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LONGSHORTREPORT ISSUE 2	

                                                                                                                  MAY 2010
The latest news, blogs and commentary about people, events and companies in the securities ļ¬nancing industry: www.longshortreport.com




                                                         Will Duff Gordon 25th May
                                                         The man from Pru
                                                                               We are always keen to              announced.Ā Peer Aviva sees 24% of their
   ARTICLES                                                                     shine a light on the              shares in the hands of big asset managers
                                                                                facts when it comes to            and this is little changed. It will be
   BREVAN HOWARDā€™S                                                              highly publicized                 interesting to see if institutional investors
   NEW $200 MILLION
   COMMODITIES HEDGE                                                            M&A activity. UK                  continue to sell their holdings in PRU as
   FUND OPENS TO NEW                                                            listed Prudential's               events unfold.
   INVESTORS                                                                    attempted takeover of
   Brevan Howard Asset                                                          AIG's Asian                       Mark Faulkner 20th May
   Management LLP has begun                                                    insurance arm is in                This is politics, not
   raising assets from outside                             the news constantly. New news is that                  economics
   investors for its new Brevan                            they have listed shares in Hong Kong                                      There is tangible fear in
   Howard Commodities Strategies                           and Singapore very recently. So what are                                  the markets that has
   Master Fund Ltd. ... read more                          the facts and what is going on from a                                     been created by the
   about Brevan Howard online                              short interest perspective?                                               German
                                                                Ā                                                                     announcement of short
   DEUTSCHE BANK HIRES                                          The short base in PRU in London is                                   sale bans and
   PRIME FINANCE RISK                                      11.5% which is an increase of 60% on                                      exacerbated by the
   MANAGE                                                  where it was a week ago. 3 possible                                       possibility of a pan
   Last month, for example,
                                                                                                                  European application.
   Deutsche Bank hired risk
                                                                                                                        As I write the markets across Europe
   specialist Richard Newman from
                                                                                                                  are down over 2% and the CNBC
   JP Morgan to become its senior
                                                                                                                  banner reads ā€œ European Shares Tank on
   risk manager for global prime
                                                                                                                  Shorting ban fearsā€
   ļ¬nance. ... read more about
                                                                                                                        Ā 
   Deutsche Bank online
                                                                                                                        Playing to the German political
                                                                                                                  grandstand is not a good way to establish
   CITI LAUNCHES                                                                                                  a coherent economic policy.
   COLLATERAL                                              reasons for this large increase: 1.
                                                                                                                        Ā 
   MANAGEMENT SERVICE                                      Speculation that this deal is harmful to
   Rajen M. Shah was replaced as                                                                                        I never thought Iā€™d hear myself say
                                                           PRU and will lower its share price over
   global head of custody at JP                                                                                   this BUT I agree with French Economy
                                                           the medium term (does this explain
   Morgan at the end of 2009 by                                                                                   Minister Christine Lagarde, who has
                                                           Lansdowne's publicly disclosed short
   Nick Rudenstine, global securities                                                                             spoken out against the German move
                                                           position?). 2. Are sub underwriting banks
   lending product head. ... read                                                                                 and conļ¬rmed that ā€œFrance would not be
                                                           shorting shares in the PRU to hedge
   more about Nick Rudenstine                                                                                     following a German move to ban the
                                                           themselves should the right issue not be
   online                                                                                                         naked short-selling of sovereign debt.ā€ -
                                                           fully subscribed and the shares to fall
                                                                                                                  She is talking a great deal of sense.
                                                           below the rights issue discount? 3. Will
                                                                                                                        Ā 
   U.S. STOCKS DROP ON                                     the issue of shares on other exchanges
   LENDING RATES; S&P 500                                                                                               Having spent two days with
                                                           lead to some arbitrage opportunities
   AT SIX-MONTH LOW                                                                                               European regulators last week trying to
                                                           between them if the price on one lags the
   Transatlantic Holdings Inc., ļ¬led a                                                                            explain the beneļ¬ts of the practice ā€“ his
                                                           others?
   demand for arbitration against the                                                                             frustration was obvious in remarks he
                                                                 Ā 
   company tied to losses of more                                                                                 made at a recent Boston conference.ā€No
                                                                 Meanwhile Institutions who lend
   than $350 million from securities                                                                              matter how much you want to impart
                                                           their shares own 21.7% of the PRU
   lending. ... read more online                                                                                  logic to these people, theyā€™re mired in
                                                           which compares with a comparative
                                                           ļ¬gure of 24% before the deal was




