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PJM 6005 - Individual Assignment - Project Scope Lessons
Learned and Integration Paper
Overview and Rationale
For this assignment, you will integrate all that you have learned
in Project Scope Management (PJM 6005). This paper will
outline your most relevant scope management ‘takeaways’ and
lessons learned. Moreover, you will provide your insights into
how scope management is integrated into the overall project
planning process to ensure success.
Program and Course Outcomes
This assignment is directly linked to the following key learning
outcomes from the course:
· Assess how project Scope Management impacts and integrates
with other project planning deliverables
· Conduct project scope management lessons learned
In addition to these key learning outcomes, you will also have
the opportunity to evidence the following skills through
completing this assignment:
· Critical thinking and analysis
· Problem solving
Essential Components & Instructions
Project integration management is the coordination of all
elements of a project.
Moreover, Project scope is part of the project planning process
that involves determining and documenting a list of
specific project goals, deliverables, features, functions, tasks,
deadlines, and ultimately costs. In other words, it is what needs
to be achieved and the work that must be done to successfully
deliver a project.
Please prepare a 6-8-page paper outlining the following:
1. Evaluate this question: “Why is project scope management
considered the foundation element of a successful project?”
2. Lessons Learned: Please identify 3 project scope
management lessons learned or best practices. How will you
use these lessons or best practices in the future to ensure
successful project planning?
3. Integration: Explain how project scope management
processes and outputs are used by other project management
elements (for example, project scheduling, resource allocation,
budgeting, risk management and quality management).
4. Please provide at least 4 additional references outside the
course texts and guides.
Format
Below are some key guidelines you will want to ensure you
follow in all three elements of this assignment. Think of this
short list as a quality control checklist, along with the attached
grading rubric.
· Paper should be submitted as a single file (MsWord or .pdf)
· You should include a cover page
· You should format the documents professionally
· References and citations are required
· Ensure you include the appropriate number of project scope
lessons learned (at least 3)
Please be sure to review the attached rubric. It along with these
assignment instructions will ensure you have a solid
understanding of the assignment requirements.
Rubric(s)
Assessment Element
Above Standards
Meets Standards
Approaching Standards
Below Standards
Not Evident
Project Scope Lessons Learned
(40%)
Paper provided an in-depth assessment on why project scope is
the foundation element of project success.
Student provided the 3 required lessons learned.
Moreover, student’s assessment of lessons learned demonstrated
superior understanding of effective project scope management
and how it can be effectively applied in future projects.
Paper provided an adequate assessment on why project scope is
the foundation element of project success.
Student provided the 3 required lessons learned.
Moreover, student’s assessment of lessons learned demonstrated
an adequate understanding of effective project scope
management and how it can be effectively applied in future
projects.
Paper provided a mostly adequate assessment on why project
scope is the foundation element of project success.
Student provided the 3 required lessons learned.
Moreover, student’s assessment of lessons learned demonstrated
a mostly adequate understanding of effective project scope
management and how it can be effectively applied in future
projects.
Paper provided an inadequate assessment on why project scope
is the foundation element of project success.
Student did not provided the 3 required lessons learned.
Moreover, student’s assessment of lessons learned demonstrated
an inadequate understanding of effective project scope
management and how it can be effectively applied in future
projects.
Assignment failed to provide required scope management
assessments asked for in the instructions.
Project Scope
Integration
(30%)
Paper demonstrated a superior explanation on how project scope
management processes and outputs are used by other project
management elements.
Paper demonstrated an adeqaute explanation on how project
scope management processes and outputs are used by other
project management elements.
Paper demonstrated a mostly adequate explanation on how
project scope management processes and outputs are used by
other project management elements.
Improvement required to meet standards.
Paper demonstrated an inadequate explanation on how project
scope management processes and outputs are used by other
project management elements.
Significant improvements required to meet standards.
The submission fails in a significant manner to capture relevant
scope management integration.
Critical Thinking
(15%)
Professional insights into depth and breadth of assignment -
goes WELL beyond assignment requirements project scope
management lessons learned and effective integration with other
project planning elements.
Professional insights into depth and breadth of assignment -
demonstrated comprehensive understanding of assignment
requirements for project scope management lessons learned and
effective integration with other project planning elements.
