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Business, Management and Economics Research
ISSN(e): 2412-1770, ISSN(p): 2413-855X
Vol. 4, Issue. 3, pp: 27-35, 2018
URL: http://arpgweb.com/?ic=journal&journal=8&info=aims
Academic Research Publishing
Group
27
Original Research Open Access
Risk Management in Financial Innovations and Sustainable Development in
Nigeria
Ezekiel Oseni
Adjunct Lecturer Dept. of Banking & Finance Faculty of Administration University of Lagos, Nigeria
Abstract
The past two decades have recorded significant improvement in the Nigerian financial markets. The banking sector
migrated from arm-chair of banking to a more sophisticated and globally competitive banking practices. The capital
market has also moved from the traditional trading system to automated trading system while more marketable
securities that are globally competitive are now traded in the Nigeria’s capital markets. The study examined the
relationship between financial innovations and the sustainable economic development in Nigeria. The study
examined ATM Banking, Web (Internet) Banking, POS Banking and Mobile Banking as proxies of financial
innovations and the GDP as the proxy for the nation’s economic growth and development. The study established that
a positive and significant relationship exists between all the variables and GDP with the exception of Mobile
Banking. The study also identified some risk issues that can mitigate the positive contributions of the financial
innovations to the sustainability of the Nigerian economy.
Keywords: Economic development and growth; GDP; Financial innovation; Risk management.
CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0
1. Introduction
Developments in every facet of human endeavor be it socio-economic, political, behavioral science and even
religion have been an evolving process borne out of necessity or the need for improved standard of living. The
necessity attributable to the human and organizational survival prompted by adaptation to changes in nature’s
ecosystems or new innovations (products, technology, delivery and processes) that otherwise have led to individual
or group extinction or sub-optimization of capacity. On the other hand, developments could be instigated by the need
to provide a more convenient, secured and cost saving methodology in conformity with the argument that there are
always better ways of doing things (Fredrick Taylor cited in (Schachter, 2010) with the end results of improved
standards of living.
It is obvious from the experiences of the developed economies like Great Britain, Germany, China and United
States of America that one of the key ingredients to development is innovation (Crescenzi et al., 2012; Griffith and
Miller, 2011; Parayil and D'Costa, 2009; Rodríguez-Pose and Storper, 2012). For instance, Kardos (2012) in his
study of the relationship that exists between entrepreneurship, innovation and sustainable developments in European
Union Countries discovered that sustainable entrepreneurship, seen through the perspective of innovative SMEs, is
part of the support system for sustainable development, as entrepreneurial enterprises are increasingly recognized as
a driving force for innovation and competitiveness, as one of the keys to achieving sustainable development. In fact,
Joseph Schumpeter, one of the scholarly acknowledged early contributors to entrepreneurship development posited
that innovation is the key driver of economic development (Bazhal, 2016; Kaya, 2015). Though, Joseph
Schumpeter’s innovation theory was confined to entrepreneurship, its applicability goes beyond entrepreneurship, it
encompasses every facet of human endeavors.
These days, it is much easier to associate innovation with technology, automobile and electronics. Financial
innovations are real and the need for more are obvious, but unfortunately the developing economies like Nigeria
have continued to provide the markets rather than being part of the inventors and innovators. From the advent of the
first revolution where steam engine Crafts (2004) powers the production of goods to the second revolution of mass
and efficient production (Guduru et al., 2016), then the third revolution of emergence of computers (Schwab, 2016)
and now to the fourth revolution of global digitization otherwise known as internet of things (French and Shim,
2016; Khalid, 2016; Schwab, 2016) that is about to debut, innovation has been the core driver of each of the
revolutions. Africa and specifically, Nigeria was not part of the first revolution, it is still grasping with the second
revolution as the major ingredient of stable electricity which remains an albatross that has evaded solutions from all
the nation’s post-independent administrations. In his study of why industrial revolution missed Africa, Nwokeabia
(2002) identified a number of reasons; such as secrecy of innovative ideas by the individual innovators that make the
ideas to die with them, lack of required supports for innovators to competitively develop the ideas and lack of
national recognition of innovators.
