SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 9
Ivan Kaufman
Market Update
Q2 2016
ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10
ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 1
Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016
$0.0
$50.0
$100.0
$150.0
$200.0
$250.0
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
YTD16
US CMBS Issuance
Source: Arbor, Commercial Mortgage Alert, Trepp
CMBS Issuance
United States, All Property Types, Billions
Through June 2016, CMBS issuance totaled $30.7 billion, an annual pace of $61.4 billion, and 44% below the $54.5 billion volume
completed through the first six months of last year. At the start of the year, issuance for 2016 was estimated to reach $100 billion, although
now those estimates have been cut substantially. For all of 2015, a total of $101.0 billion of CMBS was issued.
ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 2
$0.0
$20.0
$40.0
$60.0
$80.0
$100.0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Volume ($, Billions)
Source: Arbor, Real Capital Analytics
Total US CMBS Upcoming Loan Maturities
Billions of Dollars, As Of May 2016
Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016
ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 3
Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016
Source: Arbor, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, ICE Benchmark Administration
Selected Interest Rates
The Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy
remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation.
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16
U.S. Recession 10-Year Treasury 30-Year Mortgage Rate Federal Funds Rate LIBOR 1-Month U.S. Dollar
ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 4
Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016
The average asking rent in the U.S. reached $1,252/unit at the end of the second quarter, a 4.1% increase over the $1,203/unit average
reported one year ago and the 27th consecutive quarter of growth. The vacancy rate finished the quarter at 4.5%, up from 4.2% one year
ago, and the highest rate in three years.
Source: Arbor, Reis
Average Asking Rent and Vacancy
United States, Multifamily
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
1Q10
2Q10
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
1Q12
2Q12
3Q12
4Q12
1Q13
2Q13
3Q13
4Q13
1Q14
2Q14
3Q14
4Q14
1Q15
2Q15
3Q15
4Q15
1Q16
2Q16
Asking Rent ($/Unit) Vacancy (%)
ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 5
Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016
Foreign Investment in U.S. Multifamily Properties
Volume, Billions of U.S. Dollars
$0.0
$4.4
$8.8
$13.2
$17.6
$22.0
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015*
YTD16
Source: Arbor, Real Capital Analytics
* Includes $5.4 billion purchase of Peter Cooper Village & Stuyvesant Town
ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 6
Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016
U.S. Recession
Source: Arbor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Employment Growth
Total nonfarm payroll employment in the U.S. increased by 287,000 jobs in June. The largest gains were measured in leisure and hospitality,
health care and social assistance, and financial activities sectors. Employment also increased in information, mostly reflecting the return of
workers from the Verizon strike.
United States, All Employees, Total Nonfarm, Seasonally Adjusted
-900.0
-600.0
-300.0
0.0
300.0
600.0
Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16
Monthly Change 12-Month Moving Average
ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 7
Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
Apr-33to
Apr-37
Jul-38to
Jan-45
Nov-45to
Oct-48
Nov-49to
Jun-53
Jun-54to
Jul-57
May-58to
Mar-60
Mar-61to
Nov-69
Dec-70to
Oct-73
Apr-75to
Dec-79
Aug-80to
Jun-81
Dec-82to
Jun-90
Apr-91to
Feb-01
Dec-01to
Nov-07
Jul-09to
Current
Time Between Recessions (Months) Average
Source: Arbor, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, National Bureau of Economic Research
Time Between Recessions (1933 to Current)
NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted
Longest Time Between Recessions (Apr-91 to Feb-01): 119 mo.
Average Time Between Recessions: 60 mo.
Time Since Previous Recession: 84 mo.
ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10
About Us
Founded by Chairman and CEO Ivan Kaufman, Arbor, LLC and Arbor Commercial Funding, LLC are national direct lenders
specializing in loan origination and servicing for multifamily, seniors housing, healthcare and other diverse commercial
real estate assets. Arbor is a 2013 Top 10 Fannie Mae DUS® Multifamily Lender by volume, a Freddie Mac Program Plus®
Seller/Servicer and Small Balance Loan lender, an FHA Multifamily Accelerated Processing (MAP)/LEAN Lender, a HUD-
approved LIHTC Lender as well as a CMBS, Bridge and Mezzanine lender, consistently building on its reputation for
service, quality and flexibility. With a current servicing portfolio of more than $11 billion, Arbor is a primary commercial
loan servicer and special servicer rated by Standard & Poor’s and holds an Above Average rating from Standard & Poor’s.
Arbor is also on the Standard & Poor’s Select Servicer List and is a primary commercial loan servicer and loan level special
servicer rated by Fitch Ratings.
Arbor, LLC also manages Arbor Realty Trust, a real estate investment trust, (REIT), formed to invest in mortgage-related
securities, real estate-related bridge, junior participating interests in first mortgages, mezzanine loans, preferred and
direct equity investments and in limited cases, discounted mortgage notes and other real estate related assets. Arbor is
headquartered in Uniondale, NY, with full-service lending offices throughout the United States. For more information
about Arbor, visit www.arbor.com.
The research contained in this report should not be construed as a solicitation to and/or trade. All opinions, news,
research, analyses, prices or other information is provided as general market commentary and not as investment advice;
all information is subject to change. Arbor, its members, shareholders, employees, agents and representatives do not
warrant the completeness, accuracy or timeliness of the information supplied, and shall not be liable for any loss or
damages, consequential or otherwise, which may arise from the use or reliance on the content contained herein. Past
performance is not indicative of future performance.

