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Who Owns, Rents and
Buys Farmland Today
Speaker: Dr. Wendong Zhang, Iowa State University
Moderator: Dr. LeeAnn Moss, AcreValue
2
Our Speakers Today
Dr. Wendong Zhang, Iowa State University
● Assistant Professor of Economics
● Leading Researcher of Iowa Land Value
& Ownership Surveys
● ISU Center for Agricultural & Rural
Development affiliation
● Co-founder of new ISU China Ag center
● Ph.D., Ag Econ, Ohio State
Dr. LeeAnn Moss,
AcreValue
● Director of Industry Marketing
● Joined Granular in 2017
● Former farm real estate broker,
auctioneer and Appraiser
● Ph.D., Ag Econ, University of Illinois
Featured Guest:
1 / Quick Poll
2 / Farmland Ownership
3 / Farmland Leasing Relationships
4 / Landowner Characteristics
5 / The Future: What Could Change?
6 / Parcel-level Data with AcreValue
7 / Q&A
3
Today’s Agenda
4
Survey sources
Introduction
US-based survey 2014 (USDA)
▪ Tenure, Ownership and Transition of
Ag Land (TOTAL)
▪ Jointly done with USDA/NASS and
ERS
▪ Only nationally representative data
since 1999
Iowa-based survey 2017 (ISU)
▪ Iowa Statue University Farmland
Ownership and Tenure Survey
▪ Statistically representative of all
owners and all land
▪ Conducted every 5 years since 1982
5
Introduction
States the US TOTAL survey
covers
Trends in Farmland Ownership
Who owns it
How it’s acquired
7
Ownership
US farm assets: Land is > 80%
8
40% of land in farms is rented from others
All Operators
Owner-
operated
61%
Rented
from an
operator
8%
Owned by
non-operator
Landlords
31%
Non-operator Landlords
Individuals/
Partnerships
21% of all farmland
Corporation,
trusts, or other
owner 10% of
all farmland
Ownership
Over time, more land in trusts & corporations
9
Non-operators more likely to inherit land
Ownership
70% of land owned by operator landowners is
purchased
How Acquired
10
Existing farmers are primary buyers of Iowa farmland
Ownership
Investor share increased when farm income dropped
11
2012 2017
All <35 35-65 65-80 >80
Current
income
56% 49% 40% 56% 45% 41%
Long-term
investment
19% 19% 44% 15% 22% 19%
Family or
sentimental
22% 29% 0% 25% 30% 38%
Home 1% 2% 12% 2% 1% 1%
Recreation 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 0%
None given 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Primary reason
for Iowa owners
to own land
Ownership
12
Years Owned 2012 2017
> 50 Years
20%
8%
40-50 Years 12%
30-40 Years 15% 13%
20-30 Years 19% 20%
10-20 Years 21% 24%
< 10 Years 24% 24%
Farmland ownership
is a long-term
commitment
Ownership
IowaData
13
82% of Iowa land is owned free of debt
Ownership
Trends in Farmland Leasing
Relationships
Who are the
landlords
Lease types
Who are the tenants
15
Pastureland more likely to be owner-operated than cropland
Leasing
Pastureland
Owner-
operated
72%
Rented
28%
Cropland
Owner-
operated
46%
Rented
54%
16
Most rented farmland concentrated in cash grain production
regions
Leasing
% rented land is higher in areas with higher quality soils
17
A shift toward cash rent
Leasing
Crop share less popular in current low margin times
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1982 1992 2002 2007 2012 2017
PercentageofFarmland
Owner-operated Cash rent lease Crop share lease Other type of lease
%ofIowaFarmland
18
Tenants: who they are & their leasing relationships
Leasing
Non-operators offer longer term leases
30
%
22
%
48
%
relative
close friend
someone else
100
80
60
40
20
0
Trends in Landowner
CharacteristicsWhat’s changing
What’s not
Implications
20
US land ownership concentrated among older operators &
landlords
Landowner Characteristics
Concentration > 65 years old greater for non-operator landlords
21
Average age of both growers & labor force trending older
Landowner Characteristics
22
Half of leased land is owned by women
Landowner Characteristics
Percentage of Acres Rented
23
Landowners increasingly
educated
Landowner Characteristics
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1982 1992 2002 2007 2012 2017
PercentageofFarmland
< High school High school Some post high school BS, BA, etc. Graduate degree
24
57% of Iowa land is owned by those who do not currently
farm
Landowner Characteristics
Of those, 34% are owners with no farming experience
0%
50%
100%
2002 2007 2012 2017
Full-time farmer Part-time farmer Do not farm
The Future –
What Could Change?