Insights into depth and breadth of assignment - demonstrated a
base understanding of assignment requirements for project
scope management lessons learned and effective integration
with other project planning elements.
Some improvements needed.
Insights into depth and breadth of assignment - demonstrated a
lack of understanding of the assignment requirements for
project scope management lessons learned and effective
integration with other project planning elements.
Significant improvements needed to meet standards.
Evidences a very poor understanding of the assignment
requirements for project scope management lessons learned and
effective integration with other project planning elements.
Grammar & Clarity
(15%)
All work grammatically correct with no misspellings or
grammatical mistakes. Expresses ideas and opinions clearly and
concisely in a manner appropriate to the assignment.
All work grammatically correct with rare misspellings.
Minimal errors in spelling, grammar, sentence structure and/or
other writing conventions but the reader is able to understand
what the writer meant.
Frequent errors in spelling, grammar, sentence structure, and/or
other writing conventions that distract the reader.
Writing contains numerous errors in spelling, grammar,
sentence structure, etc. that interfere with comprehension. The
reader is unable to understand some of the intended meaning.
The Cost of Capital
CHAPTER 9
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classroom use.
Topics in Chapter
Cost of capital components
Debt
Preferred stock
Common equity
WACC
Factors that affect WACC
Adjusting cost of capital for risk
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Determinants of Intrinsic Value:
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital
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What types of long-term capital do firms use?
Long-term debt
Some firms also use permanent short-term debt
Other firms have temporary short-term debt for seasonal
fluctuations in inventory, but this is usually not part of the
capital structure
Preferred stock
Common equity
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Capital Components
Capital components are sources of funding that come from
investors.
Accounts payable, accruals, and deferred taxes are not sources
of funding that come from investors, so they are not included in
the calculation of the cost of capital.
We do adjust for these items when calculating the cash flows of
a project, but not when calculating the cost of capital.
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Before-tax vs. After-tax Capital Costs
Tax effects associated with financing can be incorporated either
in capital budgeting cash flows or in cost of capital.
Most firms incorporate tax effects in the cost of capital.
Therefore, focus on after-tax costs.
Only cost of debt is affected.
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Historical (Embedded) Costs vs. New (Marginal) Costs
The cost of capital is used primarily to make decisions which
involve raising and investing new capital. So, we should focus
on marginal costs.
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Cost of Debt
Method 1: Ask an investment banker what the coupon rate
would be on new debt.
Method 2: Find the bond rating for the company and use the
yield on other bonds with a similar rating.
Method 3: Find the yield on the company’s debt, if it has any.
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A 15-year, 12% semiannual bond sells for $1,153.72. What’s
rd?
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Component Cost of Debt
Interest is tax deductible, so the after tax (AT) cost of debt is:
rd AT = rd BT(1 – T)
rd AT = 10%(1 – 0.25) = 7.5%.
Use nominal rate.
Flotation costs small, so ignore.
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Cost of preferred stock: Pps = $116.95; 10%Q; Par = $100; F =
5%
Use this formula:
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Time Line of Preferred
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Note:
Flotation costs for preferred are significant, so are reflected.
Use net price.
Preferred dividends are not deductible, so no tax adjustment.
Just rps.
Nominal rps is used.
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Is preferred stock more or less risky to investors than debt?
More risky; company not required to pay preferred dividend.
However, firms want to pay preferred dividend. Otherwise, (1)
cannot pay common dividend, (2) difficult to raise additional
funds, and (3) preferred stockholders may gain control of firm.
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Why is yield on preferred lower than rd?
Corporations own most preferred stock, because 50% of
preferred dividends are nontaxable to corporations.
Therefore, preferred often has a lower
B-T yield than the B-T yield on debt.
The A-T yield to investors and A-T cost to the issuer are higher
on preferred than on debt, which is consistent with the higher
risk of preferred.
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Example: rps = 9%, rd = 10%, T = 25%, Preferred exclusion =
50%
rps, AT = rps – rps(1 – % Exclusion)(T)
= 9% – 9%(1 – 0.50)(0.25) = 7.875%
rd, AT = 10% – 10%(0.25) = 7.50%
A-T Risk Premium on Preferred = 0.375%
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What are the two ways that companies can raise common
equity?
Directly, by issuing new shares of common stock.
