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Submitted by

              Allen Meshach

Game Theory
              Archana Yadav
              Ashwin John Oommen
              Edison P. K
              George T. Cherian
WHAT IS GAME THEORY?

• In strategic games, agents choose strategies that will
  maximize their return, given the strategies the other
  agents choose.
• The mathematics of human interactions
•   Assumptions:
    • The winner takes all, at the expense of the other player.
    • Game theory further assumes the two players are
      rational actors
    • Each is trying to maximize his gain or minimize his loss.
    • All payoffs are a gain for one player and a loss for the
      other player.
APPLICATIONS OF GAME THEORY

• Mathematics               •   Psychology
• Computer Science          •   Law
• Biology                   •   Military Strategy
• Economics                 •   Management
• Political Science         •   Sports
• International Relations   •   Game Playing
• Philosophy
KEY ELEMENTS OF A GAME


 • Players: Who is interacting?
 • Strategies: What are their options?
 • Payoffs: What are their incentives?
 • Information: What do they know?
 • Rationality: How do they think?
PURE STRATEGIES



• The upper value of the game is equal to the minimum
  of the maximum values in the columns.


• The lower value of the game is equal to the maximum
  of the minimum values in the rows.
PRISONER’S DILEMMA
• Two suspects arrested for a crime
• Prisoners decide whether to confess or not to
  confess
• If both confess, both sentenced to 3 months of jail
• If both do not confess, then both will be sentenced
  to 1 month of jail
• If one confesses and the other does not, then the
  confessor gets freed (0 months of jail) and the non-
  confessor sentenced to 9 months of jail
• What should each prisoner do?
PRISONER’S DILEMMA
Game Theory In
  BATMAN ?
STORY LINE

• The Joker has rigged two ferries carrying people
  out of Gotham to explode.
• One ferry carries mostly civilians with a
  substantial National Guard presence.
• The other ferry contains large numbers of prison
  inmates and some guards.
• The Joker has rigged both to explode, and he has
  given the crew on each boat the detonators.
• Only they have the detonator for the other boat.
CONTD …
 He announces the rules of the game to the crew
  and passengers of each vessel-


• Each of them have the power to blow up the other
  boat and then their boat will live.
• If they get to midnight with know no exploded
  boats, the Joker will detonate both.
• Any attempt to defuse the bombs will result in
  the destruction of both boats.
SOLUTION….??
• Clearly, the Joker's intention with this scheme was to
  have one of the boats blow up the other
• The boat filled with criminals could easily overpower the
  guards and blow up the boat of civilians to save
  themselves.
• The tricky part for the people on both boats is to try and
  guess what the other party is likely to do.
• The longer you wait, the more likely the scheme will be
  foiled and both will be saved.
• On the other hand, the longer you wait the more likely the
  other boat will decide to kill you.
Payoff Matrix - Simple Case

                                             Prisoner Boat

                                     Press Button        Don’t Press Button



Civilian Boat   Press Button         Not Allowed        ……. Dead


                Don’t Press Button   Dead.......       DeadDead
ASSUMPTIONS

 No consequences -- social or otherwise.
 The probability of rescue before midnight is zero.
 The option of both pressing the button is not
  allowed because presumably the blown up boat
  would not have that option.
BEST OPTION




The situation described in the simple matrix will end:


Both sets of passengers would be running to push the
 button.
Payoff Matrix - Complex Case

                                           Prisoner Boat

                                     Press Button      Don’t Press Button



Civilian Boat   Press Button         Not Allowed       Murderers Dead


                Don’t Press Button   Dead Murderers   DeadDead
                                                       (Possibility of rescue)
PROBLEMS IN SIMPLE CASE
 There would very likely be consequences to blowing up the other boat.


 For the civilian boat, there is the social stigma of being murderers -- even if
  it is murder of felons.


 For the prisoner boat, the social stigma may be less , but the legal
  consequences are probably greater.


 Thus, in pressing the button, both actors face a non-zero penalty.


 The penalty is trivial compared to being dead, but it is still there.
PROBLEMS IN SIMPLE CASE (CONTD…)
 This being a superhero movie there is a non-trivial probability that the
  people on both boats will be saved before midnight.


 The non-trivial possibility that both boats could live is a strong
  temptation to wait and not push the button.


 The presence of these two complexities explains why this situation
  doesn't immediately degenerate into explosion.


