Conference sponsored by National Farmers' Union at Harper Adams University College, November 2012. Presentation on future of farming for planning officers and consultants.

1. Planning for Farming’s Future
RTPI/NFU Conference
Harper Adams
9 November 2012
Charles Cowap
Chartered Surveyor
Harper Adams University College
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

2. Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

3. NEW LAND MANAGEMENT
REQUIREMENTS ARE
EMERGING
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

4. Including
ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

5. Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

6. Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

7. Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

8. Natural Environment
White Paper
June 2011
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

9. RICS Thinkpiece:
November 2012
• Royal Charter
– Promote the usefulness
of the profession to public
advantage
• New opportunities in land
management
• New ways of working in
development
• New points to reflect in
conventional valuations
• New types of valuation
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

10. Top 10 Business Opportunities
1= Biodiversity Offsetting (BDO) and
Conservation Banking
• Estimated size of market £50 – 300 million
pa from housing, plus other sectors
• Brokerage, certification and registration
• Additional costs to builders/developers
deducted from land value
1= Peatland Carbon Code and Carbon Credits
• Peat restoration for carbon storage
• Management schemes and incentives
• Certification and brokerage
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

11. 2. Woodfuel and Woodburning Stoves
3. UK ecosystem knowledge economy
4. Layered PES
– Different Environmental Services
to different buyers
– Eg 
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

12. 6. Carbon sequestration
7. Sustainability certification
– Opportunities for
intermediaries
8. Sustainable tourism
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

13. 9= Global centre of excellence in
ESS certification
9= Water re-use technology
11 Reducing insurance risk
through green infrastructure
12 Environmental bonds
http://www.valuing-nature.net/opportunities-uk-business-
protect-and-value-natures-services-report-published-
today [accessed 19 July 2012]
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

14. Twitter - #agrichatuk 1 November 2012
http://bit.ly/REeUat [7 November 2012]
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

15. @bcualisterscott [8 November 2012]
https://twitter.com/bcualisterscott
[8 November 2012]
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

16. Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

17. Key trends from the
Foresight Report
Drivers:
• Demographic Change
• Economic growth(?),
changing global economic
conditions
• Climate change
• New technologies
• Societal preferences and
attitudes
• Policy and Regulatory
Framework
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

18. Other key trends from
the Foresight Report
Lead to 3 key challenges
• + Demand for land in south-
east
• Climate change and land use
• Delivery of public goods and
services
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

19. From TEEB Foundations, Chapter 5
APPROACHES FOR THE
ESTIMATION OF NATURE’S
VALUES
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

20. Foresight Land Use Futures 2010
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

21. Market Contingent Cost
Analysis Valuation Methods
Deliberative
Avoided
Valuation
Group Replacement Cost
Valuation Cost Methods
Regime Shift
Methods Analysis
Insurance
Resilience Ecological Value
Value Risk
Footprint
Analysis Joint
Mitigation Analysis
Input/Output Production Cost
Analysis Function Method
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

22. Shorter term trends identified by Warwick
Business School/Local Govt Association
• Ageing population
• Health
• Families in Crisis
• Climate Change
• Local Economic Development
and Regeneration
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

23. Shorter term trends identified by Warwick
Business School/Local Govt Association
Leading to:
• Diverse governance frameworks
• Different relationship between
– State (public)
– Markets (private)
– Civil Society (3rd Sector)
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

24. Rural
Scenarios
Project
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

25. Primary Production Countryside Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

26. Primary Production Countryside
• Farming, Forestry, Minerals
• Food, fibre, raw materials, energy
• Land hungry
Competencies
• Specialist Markets
• Supply chains/contract management
• Cost and quality challenges
• Technical expertise
Generic strategy: Cost leadership??
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

27. Stakeholder Countryside
• Policy-driven and Initiative-led
• Follow the funding
• Extensive land use?
Competencies
• Networking, political nous
• Presentation
• Negotiation
• Adaptation
Generic strategy: Differentiation??
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

28. Entrepreneurial Countryside
• Market-led, local and small in scale?
• Limited land requirement, but value?
Competencies
• Marketing
• Opportunism
• Promotion
• Customer-service/relations
• Strategy and Finance
Generic Strategy: Focus??
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

29. A Farmer Typology, 1999
A typology of Farmers
Agribusiness
men Hobby
5% Farmers
8%
Potential Pluriactive
Diversifiers
successors
17%
15%
Contented Struggling
Monoactives Monoactives
25% 30%
Shucksmith M (1999) Structural changes in British Agriculture
beyond 2000, Paper at Roots 1999, London, RICS
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

30. Rural Futures: French Rural
Society to 2020
Generalised residential Sustainable towns and
countryside corporate large farms
Towards the nature Active and competitive
countryside rural areas
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

31. A Farm Scenario?
At One with Economic
Nature Environmentalist
Environmental
development
Dog and Stick Global Trader
Economic efficiency
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

32. Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

33. Questions?
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV

34. Contact Details
In-house CPD programmes, professional-technical updates,
organisational consultancy, and more:
 cdcowap@gmail.com
 07947 706505
Twitter: @charlescowap
Blog: http://charlescowap.wordpress.com/
Slideshare: http://www.slideshare.net/cdcowap
Charles Cowap
MBA MRICS FAAV