Indirectly, by reinvesting earnings that are not paid out as
dividends (i.e., retaining earnings).
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Why is there a cost for reinvested earnings?
Earnings can be reinvested or paid out as dividends.
Investors could buy other securities, earning a return.
Thus, there is an opportunity cost if earnings are reinvested.
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Cost for Reinvested Earnings
Opportunity cost: The return stockholders could earn on
alternative investments of equal risk.
They could buy similar stocks and earn rs, or company could
repurchase its own stock and earn rs. So, rs, is the cost of
reinvested earnings and it is the cost of common equity.
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Three ways to determine the cost of equity, rs:
1. CAPM: rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)b
= rRF + (RPM)b.
2. DCF: rs = D1/P0 + g.
3. Own-Bond-Yield-Plus-Judgmental-Risk Premium: rs = rd
+ Bond RP.
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CAPM Cost of Equity: rRF = 5.6%, RPM = 6%,
b = 1.2
rs = rRF + (RPM )b
= 5.6% + (6.0%)1.2 = 12.8%.
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Issues in Using CAPM (1 of 2)
Most analysts use the rate on a long-term
(10 to 20 years) government bond as an estimate
of rRF.
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Issues in Using CAPM (2 of 2)
Most analysts use a rate of 3.5% to 6% for the market risk
premium (RPM)
Estimates of beta vary, and estimates are “noisy” (they have a
wide confidence interval).
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Dividend Growth Cost of Equity, rs:
D0 = $3.26; P0 = $50; g = 5.8%
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Estimating the Growth Rate
Use the historical growth rate if you believe the future will be
like the past.
Obtain analysts’ estimates: Value Line, Zacks, Yahoo!Finance.
Use the earnings retention model, illustrated on next slide.
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Earnings Retention Model (1 of 2)
Suppose the company has been earning 15% on equity (ROE =
15%) and has been paying out 62% of its earnings.
If this situation is expected to continue, what’s the expected
future g?
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Earnings Retention Model (2 of 2)
Growth from earnings retention model:
g = (Retention rate)(ROE)
g = (1 – Payout rate)(ROE)
g = (1 – 0.62)(15%) = 5.7%.
This is close to g = 5.8% given earlier.
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Could the dividend growth approach be applied if g is not
constant?
YES, nonconstant g stocks are expected to have constant g at
some point, generally in 5 to 10 years.
But calculations get complicated. See the Ch09 Mini Case.xlsx
or see Web 09B worksheet in the file Ch09 Tool Kit.xlsx.
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The Own-Bond-Yield-Plus-Judgmental-Risk-Premium Method:
rd = 10%, RP = 3.2%
rs = rd + Judgmental risk premium
rs = 10.0% + 3.2% = 13.2%
This judgmental-
RPM.
Produces ballpark estimate of rs. Useful check.=
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What’s a reasonable final estimate of
rs?MethodEstimateCAPM12.8%Dividend growth12.4%rd +
judgment13.2%Average12.8%
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Determining the Weights for the WACC
The weights are the percentages of the firm that will be
financed by each component.
If possible, always use the target weights for the percentages of
the firm that will be financed with the various types of capital.
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Target Weights
wd = 30%
wps = 10%
ws = 60%
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Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure
(1 of 6)
If you don’t know the targets, it is better to estimate the weights
using current market values than current book values.
Calculate the market value of debt if you have the information.
If you don’t know the market value of debt, then it is usually
reasonable to use the book values of debt, especially if the debt
is short-term.
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Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure
(2 of 6)
Debt
Price = $1,153.72
70,000 bonds
Market value of debt:
$1,153.72(70,000) = $80,760,400.
Approximately equal to $80.76 million.
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Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure
(3 of 6)
Preferred stock
Price = $116.95
200,000 shares
Market value of preferred stock:
$116.95(200,000) = $23,390,000.
Equal to $23.90 million.
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Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure
(4 of 6)
Common stock
Price = $50.00
3 million shares
Market value of preferred stock:
$50.00(3) = $150 million.
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Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure
(5 of 6)
Market value:
Debt = $80.76 million
Preferred = $23.30 million
Common = $150 million
Total value = $254.60 million
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Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure
(6 of 6)
Market value weights:
Debt = $80.76/$254.60 = 31.79%
Pref. = $23.30/$254.60 = 9.17%
Common = $150/$254.60 = 59.04%
The market value weights are very close to the target weights.