The banking sector which is a major player in the money market is one of the bedrocks of economic
development as it provides liquidity to the economy. The ability of the sector to attract funds and make it available to
the real and productive sectors of the economy, the better for the economy and the wellbeing of its citizenry. The
style of banking in Nigeria changed dramatically in the early 1990s with the entrance of the new generation banks to
the sector. The newcomers changed banking from an arm-chair style of banking where the banks waited for
Business, Management and Economics Research
28
customers to walk-in to more aggressive marketing system where customers are enticed with different products and
the introduction of technology-banking away from manual banking amongst others. Financial innovations is not
limited to the banking sector as it cuts across money market and capital market as well as the formal and informal
sectors of the financial markets. For instance, the Nigerian Stock Exchange in the last one decade has introduced
exchanged traded funds and indexes which track underlying securities as marketable securities. The Exchange is in
the process of introducing derivatives as marketable securities. There is no doubt that such types of innovations
have made the sector more liquid and robust than before with evidence of branching out to other countries in the
developed economies of the world. However, the innovations would not be without its risk management challenges
that could threaten not only the success of the innovations but also the going concern of the entities.
The earlier the African nation and especially Nigeria come to the realization that it's socio-economic
development is to a large extent a function of its innovative abilities, the better for it to achieve the desired
developmental growth. Any economy that is content with providing only markets for innovative ideas without being
part of the developmental hub would continue to remain at the bottom of developmental scale. This study was aimed
at examining the relationship between financial innovation and economic development in Nigeria and the risk
management issues associated with such innovations that could undermine their benefits to the national economic
development.
2. Literature Review
One aspect of innovative development is financial innovation, which encompasses advancement in not just the
technology of products and processes but also the transfer and minimization of risks. Innovations can be considered
radical, revolutionary or incremental weighing on the impact it has on the industry (Gardner, 2009). Radical
innovations are said to be the big bangs that change the whole industry either through products or processes whilst
revolutionary innovations are more subtle. The latter is considered less risky but also less profitable. Incremental
innovations on the other hand are well paced improvements in the existing process/product. They seem to carry the
least risk of the three with positive returns and are more common than radical and revolutionary developments.
According to Lllewellyn (2009) and Silber (1983), financial innovations can be described by their origins and the
bank’s response to external economic forces.
The history of financial innovations can be traced to the late 1600s in England, following the war in 1688. It
began with the establishment of the Bank of England in 1694. It has been argued that the English financial revolution
was borne out of necessity as there was a demand to manage the war debts while some have argued that it was the
institution’s drive to supply options to a recovering economy (Eloranta and Land, 2011) Early financial innovations
started with the transition from gold and silver coins to paper money as legal tender in France, as far back as the
early 1700s. Fast forward to the last few decades, more positive financial innovations include ATMs, Credit/Debit
Cards, Money Market Funds, Mutual Funds, Credit Scoring, Derivatives and so many more.
There are empirical studies that have examined the importance, the role and the impact of financial innovations
on the economy with varying findings. For instance, Oginni et al. (2013) reviewed the effects of electronic payment
systems popularly known as the cashless economy, on the Nigerian economy. In their findings, they concluded that
of all the e-payment systems available, only the Automated Teller Machines have contributed positively to economic
growth, while others had negative effects on the economy. Some of the challenges of financial innovations in a
country like Nigeria include poor infrastructure, inadequate power supply, poor regulation as well as socio-cultural
support and the basic requirements to run an efficient and effective system (Echekoba, 2012).
Similarly, Odior and Banuso (2012) identified that although the drive for cashless economy is beneficial to the
economy, it comes with a higher operating cost (infrastructure) and an even higher risk of increased cybercrime. It
appears that Nigerians are aware of the cashless policy and have fully embraced it. However, Akhalumeh and
Ohiokha (2012) agreed with Odior and Banuso (2012), that cybercrime and illiteracy are major challenges of
implementing financial innovation to the benefits of the investors and the economy. Looking at other developing
countries in Africa, Sanderson (2014) in his discussion about the key drivers of financial innovation mentioned that
technological advancement in Zimbabwe had increased the available credit for borrowers and created cheaper ways
for the financial institutions to raise capital. The duo of (Sibindi and Bimha, 2014) carried out a study on the
Zimbabwean economy attempting to understand the relationship between economic growth and the banking industry
and concluded that there exists a long run relationship between both as economic growth demands the development.
They went on to confirm the relationship as a “demand following” finance-growth.
