2. learning objectives
⢠At the end of the session students are expected to be
acquainted with:
ď The classification of the basic epidemiological designs,
ď When to use a specific study design,
ď The strengths and weaknesses of the study designs,
ď How to operetionalize the specific study designs,
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3. Methods and Materials
ďźThe methods or procedures section is really the heart
of the research proposal
ďźMethods/procedures show how you will
ďźachieve the objectives and
ďźanswer the research question
ďźIndicates the methodological steps you will take
ďźto answer every question,
ďźto test every hypothesis or to address every objective
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4. Methods section includes:
ďś Study design,Study area and period
ďś Populations
ďś Study variables
ďś Eligibility (Inclusion and exclusion) criteria
ďś Sample size calculation, sampling methods & procedures
ďś Data collection techniques & tools
ďś Data quality control measures
ďś Plan for data processing and analysis
ďś Operational definitions
ďś Ethical considerations
ďś Plan for dissemination and utilization of findings
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5. Study Area and Period
⢠Study Area
ď§ Brief description of:
â the area,
âthe population,
âthe health service,
âstudy subjects distribution etc,
ď§ (from national census or other research
descriptions).
ď§ Study priod(data collection period)
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6. 2/22/2023 6
Study design
⢠The selection of study design depends on:
⢠The type of problem
⢠The current knowledge about the problem
⢠Availability of resources
⢠Different research questions may require
different study designs
⢠The selection of an appropriate study design for the
study is the most important decision the investigator
has to make.
7. Introduction to study designs
⢠Is a specific plan/protocol for conducting a study, which
allows the investigator to translate the conceptual
hypothesis into an operational one.
⢠Or it is the study approach to answer the research
question.
⢠The basic epidemiologic research designs are
categorized into:
â Descriptive
â Analytic
⢠Descriptive study is limited to a description to the
occurrence of a disease in a population by place, person
and time.
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8. Introduction cont...
⢠Analytic study goes further by analyzing relation between the health
outcome with possible determinants.
⢠Analytic studies are further classified into:
â Observational
â Interventional (Experimental).
⢠Observational studies allow nature to take its course: i.e. the investigator
measuresbut does not intervene.
⢠But interventional studies involve an active attempt by the investigator
to change a disease determinant or the progress of adisease through
treatment.
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10. Ecological/correlational study
⢠Is an epidemiological study in which the unit of
analysis is a population rather than an individual.
⢠Commonly Correlation Coefficient (r) is used as a
measure of association betw een disease and exposure.
⢠The populations compared in various ways.
â Geographical comparison: Look for geographical
correlations b/n disease incidence or mortality &
prevalence of risk factors.
â Time trend comparison: Look for the association b/n
exposure and health outcome across different points in
time.
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11. Ecological study
Advantagesof ecological studies:
⢠Often the information about disease and exposure is
abstracted from published statistics and therefore
does not require expensive or time consuming data
collection.
⢠It helps to generate a hypothesis.
⢠Used to examine rates of disease in relation to a
populationâlevel factors
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12. Ecological study
Disadvantagesof ecological studies:
⢠Exposure and disease are not linked at individual level.
⢠Lack of ability to control for effect of potential confounders.
⢠The ecological fallacy: The average value of the exposure and
outcome may not apply to all the individualsin a population.
⢠As a result an association observed b/n variables on an aggregate
level does not necessarily represent the association that existsat
individual level.
⢠Diagnostic criteria used in different population and time migh be
different.
⢠Difficulty to detect nonâlinear association between exposur and
outcome
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13. Ecological study
Example of ecological studies with prominent findings:
â Association b/n male circumcision and decreased risk
of HIV infection is noted through ecological studies in
late 1980âs.
â Association b/n the sale of inhaled broncoâdilators
without prescription with asthma death in UK in 1950âs
and 60âs.
â Association b/n prevalence of cigarette consumption
and death rate from cancer of the lung 1900â1
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14. Case Report/Series
⢠This is a descriptive study of a single individual (case
report) or small group (case series)
⢠It usually describes the clinical presentation of a rare
disease based on detailed clinical evaluation and histories
⢠It can also discussthe possibility of an association b/n an
observed effect and a specific exposure.
⢠Case report/seriesare usually considered:
â An unexpected association between exposure and disease,
â An unexpected association between diseases,
â An unexpected event in the course of observing or treating a
patient.
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15. Case Report/Series
Advantagesof case report/series:
â Usually provides the first evidence of innovative treatment and
emergence of a disease.
â Useful when the disease is uncommon.
â Useful to generate hypothesis
Disadvantagesof case report/series:
â Report is based on single or few patients
â No control group is involved/comparision
â Lack of a denominator to calculate rates of disease
Example:- One of the major findings based on case report is
identification of AIDS among 5 homosexual men with PCP
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16. Cross Sectional Studies
⢠Also know by the name survey or prevalence studies.
⢠It is the most commonly used epidemiologic study design.