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What’s the WACC using the target weights?
WACC = wdrd(1 – T) + wpsrps + wsrs
WACC = 0.3(10%)(1 − 0.25) + 0.1(9%)
+ 0.6(12.8%)
WACC = 10.83%
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What factors influence a company’s WACC?
Uncontrollable factors:
Market conditions, especially interest rates.
The market risk premium.
Tax rates.
Controllable factors:
Capital structure policy.
Dividend policy.
Investment policy. Firms with riskier projects generally have a
higher cost of equity.
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Is the firm’s WACC correct for each of its divisions?
NO! The composite WACC reflects the risk of an average
project undertaken by the firm.
Different divisions may have different risks. The division’s
WACC should be adjusted to reflect the division’s risk and
capital structure.
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The Risk-Adjusted Divisional Cost of Capital
Estimate the cost of capital that the division would have if it
were a stand-alone firm.
This requires estimating the division’s beta, cost of debt, and
capital structure.
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Pure Play Method for Estimating Beta for a Division or a
Project
Find several publicly traded companies exclusively in project’s
business.
Use average of their betas as proxy for project’s beta.
Hard to find such companies.
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Accounting Beta Method for Estimating Beta
Run regression between project’s ROA and S&P Index ROA.
Accounting betas are correlated (0.5 – 0.6) with market betas.
But normally can’t get data on new projects’ ROAs before the
capital budgeting decision has been made.
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Divisional Cost of Capital Using CAPM (1 of 2)
Target debt ratio = 10%.
rd = 12%.
rRF = 5.6%.
Tax rate = 25%.
betaDivision = 1.7.
Market risk premium = 6%.
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Divisional Cost of Capital Using CAPM (2 of 2)
Division’s required return on equity:
rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)bDiv.
rs = 5.6% + (6%)1.7 = 15.8%.
WACCDiv. = wd rd(1 – T) + wsrs
= 0.1(12%)(1 – 0.25) + 0.9(15.8%)
= 15.12%
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Division’s WACC vs. Firm’s Overall WACC?
Division WACC = 15.12% versus company WACC = 10.83%.
“Typical” projects within this division would be accepted if
their returns are above 15.12%.
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What are the three types of project risk?
Stand-alone risk
Corporate risk
Market risk
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How is each type of risk used?
Stand-alone risk is easiest to calculate.
Market risk is theoretically best in most situations.
However, creditors, customers, suppliers, and employees are
more affected by corporate risk.
Therefore, corporate risk is also relevant.
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A Project-Specific, Risk-Adjusted Cost of Capital
Start by calculating a divisional cost of capital.
Use judgment to scale up or down the cost of capital for an
individual project relative to the divisional cost of capital.
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Costs of Issuing New Common Stock
When a company issues new common stock they also have to
pay flotation costs to the underwriter.
Issuing new common stock may send a negative signal to the
capital markets, which may depress stock price.
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Four Mistakes to Avoid
Current vs. historical cost of debt
Mixing current and historical measures to estimate the market
risk premium
Book weights vs. Market Weights
Incorrect cost of capital components
See next slides for details.
© 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Current vs. Historical Cost of Debt
When estimating the cost of debt, don’t use the coupon rate on
existing debt, which represents the cost of past debt.
Use the current interest rate on new debt.
© 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Estimating the Market Risk Premium
When estimating the risk premium for the CAPM approach,
don’t subtract the current long-term T-bond rate from the
historical average return on common stocks.
For example, if the historical rM has been about 12.2% and
inflation drives the current rRF up to 10%, the current market
risk premium is not 12.2% – 10% = 2.2%!
© 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Estimating Weights
Use the target capital structure to determine the weights.
If you don’t know the target weights, then use the current
market value of equity.
If you don’t know the market value of debt, then the book value
of debt often is a reasonable approximation, especially for
short-term debt.
© 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
Capital components are sources of funding that come from
investors.
Accounts payable, accruals, and deferred taxes are not sources
of funding that come from investors, so they are not included in
the calculation of the WACC.
We do adjust for these items when calculating project cash
flows, but not when calculating the WACC.