     THE LATEST NEWS AND COMMENTARY FOR THE SECURITIES FINANCING INDUSTRY	                                                          www.longshortreport.com
LONGSHORTREPORT ISSUE 2	

                                                                                              MAY 2010




their views of the past about the roles of    replaced by nerves about Sterling the
speculatorsā€.                                 next; both follow on the heels of IMF           PEOPLE
      Ā                                        warnings about US ļ¬scal woes.Ā  In the           Bradley Pattelli
      The Germans are mistaken in their       international game of pass the debt             Angelo Gordon's managing
backward looking and outdated                 parcel, marketsĀ cannot decide who will be       director and a member of its
perspective on this problem.                  the biggest loser.                              leveraged loan team, Bradley
      Blaming the speculators is missing            Austerity is looming; rising taxes and    Pattelli, has quit from his current
the point. There are greater forces at        cuts in spending are likely to check the        role... read more online
work.                                         recovery in a number of economies. But
      The Germans are playing politics        'quantitative easing' liquidityĀ is still
                                                                                              Steven Kandarian, MetLife
when sound economics is what is called        slopping around the system somewhereĀ -
                                                                                              ā€œWe have a securities lending
for.                                          UK headline inļ¬‚ation is currently more
                                                                                              business that performed above
      The markets not the speculators are     than 5%.Ā Ā So one scenario for the market
                                                                                              plan for 2009, and that certainly
telling them what they think of their         to worry about is stagļ¬‚ation, where
                                                                                              helped our resultsā€ ... read more
misguided intervention.Ā                       investors usually put a premium on real
                                                                                              online
      Naked short selling in the equity       assets - such asĀ housing, equities in
markets is a smoke screen and banning it      'boring' (ie safe) companies, gold, and
                                                                                              Robert Munro
will make no difference.                      index linked stocks - where these are
                                                                                              Religare Capital Markets appoints
      Reducing liquidity in the European      issued by Governments with a secure
Government Bond markets now may be            credit rating.... read more online
                                                                                              Robert Munro as COO ā€¦ read
like screaming ā€feuerā€ in a crowded
                                                                                              more
nightclub.                                    Andrew Dyson 21st May
                                                                                              Mahmood Noorani
      Ā                                        Where people really
      I hope not ā€“ but I fear so. ... read                                                    Has joined Citi Capital Advisors
                                              count
more online                                          There is no
                                                                                              from Bluecrest Capital
                                              doubt that the                                  Management .. read more
David Carruthers 21st May                     securities lending
How to save money                             industry draws on                               Helia Ebrahimi
      Money is in short supply at the         considerable                                    Man Group adds brawn to GLG's
moment.Ā  The recent Australian decision       expertise and                                   brain with $1.6bnā€¦ read more
to tax their gold mining companies has        experience as it
led to nervousness about a similar move       contemplates the challenges that it is          Pauline Modjeski
from the Canadian Government.Ā  The            facing today. When a beneļ¬cial owner or         Hedge Funds are using social
troubles in Thailand have hit the tourist     hedge fund client looks across the table at     media platforms like Blogger,
industry hard, with revenues expected to      a potential provider of either agency or        Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn,
be down by 20% this year.Ā  The German         prime brokerage services, one of the key        despite oft-cited concerns over
                      announcement of         questions that they have to ask themselves      running afoul of FINRA
                      curbs on naked CDS      is ā€˜can the people over the table sort things   regulations over allowable
                      purchases can be        out when they donā€™t go as planned?ā€™.            communications ... read more
                      seen as an attempt to          Notwithstanding the power of many
                      keep the Eurozone       organizations in terms of balance sheet
                      cost of capital down.   and operational capabilities this market is
                      The travails of the     still a ā€˜peopleā€™ business where experience      LongShortReport
                      Euro have focused       and speciļ¬c knowledge is at a premium.          Get the latest securities ļ¬nance
                     attention on             The second thing that I believe is that         and short selling news from all
currencies as an asset class.Ā Ā By deļ¬ntion    most businesses in this sector have been        the top ļ¬nancial publications in
they are a zero sum game - they can't all     remarkably well designed to withstand the       the US, Asia and Europe.
depreciate.Ā  But which are most likely to     sort of shocks that we saw around the
provide proļ¬ts for short sellers?Ā  Rumours    demise of Lehman Brothers.
of Japan being downgraded one day are