 The interesting part of game theory problems is that people vary in
  their estimation of probabilities of other people's actions and vary in
  their weighting of the different payoffs.


 This variation makes profit-maximizing play even more difficult to engineer.
Thank You…!!

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Game theory

  • 1. Submitted by Allen Meshach Game Theory Archana Yadav Ashwin John Oommen Edison P. K George T. Cherian
  • 2. WHAT IS GAME THEORY? • In strategic games, agents choose strategies that will maximize their return, given the strategies the other agents choose. • The mathematics of human interactions • Assumptions: • The winner takes all, at the expense of the other player. • Game theory further assumes the two players are rational actors • Each is trying to maximize his gain or minimize his loss. • All payoffs are a gain for one player and a loss for the other player.
  • 3. APPLICATIONS OF GAME THEORY • Mathematics • Psychology • Computer Science • Law • Biology • Military Strategy • Economics • Management • Political Science • Sports • International Relations • Game Playing • Philosophy
  • 4. KEY ELEMENTS OF A GAME • Players: Who is interacting? • Strategies: What are their options? • Payoffs: What are their incentives? • Information: What do they know? • Rationality: How do they think?
  • 5. PURE STRATEGIES • The upper value of the game is equal to the minimum of the maximum values in the columns. • The lower value of the game is equal to the maximum of the minimum values in the rows.
  • 6. PRISONER’S DILEMMA • Two suspects arrested for a crime • Prisoners decide whether to confess or not to confess • If both confess, both sentenced to 3 months of jail • If both do not confess, then both will be sentenced to 1 month of jail • If one confesses and the other does not, then the confessor gets freed (0 months of jail) and the non- confessor sentenced to 9 months of jail • What should each prisoner do?
  • 8. Game Theory In BATMAN ?
  • 9. STORY LINE • The Joker has rigged two ferries carrying people out of Gotham to explode. • One ferry carries mostly civilians with a substantial National Guard presence. • The other ferry contains large numbers of prison inmates and some guards. • The Joker has rigged both to explode, and he has given the crew on each boat the detonators. • Only they have the detonator for the other boat.
  • 10. CONTD … He announces the rules of the game to the crew and passengers of each vessel- • Each of them have the power to blow up the other boat and then their boat will live. • If they get to midnight with know no exploded boats, the Joker will detonate both. • Any attempt to defuse the bombs will result in the destruction of both boats.
  • 12. • Clearly, the Joker's intention with this scheme was to have one of the boats blow up the other • The boat filled with criminals could easily overpower the guards and blow up the boat of civilians to save themselves. • The tricky part for the people on both boats is to try and guess what the other party is likely to do. • The longer you wait, the more likely the scheme will be foiled and both will be saved. • On the other hand, the longer you wait the more likely the other boat will decide to kill you.
  • 13. Payoff Matrix - Simple Case Prisoner Boat Press Button Don’t Press Button Civilian Boat Press Button Not Allowed ……. Dead Don’t Press Button Dead....... DeadDead
  • 14. ASSUMPTIONS  No consequences -- social or otherwise.  The probability of rescue before midnight is zero.  The option of both pressing the button is not allowed because presumably the blown up boat would not have that option.
  • 15. BEST OPTION The situation described in the simple matrix will end: Both sets of passengers would be running to push the button.
  • 16. Payoff Matrix - Complex Case Prisoner Boat Press Button Don’t Press Button Civilian Boat Press Button Not Allowed Murderers Dead Don’t Press Button Dead Murderers DeadDead (Possibility of rescue)
  • 17. PROBLEMS IN SIMPLE CASE  There would very likely be consequences to blowing up the other boat.  For the civilian boat, there is the social stigma of being murderers -- even if it is murder of felons.  For the prisoner boat, the social stigma may be less , but the legal consequences are probably greater.  Thus, in pressing the button, both actors face a non-zero penalty.  The penalty is trivial compared to being dead, but it is still there.
  • 18. PROBLEMS IN SIMPLE CASE (CONTD…)  This being a superhero movie there is a non-trivial probability that the people on both boats will be saved before midnight.  The non-trivial possibility that both boats could live is a strong temptation to wait and not push the button.  The presence of these two complexities explains why this situation doesn't immediately degenerate into explosion.  The interesting part of game theory problems is that people vary in their estimation of probabilities of other people's actions and vary in their weighting of the different payoffs.  This variation makes profit-maximizing play even more difficult to engineer.