© 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for
use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for
classroom use.
(
)
(
)
(
)
ps
ps
ps
D
0.1$100
r
P1F$116.9510.05
$10
0.0909.0%
$111.10
==
--
===
(
)
(
)
0
1
s
00
D1g
D
rgg
Pp
$3.121.058
0.058
$50
6.6%5.8%
12.4%
+
=+=+
=+
=+
=
PJM 6005 - Individual Assignment - Project Scope Lessons Learned a.docx

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PJM 6005 - Individual Assignment - Project Scope Lessons Learned a.docx

  • 1. PJM 6005 - Individual Assignment - Project Scope Lessons Learned and Integration Paper Overview and Rationale For this assignment, you will integrate all that you have learned in Project Scope Management (PJM 6005). This paper will outline your most relevant scope management ‘takeaways’ and lessons learned. Moreover, you will provide your insights into how scope management is integrated into the overall project planning process to ensure success. Program and Course Outcomes This assignment is directly linked to the following key learning outcomes from the course: · Assess how project Scope Management impacts and integrates with other project planning deliverables · Conduct project scope management lessons learned In addition to these key learning outcomes, you will also have the opportunity to evidence the following skills through completing this assignment: · Critical thinking and analysis · Problem solving Essential Components & Instructions Project integration management is the coordination of all elements of a project. Moreover, Project scope is part of the project planning process that involves determining and documenting a list of specific project goals, deliverables, features, functions, tasks, deadlines, and ultimately costs. In other words, it is what needs to be achieved and the work that must be done to successfully deliver a project. Please prepare a 6-8-page paper outlining the following: 1. Evaluate this question: “Why is project scope management
  • 2. considered the foundation element of a successful project?” 2. Lessons Learned: Please identify 3 project scope management lessons learned or best practices. How will you use these lessons or best practices in the future to ensure successful project planning? 3. Integration: Explain how project scope management processes and outputs are used by other project management elements (for example, project scheduling, resource allocation, budgeting, risk management and quality management). 4. Please provide at least 4 additional references outside the course texts and guides. Format Below are some key guidelines you will want to ensure you follow in all three elements of this assignment. Think of this short list as a quality control checklist, along with the attached grading rubric. · Paper should be submitted as a single file (MsWord or .pdf) · You should include a cover page · You should format the documents professionally · References and citations are required · Ensure you include the appropriate number of project scope lessons learned (at least 3) Please be sure to review the attached rubric. It along with these assignment instructions will ensure you have a solid understanding of the assignment requirements. Rubric(s)
  • 3. Assessment Element Above Standards Meets Standards Approaching Standards Below Standards Not Evident Project Scope Lessons Learned (40%) Paper provided an in-depth assessment on why project scope is the foundation element of project success. Student provided the 3 required lessons learned. Moreover, student’s assessment of lessons learned demonstrated superior understanding of effective project scope management and how it can be effectively applied in future projects. Paper provided an adequate assessment on why project scope is the foundation element of project success. Student provided the 3 required lessons learned. Moreover, student’s assessment of lessons learned demonstrated an adequate understanding of effective project scope management and how it can be effectively applied in future projects. Paper provided a mostly adequate assessment on why project scope is the foundation element of project success. Student provided the 3 required lessons learned. Moreover, student’s assessment of lessons learned demonstrated a mostly adequate understanding of effective project scope management and how it can be effectively applied in future projects.
  • 4. Paper provided an inadequate assessment on why project scope is the foundation element of project success. Student did not provided the 3 required lessons learned. Moreover, student’s assessment of lessons learned demonstrated an inadequate understanding of effective project scope management and how it can be effectively applied in future projects. Assignment failed to provide required scope management assessments asked for in the instructions. Project Scope Integration (30%) Paper demonstrated a superior explanation on how project scope management processes and outputs are used by other project management elements. Paper demonstrated an adeqaute explanation on how project scope management processes and outputs are used by other project management elements. Paper demonstrated a mostly adequate explanation on how project scope management processes and outputs are used by other project management elements. Improvement required to meet standards. Paper demonstrated an inadequate explanation on how project scope management processes and outputs are used by other project management elements. Significant improvements required to meet standards. The submission fails in a significant manner to capture relevant scope management integration. Critical Thinking (15%) Professional insights into depth and breadth of assignment - goes WELL beyond assignment requirements project scope management lessons learned and effective integration with other project planning elements.