THE LATEST NEWS AND COMMENTARY FOR THE SECURITIES FINANCING INDUSTRY	                                     www.longshortreport.com

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LongShortReport Issue 2

  • 1. LONGSHORTREPORT ISSUE 2 MAY 2010 The latest news, blogs and commentary about people, events and companies in the securities ļ¬nancing industry: www.longshortreport.com Will Duff Gordon 25th May The man from Pru We are always keen to announced.Ā Peer Aviva sees 24% of their ARTICLES shine a light on the shares in the hands of big asset managers facts when it comes to and this is little changed. It will be BREVAN HOWARDā€™S highly publicized interesting to see if institutional investors NEW $200 MILLION COMMODITIES HEDGE M&A activity. UK continue to sell their holdings in PRU as FUND OPENS TO NEW listed Prudential's events unfold. INVESTORS attempted takeover of Brevan Howard Asset AIG's Asian Mark Faulkner 20th May Management LLP has begun insurance arm is in This is politics, not raising assets from outside the news constantly. New news is that economics investors for its new Brevan they have listed shares in Hong Kong There is tangible fear in Howard Commodities Strategies and Singapore very recently. So what are the markets that has Master Fund Ltd. ... read more the facts and what is going on from a been created by the about Brevan Howard online short interest perspective? German Ā  announcement of short DEUTSCHE BANK HIRES The short base in PRU in London is sale bans and PRIME FINANCE RISK 11.5% which is an increase of 60% on exacerbated by the MANAGE where it was a week ago. 3 possible possibility of a pan Last month, for example, European application. Deutsche Bank hired risk As I write the markets across Europe specialist Richard Newman from are down over 2% and the CNBC JP Morgan to become its senior banner reads ā€œ European Shares Tank on risk manager for global prime Shorting ban fearsā€ ļ¬nance. ... read more about Ā  Deutsche Bank online Playing to the German political grandstand is not a good way to establish CITI LAUNCHES a coherent economic policy. COLLATERAL reasons for this large increase: 1. Ā  MANAGEMENT SERVICE Speculation that this deal is harmful to Rajen M. Shah was replaced as I never thought Iā€™d hear myself say PRU and will lower its share price over global head of custody at JP this BUT I agree with French Economy the medium term (does this explain Morgan at the end of 2009 by Minister Christine Lagarde, who has Lansdowne's publicly disclosed short Nick Rudenstine, global securities spoken out against the German move position?). 2. Are sub underwriting banks lending product head. ... read and conļ¬rmed that ā€œFrance would not be shorting shares in the PRU to hedge more about Nick Rudenstine following a German move to ban the themselves should the right issue not be online naked short-selling of sovereign debt.ā€ - fully subscribed and the shares to fall She is talking a great deal of sense. below the rights issue discount? 3. Will Ā  U.S. STOCKS DROP ON the issue of shares on other exchanges LENDING RATES; S&P 500 Having spent two days with lead to some arbitrage opportunities AT SIX-MONTH LOW European regulators last week trying to between them if the price on one lags the Transatlantic Holdings Inc., ļ¬led a explain the beneļ¬ts of the practice ā€“ his others? demand for arbitration against the frustration was obvious in remarks he Ā  company tied to losses of more made at a recent Boston conference.ā€No Meanwhile Institutions who lend than $350 million from securities matter how much you want to impart their shares own 21.7% of the PRU lending. ... read more online logic to these people, theyā€™re mired in which compares with a comparative ļ¬gure of 24% before the deal was THE LATEST NEWS AND COMMENTARY FOR THE SECURITIES FINANCING INDUSTRY www.longshortreport.com
  • 2. LONGSHORTREPORT ISSUE 2 MAY 2010 their views of the past about the roles of replaced by nerves about Sterling the speculatorsā€. next; both follow on the heels of IMF PEOPLE Ā  warnings about US ļ¬scal woes.Ā  In the Bradley Pattelli The Germans are mistaken in their international game of pass the debt Angelo Gordon's managing backward looking and outdated parcel, marketsĀ cannot decide who will be director and a member of its perspective on this problem. the biggest loser. leveraged loan team, Bradley Blaming the speculators is missing Austerity is looming; rising taxes and Pattelli, has quit from his current the point. There are greater forces at cuts in spending are likely to check the role... read more online work. recovery in a number of economies. But The Germans are playing politics 'quantitative easing' liquidityĀ is still Steven Kandarian, MetLife when sound economics is what is called slopping around the system somewhereĀ - ā€œWe have a securities lending for. UK headline inļ¬‚ation is currently more business that performed above The markets not the speculators are than 5%.Ā Ā So one scenario for the market plan for 2009, and that certainly telling them what they think of their to worry about is stagļ¬‚ation, where helped our resultsā€ ... read more misguided intervention.Ā  investors usually put a premium on real online Naked short selling in the equity assets - such asĀ housing, equities in markets is a smoke screen and banning it 'boring' (ie safe) companies, gold, and Robert Munro will make no difference. index linked stocks - where these are Religare Capital Markets appoints Reducing liquidity in the European issued by Governments with a secure Government Bond markets now may be credit rating.... read more online Robert Munro as COO ā€¦ read like screaming ā€feuerā€ in a crowded more nightclub. Andrew Dyson 21st May Mahmood Noorani Ā  Where people really I hope not ā€“ but I fear so. ... read Has joined Citi Capital Advisors count more online There is no from Bluecrest Capital doubt that the Management .. read more David Carruthers 21st May securities lending How to save money industry draws on Helia Ebrahimi Money is in short supply at the considerable Man Group adds brawn to GLG's moment.Ā  The recent Australian decision expertise and brain with $1.6bnā€¦ read more to tax their gold mining companies has experience as it led to nervousness about a similar move contemplates the challenges that it is Pauline Modjeski from the Canadian Government.Ā  The facing today. When a beneļ¬cial owner or Hedge Funds are using social troubles in Thailand have hit the tourist hedge fund client looks across the table at media platforms like Blogger, industry hard, with revenues expected to a potential provider of either agency or Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn, be down by 20% this year.Ā  The German prime brokerage services, one of the key despite oft-cited concerns over announcement of questions that they have to ask themselves running afoul of FINRA curbs on naked CDS is ā€˜can the people over the table sort things regulations over allowable purchases can be out when they donā€™t go as planned?ā€™. communications ... read more seen as an attempt to Notwithstanding the power of many keep the Eurozone organizations in terms of balance sheet cost of capital down. and operational capabilities this market is The travails of the still a ā€˜peopleā€™ business where experience LongShortReport Euro have focused and speciļ¬c knowledge is at a premium. Get the latest securities ļ¬nance attention on The second thing that I believe is that and short selling news from all currencies as an asset class.Ā Ā By deļ¬ntion most businesses in this sector have been the top ļ¬nancial publications in they are a zero sum game - they can't all remarkably well designed to withstand the the US, Asia and Europe. depreciate.Ā  But which are most likely to sort of shocks that we saw around the provide proļ¬ts for short sellers?Ā  Rumours demise of Lehman Brothers. of Japan being downgraded one day are THE LATEST NEWS AND COMMENTARY FOR THE SECURITIES FINANCING INDUSTRY www.longshortreport.com