OS20 Online 17 December

1. 1EuFMD | Open Session special edition | #OS20se
Presenter: Dr Giulia Savioli MA VetMB MRCVS,
Veterinary Services of the Swiss Armed Forces
Authors: V Muñoz-Gómez1, G. Savioli2,3, B. Vosough Ahmadi4, M.
Schuppers1
1. SAFOSO AG
2. Veterinary Public Health Institute (VPHI), University of Bern, Switzerland
3. Veterinary Services of the Swiss Armed Forces
4. European Commission for the Control of Foot-and-Mouth Disease (EuFMD)
Funding: Swiss Federal Food Safety and Veterinary Office (FSVO)
A methodology to estimate indirect costs
associated with a possible outbreak of
Transboundary Animal Diseases (TADs) in
Switzerland

2. 2EuFMD | Open Session special edition | #OS20se
SUMMARY
The objective of our study was to understand the indirect impacts of an ASF outbreak in Switzerland
and the associated control measures on different Swiss economic sectors.
• Indirect Consequential Costs (ICCs) associated with TADs are potentially more significant than
Direct Costs (DCs), but are often more complex and difficult to identify
• Identification and characterisation of ICCs requires collection of both qualitative and quantitative
data - our methodology allows us to incorporate both types of data, from stakeholder interviews,
disease control legislation and industry data, into an economic model
• We used economic modelling - a cost calculator and a decision tree model - to inform decision
making in disease control policy.
• The decision tree model allows us to select the best disease control option, based on the cost
implications of the control measures, and to estimate the impact of uncertainty in our inputs
• This methodology is directly applicable to other TADs.

3. 3EuFMD | Open Session special edition | #OS20se
METHODOLOGY
LITERATURE REVIEW + STAKEHOLDER IDENTIFICATION
DATA COLLECTION + STAKEHOLDER INTERVIEWS
DATA CAPTURE
CONTROL MEASURE RANKING AND WEIGHTING
ANALYSIS:
COST CALCULATOR DECISION TREE ANALYSIS

4. 4EuFMD | Open Session special edition | #OS20se
COST CALCULATOR AND DECISION TREE MODELLING
MEASURES
IMPACTS
MAP
KEY RAW
FIGURES
COST
CALCULATOR
FIGURES
COST
CALCULATOR
DECISION
TREE
ANALYSIS
1. Identify how
measures would be
implemented in an
outbreak
2. Identify the
possible outcomes
and impacts,
breaking them
down into costs
3. Identify figures
required to
calculate the costs
4. Use cost calculator
outputs in the
decision tree model

5. eufmdvirtual.com
8, 10, 15, 17 December 2020
EuFMD / Open Session