The former president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Sandra Pianalto, acknowledged the
advantages of financial innovations in shaping the mortgage market of Cleveland, Ohio, USA through the provision
of better and cheaper access to finance as well as more payment options. She however highlighted that these
innovations have made the market and its products more complex for the average resident to understand.
Over the years, several arguments have ensued about innovations in the financial industry but more importantly
the pros and cons of financial innovations. Researchers such as Elliott (2010) have identified that the measurement
of the effects of financial innovation is difficult, however it is said to have aided the global financial crisis which
some countries are still recovering from. In addition to the financial crisis, Johnson S. and And Kwak (2012) found
that banks took larger risks leading to increase in fiscal deficit as well as job losses. According to Block (2002)
financial innovation is dependent on the capital, knowledge and labor that is available in an enabling environment
within an economy. Michalopoulos et al. (2014) further concluded that an economy will remain stagnant if there
was no financial innovation in the form of instruments, technology, services and accessibility. Levine (1997) referred
Business, Management and Economics Research
29
to Schumpeter (1912) who argued that the role of financial institutions was more of identifying and funding viable
innovations thereby sidelining the seemingly risky and unviable projects as they consider.
According to Abel (2010) the financial instruments came at a cost to Zimbabweans when the global financial
crises hit and many home owners lost their homes due to the inability to refinance their mortgages as home prices
continued to nose dive. He went on to suggest that the systematic risks inherent in these innovations were often
underestimated by investors who in turn do not take adequate steps to minimize or avoid the risks.
Financial innovation, like all innovations, carry a certain level of risk varying from very low risk to extremely
high risk. Reviewing financial innovations and the banking industry, Becalli and Poli (2015) argued that innovations
have expanded the sector’s ability to spread and diversify risk. He went on to cite Rajan (2006) who also posits that
the ability of economies to bear more risk has created a wider access to finance for the citizens and also broadened
the range of financial transactions available to the economy.
Becalli and Poli (2015) identified possible risks known as “Tail risks” which the banks knowingly or
unknowingly take on as they embrace financial innovations that are incentive coated.
They went on to point out that some of these risks are recognized but neglected, which makes the industry
vulnerable and negatively affected, should they crystalize. Similarly, Johnson and Kwak (2009) argued that the
financial developments may be effective for the allocation of resources but not necessarily adding any value to the
economy. They went on to say innovations could be deliberately deceptive to lure the user, citing the example of the
Dutch and UK market for life insurance products where multiple products are presented as options but with little or
no actual variation in the characteristics or benefits. This they argued would only confuse the investors, reduce
transparency and indirectly worsen their capital allocation. In line with the tail risks mentioned above and similar to
that of Zimbabwe, the US market also experienced a boom in its property markets as homeowners were enticed by
the various options of mortgages. Unfortunately, as the risks materialized and the market began to crash, majority of
them became losers. Arnaboldi and Rossignoli (2013), described the effects of financial innovations very aptly by
calling it “a double-edged sword”.
Akinwunmi et al. (2016) examined the effect of financial incentives on financial innovation adoption in the
Nigerian banking sector. They discovered that financial incentives in form of attractive interest rates were effective
for financial innovation adoption by increasing the bank’s number of customer and deposit base. At the 2016
Bankers’ Committee retreat, the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emiefele challenged banks to
come up with financial innovations to address some of the challenges of the sector to aid the Nigerian economic
growth. According to Idun and Aboagye (2014) banks can play the role of innovators through the creation of new or
improved products that ultimately reduce the effect of macroeconomic variables on the customers and the economy
at large. Unfortunately most of the financial technologies adopted by the Nigerian banks are foreign innovations
tailored to meet the needs of each institution. Although not foreign funded, Beck et al. (2014)’s posited that external
funding of financial innovations might increase volatility in the economy which might also be applicable to these
foreign designed and priced innovations which usually remain serviced by foreign counterparts. Michalopoulos et
al. (2014)’s model postulated that there is significant correlation between the financial and technology industry
which reflects in financial development and economic growth.
In Ghana, Idun and Aboagye (2014) found an adverse relation between financial innovations and economic
growth in the long term whilst they had a positive relationship in the short term. Their study also considered the
competition between the banks. On the contrary, a study on Kenya showed a significantly positive relationship
between both variables as e-payments played a very vital role in their economic growth (Mwinzi, 2014).
Therefore this study would identity some key risks and mitigants of the financial innovations and also its impact
on the Nigerian economy in addition to examining the relationship between some specific financial innovation
products and the economic development and growth of Nigeria.