More Related Content

What's hot

Median Home Price Stays Over $1MM - July/August Real Estate Report
Median Home Price Stays Over $1MM - July/August Real Estate ReportMedian Home Price Stays Over $1MM - July/August Real Estate Report
Median Home Price Stays Over $1MM - July/August Real Estate ReportAMSI, San Francisco
 
Home Sales Pop in March - Real Estate Report April/May
Home Sales Pop in March - Real Estate Report April/MayHome Sales Pop in March - Real Estate Report April/May
Home Sales Pop in March - Real Estate Report April/MayAMSI, San Francisco
 
Hyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly CommentaryHyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly Commentaryhyrejam
 
Home Prices Resume Upward Trend - May/June Real Estate Report
Home Prices Resume Upward Trend - May/June Real Estate ReportHome Prices Resume Upward Trend - May/June Real Estate Report
Home Prices Resume Upward Trend - May/June Real Estate ReportAMSI, San Francisco
 
A Bright Future For Housing in 2008
A Bright Future For Housing in 2008A Bright Future For Housing in 2008
A Bright Future For Housing in 2008John Taylor
 
Real Estate’s New Normal - April/May Real Estate Report
Real Estate’s New Normal  - April/May Real Estate ReportReal Estate’s New Normal  - April/May Real Estate Report
Real Estate’s New Normal - April/May Real Estate ReportAMSI, San Francisco
 

What's hot (6)

Median Home Price Stays Over $1MM - July/August Real Estate Report
Median Home Price Stays Over $1MM - July/August Real Estate ReportMedian Home Price Stays Over $1MM - July/August Real Estate Report
Median Home Price Stays Over $1MM - July/August Real Estate Report
 
Home Sales Pop in March - Real Estate Report April/May
Home Sales Pop in March - Real Estate Report April/MayHome Sales Pop in March - Real Estate Report April/May
Home Sales Pop in March - Real Estate Report April/May
 
Hyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly CommentaryHyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly Commentary
 
Home Prices Resume Upward Trend - May/June Real Estate Report
Home Prices Resume Upward Trend - May/June Real Estate ReportHome Prices Resume Upward Trend - May/June Real Estate Report
Home Prices Resume Upward Trend - May/June Real Estate Report
 
A Bright Future For Housing in 2008
A Bright Future For Housing in 2008A Bright Future For Housing in 2008
A Bright Future For Housing in 2008
 
Real Estate’s New Normal - April/May Real Estate Report
Real Estate’s New Normal  - April/May Real Estate ReportReal Estate’s New Normal  - April/May Real Estate Report
Real Estate’s New Normal - April/May Real Estate Report
 

Viewers also liked

Heparin market global revenue, trends, growth, share, size and forecast to 2022
Heparin market global revenue, trends, growth, share, size and forecast to 2022Heparin market global revenue, trends, growth, share, size and forecast to 2022
Heparin market global revenue, trends, growth, share, size and forecast to 2022Scalar Market Research
 
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16HR Advisors Conference Oct 16
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16Rashmi Chopra
 
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16 cover pg
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16 cover pgHR Advisors Conference Oct 16 cover pg
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16 cover pgRashmi Chopra
 
Education Institutions Tap Pure Storage
Education Institutions Tap Pure StorageEducation Institutions Tap Pure Storage
Education Institutions Tap Pure StorageChuck Quigley
 
Helloslide
HelloslideHelloslide
Helloslidezokni
 
West London report - Golden Mile
West London report - Golden MileWest London report - Golden Mile
West London report - Golden MileRashmi Chopra
 
Biofuels Digest 8-Slide Guide to Stora Enso
Biofuels Digest 8-Slide Guide to Stora EnsoBiofuels Digest 8-Slide Guide to Stora Enso
Biofuels Digest 8-Slide Guide to Stora EnsoSustainability Consult
 
Sex influenced Traits
Sex influenced TraitsSex influenced Traits
Sex influenced Traitsmfaizanilyas
 

Viewers also liked (14)

Heparin market global revenue, trends, growth, share, size and forecast to 2022
Heparin market global revenue, trends, growth, share, size and forecast to 2022Heparin market global revenue, trends, growth, share, size and forecast to 2022
Heparin market global revenue, trends, growth, share, size and forecast to 2022
 
Presentation1.PPTX
Presentation1.PPTXPresentation1.PPTX
Presentation1.PPTX
 
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16HR Advisors Conference Oct 16
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16
 
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16 cover pg
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16 cover pgHR Advisors Conference Oct 16 cover pg
HR Advisors Conference Oct 16 cover pg
 
Robert Kyle Kiefer
Robert Kyle KieferRobert Kyle Kiefer
Robert Kyle Kiefer
 
Wage slaves 87
Wage slaves 87Wage slaves 87
Wage slaves 87
 
Introducción
Introducción Introducción
Introducción
 
Education Institutions Tap Pure Storage
Education Institutions Tap Pure StorageEducation Institutions Tap Pure Storage
Education Institutions Tap Pure Storage
 
Royal Arch Collars
Royal Arch CollarsRoyal Arch Collars
Royal Arch Collars
 
Helloslide
HelloslideHelloslide
Helloslide
 
West London report - Golden Mile
West London report - Golden MileWest London report - Golden Mile
West London report - Golden Mile
 
