This document discusses the importance of humanizing the fourth industrial revolution by putting people first and empowering them with new technologies. It notes that exponential growth in areas like data and computing following Moore's law will lead to new opportunities but also challenges. The document argues that combining art, humanities and social good with engineering can help ensure technologies are developed to benefit all of humanity. It encourages people to get involved by sitting at the table, learning and raising their hand to help shape a future that works for everyone.
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“Let us together shape a future that works
for all by putting people first, empowering
them and constantly reminding ourselves
that all of these new technologies are
first and foremost tools made by people for
people.” —Klaus Schwab, The
Fourth Industrial Revolution
Story of Shelly’s Frankenstein
We stand on the brink of a technological revolution that will fundamentally alter the way we live, work, and relate to one another. In its scale, scope, and complexity, the transformation will be unlike anything humankind has experienced before. We do not yet know just how it will unfold, but one thing is clear: the response to it must be integrated and comprehensive, involving all stakeholders of the global polity, from the public and private sectors to academia and civil society.
The First Industrial Revolution used water and steam power to mechanize production. The Second used electric power to create mass production. The Third used electronics and information technology to automate production. Now a Fourth Industrial Revolution is building on the Third, the digital revolution that has been occurring since the middle of the last century. It is characterized by a fusion of technologies that is blurring the lines between the physical, digital, and biological spheres.
Velocity and the speed leading to exponential rather than linear pace
The possibilities of billions of people connected by mobile devices, with unprecedented processing power, storage capacity, and access to knowledge, are unlimited. And these possibilities will be multiplied by emerging technology breakthroughs in fields such as artificial intelligence, robotics, the Internet of Things, autonomous vehicles, 3-D printing, nanotechnology, biotechnology, materials science, energy storage, and quantum computing.
Already, artificial intelligence is all around us, from self-driving cars and drones to virtual assistants and software that translate or invest. Impressive progress has been made in AI in recent years, driven by exponential increases in computing power and by the availability of vast amounts of data, from software used to discover new drugs to algorithms used to predict our cultural interests. Digital fabrication technologies, meanwhile, are interacting with the biological world on a daily basis. Engineers, designers, and architects are combining computational design, additive manufacturing, materials engineering, and synthetic biology to pioneer a symbiosis between microorganisms, our bodies, the products we consume, and even the buildings we inhabit.
However, we can predict the opportunities that comes with the fourth industrial revolution: 1)
lower barriers between inventors and markets, 2) more active role for the artificial intelligence (AI), 3) integration of
different technics and domains (fusion), 4) improved quality of our lives (robotics) and 5) the connected life
New Skills are needed
Like the revolutions that preceded it, the Fourth Industrial Revolution has the potential to raise global income levels and improve the quality of life for populations around the world. To date, those who have gained the most from it have been consumers able to afford and access the digital world; technology has made possible new products and services that increase the efficiency and pleasure of our personal lives. Ordering a cab, booking a flight, buying a product, making a payment, listening to music, watching a film, or playing a game—any of these can now be done remotely.
In the future, technological innovation will also lead to a supply-side miracle, with long-term gains in efficiency and productivity. Transportation and communication costs will drop, logistics and global supply chains will become more effective, and the cost of trade will diminish, all of which will open new markets and drive economic growth.
New technologies can be powerful agents for good.
Education and access to information can improve the lives of billions of people. Through increasingly powerful computing devices and networks, digital services, and mobile devices, this can become a reality for people around the world, including those in underdeveloped countries.
The social media revolution embodied by Facebook, Twitter, and Tencent has given everyone a voice and a way to communicate instantly across the planet. Today, more than 30% of the people in the world use social media services to communicate and stay on top of world events.
These innovations can create a true global village, bringing billions more people into the global economy. They can bring access to products and services to entirely new markets. They can give people opportunities to learn and earn in new ways, and they can give people new identities as they see potential for themselves that wasn’t previously available.
“The Fourth Industrial Revolution, finally, will change not only what we do but also who we are. It will affect our identity and all the issues associated with it: our sense of privacy, our notions of ownership, our consumption patterns, the time we devote to work and leisure, and how we develop our careers, cultivate our skills, meet people, and nurture relationships.” —Klaus Schwab, The Fourth Industrial Revolution
Online shopping and delivery services—including by drone—are already redefining convenience and the retail experience. The ease of delivery can transform communities, even in remote places, and jumpstart the economies of small or rural areas.
In the physical realm, advances in biomedical sciences can lead to healthier lives and longer life spans. They can lead to innovations in neuroscience, like connecting the human brain to computers to enhance intelligence or experience a simulated world. Imagine all that robot power with human problem-solving skills.
Advances in automotive safety through Fourth Industrial Revolution technologies can reduce road fatalities and insurance costs, and carbon emissions. Autonomous vehicles can reshape the living spaces of cities, architecture, and roads themselves, and free up space for more social and human-centered spaces.
Digital technology can liberate workers from automatable tasks, freeing them to concentrate on addressing more complex business issues and giving them more autonomy. It can also provide workers with radically new tools and insights to design more creative solutions to previously insurmountable problems.
While there are many benefits of the fourth industrial revolution, there are several key challenges that lie ahead. At
the same time, the revolution could yield greater inequality, particularly in its potential to disrupt labor markets. As
automation substitutes for labor across the entire economy, the net displacement of workers by machines might
exacerbate the gap between returns to capital and returns to labor. The scarcest and most valuable resource in an era
driven by digital technologies will be neither ordinary labor nor ordinary capital; rather it will be those people who
can create new ideas and innovations. In the future, talent, more than capital, will represent the critical factor of
production. People with ideas, not workers or investors, will be the scarcest resource. (Brynjolfsson, McAfee, and
Spence 2014). In 2017 Bloomberg Global Business Forum, Apple CEO Tim Cook commented – “If I were a country
leader, my goal would be to monopolize the world’s talent.” (Leswing 2017) The quest for talent will give rise to a
job market that may become increasingly segregated. Low skilled and low wage jobs will be replaced by computers
and digitization. The higher paid jobs requiring more skills are less likely to be replaced. This increased
dichotomization can lead to an increase in social tensions. (Wolf 2015, 125)
In addition to the threat of massive job displacement under the ongoing fourth industrial revolution, there are a
variety of challenges, such as cybersecurity, hacking, risk assessment, and others. (Lambert 2017) A higher level of
alert is raised up when our lives become extensively connected to various devices, from our cell phones, cars, and
light switches to our home security cameras, and smart speakers. One of the biggest trends in 2018 Consumer
Electronics Show is that everything is connected and there is no going back. (Goode 2018)