3. Data and Research Methodology
The study examined the relationship between the financial innovations represented by some financial market
products (ATM Banking, Web Banking, Point of Sales Services and Mobile Banking) and the economic growth and
development as represented by the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The study gather a 10 year period data
covering 2006 to 2016 from the Central Bank of Nigeria (2016) to ascertain the relationship between financial
innovations and the Nigerian economic growth and development. The electronic payments, otherwise known as
financial innovations accounted for 3.5 percent, 3.1 percent, 3.7 percent and 3.8 percent of the 201, 2013, 2015 and
2016 GDP growth in Nigeria respectively (Agbaje and Ayanbadejo, 2017).
The study tested one hypothesis that:
H0 = There is no positive correlation between financial innovations and the Nigerian economic growth and
development.
H1 = There is positive correlation between financial innovations and the Nigerian economic growth and
development.
The data was analysed using a multiple linear regression model adapted from Muiruri and Ngari (2014) who
studied the effects of financial innovations on the financial performance of commercial banks in Kenya. The model
was adapted to study the effects of financial innovations on the national economic development and growth. The
model is stated as follows:
Business, Management and Economics Research
30
Y1t-n = β0t-n + β1X1 t-n + β2X2 t-n + β3X3 t-n + β4X4 t-n + € t-n . . . eqn. (1)
Where:
Y t-n = National economic growth with GDP as proxy
β0 = Constant Co-efficient
β1, β2, β3 and β4 = Co-efficient of ATM Banking, WEB (Internet)
Banking, POS Banking and Mobile Banking respectively
N = Years of data coverage, in this case 10 years.
€ t-n = Error term
The equation (1) above can be rewritten as:
Y1t-n = ∑β0t-n + β1X1 t-n + € t-n . . . . eqn. (2)
4. Results and Findings
The empirical analysis shows that the adjusted R-Square which explains the extent to which the independent
variables account for the changes and behavior of the dependent variable (GDP) is 0.9937. It can therefore be
explained that 99.37 percent of the changes in variable GDP is accounted for by independent variables (ATM
Banking, Internet Banking, POS Banking and Mobile Banking). In other words, the adjusted R2 shows that all the
explanatory variables represent or jointly determine the effect on Economic Growth or variations at 99% and the
others one percent is captured by omitted variables. This indicates the importance of the variables used.
The adjusted R-Square of 0.9937 and F-Test 356.32 is > than 2,528tab are found to be significant at 0.05 level of
significance, suggesting that suggesting that the proxies adopted to represent financial innovations in the model,
collectively and significantly impact on the on the Nigeria’s economic growth and development as proxy by GDP.
The p-value < 0.05. Therefore, the hypothesis that the there is no positive correlation between financial innovations
and the Nigerian economic growth and development is rejected.
All the coefficients of the model are positive except for the MOBILE which shows positive or direct
relationships between all the explanatory variables and the independent variable while the MOBILE shows inverse
relationship. For instance, the coefficient of ATM, β1=20.25, indicates that a unit increase in the level of ATM will
have a positive impact on GDP to the tune of 20.25 and likewise for the coefficients of WEB and POS which would
equally increase the contributions to GDP by β2 = 67.91 and β3 = 39.04 respectively. All these are in line with the a
priori expectation. However, the contribution of MOBILE is inversely related to the GDP as shown by a4 = -88.66
though there are divergent views for this in the literature but the traditional International Financial Statistics (IFS)
(2008) definition, mobile phone penetration has a negative correlation with traditional financial intermediary
dynamics of depth, activity, and size. However, when a previously missing informal-financial sector component is
integrated into the definition, mobile phone penetration has a positive correlation with informal financial
development. Also, according to Harald and Koutroumpis (2011), impact is smaller for countries with a low mobile
penetration, usually low income countries. While in low income countries the mobile telecommunications
contribution to annual GDP growth is 0.11%, for high income countries this is 0.20%. The increasing returns from
mobile adoption are also emerging when assessing the impact on productivity growth.
The study identified some specific and prevalent risks associated with the examined financial innovations
namely, ATM Banking, WEB (Internet) Banking, POS Banking and Mobile Banking as well as the implications they
pose on the financial system.