  • 5. Professional insights into depth and breadth of assignment - demonstrated comprehensive understanding of assignment requirements for project scope management lessons learned and effective integration with other project planning elements. Insights into depth and breadth of assignment - demonstrated a base understanding of assignment requirements for project scope management lessons learned and effective integration with other project planning elements. Some improvements needed. Insights into depth and breadth of assignment - demonstrated a lack of understanding of the assignment requirements for project scope management lessons learned and effective integration with other project planning elements. Significant improvements needed to meet standards. Evidences a very poor understanding of the assignment requirements for project scope management lessons learned and effective integration with other project planning elements. Grammar & Clarity (15%) All work grammatically correct with no misspellings or grammatical mistakes. Expresses ideas and opinions clearly and concisely in a manner appropriate to the assignment. All work grammatically correct with rare misspellings. Minimal errors in spelling, grammar, sentence structure and/or other writing conventions but the reader is able to understand what the writer meant. Frequent errors in spelling, grammar, sentence structure, and/or other writing conventions that distract the reader. Writing contains numerous errors in spelling, grammar, sentence structure, etc. that interfere with comprehension. The reader is unable to understand some of the intended meaning.
  • 6. The Cost of Capital CHAPTER 9 © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Topics in Chapter Cost of capital components Debt Preferred stock Common equity WACC Factors that affect WACC Adjusting cost of capital for risk © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Determinants of Intrinsic Value: The Weighted Average Cost of Capital © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 7. What types of long-term capital do firms use? Long-term debt Some firms also use permanent short-term debt Other firms have temporary short-term debt for seasonal fluctuations in inventory, but this is usually not part of the capital structure Preferred stock Common equity © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Capital Components Capital components are sources of funding that come from investors. Accounts payable, accruals, and deferred taxes are not sources of funding that come from investors, so they are not included in the calculation of the cost of capital. We do adjust for these items when calculating the cash flows of a project, but not when calculating the cost of capital. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Before-tax vs. After-tax Capital Costs Tax effects associated with financing can be incorporated either in capital budgeting cash flows or in cost of capital. Most firms incorporate tax effects in the cost of capital. Therefore, focus on after-tax costs. Only cost of debt is affected.
  • 8. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Historical (Embedded) Costs vs. New (Marginal) Costs The cost of capital is used primarily to make decisions which involve raising and investing new capital. So, we should focus on marginal costs. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost of Debt Method 1: Ask an investment banker what the coupon rate would be on new debt. Method 2: Find the bond rating for the company and use the yield on other bonds with a similar rating. Method 3: Find the yield on the company’s debt, if it has any. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. A 15-year, 12% semiannual bond sells for $1,153.72. What’s rd? © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 9. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Component Cost of Debt Interest is tax deductible, so the after tax (AT) cost of debt is: rd AT = rd BT(1 – T) rd AT = 10%(1 – 0.25) = 7.5%. Use nominal rate. Flotation costs small, so ignore. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost of preferred stock: Pps = $116.95; 10%Q; Par = $100; F = 5% Use this formula: © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Time Line of Preferred © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product
  • 10. or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Note: Flotation costs for preferred are significant, so are reflected. Use net price. Preferred dividends are not deductible, so no tax adjustment. Just rps. Nominal rps is used. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Is preferred stock more or less risky to investors than debt? More risky; company not required to pay preferred dividend. However, firms want to pay preferred dividend. Otherwise, (1) cannot pay common dividend, (2) difficult to raise additional funds, and (3) preferred stockholders may gain control of firm. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Why is yield on preferred lower than rd? Corporations own most preferred stock, because 50% of preferred dividends are nontaxable to corporations. Therefore, preferred often has a lower B-T yield than the B-T yield on debt. The A-T yield to investors and A-T cost to the issuer are higher on preferred than on debt, which is consistent with the higher risk of preferred.
