5. Delay between cause and effect: cigarettes, then lung cancer deaths Cigarettes per adult per day 10 5 0 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 USA: lung cancer lung cancer cigarette consumption + Lung cancer deaths per million per year 0 500 1,000
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8. Survival to age 70 and beyond: effect of smoking in male British doctors % survival from age 35 58% Cigarette smokers Non-smokers 81% 0 20 40 60 80 100 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Age 97 94 91 81 59 26 24 4 2 10 years 10 years
9. Effect of stopping smoking at about age 40 Non-smokers Cigarette smokers and gained about 9 years % survival from age 40 0 20 40 60 80 100 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Age Ex-smokers stopped at 35-44
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11. Looking back to 1970 death rates: of 100 men aged 35 … www.death s fromsmoking.net United Kingdom, 1970 www.death s fromsmoking.net *risks at year 1970 death rates for ages 35-69 • 42 would have died in middle age* 42% • 20 of these 42 deaths would have been from smoking 20
12. Male death in middle age: changing hazards* www.death s fromsmoking.net United Kingdom, 1950-2000 *risks at period-specific death rates for ages 35-69 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 44% 43% 42% 43% 42% 39% 37% 35% 31% 28% 25% All causes 15 18 19 20 20 17 16 14 11 8 6 Smoking
13. Male death in middle age: changing hazards* www.death s fromsmoking.net Poland, 1955-2000 *risks at period-specific death rates for ages 35-69 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 44% All causes 40% 39% 41% 41% 46% 46% 47% 45% 41% 6 8 9 12 13 16 19 20 19 16 Smoking
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15. Richard Doll (191 2 -2005), who stopped smoking cigarettes at age 37, p hotographed aged 91 at the 2004 BMJ press conference o n the 50-year results from his study of British doctors Michael Crabtree, copyright Troika Photos
16. Deaths from smoking: an electronic resource www.deathsfromsmoking.net Published by I nternational Union Against Cancer (UICC), Geneva: Switzerland, 2006 Funded by Clinical Trial Service Unit & Epidemiological Studies Unit (CTSU), University of Oxford International Union Against Cancer (UICC) Fogarty International Center, US NIH UK Medical Research Council Cancer Research UK Project team Richard Peto, Judith Watt, Jillian Boreham Project management Sin é ad Jones Advice and support Steve Woodward, Konrad Jamrozik, Lesley Walker, Trish Cotter Design bwa-design.co.uk
Editor's Notes
The hazards of smoking This presentation is about the hazards of smoking [CLICK] and the benefits of stopping