Biofuels Digest 8-Slide Guide to Stora Enso
Biofuels Digest 8-Slide Guide to Stora EnsoBiofuels Digest 8-Slide Guide to Stora Enso
Biofuels Digest 8-Slide Guide to Stora Enso
 
10 lat w ue bilans (1)
10 lat w ue   bilans (1)10 lat w ue   bilans (1)
10 lat w ue bilans (1)
 
Sex influenced Traits
Sex influenced TraitsSex influenced Traits
Sex influenced Traits
 

Similar to Ivan Kaufman Q2 2016 CMBS Market Update

Arbor Small Multifamily Report Q1 2020
Arbor Small Multifamily Report Q1 2020Arbor Small Multifamily Report Q1 2020
Arbor Small Multifamily Report Q1 2020Ivan Kaufman
 
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview Q1 2019
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview Q1 2019Arbor U.S. Economic Overview Q1 2019
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview Q1 2019Ivan Kaufman
 
US Banking Industry Analysis | Valuation and Performance | Aranca Articles an...
US Banking Industry Analysis | Valuation and Performance | Aranca Articles an...US Banking Industry Analysis | Valuation and Performance | Aranca Articles an...
US Banking Industry Analysis | Valuation and Performance | Aranca Articles an...Aranca
 
Hyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly CommentaryHyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly Commentaryhyrejam
 
ClearPath Investment Perspectives - Nov 17 2014
ClearPath Investment Perspectives - Nov  17 2014ClearPath Investment Perspectives - Nov  17 2014
ClearPath Investment Perspectives - Nov 17 2014bcdconna
 
Arbor Single Family Rentals Report 2020 Q1
Arbor Single Family Rentals Report 2020 Q1Arbor Single Family Rentals Report 2020 Q1
Arbor Single Family Rentals Report 2020 Q1Ivan Kaufman
 
Annie Williams Market Report May-June 2016
Annie Williams Market Report May-June 2016Annie Williams Market Report May-June 2016
Annie Williams Market Report May-June 2016Jon Weaver
 
Annie Williams Real Estate Report - November 2020
Annie Williams Real Estate Report - November 2020Annie Williams Real Estate Report - November 2020
Annie Williams Real Estate Report - November 2020Jon Weaver
 
2010 Commercial Real EstateForecast
2010 Commercial Real EstateForecast2010 Commercial Real EstateForecast
2010 Commercial Real EstateForecastFerreras
 
Hyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly CommentaryHyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly Commentaryhyrejam
 
Hugh Johnson UAlbany MBA Presentation
Hugh Johnson UAlbany MBA PresentationHugh Johnson UAlbany MBA Presentation
Hugh Johnson UAlbany MBA PresentationDonald G. Purdy, M.A.
 
2016 Economic and Housing Real Estate Forecast-California Realtors Association
2016 Economic and Housing Real Estate Forecast-California Realtors Association2016 Economic and Housing Real Estate Forecast-California Realtors Association
2016 Economic and Housing Real Estate Forecast-California Realtors AssociationRealEstateEducation
 
Market Takes a Breather - Real Estate Report September/October
Market Takes a Breather - Real Estate Report September/OctoberMarket Takes a Breather - Real Estate Report September/October
Market Takes a Breather - Real Estate Report September/OctoberAMSI, San Francisco
 
Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016
Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016
Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016Annie Williams
 
2009 Syracuse Economic Outlook
2009 Syracuse Economic Outlook2009 Syracuse Economic Outlook
2009 Syracuse Economic Outlooksyrchamber
 
Buyers' Fatigue? - The Real Estate Report June/July
Buyers' Fatigue? - The Real Estate Report June/JulyBuyers' Fatigue? - The Real Estate Report June/July
Buyers' Fatigue? - The Real Estate Report June/JulyAMSI, San Francisco
 
Kliesen gascon october 15
Kliesen gascon october 15Kliesen gascon october 15
Kliesen gascon october 15kellygg
 
Anika Khan: Commercial Real Estate and Construction, Turning the Corner
Anika Khan: Commercial Real Estate and Construction, Turning the CornerAnika Khan: Commercial Real Estate and Construction, Turning the Corner
Anika Khan: Commercial Real Estate and Construction, Turning the CornerNikki Wagner
 
Outlook 2015 - Making Sense Of The Markets
Outlook 2015 - Making Sense Of The MarketsOutlook 2015 - Making Sense Of The Markets
Outlook 2015 - Making Sense Of The MarketsPhil Caulfield
 

Similar to Ivan Kaufman Q2 2016 CMBS Market Update (20)

Arbor Small Multifamily Report Q1 2020
Arbor Small Multifamily Report Q1 2020Arbor Small Multifamily Report Q1 2020
Arbor Small Multifamily Report Q1 2020
 
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview Q1 2019
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview Q1 2019Arbor U.S. Economic Overview Q1 2019
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview Q1 2019
 
US Banking Industry Analysis | Valuation and Performance | Aranca Articles an...
US Banking Industry Analysis | Valuation and Performance | Aranca Articles an...US Banking Industry Analysis | Valuation and Performance | Aranca Articles an...
US Banking Industry Analysis | Valuation and Performance | Aranca Articles an...
 
Hyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly CommentaryHyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly Commentary
 
ClearPath Investment Perspectives - Nov 17 2014
ClearPath Investment Perspectives - Nov  17 2014ClearPath Investment Perspectives - Nov  17 2014
ClearPath Investment Perspectives - Nov 17 2014
 
Arbor Single Family Rentals Report 2020 Q1
Arbor Single Family Rentals Report 2020 Q1Arbor Single Family Rentals Report 2020 Q1
Arbor Single Family Rentals Report 2020 Q1
 
Annie Williams Market Report May-June 2016
Annie Williams Market Report May-June 2016Annie Williams Market Report May-June 2016
Annie Williams Market Report May-June 2016
 
Annie Williams Real Estate Report - November 2020
Annie Williams Real Estate Report - November 2020Annie Williams Real Estate Report - November 2020
Annie Williams Real Estate Report - November 2020
 
Houston TRENDS 2014
Houston TRENDS 2014Houston TRENDS 2014
Houston TRENDS 2014
 
2010 Commercial Real EstateForecast
2010 Commercial Real EstateForecast2010 Commercial Real EstateForecast
2010 Commercial Real EstateForecast
 
Hyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly CommentaryHyre Weekly Commentary
Hyre Weekly Commentary
 
Hugh Johnson UAlbany MBA Presentation
Hugh Johnson UAlbany MBA PresentationHugh Johnson UAlbany MBA Presentation
Hugh Johnson UAlbany MBA Presentation
 
2016 Economic and Housing Real Estate Forecast-California Realtors Association
2016 Economic and Housing Real Estate Forecast-California Realtors Association2016 Economic and Housing Real Estate Forecast-California Realtors Association
2016 Economic and Housing Real Estate Forecast-California Realtors Association
 
Market Takes a Breather - Real Estate Report September/October
Market Takes a Breather - Real Estate Report September/OctoberMarket Takes a Breather - Real Estate Report September/October
Market Takes a Breather - Real Estate Report September/October
 
Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016
Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016
Annie Williams Real Estate Report Sept-Oct 2016
 
2009 Syracuse Economic Outlook
2009 Syracuse Economic Outlook2009 Syracuse Economic Outlook
2009 Syracuse Economic Outlook
 
Buyers' Fatigue? - The Real Estate Report June/July
Buyers' Fatigue? - The Real Estate Report June/JulyBuyers' Fatigue? - The Real Estate Report June/July
Buyers' Fatigue? - The Real Estate Report June/July
 
Kliesen gascon october 15
Kliesen gascon october 15Kliesen gascon october 15
Kliesen gascon october 15
 
Anika Khan: Commercial Real Estate and Construction, Turning the Corner
Anika Khan: Commercial Real Estate and Construction, Turning the CornerAnika Khan: Commercial Real Estate and Construction, Turning the Corner
Anika Khan: Commercial Real Estate and Construction, Turning the Corner
 
Outlook 2015 - Making Sense Of The Markets
Outlook 2015 - Making Sense Of The MarketsOutlook 2015 - Making Sense Of The Markets
Outlook 2015 - Making Sense Of The Markets
 

More from Ivan Kaufman

Small Apartment Properties Form Core of Workforce Rental Demand In the Top M...
 Small Apartment Properties Form Core of Workforce Rental Demand In the Top M... Small Apartment Properties Form Core of Workforce Rental Demand In the Top M...
Small Apartment Properties Form Core of Workforce Rental Demand In the Top M...Ivan Kaufman
 
Workforce Rental Demand Growing Faster In Smaller Metros
Workforce Rental Demand Growing Faster In Smaller Metros Workforce Rental Demand Growing Faster In Smaller Metros
Workforce Rental Demand Growing Faster In Smaller Metros Ivan Kaufman
 
The Changing Occupational Profile of Workforce Segment Renters
The Changing Occupational Profile of Workforce Segment Renters The Changing Occupational Profile of Workforce Segment Renters
The Changing Occupational Profile of Workforce Segment Renters Ivan Kaufman
 
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020Ivan Kaufman
 
Single-Family Rentals | Q2 2020 | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
Single-Family Rentals | Q2 2020 | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Single-Family Rentals | Q2 2020 | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
Single-Family Rentals | Q2 2020 | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Ivan Kaufman
 
Multifamily Properties Capture Largest Share of Overall U.S. Workforce Housin...
Multifamily Properties Capture Largest Share of Overall U.S. Workforce Housin...Multifamily Properties Capture Largest Share of Overall U.S. Workforce Housin...
Multifamily Properties Capture Largest Share of Overall U.S. Workforce Housin...Ivan Kaufman
 
How Large is the Workforce Housing Rental Segment?
How Large is the Workforce Housing Rental Segment? How Large is the Workforce Housing Rental Segment?
How Large is the Workforce Housing Rental Segment? Ivan Kaufman
 
Arbor EconomicOverview 2020 Q1
Arbor EconomicOverview 2020 Q1Arbor EconomicOverview 2020 Q1
Arbor EconomicOverview 2020 Q1Ivan Kaufman
 
Fewer Households Cost Burdened in Small Apartment Assets
Fewer Households Cost Burdened in Small Apartment AssetsFewer Households Cost Burdened in Small Apartment Assets
Fewer Households Cost Burdened in Small Apartment AssetsIvan Kaufman
 