Financial Innovation Risk Types Implications
ATM Banking Service  Card theft
 Skimming devices
 Pin Fraud
 Financial loss
 Loss of financial data
WEB/ Internet Banking  Hackers
 Phishing
 Secure Login
 Suspicious email
 Username and Password
 Financial loss
 Loss of financial data

POS Banking  Connection reliability.
 Security risks
Mobile Banking  Identity theft:
 Impersonation of provider status:
 Inability to transact
 Transaction delayed by Network
 Delays in balance updates by the
service:
Reputational
Business, Management and Economics Research
31
5. Conclusion
Financial innovations are essential for economic growth and development. This study established that a positive
and significant relationship exist with most of the financial innovation products and the GDP with the exception of
Mobile Banking that showed a negative but significant relationship with the GDP. It was also observed that in spite
of the positive and significant relationship which implies that the independent variables contributes positively and
significantly to the economic growth and development, they are not without some risks that could make them rather
a liability rather than asset to the financial system and inadvertently to the nation’s economy.
This study recommends policy makers to encourage home grown financial innovations that can impact
positively on the domestic economy and that can also be exported to other economies. The policy makers should also
ensure that implementable policies are put in place to address some of the risks that could arise from external threats
while operators deploying the financial innovation products ensure that they have in place very sound and regularly
updated risk management frameworks, required hardware and software and personnel that could forestall any
internal and external threats.
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33
Appendix
Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
GDP[t] = + 28125 + 20.25ATM[t] + 67.9125WEB[t] + 39.0403POS[t] -88.6645MOB[t] + e[t]
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
Variable Parameter S.D.
T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value 1-tail p-value
(Intercept) +2.812e+04 1565 +1.7970e+01 9.803e-06 4.902e-06
ATM +20.25 1.044 +1.9400e+01 6.717e-06 3.358e-06
WEB +67.91 21.72 +3.1270e+00 0.02604 0.01302
POS +39.04 58.23 +6.7040e-01 0.5323 0.2662
MOB -88.66 55.8 -1.5890e+00 0.1729 0.08645
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9983
R-squared 0.9965
Adjusted R-squared 0.9937
F-TEST (value) 356.3
F-TEST (DF numerator) 4
F-TEST (DF denominator) 5
p-value 2.523e-06
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation 1866
Sum Squared Residuals 1.741e+07
Business, Management and Economics Research
34
Business, Management and Economics Research
35

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Risk Management in Financial Innovations and Sustainable Development in Nigeria

  • 1. Business, Management and Economics Research ISSN(e): 2412-1770, ISSN(p): 2413-855X Vol. 4, Issue. 3, pp: 27-35, 2018 URL: http://arpgweb.com/?ic=journal&journal=8&info=aims Academic Research Publishing Group 27 Original Research Open Access Risk Management in Financial Innovations and Sustainable Development in Nigeria Ezekiel Oseni Adjunct Lecturer Dept. of Banking & Finance Faculty of Administration University of Lagos, Nigeria Abstract The past two decades have recorded significant improvement in the Nigerian financial markets. The banking sector migrated from arm-chair of banking to a more sophisticated and globally competitive banking practices. The capital market has also moved from the traditional trading system to automated trading system while more marketable securities that are globally competitive are now traded in the Nigeria’s capital markets. The study examined the relationship between financial innovations and the sustainable economic development in Nigeria. The study examined ATM Banking, Web (Internet) Banking, POS Banking and Mobile Banking as proxies of financial innovations and the GDP as the proxy for the nation’s economic growth and development. The study established that a positive and significant relationship exists between all the variables and GDP with the exception of Mobile Banking. The study also identified some risk issues that can mitigate the positive contributions of the financial innovations to the sustainability of the Nigerian economy. Keywords: Economic development and growth; GDP; Financial innovation; Risk management. CC BY: Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 1. Introduction Developments in every facet of human endeavor be it socio-economic, political, behavioral science and even religion have been an evolving process borne out of necessity or the need for improved standard of living. The necessity attributable to the human and organizational survival prompted by adaptation to changes in nature’s ecosystems or new innovations (products, technology, delivery and processes) that otherwise have led to individual or group extinction or sub-optimization of capacity. On the other hand, developments could be instigated by the need to provide a more convenient, secured and cost saving methodology in conformity with the argument that there are always better ways of doing things (Fredrick Taylor cited in (Schachter, 2010) with the end results of improved standards of living. It is obvious from the experiences of the developed economies like Great Britain, Germany, China and United States of America that one of the key ingredients to development is innovation (Crescenzi et al., 2012; Griffith and Miller, 2011; Parayil