12. Regional Jet Applications
Turboprop
Complement
12%
New Routes
29%
Turboprop
Replacement
9%
Jet
Jet Replacement
Complement 25%
25%
Q Nearly 80% of regional jet applications come from new opportunities
(capacity rightsizing, increased hub catchment area, new point to point
routes), missions beyond the traditional turboprop role
Source: BACK Jun 2001
13. Regional Jet Stage Length - USA
180,000
2:40
120,000 Flight Time
Annual Flights
60,000
2000
1998
0 1996
0 500 1,000 1,500
Sector Distance (km)
Source: OAG BACK Jun 2001
14. Continental Express Network
Turboprop
Cleveland
Houston-Milwaukee
ERJ (1585 km, 02:55)
Newark
Mont Rose
(1490 km, 02:20)
Houston
Ixtapa (1510 km, 02:20)
Source: OAG BACK Jun 2001
16. The Trend to All-Jet Fleet
Hopkins Airport
Cleveland, Ohio
USA
Jun 2001
17. Regional Jets are Replacing Turboprops
Baton Rouge Bloomington Greensboro Greenville
Cedar Rapids Champaign Huntsville Indianapolis
Chattanooga Cincinnati Kalamazoo La Crosse
Cleveland Columbus Madison Memphis
Dayton Des Moines Milwaukee NW Arkansas
Dubuque Duluth Omaha Peoria
Evansville Fort Wayne Pittsburgh South Bend
Grand Rapids Green Bay Toledo Traverse City
Jun 2001
18. Regional Jet Stage Length - Europe
90,000
2:40
60,000
Flight Time
Annual Flights
30,000
2000
2000
0 1998
1998
0 500 1,000 1,500
Sector Distance (km)
Source: OAG BACK Jun 2001
19. Crossair Network
Stockholm
(1500 km, 02:40)
Turboprop
ERJ
Basel
Zurich
Sevilla
(1570 km,
02:30)
Source: OAG BACK Jun 2001
20. LOT Polish Airlines Network
Oslo
(1070 km, 02:00) St. Petersburg
(1030 km, 01:55)
Turboprop
ERJ
Warsaw
Bucharest
(930 km, 01:50)
Nice
(1390 km, 02:40)
Source: OAG BACK Jun 2001
21. RJ High Frequency starting in Europe
From Bristol, UK
From Bristol, UK Airlines: BA
Airlines: BA
To Edinburgh, UK
To Edinburgh, UK
Date/Time
Date/Time
30/Jan/2001 – 06:00a
30/Jan/2001 – 06:00a
Days
Days Flight
Flight Depart
Depart Arrive
Arrive Eqp
Eqp Stop
Stop Duration
Duration
xSaSu BA 4032
xSaSu BA 4032 7:30a
7:30a BRS
BRS 8:45a
8:45a EDI
EDI ERJ
ERJ 0
0 01:15
01:15
xSaSu BA 4034
xSaSu BA 4034 9:15a
9:15a BRS
BRS 10:30a
10:30a EDI
EDI ERJ
ERJ 0
0 01:15
01:15
xSaSu BA 4036
xSaSu BA 4036 1:05p
1:05p BRS
BRS 2:20p
2:20p EDI
EDI ERJ
ERJ 0
0 01:15
01:15
xSa
xSa BA 4038
BA 4038 4:00p
4:00p BRS
BRS 5:15p
5:15p EDI
EDI ERJ
ERJ 0
0 01:15
01:15
xSaSu
xSaSu BA 4040
BA 4040 5:20p
5:20p BRS
BRS 6:35p
6:35p EDI
EDI ERJ
ERJ 0
0 01:15
01:15
xSa
xSa BA 4042
BA 4042 7:45p
7:45p BRS
BRS 9:00p
9:00p EDI
EDI ERJ
ERJ 0
0 01:15
01:15
Jun 2001
22. RJs Complement with Larger Jets
From Lisbon, Portugal Airline: Portugalia (NI)
To Porto, Portugal
Date: 04/Jun/2001
Days Flight Depart Arrive Eqp Stop Duration
xSaSu NI 100 7:30a LIS 8:15a OPO 100 0 00:45
xSa NI 532 8:45a LIS 9:30a OPO 100 0 00:45
xSaSu NI 547 11:20a LIS 12:05p OPO 100 0 00:45
xSaSu NI 807 1:45p LIS 2:30p OPO ERJ 0 00:45
xSa NI 600 2:30p LIS 3:15p OPO 100 0 00:45
MoTuSu NI 816 3:05p LIS 3:50p OPO ERJ 0 00:45
xSa NI 720 4:00p LIS 4:45p OPO ERJ 0 00:45
xSa NI 533 5:10p LIS 5:55p OPO 100 0 00:45
xSaSu NI 106 5:50p LIS 6:35p OPO ERJ 0 00:45
MoTu NI 809 6:45p LIS 7:30p OPO 100 0 00:45
xSaSu NI 122 7:30p LIS 8:15p OPO 100 0 00:45
xSa NI 911 8:00p LIS 8:45p OPO ERJ 0 00:45
xSa NI 721 11:45p LIS 0:30a OPO ERJ 0 00:45
Jun 2001
29. Economic Scenario
Real GDP Growth (%) Countries representing
Country 2001 2002 2005 2006-2010 75% of World Capacity
(aircraft up to 100 seats)
USA 1.9 3.7 3.3 3.2
Canada 2.7 3.6 3.2 3.0
France 2.1 2.3 3.0 2.9 Germany, UK,
Italy 1.7 1.8 2.7 2.6 France, Italy
12%
Germany 1.5 2.2 2.5 2.2
UK 2.6 3.0 2.4 2.4 Others
Japan 0.0 1.6 2.4 2.3 USA, Canada, 25%
China 7.5 7.0 7.8 7.9 Mexico, Brazil
Australia 2.2 4.1 3.8 3.7 58% Japan, India,
India 7.0 7.5 7.2 7.6 Australia,
Brazil 3.4 3.0 4.6 4.6 China
5%
Mexico 2.4 5.8 5.0 5.0
WORLD 2.0 3.1 3.4 3.3 Source:
Merrill Lynch, Consensus Economics, OAG BACK
Q The worldwide economic scenario is favorable to continuous growth of air
transport traffic demand in the next 10 years
Jun 2001
30. Scope Clauses - USA
Q unlimited quantity for jets up to 59 seats
Q unlimited quantity for jets up to 44 seats, restriction of
67 jets from 50 to 70 seats
Q unlimited quantity for jets up to 70 seats
Q nearly 400 units of jets up to 50 seats
Q unlimited quantity for jets up to 44 seats, up to 30
units of jets from 45 to 50 seats
Q Reduced short term prospects for 70-seat jet in the USA
Q In the medium to long term, airlines will work out labor agreements to meet their
market needs
Jun 2001
31. Scope Clauses - Europe
Q Not as restrictive as in the USA.
Q Usually around 100+ seats.
Q Will allow for larger growth in the 60-120 seat
segment.
Jun 2001
32. Environment (Noise and Emissions)
Q Regulations are becoming more stringent, imposing restrictions
and taxes on higher noise and emissions airplanes.
Q Environmental groups are pressing national governments to
establish “green taxes” that could penalize airlines because of
perceived aircraft pollution.
Q Committee on Aviation and Environmental Protection (CAEP):
studying policy options to define more stringent noise standards
and to limit or reduce greenhouse gases emissions from civil
aviation.
Jun 2001
33. Congestion - USA
% Reported Flight Operations arriving Delayed
35
30 1998 1999 2000
25
20
15
10
5
0
Continental American Delta
Source: US DOT
QATC systems and airport infrastructure have not kept pace with air
transport growth. Investments are required to be consistent with
projected air transport growth.
Jun 2001
34. Congestion - Europe
% of Departures delayed more than 15 min Delays by Cause
35
30 10%
6% ATC (route)
25
4%
20 Weather
4%
15
Military
10
ATC (capacity)
5
0 76% Others
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Source: AEA
Q Despite the collaborative approach under development with the air traffic service
providers, air traffic flow management restrictions are the current main cause of delays.
Q “Single Sky” concept (fifteen countries, one single sky - Eurocontrol) is the solution for
current poor performance of the European fragmented ATC System, but the solution is
more political than technical.
Jun 2001