  • 11. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Example: rps = 9%, rd = 10%, T = 25%, Preferred exclusion = 50% rps, AT = rps – rps(1 – % Exclusion)(T) = 9% – 9%(1 – 0.50)(0.25) = 7.875% rd, AT = 10% – 10%(0.25) = 7.50% A-T Risk Premium on Preferred = 0.375% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What are the two ways that companies can raise common equity? Directly, by issuing new shares of common stock. Indirectly, by reinvesting earnings that are not paid out as dividends (i.e., retaining earnings). © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Why is there a cost for reinvested earnings? Earnings can be reinvested or paid out as dividends. Investors could buy other securities, earning a return. Thus, there is an opportunity cost if earnings are reinvested.
  • 12. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Cost for Reinvested Earnings Opportunity cost: The return stockholders could earn on alternative investments of equal risk. They could buy similar stocks and earn rs, or company could repurchase its own stock and earn rs. So, rs, is the cost of reinvested earnings and it is the cost of common equity. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Three ways to determine the cost of equity, rs: 1. CAPM: rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)b = rRF + (RPM)b. 2. DCF: rs = D1/P0 + g. 3. Own-Bond-Yield-Plus-Judgmental-Risk Premium: rs = rd + Bond RP. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. CAPM Cost of Equity: rRF = 5.6%, RPM = 6%, b = 1.2 rs = rRF + (RPM )b
  • 13. = 5.6% + (6.0%)1.2 = 12.8%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Issues in Using CAPM (1 of 2) Most analysts use the rate on a long-term (10 to 20 years) government bond as an estimate of rRF. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Issues in Using CAPM (2 of 2) Most analysts use a rate of 3.5% to 6% for the market risk premium (RPM) Estimates of beta vary, and estimates are “noisy” (they have a wide confidence interval). © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Dividend Growth Cost of Equity, rs: D0 = $3.26; P0 = $50; g = 5.8%
  • 14. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating the Growth Rate Use the historical growth rate if you believe the future will be like the past. Obtain analysts’ estimates: Value Line, Zacks, Yahoo!Finance. Use the earnings retention model, illustrated on next slide. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Earnings Retention Model (1 of 2) Suppose the company has been earning 15% on equity (ROE = 15%) and has been paying out 62% of its earnings. If this situation is expected to continue, what’s the expected future g? © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Earnings Retention Model (2 of 2) Growth from earnings retention model: g = (Retention rate)(ROE) g = (1 – Payout rate)(ROE) g = (1 – 0.62)(15%) = 5.7%.
  • 15. This is close to g = 5.8% given earlier. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Could the dividend growth approach be applied if g is not constant? YES, nonconstant g stocks are expected to have constant g at some point, generally in 5 to 10 years. But calculations get complicated. See the Ch09 Mini Case.xlsx or see Web 09B worksheet in the file Ch09 Tool Kit.xlsx. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. The Own-Bond-Yield-Plus-Judgmental-Risk-Premium Method: rd = 10%, RP = 3.2% rs = rd + Judgmental risk premium rs = 10.0% + 3.2% = 13.2% This judgmental- RPM. Produces ballpark estimate of rs. Useful check.= © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 16. What’s a reasonable final estimate of rs?MethodEstimateCAPM12.8%Dividend growth12.4%rd + judgment13.2%Average12.8% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Determining the Weights for the WACC The weights are the percentages of the firm that will be financed by each component. If possible, always use the target weights for the percentages of the firm that will be financed with the various types of capital. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Target Weights wd = 30% wps = 10% ws = 60% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure (1 of 6) If you don’t know the targets, it is better to estimate the weights
  • 17. using current market values than current book values. Calculate the market value of debt if you have the information. If you don’t know the market value of debt, then it is usually reasonable to use the book values of debt, especially if the debt is short-term. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure (2 of 6) Debt Price = $1,153.72 70,000 bonds Market value of debt: $1,153.72(70,000) = $80,760,400. Approximately equal to $80.76 million. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure (3 of 6) Preferred stock Price = $116.95 200,000 shares Market value of preferred stock: $116.95(200,000) = $23,390,000. Equal to $23.90 million.