and D'Costa, 2009; Rodríguez-Pose and Storper, 2012). For instance, Kardos (2012) in his study of the relationship that exists between entrepreneurship, innovation and sustainable developments in European Union Countries discovered that sustainable entrepreneurship, seen through the perspective of innovative SMEs, is part of the support system for sustainable development, as entrepreneurial enterprises are increasingly recognized as a driving force for innovation and competitiveness, as one of the keys to achieving sustainable development. In fact, Joseph Schumpeter, one of the scholarly acknowledged early contributors to entrepreneurship development posited that innovation is the key driver of economic development (Bazhal, 2016; Kaya, 2015). Though, Joseph Schumpeter’s innovation theory was confined to entrepreneurship, its applicability goes beyond entrepreneurship, it encompasses every facet of human endeavors. These days, it is much easier to associate innovation with technology, automobile and electronics. Financial innovations are real and the need for more are obvious, but unfortunately the developing economies like Nigeria have continued to provide the markets rather than being part of the inventors and innovators. From the advent of the first revolution where steam engine Crafts (2004) powers the production of goods to the second revolution of mass and efficient production (Guduru et al., 2016), then the third revolution of emergence of computers (Schwab, 2016) and now to the fourth revolution of global digitization otherwise known as internet of things (French and Shim, 2016; Khalid, 2016; Schwab, 2016) that is about to debut, innovation has been the core driver of each of the revolutions. Africa and specifically, Nigeria was not part of the first revolution, it is still grasping with the second revolution as the major ingredient of stable electricity which remains an albatross that has evaded solutions from all the nation’s post-independent administrations. In his study of why industrial revolution missed Africa, Nwokeabia (2002) identified a number of reasons; such as secrecy of innovative ideas by the individual innovators that make the ideas to die with them, lack of required supports for innovators to competitively develop the ideas and lack of national recognition of innovators. The banking sector which is a major player in the money market is one of the bedrocks of economic development as it provides liquidity to the economy. The ability of the sector to attract funds and make it available to the real and productive sectors of the economy, the better for the economy and the wellbeing of its citizenry. The style of banking in Nigeria changed dramatically in the early 1990s with the entrance of the new generation banks to the sector. The newcomers changed banking from an arm-chair style of banking where the banks waited for
  • 2. Business, Management and Economics Research 28 customers to walk-in to more aggressive marketing system where customers are enticed with different products and the introduction of technology-banking away from manual banking amongst others. Financial innovations is not limited to the banking sector as it cuts across money market and capital market as well as the formal and informal sectors of the financial markets. For instance, the Nigerian Stock Exchange in the last one decade has introduced exchanged traded funds and indexes which track underlying securities as marketable securities. The Exchange is in the process of introducing derivatives as marketable securities. There is no doubt that such types of innovations have made the sector more liquid and robust than before with evidence of branching out to other countries in the developed economies of the world. However, the innovations would not be without its risk management challenges that could threaten not only the success of the innovations but also the going concern of the entities. The earlier the African nation and especially Nigeria come to the realization that it's socio-economic development is to a large extent a function of its innovative abilities, the better for it to achieve the desired developmental growth. Any economy that is content with providing only markets for innovative ideas without being part of the developmental hub would continue to remain at the bottom of developmental scale. This study was aimed at examining the relationship between financial innovation and economic development in Nigeria and the risk management issues associated with such innovations that could undermine their benefits to the national economic development. 2. Literature Review One aspect of innovative development is financial innovation, which encompasses advancement in not just the technology of products and processes but also the transfer and minimization of risks. Innovations can be considered radical, revolutionary or incremental weighing on the impact it has on the industry (Gardner, 2009). Radical innovations are said to be the big bangs that change the whole industry either through products or processes whilst revolutionary innovations are more subtle. The latter is considered less risky but also less profitable. Incremental innovations on the other hand are well paced improvements in the existing process/product. They seem to carry the least risk of the three with positive returns and are more common than radical and revolutionary developments. According to Lllewellyn (2009) and Silber (1983), financial innovations can be described by their origins and the bank’s response to external economic forces. The history of financial innovations can be traced