Small Apartment Properties Pack Value For Money with More Space in Urban Adja...
Small Apartment Properties Pack Value For Money with More Space in Urban Adja...Small Apartment Properties Pack Value For Money with More Space in Urban Adja...
Small Apartment Properties Pack Value For Money with More Space in Urban Adja...Ivan Kaufman
 
Small Multifamily Loans | Arbor Q4 2019
Small Multifamily Loans | Arbor Q4 2019Small Multifamily Loans | Arbor Q4 2019
Small Multifamily Loans | Arbor Q4 2019Ivan Kaufman
 
Single-Family Rentals | Arbor Q4 2019
Single-Family Rentals | Arbor Q4 2019Single-Family Rentals | Arbor Q4 2019
Single-Family Rentals | Arbor Q4 2019Ivan Kaufman
 
Small Apartment Buildings Vital for Urban Workforce Housing
Small Apartment Buildings Vital for Urban Workforce HousingSmall Apartment Buildings Vital for Urban Workforce Housing
Small Apartment Buildings Vital for Urban Workforce HousingIvan Kaufman
 
Older Households Make Gains in Small Asset Unit Demand, Millennial Households...
Older Households Make Gains in Small Asset Unit Demand, Millennial Households...Older Households Make Gains in Small Asset Unit Demand, Millennial Households...
Older Households Make Gains in Small Asset Unit Demand, Millennial Households...Ivan Kaufman
 
Families With Children Dominate Single-Family Rental Demand, Single Renters o...
Families With Children Dominate Single-Family Rental Demand, Single Renters o...Families With Children Dominate Single-Family Rental Demand, Single Renters o...
Families With Children Dominate Single-Family Rental Demand, Single Renters o...Ivan Kaufman
 
Single-Family Rental Market | Q3 2019
Single-Family Rental Market | Q3 2019 Single-Family Rental Market | Q3 2019
Single-Family Rental Market | Q3 2019 Ivan Kaufman
 
US Economic Overview | Q3 2019
US Economic Overview | Q3 2019US Economic Overview | Q3 2019
US Economic Overview | Q3 2019Ivan Kaufman
 
Small Buildings Still Dominate Apartment Renter Shares
Small Buildings Still Dominate Apartment Renter SharesSmall Buildings Still Dominate Apartment Renter Shares
Small Buildings Still Dominate Apartment Renter SharesIvan Kaufman
 
Small Building Renters Are Growing in a Handful of Regional Markets Amidst Ge...
Small Building Renters Are Growing in a Handful of Regional Markets Amidst Ge...Small Building Renters Are Growing in a Handful of Regional Markets Amidst Ge...
Small Building Renters Are Growing in a Handful of Regional Markets Amidst Ge...Ivan Kaufman
 
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview 2018 q4
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview 2018 q4Arbor U.S. Economic Overview 2018 q4
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview 2018 q4Ivan Kaufman
 

More from Ivan Kaufman (20)

Small Apartment Properties Form Core of Workforce Rental Demand In the Top M...
 Small Apartment Properties Form Core of Workforce Rental Demand In the Top M... Small Apartment Properties Form Core of Workforce Rental Demand In the Top M...
Small Apartment Properties Form Core of Workforce Rental Demand In the Top M...
 
Workforce Rental Demand Growing Faster In Smaller Metros
Workforce Rental Demand Growing Faster In Smaller Metros Workforce Rental Demand Growing Faster In Smaller Metros
Workforce Rental Demand Growing Faster In Smaller Metros
 
The Changing Occupational Profile of Workforce Segment Renters
The Changing Occupational Profile of Workforce Segment Renters The Changing Occupational Profile of Workforce Segment Renters
The Changing Occupational Profile of Workforce Segment Renters
 
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
 
Single-Family Rentals | Q2 2020 | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
Single-Family Rentals | Q2 2020 | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Single-Family Rentals | Q2 2020 | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
Single-Family Rentals | Q2 2020 | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc.
 
Multifamily Properties Capture Largest Share of Overall U.S. Workforce Housin...
Multifamily Properties Capture Largest Share of Overall U.S. Workforce Housin...Multifamily Properties Capture Largest Share of Overall U.S. Workforce Housin...
Multifamily Properties Capture Largest Share of Overall U.S. Workforce Housin...
 
How Large is the Workforce Housing Rental Segment?
How Large is the Workforce Housing Rental Segment? How Large is the Workforce Housing Rental Segment?
How Large is the Workforce Housing Rental Segment?
 
Arbor EconomicOverview 2020 Q1
Arbor EconomicOverview 2020 Q1Arbor EconomicOverview 2020 Q1
Arbor EconomicOverview 2020 Q1
 
Fewer Households Cost Burdened in Small Apartment Assets
Fewer Households Cost Burdened in Small Apartment AssetsFewer Households Cost Burdened in Small Apartment Assets
Fewer Households Cost Burdened in Small Apartment Assets
 
Small Apartment Properties Pack Value For Money with More Space in Urban Adja...
Small Apartment Properties Pack Value For Money with More Space in Urban Adja...Small Apartment Properties Pack Value For Money with More Space in Urban Adja...
Small Apartment Properties Pack Value For Money with More Space in Urban Adja...
 