⢠The typical feature of crossâsectional study is it involves
single period observation.
⢠Such studies are usually descriptive.
⢠Thus they focus on the assessment of the level exposure or
outcome at point in time.
⢠It is also possible to examine the relationship b/n a disease
and an exposure among individualsin a defined population at a
point in time.
⢠The later is sometimes called crossâsectional comparative
study or crossâsectional study with internal comparison
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17. Cross Sectional Studies
Advantagesof crosssectional studies:
â Useful for hypothesis generation.
â It is less resource and time consuming.
â provide generalizeable findings.
â Repeated crosssectional studies can indicate trend in disease or risk factor
Disadvantagesof crosssectional studies:
â Usually affected by âchicken or eggâdilemma.
â Not suitable for study of rare situations.
â Not suitable for the study of acute disease.
â Liable to âsurvivor biasâ (obtaining data only from those who
have survived to provide it)
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18. Case-control studies
⢠Subjects are selected with respect to presence or absence
of the outcome of interest (e.g. disease), and then inquiries
are made about past exposure to the factors of interest.
⢠Those who have the outcome of interest are termed
asâcasesâ, and those who do not have the outcome of
interest are termed as âcontrolsâ.
⢠The exposure histories of cases and controls are then
obtained and compared.
⢠Thus, the central feature of case control study is the
comparison of the casesâ and controlsâ exposure histories.
⢠Case control study is always retrospective in nature
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21. Case-controlâŚ.cont
Selection of cases:
A/ Definition- precise definition of cases(clinical
,laboratory and other criteria)
B/ Inclusion and exclusion criteria
-cases should be selected to improve validity(ex. By
excluding cases with coexisting disease)
-cases should be restricted to limited time period and
geographic area, age range etc.
21
22. Case-controlâŚ.cont
C/ Incident or prevalent cases?
To the extent possible avoid prevalent cases. Why?
⢠Chicken-egg dilemma on cause and effect
⢠Non-representative cases since long-time survivors are
selected
⢠Prevalent cases may not accurately recall antecedent events
⢠Difficult to distinguish prognostic factor and cause
NB. Prevalent cases are commonly used in studies of chronic
conditions with ill-defined onset times
22
23. Case-controlâŚ.cont
Sources of Cases:
â Hospitals, other medical care facilities, etc.
â General population - locate and obtain data from all or
a random sample of individuals from a defined
population
23
24. Case-controlâŚ.cont
Selection of controls:
ďśControls are free of the diseases that should represent the
population at risk of becoming cases (controls & cases
should came from the same source population)
ďśThe prevalence of exposure among controls should reflect
the prevalence of exposure in the source
population/repesentative .
ďśThe time during which a subject is eligible to be a control
should be the time in which the individual is also eligible to
be a case.
⢠If the above three points are not fulfilled=selection bias
24
26. Case-controlâŚ.cont
⢠For each control group, how many controls per case?
⢠the optimal case-control ratio is 1:1
⢠when the number of cases is small, the sample size for the
study can be increased by using more than one
control
â e.g. 1:2 1:3 1:4
26
27. Case-controlâŚ.cont
Ascertaining Exposure:
Sources of exposure data (cases and controls):
---Study subjects (self-report). Particularly vulnerable to
recall bias as cases may recall their exposure history more
thoroughly than controls.
-
27
28. Case-controlâŚ.cont
Strengths:
ď Is relatively quick and inexpensive
ď Is optimal for the evaluation of rare diseases.
ď Can examine multiple etiologic factors for a single disease.
Limitations:
ď Not efficient for studying rare exposures
ď Subject to biases (recall & selection bias)
ď Cannot directly compute incidence rates of disease
28
31. Cohort studies
ď§ The term âcohortâ means group of people with a common
characteristicor experience.
ď§ Cohort study is a design in which two groups are defined
according to their exposure status (exposed and unexposed
groups) and the rate of occurrence of the interest of outcome is
compared between the groups to explore association between
the exposure and outcome.
ď§ Cohort study is also known as, longitudinal, follow up study or
incident study
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32. Purposes of cohort study
They have 2 primary purposes:
⢠Descriptive (measures of frequency):describes the
incidence rates of an outcome over time, or simply
describes the natural history of disease
⢠Analytic (measures of association):analyzes associations
between the rates of the outcomes and risk factors
32
33. Types of cohort study
⢠Depending on temporal relationship between
initiation of the study /timing of data collection/ and
occurrence of the disease , cohort studies
prospective and retrospective cohort studies
⢠Prospective and
⢠Retrospective
33
34. Prospective cohort studies
⢠Exposure and outcome data is collected after start
of the study
â cohorts identified in the present
â exposure status or possible explanatory/prognostic factors
determined in the present
â Cohorts followed-up to identify outcome
â Ascertainment of outcome done in future
34
36. Retrospective cohort (1)
⢠All the exposure and effect have occurred before
the actual study begins
⢠This type of investigation is called a historical
cohort study
⢠Conduct
â Identify cohort in the past using records/databases
â Determine exposure or prognostic factors in the past using
again records or databases and identify outcome in past
36
37. Retrospective cohort (2)
⢠Costs can occasionally be reduced by using a historical
cohort (identified on the basis of records of previous
exposure)
⢠This sort of design is relatively common for studies of
cancer related to occupational exposures
⢠For example, records of military personnel exposure to
radioactive fall-out at nuclear bomb testing sites have
been used to examine the possible causal role of fall-out
in the development of cancer over the past 30 years
37
38. Retrospective vs. Prospective
⢠Can be conducted more quickly and cheaply
â All relevant events have occurred
â Efficient for disease with long latency periods
⢠Depend on availability of routine data
â Incompleteness
â Lack of data on confounding variables
38
40. Closed and Open cohorts:
⢠There are two types of cohortst hat epidemiologists follow :
Closed and Open cohorts
⢠A closed cohort is one with a fixed membership.
⢠Once it is defined and followâup begins, no one can be added
to a closed cohort.
⢠However, as people in the cohort die, are lost to followâup, or
develop the disease they are excluded from followâup.
⢠In contrast, an open cohort, which is also referred to as a
dynamic cohort, can take on new members as time passes.
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41. Analysis
⢠RR=INCIDENCE EXP/INCIDENCE NONEXP
⢠Presence of association
â Population
⢠RR=1 â no association; RR<1 â negative association;
RR>1 â positive association
⢠AR, PAR &PAR %
â Sample
⢠P-value<0.05 â statistically significant association
⢠RRâ 1 â statistically significant association
41
42. Disadvantages (1)
⢠Time-consuming - prospective
â Require long periods of follow-up since disease may occur a
long time after exposure
â For example, the induction period for leukaemia or thyroid
cancer caused by radiation is many years and it is necessary
to follow up study participants for a long time
â Many exposures investigated are long-term in nature and
accurate information about them requires data collection over
long periods
42
43. Disadvantages (2)
⢠Expensive - prospective
â Often involve following large number of individuals for
many years
â Exposure assessment
⢠Incompleteness of records â retrospective
⢠Loss-to-follow-up â bias (not tolerable if >15%)
⢠Inefficient for rare disease
⢠example : Cohort study on British doctors to assess the
association between smoking and lung cancer (1954â1980âs)
43
44. Experimental study
⢠An experimental study, also know n as a trial, investigatesthe role of
some agent in the prevention or treatment of a disease.
⢠The investigator assigns individuals to two or more groups that
either receive or donât receive the preventive /therapeutic agent.
⢠The group that is allocated the agent under study is generally called
the treatment group, and the group that is not allocated the agent
under study is called the comparison group.
⢠Depending on the purpose of the trial, the comparison group may
receive:
â No treatment at all,
â An inactive treatment such as a placebo, or
â Another active treatment (positive control)
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45. Experimental study
⢠The active manipulation of the agent (exposure) by the
investigator is the hallmark that distinguishes experimental
studies from observational ones.
⢠In the latter, the investigator acts as apassive observer merely
letting nature take its course
⢠An experimental design is a study design that gives the most
reliable proof for causation, because of individuals are
randomly allocated to each groups .
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46. Experimental studyâŚ.
types Experimental study based population involved
⢠Clinical Trials:usually performed in clinical setting and
the subjects are patients.
⢠Field Trials:used in testing medicine for preventive
purpose and the subjects are healthy people.
⢠Community Intervention Trials:a field trial in which
the unit of the study is group of people/community.
46
47. Based on Design:
â Uncontrolled trial: Involves no control group.
â Nonârandomized control: There is control
group but allocation into either group is not
random.
â Randomized control: There is control group
and allocation into either group is randomized.
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51. Conducting Clinical/Field Trials
Essential steps:
⢠Formulate a hypothesis
⢠Select study participants and measure base line
characteristics
⢠Choose the treatment arms
⢠Allocate subjects by randomisation
⢠Apply intervention
⢠Follow up study subjects and collect outcome data
⢠Analysis(usually the main measure of effect is relative risk
or risk ratio)
51
53. 53
Community Trials
⢠Are experimental trials where the units of
analysis are entire communities or groups of
people
â E.g., Cities, towns, villages, schools, occupational
settings
⢠major objectives:
Evaluate the impact of health-related programs, projects, or
campaigns on communities (EVALUATION STUDIES)
54. 54
Examples of community trial interventions
⢠Educational interventions
⢠Water fluoridation to prevent dental carries
⢠Nutritional, environmental sanitation interventions
delivered to household, village etc
â latrines, dietary supplements
55. 2. Quasi-experimental studies
⢠Are trials in which either randomization or control
group is missing.
⢠Usually no randomization-two comparison groups in
which one serves as control
â E.g. â effect of health education on immunization
56. Identify the most appropriate study design for
the research proposal you are planning to
develop.
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