  • 18. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure (4 of 6) Common stock Price = $50.00 3 million shares Market value of preferred stock: $50.00(3) = $150 million. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure (5 of 6) Market value: Debt = $80.76 million Preferred = $23.30 million Common = $150 million Total value = $254.60 million © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating Weights for the Capital Structure (6 of 6)
  • 19. Market value weights: Debt = $80.76/$254.60 = 31.79% Pref. = $23.30/$254.60 = 9.17% Common = $150/$254.60 = 59.04% The market value weights are very close to the target weights. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What’s the WACC using the target weights? WACC = wdrd(1 – T) + wpsrps + wsrs WACC = 0.3(10%)(1 − 0.25) + 0.1(9%) + 0.6(12.8%) WACC = 10.83% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What factors influence a company’s WACC? Uncontrollable factors: Market conditions, especially interest rates. The market risk premium. Tax rates. Controllable factors: Capital structure policy. Dividend policy. Investment policy. Firms with riskier projects generally have a higher cost of equity. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be
  • 20. copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Is the firm’s WACC correct for each of its divisions? NO! The composite WACC reflects the risk of an average project undertaken by the firm. Different divisions may have different risks. The division’s WACC should be adjusted to reflect the division’s risk and capital structure. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. The Risk-Adjusted Divisional Cost of Capital Estimate the cost of capital that the division would have if it were a stand-alone firm. This requires estimating the division’s beta, cost of debt, and capital structure. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Pure Play Method for Estimating Beta for a Division or a Project Find several publicly traded companies exclusively in project’s business. Use average of their betas as proxy for project’s beta. Hard to find such companies.
  • 21. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Accounting Beta Method for Estimating Beta Run regression between project’s ROA and S&P Index ROA. Accounting betas are correlated (0.5 – 0.6) with market betas. But normally can’t get data on new projects’ ROAs before the capital budgeting decision has been made. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Divisional Cost of Capital Using CAPM (1 of 2) Target debt ratio = 10%. rd = 12%. rRF = 5.6%. Tax rate = 25%. betaDivision = 1.7. Market risk premium = 6%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Divisional Cost of Capital Using CAPM (2 of 2) Division’s required return on equity: rs = rRF + (rM – rRF)bDiv.
  • 22. rs = 5.6% + (6%)1.7 = 15.8%. WACCDiv. = wd rd(1 – T) + wsrs = 0.1(12%)(1 – 0.25) + 0.9(15.8%) = 15.12% © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Division’s WACC vs. Firm’s Overall WACC? Division WACC = 15.12% versus company WACC = 10.83%. “Typical” projects within this division would be accepted if their returns are above 15.12%. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. What are the three types of project risk? Stand-alone risk Corporate risk Market risk © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. How is each type of risk used? Stand-alone risk is easiest to calculate. Market risk is theoretically best in most situations.
  • 23. However, creditors, customers, suppliers, and employees are more affected by corporate risk. Therefore, corporate risk is also relevant. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. A Project-Specific, Risk-Adjusted Cost of Capital Start by calculating a divisional cost of capital. Use judgment to scale up or down the cost of capital for an individual project relative to the divisional cost of capital. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Costs of Issuing New Common Stock When a company issues new common stock they also have to pay flotation costs to the underwriter. Issuing new common stock may send a negative signal to the capital markets, which may depress stock price. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Four Mistakes to Avoid Current vs. historical cost of debt Mixing current and historical measures to estimate the market
  • 24. risk premium Book weights vs. Market Weights Incorrect cost of capital components See next slides for details. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Current vs. Historical Cost of Debt When estimating the cost of debt, don’t use the coupon rate on existing debt, which represents the cost of past debt. Use the current interest rate on new debt. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Estimating the Market Risk Premium When estimating the risk premium for the CAPM approach, don’t subtract the current long-term T-bond rate from the historical average return on common stocks. For example, if the historical rM has been about 12.2% and inflation drives the current rRF up to 10%, the current market risk premium is not 12.2% – 10% = 2.2%! © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use.
  • 25. Estimating Weights Use the target capital structure to determine the weights. If you don’t know the target weights, then use the current market value of equity. If you don’t know the market value of debt, then the book value of debt often is a reasonable approximation, especially for short-term debt. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. Capital components are sources of funding that come from investors. Accounts payable, accruals, and deferred taxes are not sources of funding that come from investors, so they are not included in the calculation of the WACC. We do adjust for these items when calculating project cash flows, but not when calculating the WACC. © 2020 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. ( ) ( ) ( ) ps