Small Multifamily Loans | Arbor Q4 2019
Small Multifamily Loans | Arbor Q4 2019Small Multifamily Loans | Arbor Q4 2019
Small Multifamily Loans | Arbor Q4 2019
 
Single-Family Rentals | Arbor Q4 2019
Single-Family Rentals | Arbor Q4 2019Single-Family Rentals | Arbor Q4 2019
Single-Family Rentals | Arbor Q4 2019
 
Small Apartment Buildings Vital for Urban Workforce Housing
Small Apartment Buildings Vital for Urban Workforce HousingSmall Apartment Buildings Vital for Urban Workforce Housing
Small Apartment Buildings Vital for Urban Workforce Housing
 
Older Households Make Gains in Small Asset Unit Demand, Millennial Households...
Older Households Make Gains in Small Asset Unit Demand, Millennial Households...Older Households Make Gains in Small Asset Unit Demand, Millennial Households...
Older Households Make Gains in Small Asset Unit Demand, Millennial Households...
 
Families With Children Dominate Single-Family Rental Demand, Single Renters o...
Families With Children Dominate Single-Family Rental Demand, Single Renters o...Families With Children Dominate Single-Family Rental Demand, Single Renters o...
Families With Children Dominate Single-Family Rental Demand, Single Renters o...
 
Single-Family Rental Market | Q3 2019
Single-Family Rental Market | Q3 2019 Single-Family Rental Market | Q3 2019
Single-Family Rental Market | Q3 2019
 
US Economic Overview | Q3 2019
US Economic Overview | Q3 2019US Economic Overview | Q3 2019
US Economic Overview | Q3 2019
 
Small Buildings Still Dominate Apartment Renter Shares
Small Buildings Still Dominate Apartment Renter SharesSmall Buildings Still Dominate Apartment Renter Shares
Small Buildings Still Dominate Apartment Renter Shares
 
Small Building Renters Are Growing in a Handful of Regional Markets Amidst Ge...
Small Building Renters Are Growing in a Handful of Regional Markets Amidst Ge...Small Building Renters Are Growing in a Handful of Regional Markets Amidst Ge...
Small Building Renters Are Growing in a Handful of Regional Markets Amidst Ge...
 
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview 2018 q4
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview 2018 q4Arbor U.S. Economic Overview 2018 q4
Arbor U.S. Economic Overview 2018 q4
 

Recently uploaded

Kohinoor Flats In Hinjewadi Phase 2 | Homes Built To Suit Your Needs
Kohinoor Flats In Hinjewadi Phase 2 | Homes Built To Suit Your NeedsKohinoor Flats In Hinjewadi Phase 2 | Homes Built To Suit Your Needs
Kohinoor Flats In Hinjewadi Phase 2 | Homes Built To Suit Your Needsaidasheikh47
 
Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi +91-8447779280! !Best Woman Seeking Man Escor...
Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi +91-8447779280! !Best Woman Seeking Man Escor...Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi +91-8447779280! !Best Woman Seeking Man Escor...
Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi +91-8447779280! !Best Woman Seeking Man Escor...asmaqueen5
 
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 57 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 57 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort ServiceBDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 57 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 57 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort ServiceDelhi Call girls
 
2k Shot Call girls Aiims Delhi 9205541914
2k Shot Call girls Aiims Delhi 92055419142k Shot Call girls Aiims Delhi 9205541914
2k Shot Call girls Aiims Delhi 9205541914Delhi Call girls
 
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In DelhiLow Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhiasmaqueen5
 
Majestique Viman Nagar Pune Brochure.pdf
Majestique Viman Nagar Pune Brochure.pdfMajestique Viman Nagar Pune Brochure.pdf
Majestique Viman Nagar Pune Brochure.pdfBabyrudram
 
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, NoidaM3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noidasarak0han45400
 
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial VenturesM3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Venturessheltercareglobal
 
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports WorkTENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports WorkTurbo Tenant
 
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya DevelopmentProperties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya DevelopmentAntalya Development
 
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...asmaqueen5
 
Greater Vancouver Realtors Statistics Package April 2024
Greater Vancouver Realtors Statistics Package April 2024Greater Vancouver Realtors Statistics Package April 2024
Greater Vancouver Realtors Statistics Package April 2024VickyAulakh1
 
Call Girls in shastri nagar Delhi 8264348440 ✅ call girls ❤️
Call Girls in shastri nagar Delhi 8264348440 ✅ call girls ❤️Call Girls in shastri nagar Delhi 8264348440 ✅ call girls ❤️
Call Girls in shastri nagar Delhi 8264348440 ✅ call girls ❤️soniya singh
 
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E Brochure.pdf
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E  Brochure.pdfKolte Patil Kharadi Pune E  Brochure.pdf
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E Brochure.pdfabbu831446
 
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCRGirls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCRasmaqueen5
 
Maha Mauka Squarefeet Brochure |Maha Mauka Squarefeet PDF Brochure|
Maha Mauka Squarefeet Brochure |Maha Mauka Squarefeet PDF Brochure|Maha Mauka Squarefeet Brochure |Maha Mauka Squarefeet PDF Brochure|
Maha Mauka Squarefeet Brochure |Maha Mauka Squarefeet PDF Brochure|AkshayJoshi575980
 
Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi ☆↫8447779280 ❤Escorts Service In Delhi
Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi ☆↫8447779280 ❤Escorts Service In DelhiCall Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi ☆↫8447779280 ❤Escorts Service In Delhi
Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi ☆↫8447779280 ❤Escorts Service In Delhiasmaqueen5
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhidelhimodel235
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhidelhimodel235
 
Shapoorji Pallonji Joyville Vista Pune | Spend Your Family Time Together
Shapoorji Pallonji Joyville Vista Pune | Spend Your Family Time TogetherShapoorji Pallonji Joyville Vista Pune | Spend Your Family Time Together
Shapoorji Pallonji Joyville Vista Pune | Spend Your Family Time Togetheraidasheikh47
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Kohinoor Flats In Hinjewadi Phase 2 | Homes Built To Suit Your Needs
Kohinoor Flats In Hinjewadi Phase 2 | Homes Built To Suit Your NeedsKohinoor Flats In Hinjewadi Phase 2 | Homes Built To Suit Your Needs
Kohinoor Flats In Hinjewadi Phase 2 | Homes Built To Suit Your Needs
 
Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi +91-8447779280! !Best Woman Seeking Man Escor...
Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi +91-8447779280! !Best Woman Seeking Man Escor...Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi +91-8447779280! !Best Woman Seeking Man Escor...
Call Girls In Laxmi Nagar Delhi +91-8447779280! !Best Woman Seeking Man Escor...
 
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 57 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 57 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort ServiceBDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 57 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
BDSM⚡Call Girls in Sector 57 Noida Escorts >༒8448380779 Escort Service
 
2k Shot Call girls Aiims Delhi 9205541914
2k Shot Call girls Aiims Delhi 92055419142k Shot Call girls Aiims Delhi 9205541914
2k Shot Call girls Aiims Delhi 9205541914
 
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In DelhiLow Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
Low Rate ↬Call Girls in Trilokpuri Delhi ↫8447779280}Escorts Service In Delhi
 
Majestique Viman Nagar Pune Brochure.pdf
Majestique Viman Nagar Pune Brochure.pdfMajestique Viman Nagar Pune Brochure.pdf
Majestique Viman Nagar Pune Brochure.pdf
 
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, NoidaM3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
M3M 129 E Brochure Noida Expressway, Sector 129, Noida
 
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial VenturesM3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
M3M The Line Brochure - Premium Investment Opportunity for Commercial Ventures
 
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports WorkTENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
TENANT SCREENING REPORT SERVICES​ How Tenant Screening Reports Work
 
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya DevelopmentProperties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
Properties for Sale in Istanbul with Schools and Parks | Antalya Development
 
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
Call girls in new Ashok NagarDelhi꧁ 8447779280꧂ Escort Service Women Seeking ...
 
Greater Vancouver Realtors Statistics Package April 2024
Greater Vancouver Realtors Statistics Package April 2024Greater Vancouver Realtors Statistics Package April 2024
Greater Vancouver Realtors Statistics Package April 2024
 
Call Girls in shastri nagar Delhi 8264348440 ✅ call girls ❤️
Call Girls in shastri nagar Delhi 8264348440 ✅ call girls ❤️Call Girls in shastri nagar Delhi 8264348440 ✅ call girls ❤️
Call Girls in shastri nagar Delhi 8264348440 ✅ call girls ❤️
 
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E Brochure.pdf
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E  Brochure.pdfKolte Patil Kharadi Pune E  Brochure.pdf
Kolte Patil Kharadi Pune E Brochure.pdf
 
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCRGirls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
Girls in Kalyanpuri }Delhi↫8447779280↬Escort Service. In Delhi NCR
 
Maha Mauka Squarefeet Brochure |Maha Mauka Squarefeet PDF Brochure|
Maha Mauka Squarefeet Brochure |Maha Mauka Squarefeet PDF Brochure|Maha Mauka Squarefeet Brochure |Maha Mauka Squarefeet PDF Brochure|
Maha Mauka Squarefeet Brochure |Maha Mauka Squarefeet PDF Brochure|
 
Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi ☆↫8447779280 ❤Escorts Service In Delhi
Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi ☆↫8447779280 ❤Escorts Service In DelhiCall Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi ☆↫8447779280 ❤Escorts Service In Delhi
Call Girls In Mayur Vihar Delhi ☆↫8447779280 ❤Escorts Service In Delhi
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 6 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
 
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
9990771857 Call Girls in Dwarka Sector 2 Delhi (Call Girls) Delhi
 
Shapoorji Pallonji Joyville Vista Pune | Spend Your Family Time Together
Shapoorji Pallonji Joyville Vista Pune | Spend Your Family Time TogetherShapoorji Pallonji Joyville Vista Pune | Spend Your Family Time Together
Shapoorji Pallonji Joyville Vista Pune | Spend Your Family Time Together
 