26
The land market remains tight
The Future
4% of land expected to go on open market in a 5 year period
Plans to Sell in 2015 - 2019
27
Landowners: not planning to sell outside family or put land on market
The Future
Dominant land transfer methods: will, gift to family, or trusts
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1982 1992 2002 2007 2012 2017
PercentageofFarmland
Will to family Will to others Give to family Give to others
Sell to family Sell to others Put in trust Other
28
69% of Iowa land will not be sold: reasons are unknown
The Future
Retirement from farming encourages sales
Retirement from farming (7%)
Higher selling price per acre (3%)
Elimination of step-up basis tax benefits for heirs (3%)
Personal reasons (3%)
Decision will be made by heirs (2%)
Lower capital gains tax rate (2%)
Sale is in process (1%)
Not planning to sell (69%)
Don't know (9%)
2017
29
Summary & Looking Ahead
Trends & Looking Ahead
Cash rent is increasingly popular and
dominant
Land values under double downward
pressures (interest rate hikes + trade
uncertainty)
Lower land prices may present
opportunities for investors as return
(rent/land price) might increase
Trade disputes will impact younger farmers
more, especially those with financial stress
Land
Farmland is a long-term
investment
Farmland market will remain
tight, with land transfers mostly
within family
82% of Iowa land is owned
debt-free
29% of Iowa land owned
primarily for sentimental
reasons
Owners & Ownership
60% of land is owned by
owners 65+, a third by
75+
13% of Iowa land owned by
women 80+
Ownership shifting to trust
and corporations
More land owned by
owners with no farming
experience
How to Find Parcel and Ownership
Details in AcreValue
31
AcreValue
32
AcreValue
33
AcreValue
34
AcreValue
35
AcreValue
36
AcreValue
37
AcreValue
38
AcreValue
Final Polling
Questions
Q & A
Thank you
Contact Us:
LeeAnn Moss
leeannmoss@granular.ag
Wendong Zhang
wdzhang@iastate.edu

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Who Owns, Rents and Buys Farmland Today

  • 1. Who Owns, Rents and Buys Farmland Today Speaker: Dr. Wendong Zhang, Iowa State University Moderator: Dr. LeeAnn Moss, AcreValue
  • 2. 2 Our Speakers Today Dr. Wendong Zhang, Iowa State University ● Assistant Professor of Economics ● Leading Researcher of Iowa Land Value & Ownership Surveys ● ISU Center for Agricultural & Rural Development affiliation ● Co-founder of new ISU China Ag center ● Ph.D., Ag Econ, Ohio State Dr. LeeAnn Moss, AcreValue ● Director of Industry Marketing ● Joined Granular in 2017 ● Former farm real estate broker, auctioneer and Appraiser ● Ph.D., Ag Econ, University of Illinois Featured Guest:
  • 3. 1 / Quick Poll 2 / Farmland Ownership 3 / Farmland Leasing Relationships 4 / Landowner Characteristics 5 / The Future: What Could Change? 6 / Parcel-level Data with AcreValue 7 / Q&A 3 Today’s Agenda
  • 4. 4 Survey sources Introduction US-based survey 2014 (USDA) ▪ Tenure, Ownership and Transition of Ag Land (TOTAL) ▪ Jointly done with USDA/NASS and ERS ▪ Only nationally representative data since 1999 Iowa-based survey 2017 (ISU) ▪ Iowa Statue University Farmland Ownership and Tenure Survey ▪ Statistically representative of all owners and all land ▪ Conducted every 5 years since 1982
  • 5. 5 Introduction States the US TOTAL survey covers
  • 6. Trends in Farmland Ownership Who owns it How it’s acquired
  • 8. 8 40% of land in farms is rented from others All Operators Owner- operated 61% Rented from an operator 8% Owned by non-operator Landlords 31% Non-operator Landlords Individuals/ Partnerships 21% of all farmland Corporation, trusts, or other owner 10% of all farmland Ownership Over time, more land in trusts & corporations
  • 9. 9 Non-operators more likely to inherit land Ownership 70% of land owned by operator landowners is purchased How Acquired
  • 10. 10 Existing farmers are primary buyers of Iowa farmland Ownership Investor share increased when farm income dropped
  • 11. 11 2012 2017 All <35 35-65 65-80 >80 Current income 56% 49% 40% 56% 45% 41% Long-term investment 19% 19% 44% 15% 22% 19% Family or sentimental 22% 29% 0% 25% 30% 38% Home 1% 2% 12% 2% 1% 1% Recreation 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 0% None given 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% Primary reason for Iowa owners to own land Ownership
  • 12. 12 Years Owned 2012 2017 > 50 Years 20% 8% 40-50 Years 12% 30-40 Years 15% 13% 20-30 Years 19% 20% 10-20 Years 21% 24% < 10 Years 24% 24% Farmland ownership is a long-term commitment Ownership IowaData
  • 13. 13 82% of Iowa land is owned free of debt Ownership
  • 14. Trends in Farmland Leasing Relationships Who are the landlords Lease types Who are the tenants
  • 15. 15 Pastureland more likely to be owner-operated than cropland Leasing Pastureland Owner- operated 72% Rented 28% Cropland Owner- operated 46% Rented 54%
  • 16. 16 Most rented farmland concentrated in cash grain production regions Leasing % rented land is higher in areas with higher quality soils
  • 17. 17 A shift toward cash rent Leasing Crop share less popular in current low margin times 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1982 1992 2002 2007 2012 2017 PercentageofFarmland Owner-operated Cash rent lease Crop share lease Other type of lease %ofIowaFarmland
  • 18. 18 Tenants: who they are & their leasing relationships Leasing Non-operators offer longer term leases 30 % 22 % 48 % relative close friend someone else 100 80 60 40 20 0
  • 19. Trends in Landowner CharacteristicsWhat’s changing What’s not Implications
  • 20. 20 US land ownership concentrated among older operators & landlords Landowner Characteristics Concentration > 65 years old greater for non-operator landlords
  • 21. 21 Average age of both growers & labor force trending older Landowner Characteristics
  • 22. 22 Half of leased land is owned by women Landowner Characteristics Percentage of Acres Rented
  • 23. 23 Landowners increasingly educated Landowner Characteristics 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1982 1992 2002 2007 2012 2017 PercentageofFarmland < High school High school Some post high school BS, BA, etc. Graduate degree
  • 24. 24 57% of Iowa land is owned by those who do not currently farm Landowner Characteristics Of those, 34% are owners with no farming experience 0% 50% 100% 2002 2007 2012 2017 Full-time farmer Part-time farmer Do not farm
  • 25. The Future – What Could Change?
  • 26. 26 The land market remains tight The Future 4% of land expected to go on open market in a 5 year period Plans to Sell in 2015 - 2019
  • 27. 27 Landowners: not planning to sell outside family or put land on market The Future Dominant land transfer methods: will, gift to family, or trusts 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 1982 1992 2002 2007 2012 2017 PercentageofFarmland Will to family Will to others Give to family Give to others Sell to family Sell to others Put in trust Other
  • 28. 28 69% of Iowa land will not be sold: reasons are unknown The Future Retirement from farming encourages sales Retirement from farming (7%) Higher selling price per acre (3%) Elimination of step-up basis tax benefits for heirs (3%) Personal reasons (3%) Decision will be made by heirs (2%) Lower capital gains tax rate (2%) Sale is in process (1%) Not planning to sell (69%) Don't know (9%) 2017
  • 29. 29 Summary & Looking Ahead Trends & Looking Ahead Cash rent is increasingly popular and dominant Land values under double downward pressures (interest rate hikes + trade uncertainty) Lower land prices may present opportunities for investors as return (rent/land price) might increase Trade disputes will impact younger farmers more, especially those with financial stress Land Farmland is a long-term investment Farmland market will remain tight, with land transfers mostly within family 82% of Iowa land is owned debt-free 29% of Iowa land owned primarily for sentimental reasons Owners & Ownership 60% of land is owned by owners 65+, a third by 75+ 13% of Iowa land owned by women 80+ Ownership shifting to trust and corporations More land owned by owners with no farming experience
  • 30. How to Find Parcel and Ownership Details in AcreValue
  • 40. Thank you Contact Us: LeeAnn Moss leeannmoss@granular.ag Wendong Zhang wdzhang@iastate.edu

Editor's Notes

  1. Put Iowa Data somewhere - done
  2. JANE, WENDONG WANTS TO ADD THIS SLIDE
  3. Need to add “Iowa Data” somewhere - Maybe Y axis could read “% of Iowa Farmland” ??? - done
  4. Chart of the RHS has the wrong Y axis label – should go to 100%, not 30%.
  5. Remove first column (Owner operator)
  6. Wendong sent more recent data for the last columns… need to replace. - done In short, label last blue column 2012 (instead of 2007) and number should be 58.3 (instead of 57.1)
  7. Change Y axis to percentages. - done So in other words, 0.9 would change to 90
  8. Did say: …for any reason