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1 of 3
Drie dingen zijn nodig voor een issue:
(1 en 3 zijn meetbaar en voorspelbaar)

1. Probleembesef
2. Een onverwachte gebeurtenis (eventsetting)
3. Door voldoende massa/volume: diffusie (en
sociale bevestiging)
Issues in Nederland
1970 – 1980

1980 – 1990

1990 – 2000

2000 – 2010

2010 – 2020

Kern(energie)
Inflatie
Woningnood
Bewapening
Werkloosheid

Milieu
Autoverkeer
Gezondheidszorg
Energievoorz.

Minderheden
Werkloosheid
Sociale voorz.
Criminaliteit
Woningnood

Terrorisme
Onderwijs
Bankencrisis
Minderheden
Veiligheid

Europese Unie
Pensioenen
Werkloosheid
Privacy
Inkomensong.

Milieu (1970/71)

Kindermisbruik kerk Fijnstof?

Club van Rome
Tsjernobyl
Energiecrisis
Brundtland
Krakersrellen
Eigen risico
Lonen en prijzen
Three Miles Island

WAO crisis
Immigratie
Stijging misdaad
Recessie

9/11/Twin Towers
Lehman
Kredietcrisis
Fortuijn/V. Gogh
Priesters

Onverwachte gebeurtenissen

Bonuscultuur
Wikileaks
Snowden/NSA
Euro/Europa
Pensioenleeft.
Fase 3 Momentum milieuprobleem

30.00

20.00

10.00

nullijn

0.00

-10.00

-20.00
1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998

voorhoede

bezorgde burgers

stille meerderheid

achterhoede

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Issue congres 2014 - Gerard Bartels

  • 1. Drie dingen zijn nodig voor een issue: (1 en 3 zijn meetbaar en voorspelbaar) 1. Probleembesef 2. Een onverwachte gebeurtenis (eventsetting) 3. Door voldoende massa/volume: diffusie (en sociale bevestiging)
  • 2. Issues in Nederland 1970 – 1980 1980 – 1990 1990 – 2000 2000 – 2010 2010 – 2020 Kern(energie) Inflatie Woningnood Bewapening Werkloosheid Milieu Autoverkeer Gezondheidszorg Energievoorz. Minderheden Werkloosheid Sociale voorz. Criminaliteit Woningnood Terrorisme Onderwijs Bankencrisis Minderheden Veiligheid Europese Unie Pensioenen Werkloosheid Privacy Inkomensong. Milieu (1970/71) Kindermisbruik kerk Fijnstof? Club van Rome Tsjernobyl Energiecrisis Brundtland Krakersrellen Eigen risico Lonen en prijzen Three Miles Island WAO crisis Immigratie Stijging misdaad Recessie 9/11/Twin Towers Lehman Kredietcrisis Fortuijn/V. Gogh Priesters Onverwachte gebeurtenissen Bonuscultuur Wikileaks Snowden/NSA Euro/Europa Pensioenleeft.
  • 3. Fase 3 Momentum milieuprobleem 30.00 20.00 10.00 nullijn 0.00 -10.00 -20.00 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 voorhoede bezorgde burgers stille meerderheid achterhoede