Ivan Kaufman Q2 2016 CMBS Market Update

  • 1. Ivan Kaufman Market Update Q2 2016 ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10
  • 2. ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 1 Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016 $0.0 $50.0 $100.0 $150.0 $200.0 $250.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD16 US CMBS Issuance Source: Arbor, Commercial Mortgage Alert, Trepp CMBS Issuance United States, All Property Types, Billions Through June 2016, CMBS issuance totaled $30.7 billion, an annual pace of $61.4 billion, and 44% below the $54.5 billion volume completed through the first six months of last year. At the start of the year, issuance for 2016 was estimated to reach $100 billion, although now those estimates have been cut substantially. For all of 2015, a total of $101.0 billion of CMBS was issued.
  • 3. ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 2 $0.0 $20.0 $40.0 $60.0 $80.0 $100.0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Volume ($, Billions) Source: Arbor, Real Capital Analytics Total US CMBS Upcoming Loan Maturities Billions of Dollars, As Of May 2016 Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016
  • 4. ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 3 Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016 Source: Arbor, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, ICE Benchmark Administration Selected Interest Rates The Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 1/4 to 1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting further improvement in labor market conditions and a return to 2 percent inflation. Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 U.S. Recession 10-Year Treasury 30-Year Mortgage Rate Federal Funds Rate LIBOR 1-Month U.S. Dollar
  • 5. ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 4 Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016 The average asking rent in the U.S. reached $1,252/unit at the end of the second quarter, a 4.1% increase over the $1,203/unit average reported one year ago and the 27th consecutive quarter of growth. The vacancy rate finished the quarter at 4.5%, up from 4.2% one year ago, and the highest rate in three years. Source: Arbor, Reis Average Asking Rent and Vacancy United States, Multifamily 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% $800 $900 $1,000 $1,100 $1,200 $1,300 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 Asking Rent ($/Unit) Vacancy (%)
  • 6. ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 5 Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016 Foreign Investment in U.S. Multifamily Properties Volume, Billions of U.S. Dollars $0.0 $4.4 $8.8 $13.2 $17.6 $22.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015* YTD16 Source: Arbor, Real Capital Analytics * Includes $5.4 billion purchase of Peter Cooper Village & Stuyvesant Town
  • 7. ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 6 Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016 U.S. Recession Source: Arbor, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Growth Total nonfarm payroll employment in the U.S. increased by 287,000 jobs in June. The largest gains were measured in leisure and hospitality, health care and social assistance, and financial activities sectors. Employment also increased in information, mostly reflecting the return of workers from the Verizon strike. United States, All Employees, Total Nonfarm, Seasonally Adjusted -900.0 -600.0 -300.0 0.0 300.0 600.0 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 Monthly Change 12-Month Moving Average
  • 8. ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 7 Ivan Kaufman - Market Update Q2 2016 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 Apr-33to Apr-37 Jul-38to Jan-45 Nov-45to Oct-48 Nov-49to Jun-53 Jun-54to Jul-57 May-58to Mar-60 Mar-61to Nov-69 Dec-70to Oct-73 Apr-75to Dec-79 Aug-80to Jun-81 Dec-82to Jun-90 Apr-91to Feb-01 Dec-01to Nov-07 Jul-09to Current Time Between Recessions (Months) Average Source: Arbor, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, National Bureau of Economic Research Time Between Recessions (1933 to Current) NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted Longest Time Between Recessions (Apr-91 to Feb-01): 119 mo. Average Time Between Recessions: 60 mo. Time Since Previous Recession: 84 mo.
  • 9. ARBOR.COM • 1.800.ARBOR.10 About Us Founded by Chairman and CEO Ivan Kaufman, Arbor, LLC and Arbor Commercial Funding, LLC are national direct lenders specializing in loan origination and servicing for multifamily, seniors housing, healthcare and other diverse commercial real estate assets. Arbor is a 2013 Top 10 Fannie Mae DUS® Multifamily Lender by volume, a Freddie Mac Program Plus® Seller/Servicer and Small Balance Loan lender, an FHA Multifamily Accelerated Processing (MAP)/LEAN Lender, a HUD- approved LIHTC Lender as well as a CMBS, Bridge and Mezzanine lender, consistently building on its reputation for service, quality and flexibility. With a current servicing portfolio of more than $11 billion, Arbor is a primary commercial loan servicer and special servicer rated by Standard & Poor’s and holds an Above Average rating from Standard & Poor’s. Arbor is also on the Standard & Poor’s Select Servicer List and is a primary commercial loan servicer and loan level special servicer rated by Fitch Ratings. Arbor, LLC also manages Arbor Realty Trust, a real estate investment trust, (REIT), formed to invest in mortgage-related securities, real estate-related bridge, junior participating interests in first mortgages, mezzanine loans, preferred and direct equity investments and in limited cases, discounted mortgage notes and other real estate related assets. Arbor is headquartered in Uniondale, NY, with full-service lending offices throughout the United States. For more information about Arbor, visit www.arbor.com. The research contained in this report should not be construed as a solicitation to and/or trade. All opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information is provided as general market commentary and not as investment advice; all information is subject to change. Arbor, its members, shareholders, employees, agents and representatives do not warrant the completeness, accuracy or timeliness of the information supplied, and shall not be liable for any loss or damages, consequential or otherwise, which may arise from the use or reliance on the content contained herein. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Editor's Notes

  1. https://www.cmalert.com/market/statistics.pl https://www.cmalert.com/rankings.pl?Q=91
  2. https://www.cmalert.com/market/statistics.pl https://www.cmalert.com/rankings.pl?Q=91
  3. 10-Year Treasury http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/GS10 30-Year Conventional Mortgage Rate© (MORTG) https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/MORTG Effective Federal Funds Rate http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/FEDFUNDS?cid=118 1-Month London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), based on U.S. Dollar https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/USD1MTD156N
  4. http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001 http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
  5. http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001 http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm