls. • Canadian committee leads are joining U.S. Committee conference calls. • Created a NEW membership enrollment process.
  • 24. Canadian Sub-Committee Teams • Education and Certification John Paonessa – Lead (GM Financial) Gerry Corcoran - Pattison Lease Claudio De Angelis – Foss Steve Langdon - ADESA Brent Burpee - CarFax Dave Sutton Membership Development Doug Collis – Lead (Ford) Marty Meadows - CarProof Stu Ralph - North Toronto Kathy Ward – Canadian Black Book Press & PR Josh Bailey – Lead (Canadian Black Book) Stu Ralph – North Toronto Remy Rousseau – Rousseau Publications Industry Recognition and Rewards Alex Johnston – Lead (Hyundai) Larry Shred – Canadian Black Book Richard Pasta – Kia Canada Technology and Standards Volunteer Needed!!!! Don Wallace – Co-Lead (Manheim) Kim Thomson - Porsche Bernard de Souza - Nissan Larry Shred – CBB Lisa Scott – ADESA / Openlane - NAAA
  • 25. Current & Completed Canadian Initiatives • Post Sale Inspection standardization – Recent panel discussion • Disclosure & Declaration standardization – Recent VHR panel discussion • Monitor/provide industry input into pending provincial MVDA legislation – NS, SK and MB updates • Central Repository for OEM Build Data – New Initiative
  • 26. Current/Completed US/Cdn Initiatives • Multi-Platform Selling facilitation • Internet-based resources for remarketers • Align IARA and NAAA (Cdn) standards – Pending NAAA (US) draft and meeting July 1, 2013 • Structural Damage Policy revisions and clarifications – NAAA (US) draft revisions • Used Vehicle Condition Report & Grading System Standardization – panel discussion
  • 27. IARA Canadian Committee Membership • Current Canadian membership consists of 24 companies • Identified 28 new potential members • Will continue to expand membership base over the coming year.
  • 28. 2012-2013 New Canadian Members • ADESA / OpenLane Canada • Ally Bank / RBC • ARI • BMW Canada • Canadian Black Book • Canadian Dealer Services • CarFax • CarProof • Data Scan • Ford of Canada • Foss National Leasing • GM Financial Canada • Honda Finance Canada • Hyundai Auto Canada • Jim Pattison Lease • Kia Canada, Inc. • Manheim Canada • Mitsubishi Canada • Nissan Canada • North Toronto Auction • Pareto Corporation • Porsche Cars Canada • RSR Canada
  • 29. Membership News! • New Membership Registration - $1250 for all Members! • Membership renewal – a predetermined date will be set for annual renewal • Now accepting membership dues in Canadian Dollars!
  • 30. Membership Registration News! Our Canadian Membership Committee will be sending all current and prospective members an IARA membership package which will include: • Payment options in Canadian Dollars (invoice / online) • Membership benefits form • Contact info for Membership Committee
  • 31. On behalf of the IARA Canadian Committee Thank You for Your Support!
  • 32. August 20-21, 2013 Hyatt Regency Dallas, TX CERTIFIED AUTOMOTIVE REMARKETER (CAR) PROGRAM
  • 33. Certified Automotive Remarketer (CAR) The mission of CAR is to enhance and promote the profession of Vehicle Remarketing by providing the premier credential in the industry. Curriculum includes 20 courses in five units: 1. Remarketing Channels 2. Pre-sale Activities 3. Actual-sale Activities 4. Post-sale Activities 5. Legal, Ethics, and Terminology • Each module is 10-20 pages in length (great to read on planes!) • The test are multiple choice, a score of 75% or better is required to pass • Testing is available at industry events and throughout the country using CAR graduates and other approved proctors • Many recent graduates completed all 20 modules in less than 4 months!
