Keynote presentation to the Wairarapa Principal's Association meeting in Masterton on Monday 6 June, 2017

1. What if this is really true?
Wairarapa Principals Association
Masterton, 7 June 2017
derek.wenmoth@core-ed.org
@dwenmoth
http://www.wenmoth.net

2. Our changing world
Our world is changing and changing rapidly.
What must we do to prepare students for living and working in the 21st
century?
How must our schools and teachers change to meet these opportunities and
challenges?

3. Future Shock
•“Future shock is the shattering
stress and disorientation that
we induce in individuals by
subjecting them to too much
change in too short a time.”
•Alvin Toffler

4. The Future…
• Food supply
• Water
• Cryogenics
• Nano-technology
• Superdiversity
• Human rights
• Poverty
• Religious intolerance

5. https://hbr.org/2015/06/beyond-automation

6. • “Economists may be
underestimating how fast the
robots are coming.
• Robots and intelligent machines
threaten to replace workers in
industries from finance to retail to
haulage, with more than 15 million
British jobs and 80 million in the
U.S. lost to automation.”
• BOE Chief Economist Andrew Haldane
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-03-01/economists-may-be-underestimating-
how-fast-the-robots-are-coming

7. https://hbr.org/2015/06/beyond-automation

8. 8 Skilled Jobs that may soon be
replaced by Robots
http://www.makeuseof.com/tag/8-skilled-jobs-may-soon-replaced-robots/
AccountantsReal estate agentsWritersAttorneysProfessional DriversMedical StaffCashiersCall Centre Operators

9. https://www.narrativescience.com/#home

10. Change in demand for skills
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2006 2009
Routine manual
Nonroutine manual
Routine cognitive
Nonroutine analytic
Nonroutine interpersonal
Mean task input in percentiles of 1960 task distribution
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
Source: Autor, David H. and Brendan M. Price. 2013. "The Changing Task Composition of the US Labor Market:
An Update of Autor, Levy, and Murnane (2003)." MIT Mimeograph, June.

12. • “The artificial intelligence
revolution and its impact on the
US workforce is not even on our
radar screen…
• …technology is still 50 to 100
years from displacing human
jobs.”
• US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin
http://m.nzherald.co.nz/technology/news/article.cfm?c_id=5&objectid=11825496

13. BUT WAIT...
What if it
really
IS TRUE?

14. • What would schools look like?
• How would they operate?
• What would teachers do?
• What would the curriculum be like?
• How would we organise the school day?
• How would we assess learning?
• What would be the role of
digital technologies?
• What would be different?
How would we need to change?

15. https://www.wired.com/2016/01/udacity-coding-courses-guarantee-a-job-or-your-money-back/

16. http://www.compareyourcountry.org/pisa/country/nzl

17. http://www.compareyourcountry.org/pisa/country/nzl

18. “We’re still working within the same
twentieth-century framework.
The thinking hasn’t changed. It’s just
couching what we’ve already done in
much fancier production values. It
looks cooler and more digitised, but the
underlying educational objectives have
not changed.”
Dr. Jane Gilbert
http://idealog.co.nz/etc/2015/03/educating-future-we-cant-imagine

19. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LDjpwJdZmV4

20. https://proquestionasker.github.io/

21. “…if we don’t change the way we are
teaching our young people, they will be
staggeringly ill-prepared for the future.”
Dr. Jane Gilbert
http://idealog.co.nz/etc/2015/03/educating-future-we-cant-imagine

22. https://ideas-ted-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/ideas.ted.com/the-rise-of-the-useless-class/amp/

23. Enterprise
Skills
Career
Management
Skills
Technical
Skills
Foundational
Skills
http://www.fya.org.au/report/the-new-work-mindset-report/

24. Future Shock
•“Our technological powers
increase, but the side effects
and potential hazards also
escalate.”
•Alvin Toffler

25. Digital vs Human
• “It’s all progress… but progress towards
what?”
• “It’s true that technology is neutral – but
only if you take humans out of the
equation.”
• “We need a broader debate about what is
happening with technological
developments.”
https://www.amazon.com/Digital-Human-well-think-future-ebook/dp/B01D0IEO00

26. “The real problem of humanity
is the following: we have
paleolithic emotions; medieval
institutions; and god-like
technology.”
Edward Wilson, US Biologist
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E._O._Wilson

27. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=937iCwJd3fI

28. derek.wenmoth@core-ed.org
@dwenmoth
http://www.wenmoth.net