  • 34. Education & Certification Update The IARA Certification program has really taken off! 120 – # of people who have taken at least one module toward certification 41 – # of companies supporting the certification process 20 – Number of companies with at least one CAR Graduate 70 – # of people who have successfully completed all 20 exams YTD
  • 35. Certified Automotive Remarketers 2008 - Sal Terranova Carolina AA Chris Wise Charleston AA 2009 - Ricky Beggs Black Book USA Dave Sutton CARFAX 2010 - Jim Jackson ARI John Elizaga Emkay Les Lynott Emkay Mona Spoon Emkay David Thompson Emkay Scott Braidwood ARI Steve Johnson ARI Jennifer Schade ARI Jill Tarallo Manheim/DealerTrack Brian McBrearty ARI Dave Seher ARI Chris Slaughter ARI John Wright ARI 2011 - Brian Garner ARI Fred Walerski ARI Gus Xamplas Donlen Mike Kreider Credit Acceptance 2012 - Phillip Finley JD Byrider Stephanie Gingras DAASW Irina Toader Manheim Rob Wagner Hyundai Bill McCready Charleston AA Laura Taylor Charleston AA Don Roccia Credit Acceptance Fred Uhter TSAA Jeannie Chiaromonte Bank of America Randy Gold CARFAX Mike Bradley 166 Auto Auction Jackie Malik Credit Acceptance Jiles Wanna TPC MGMNT Mark Hopkins Dealers AA Chuck Novince Manheim Scott Kolb United Road Jackie Matejewski Credit Acceptance Diane Scharafin CARFAX Juan Spears Credit Acceptance Rod Feuell Credit Acceptance 2013 (YTD) - Matthew Yoo CARFAX Mark Pelech Credit Acceptance Laura Westray Black Book USA Terry Park Black Book USA Drew Smith GM Financial Steve Collins Black Book USA Bill Boutwell Manheim-New England John McDavid Black Book USA Josh Giles Black Book USA David Heslet GM Financial Tim West Black Book USA Heather Crawford Black Book USA Scott Yarborough Black Book USA Eric Lawrence Black Book USA Zach Staruch Black Book USA Stacey Scarnati DAA Rockies Michelle Noblitt DAA Rockies Charles Cathey Black Book USA Mark Simpson Black Book USA John Carter GM Financial Joshua Hunt GM Financial Jimmy Marino GM Financial Chris Watkins GM Financial Levi McCoy LeasePlanUSA Randall Harshman LeasePlanUSA Spence Couch MidSouth AA Stephen "Derik" Page Black Book USA Brett Swanson Black Book USA Linda Amerman Black Book USA
  • 36. Online Remarketing Courses • Remarketing Orientation Courses – Online 24/7 • Delivered via Northwood University – CEU’s • More than 150 Participants to Date • Twelve Courses: • Terminology • Transportation • VIN description • Ethics • Resale Channels • Titling • Introduction to Remarketing • Inspections • Reconditioning • Guidebooks • Technology • Factors Affecting Values More information regarding both programs can be found at: www.iaraonline.org/training
  • 37. August 20-21, 2013 Hyatt Regency Dallas, TX Introductions!
  • 38. IARA Officers Robert Wagner, CAR President Levi McCoy, CAR Vice President Gus Xamplas, CAR Director Jeff Bescher Treasurer Mike Antich Secretary Bob Graham Chairman of the Board
  • 39. IARA Directors Jeannie Chiaromonte, CAR Don Fowler David Alfonso Eric Autenreith Dick Curtis Mary Haller Dan Heinrich
  • 40. IARA Directors Layne Weber Mike Kreider, CAR Chuck Novince, CAR Scott Kolb, CAR Tim Meta Jack Rennels Jason Herman
  • 41. IARA Committee Chairs Dave Alfonso Industry Recognition & Awards Mike Antich Press & Public Relations Communication Dave Sutton, CAR IARA CAR Certification Don Fowler - Membership Development & Recruitment Stephanie Gingras, CAR Technology & Social Media Dan Heinrich - Remarketing Industry Standards & Vehicle Certification Scot Kolb , CAR Education & Conference Management
  • 42. August 20-21, 2013 Hyatt Regency Dallas, TX SUMMER ROUNDTABLE
  • 43. NIADA Update Chase Tidwell Vice President of Media Services
  • 44. NIADA Overview Presentation Chase Tidwell VP of Media Services NIADA IARA Meeting, Dallas, TX 8-20-13
  • 46. Today’s Agenda  About NIADA  Benefits of Membership  NIADA Partnerships with NAAA and IAA  Membership Profile  Industry Trends  Regulatory Challenges  Auto Remarketing Challenges  Q&A
  • 47. About NIADA  Founded in 1946  5th largest trade association in the US  Focused on:  Legislative Advocacy  Regulatory Compliance Support  Member Education  Member Services Programs  Member Consulting Services  Industry Relations  Voice of the Independent Auto Retail Industry
  • 48. Benefits of Membership  Discounts on products & services  Legislative Advocacy  Educational Opportunities  Certified Master Dealer Program  NIADA National Convention & Expo  NIADA.TV Education Resources  NEW! Twenty Group Program  NIADA Leadership Conference  Industry News  Used Car Dealer Magazine  Annual Used Car Industry Report  NIADA Member Benefits Mailings and e-Newsletters  Business Resources  Expert advice on financing, marketing, taxes, legal matters and more.
  • 49. NIADA Partnership with NAAA  NIADA’s Used Car Dealer Magazine and NAAA’s On the Block Newsletter Merge.  One publication will be shared with all NAAA auctions /members and all NIADA Dealer Members  Cost effective and efficient way to inform and educate both auctions and used car dealers about each other’s side of the industry.  A great way to unify the remarketing industry and the dealers you do business with everyday.  New discounted Auction Directory Listing Packages available to all NAAA Members. Greater exposure and promotion of all of your consignment and lane sales at auctions nationwide.  NAAA’s Annual Report will merge with NIADA’s Annual Used Car Industry Report in 2014.  The release and availability of NAAA’s upcoming new arbitration policies to all NIADA Dealer Members
  • 50. NIADA & IAG Member Benefits  NIADA has recently worked with existing NIADA vendor discount programs that were originally designed for dealers to expand their services and provide similar discount programs specifically for the smaller independent auctions.  IAG and NIADA now offer excellent member benefits to help IAG members grow their business, protect their assets and enhance their profitability.  For a complete listing of over 20 IAG member benefit and discount programs through NIADA, visit www.independentauctiongroup.com and click on the member benefits tab from the home page.
  • 51. About our Members & the Used Vehicle Industry  Almost 38,000 Used Dealers Nationwide, according to CNW Research. (those that sell 10+ vehicles per month)  NIADA Members represent approximately 40% of the used vehicle retail market  14M units sold in 2012 worth $125-B dollars (CNW- 2012)  Average annual retail sales were at 370 units and at an average price of $8,916 (CNW- 2012)  82% of NIADA dealer member inventory sourced via auto auctions  Dealer Consignment Represented 58% of auction sales in 2012 (NAAA 2013 Annual Report)  Diverse Membership: Used Retail Operators, BHPH Dealers, New Car Franchise Dealers, Wholesalers
  • 52. Industry Trends  Increased competition from new vehicle franchise dealers. New dealers are holding onto and selling more used units instead of sending their trades to auction.  The Non-prime auto finance market continues to expand: 57% of used vehicle retail originations reported in 2012  F&I regulatory burden is growing: items such as adverse risk notice, red flags, risk based pricing, CFPB actions, etc. are keeping dealers and our entire industry on high alert.  Used vehicle demand is strong, There were 40M used retail units sold in 2012 (CNW 2012). For every new vehicle sold there were nearly three used sales.
  • 53. Regulatory Issues  FTC Used Car Rule Updates: Issues NIADA is monitoring:  Consumer groups continue to push for vehicle history data on every buyers guide  The need for Spanish Buyers Guides  OEM warranty remaining on all Buyers Guides.  CFPB Actions: Issues NIADA is monitoring:  ”Large market participants rule” effecting BHPH Dealers  2013 focus payday lenders, BHPH dealers  Adverse Risk, Risk Based Pricing, and Red Flags compliance  Rental Car Recall Vehicle Legislation
  • 54. Member Auto Remarketing Challenges  Becoming more familiar and comfortable with the online remarketing channels. Our Dealers still like to go to the auctions and kick those wheels.  Dealers are looking for auctions to provide more retail ready vehicles that they can place directly on the front line without having to take the time and energy to recondition them.  Finding the right market analytics tools to determine the correct inventory levels for the right customer at the right price  Competitive floorplan financing resources due to heightened level of wholesale investment
  • 55. Questions? Chase Tidwell VP Media Services NIADA Telephone: 817-640-3838 Email: chase@niada.com
  • 56. August 20-21, 2013 Hyatt Regency Dallas, TX SUMMER ROUNDTABLE
  • 57. NAAA Update Ira Silver, Ph.D. Economist
  • 58. THE ECONOMY, AUTO SALES & AUTO AUCTIONS Dr. Ira Silver NAAA Economist
  • 59. Slow Real GDP Growth 0.3 3.1 2.7 1.5 -2.7 2.0 -2.0 -8.3 -5.4 -0.4 1.3 3.9 1.6 3.9 2.8 2.8 -1.3 3.2 1.4 4.9 3.7 1.2 2.8 0.1 1.1 1.7 -11.0 -9.0 -7.0 -5.0 -3.0 -1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 7.0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Percent Change From Prior Quarter at Annual Rate Recession Percent Change From Prior Year Is this all bad?
  • 60. Slow Growth Does Not Quickly Create The Excesses That Lead To Recessions 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 11.0 12.0 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 Recession Unemployment Rate Recessions are preceded by very low unemployment And the economy is growing
  • 61. Institute for Supply Management Indexes Indicate Continued Growth Three-Month Moving Averages 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 Recession Manufacturing Activity Recession Level Nonmanufacturing Activity
  • 62. Employment Is Growing Change (thousand of Jobs) -1,000 -800 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 9 11 1 3 5 7 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Recession
  • 63. Auto Sales Recover (MILLIONS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AT ANNUAL RATE) 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12 Recession Light Vehicle (right scale)
  • 64. Auto Sales Recover (MILLIONS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AT ANNUAL RATE) Housing Recovery Starts 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12 Recession Housing Starts (left axis) Light Vehicle (right scale)
  • 65. Households Reduce Financial Obligations Financial Obligations as a Percent of Disposable Personal Income Back to Early 1980s Levels – Consumer Spending Will Grow 10.0 10.5 11.0 11.5 12.0 12.5 13.0 13.5 14.0 14.5 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Recession
  • 66. Household Wealth Recovers Supports Future Spending Stock Prices Surge & Home Prices Turn Up 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 300 500 700 900 1,100 1,300 1,500 1,700 1,900 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 Recession S&P500 Stock Price (left axis) House Price (right axis)
  • 67. Corporate Cash & Excess Reserves Will Ultimately Be Spent Billions of Dollars - 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Nonfinancial Corporate Cash Bank Excess Reserves
  • 68. Corporate Profitability At Record Levels Will Support Business Investment & Hiring 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Recession After-tax Profit Margin
  • 69. Other Economic Drivers Continued Monetary Stimulus If Needed “the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that this exceptionally low range for the federal funds rate will be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6-1/2 percent”
  • 70. Other Economic Drivers Continued Monetary Stimulus If Needed “the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that this exceptionally low range for the federal funds rate will be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6-1/2 percent”
  • 71. Other Economic Drivers Continued Monetary Stimulus If Needed “the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and currently anticipates that this exceptionally low range for the federal funds rate will be appropriate at least as long as the unemployment rate remains above 6-1/2 percent”
  • 72. Other Economic Drivers The World Is Looking Better
  • 73. Other Economic Drivers U.S. Energy Production Soars (Quadrillion BTU) 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 00 03 06 09 12 Natural Gas Oil
  • 74. Other Economic Drivers A potential game changer! Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Natural Gas Prices Dollars per Thousand Cubic Fee
  • 75. Better Times Are Ahead! Real GDP Percent Change -0.3 -2.8 2.5 1.8 2.8 1.5 3.0 -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 2.0 3.5
  • 76. Auto Sales Recover (MILLIONS OF UNITS, SEASONALLY ADJUSTED AT ANNUAL RATE) 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12 Recession Light Vehicle (right scale)
  • 78. New Vehicle Sales Continue Strong Recovery Millions of Units 16.6 16.9 16.9 16.5 16.1 13.2 10.4 11.6 12.7 14.4 15.6 16.7 -1% 1% 0% -3% -3% -18% -21% 11% 10% 13% 8% 7% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 New Vehicle Sales Percent Change
  • 79. AUCTION UNIT VOLUME PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR -30.0 -20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 2010 2011 2012 2013 Dealer Consignment Commercial Consignment Total AuctionNet Strong new car sales
  • 80. AUCTION UNIT VOLUME PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR -30.0 -20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 2010 2011 2012 2013 Dealer Consignment Commercial Consignment Total AuctionNet Weak past new car sales Strong new car sales
  • 81. AUCTION UNIT VOLUME PERCENT CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS YEAR [VALUE] -30.0 -20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 2010 2011 2012 2013 Dealer Consignment Commercial Consignment Total AuctionNet Weak past new car sales Strong new car sales Strong past new car sales
  • 82. Turnaround in Commercial Consignment Adds to Strong Dealer Consignment Millions of Units Sold 10.0 9.7 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.5 8.9 8.3 7.7 7.9 8.4 9.0 4.6% -3.0% -2.8% 1.2% 0.3% -0.6% -5.9% -7.1% -7.6% 3.3% 6% 8% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Units Sold Percent Change NAAA Survey, NAAA
  • 83. Bottom Line Better Times Are Ahead! • The economic recovery will strengthen • Auto sales will approach past levels • Auction volume will increase this year and next – And probably further on • Auctions need to ramp up to be able handle the increased business
  • 84. THE ECONOMY, AUTO SALES & AUTO AUCTIONS Dr. Ira Silver NAAA Economist
  • 85. Used Retail Sales Continue Recovering Millions of Units & Percent Change Source: CNW Research, NAAA 43.6 42.7 44.1 42.6 41.4 36.5 35.5 37.0 39.0 40.5 42.6 44.1 1.3% -2.0% 3.4% -3.6% -2.7% -11.8% -2.8% 3.9% 5.2% 4.5% 5.0% 3.5% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Used Vehicle Sales Percent Change
  • 86. August 20-21, 2013 Hyatt Regency Dallas, TX SUMMER ROUNDTABLE
  • 88. Vehicle Buying Trends For the Independent Auto Remarketers Association August 21, 2013
  • 89. Industry shifts to customer demands Historical Industry Shifts 1945: First Physical Auctions 1980s: First Reconditioning Centers 2003: First Simulcast Auctions 1990s: Floor Planning for Wholesale Purchases
  • 90. 2003 2012 3,400 Buyers 41,000 Buyers CAGR: 32% (Source: Manheim) Number of Buyers Purchasing Online A 12X Increase in Ten Years
  • 91. Number of Cars Purchased: Simulcast (Source: Manheim) 2003 2012 43,000 cars (Simulcast only) 553,000 cars (Simulcast only) CAGR: 34% A 13X Increase in Ten Years
  • 92. Number of Cars Purchased: Total Online A 22X Increase in Ten Years (Source: Manheim) A 22X Increase in Ten Years 2003 2012 43,000 cars (Simulcast only) 906,000 cars (Simulcast & OVE) CAGR: 40%
  • 93. No. of Dealers Buying Exclusively Online (Source: Manheim) A 22X Increase in Ten YearsBuyers are getting more comfortable buying online 2003 2012 - 0 - (No Dealers were exclusively only) 10,500 Dealers (15% of all Dealers)
  • 94. Year Page Views Visits 2009 14.8M 2.9M 2012 20.0M 4.1M OVE Dealer Traffic Buyers are getting more comfortable buying online (Source: Manheim)
  • 95. Year Avg. Monthly Views 2009 342,000 2012 677,000 Retail View More and more dealers are shopping (Source: Manheim)
  • 96. The Industry Does Move! Historical Industry Shifts 1945: First Physical Auctions 1980s: First Reconditioning Centers 2003: First Simulcast Auctions 1990s: Floor Planning for Wholesale Purchases  Mobile technology  Multi-platform  Exclusive online buying  Upstream buying 2013 shifts coming faster and faster:
  • 97.
  • 98. IARA 2013 Summer Roundtable Sponsors

Editor's Notes

  1. NADA in litigation with FTC around risk based pricing notification on behalf of dealers around rule that requires them to send a risk based pricing notice to consumer even if they did not pull the credit. Finance Co. help to provide notices to dealers can distribute properly when finance company is pulling the credit.
  2. FredUnemployment & capacity Utilization
  3. Fred/ISM Mfrg & NonmfgConsulting2\Data\Primary\Major Economic Data MQA & Charts,Final ChartsM + Slack T190
  4. Data\Fred\DebtService_DisposableIncomeTab: Chart, D30
  5. Fred\StockPrice_HousePrice
  6. Primary/Oil&Gas
  7. http://shaleoilplays.com/2012/10/map-of-world-natural-gas-prices/
  8. GDP WTC Tab: NAAA Charts G50