to the late 1600s in England, following the war in 1688. It began with the establishment of the Bank of England in 1694. It has been argued that the English financial revolution was borne out of necessity as there was a demand to manage the war debts while some have argued that it was the institution’s drive to supply options to a recovering economy (Eloranta and Land, 2011) Early financial innovations started with the transition from gold and silver coins to paper money as legal tender in France, as far back as the early 1700s. Fast forward to the last few decades, more positive financial innovations include ATMs, Credit/Debit Cards, Money Market Funds, Mutual Funds, Credit Scoring, Derivatives and so many more. There are empirical studies that have examined the importance, the role and the impact of financial innovations on the economy with varying findings. For instance, Oginni et al. (2013) reviewed the effects of electronic payment systems popularly known as the cashless economy, on the Nigerian economy. In their findings, they concluded that of all the e-payment systems available, only the Automated Teller Machines have contributed positively to economic growth, while others had negative effects on the economy. Some of the challenges of financial innovations in a country like Nigeria include poor infrastructure, inadequate power supply, poor regulation as well as socio-cultural support and the basic requirements to run an efficient and effective system (Echekoba, 2012). Similarly, Odior and Banuso (2012) identified that although the drive for cashless economy is beneficial to the economy, it comes with a higher operating cost (infrastructure) and an even higher risk of increased cybercrime. It appears that Nigerians are aware of the cashless policy and have fully embraced it. However, Akhalumeh and Ohiokha (2012) agreed with Odior and Banuso (2012), that cybercrime and illiteracy are major challenges of implementing financial innovation to the benefits of the investors and the economy. Looking at other developing countries in Africa, Sanderson (2014) in his discussion about the key drivers of financial innovation mentioned that technological advancement in Zimbabwe had increased the available credit for borrowers and created cheaper ways for the financial institutions to raise capital. The duo of (Sibindi and Bimha, 2014) carried out a study on the Zimbabwean economy attempting to understand the relationship between economic growth and the banking industry and concluded that there exists a long run relationship between both as economic growth demands the development. They went on to confirm the relationship as a “demand following” finance-growth. The former president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Sandra Pianalto, acknowledged the advantages of financial innovations in shaping the mortgage market of Cleveland, Ohio, USA through the provision of better and cheaper access to finance as well as more payment options. She however highlighted that these innovations have made the market and its products more complex for the average resident to understand. Over the years, several arguments have ensued about innovations in the financial industry but more importantly the pros and cons of financial innovations. Researchers such as Elliott (2010) have identified that the measurement of the effects of financial innovation is difficult, however it is said to have aided the global financial crisis which some countries are still recovering from. In addition to the financial crisis, Johnson S. and And Kwak (2012) found that banks took larger risks leading to increase in fiscal deficit as well as job losses. According to Block (2002) financial innovation is dependent on the capital, knowledge and labor that is available in an enabling environment within an economy. Michalopoulos et al. (2014) further concluded that an economy will remain stagnant if there was no financial innovation in the form of instruments, technology, services and accessibility. Levine (1997) referred
  • 3. Business, Management and Economics Research 29 to Schumpeter (1912) who argued that the role of financial institutions was more of identifying and funding viable innovations thereby sidelining the seemingly risky and unviable projects as they consider. According to Abel (2010) the financial instruments came at a cost to Zimbabweans when the global financial crises hit and many home owners lost their homes due to the inability to refinance their mortgages as home prices continued to nose dive. He went on to suggest that the systematic risks inherent in these innovations were often underestimated by investors who in turn do not take adequate steps to minimize or avoid the risks. Financial innovation, like all innovations, carry a certain level of risk varying from very low risk to extremely high risk. Reviewing financial innovations and the banking industry, Becalli and Poli (2015) argued that innovations have expanded the sector’s ability to spread and diversify risk. He went on to cite Rajan (2006) who also posits that the ability of economies to bear more risk has created a wider access to finance for the citizens and also broadened the range of financial transactions available to the economy. Becalli and Poli (2015) identified possible risks known as “Tail risks” which the banks knowingly or unknowingly take on as they embrace financial innovations that are incentive coated. They went on to point out that some of these risks are recognized but neglected, which makes the industry vulnerable and negatively affected, should they crystalize. Similarly, Johnson and Kwak (2009) argued that the financial developments may be effective for the allocation of resources but not necessarily adding any value to the economy. They went on to say innovations could be deliberately deceptive to lure the user, citing the example of the Dutch and UK market for life insurance products where multiple products are presented as options but with little or no actual variation in the characteristics or benefits. This they argued would only confuse the investors, reduce transparency and indirectly worsen their capital allocation. In line with the tail risks mentioned above and similar to that of Zimbabwe, the US market also experienced a boom in its property markets as homeowners were enticed by the various options of mortgages. Unfortunately, as the risks materialized and the market began to crash, majority of them became losers. Arnaboldi and Rossignoli (2013), described the effects of financial innovations very aptly by calling it “a double-edged sword”. Akinwunmi et al. (2016) examined the effect of financial incentives on financial innovation adoption in the Nigerian banking sector. They discovered that financial incentives in form of attractive interest rates were effective for financial innovation adoption by increasing the bank’s number of customer and deposit base. At the 2016 Bankers’ Committee retreat, the Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Godwin Emiefele challenged banks to come up with financial innovations to address some of the challenges of the sector to aid the Nigerian economic growth. According to Idun and Aboagye (2014) banks can play the role of innovators through the creation of new or improved products that ultimately reduce the effect of macroeconomic variables on the customers and the economy at large. Unfortunately most of the financial technologies adopted by the Nigerian banks are foreign innovations tailored to meet the needs of each institution. Although not foreign funded, Beck et al. (2014)’s posited that external funding of financial innovations might increase volatility in the economy which might also be applicable to these foreign designed and priced innovations which usually remain serviced by foreign counterparts. Michalopoulos et al. (2014)’s model postulated that there is significant correlation between the financial and technology industry which reflects in financial development and economic growth. In Ghana, Idun and Aboagye (2014) found an adverse relation between financial innovations and economic growth in the long term whilst they had a positive relationship in the short term. Their study also considered the competition between the banks. On the contrary, a study on Kenya showed a significantly positive relationship between both variables as e-payments played a very vital role in their economic growth (Mwinzi, 2014). Therefore this study would identity some key risks and mitigants of the financial innovations and also its impact on the Nigerian economy in addition to examining the relationship between some specific financial innovation products and the economic development and growth of Nigeria. 3. Data and Research Methodology The study examined the relationship between the financial innovations represented by some financial market products (ATM Banking, Web Banking, Point of Sales Services and Mobile Banking) and the economic growth and development as represented by the nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The study gather a 10 year period data covering 2006 to 2016 from the Central Bank of Nigeria (2016) to ascertain the relationship between financial innovations and the Nigerian economic growth and development. The electronic payments, otherwise known as financial innovations accounted for 3.5 percent, 3.1 percent, 3.7 percent and 3.8 percent of the 201, 2013, 2015 and 2016 GDP growth in Nigeria respectively (Agbaje and Ayanbadejo, 2017). The study tested one hypothesis that: H0 = There is no positive correlation between financial innovations and the Nigerian economic growth and development. H1 = There is positive correlation between financial innovations and the Nigerian economic growth and development. The data was analysed using a multiple linear regression model adapted from Muiruri and Ngari (2014) who studied the effects of financial innovations on the financial performance of commercial banks in Kenya. The model was adapted to study the effects of financial innovations on the national economic development and growth. The model is stated as follows:
  • 4. Business, Management and Economics Research 30 Y1t-n = β0t-n + β1X1 t-n + β2X2 t-n + β3X3 t-n + β4X4 t-n + € t-n . . . eqn. (1) Where: Y t-n = National economic growth with GDP as proxy β0 = Constant Co-efficient β1, β2, β3 and β4 = Co-efficient of ATM Banking, WEB (Internet) Banking, POS Banking and Mobile Banking respectively N = Years of data coverage, in this case 10 years. € t-n = Error term The equation (1) above can be rewritten as: Y1t-n = ∑β0t-n + β1X1 t-n + € t-n . . . . eqn. (2) 4. Results and Findings The empirical analysis shows that the adjusted R-Square which explains the extent to which the independent variables account for the changes and behavior of the dependent variable (GDP) is 0.9937. It can therefore be explained that 99.37 percent of the changes in variable GDP is accounted for by independent variables (ATM Banking, Internet Banking, POS Banking and Mobile Banking). In other words, the adjusted R2 shows that all the explanatory variables represent or jointly determine the effect on Economic Growth or variations at 99% and the others one percent is captured by omitted variables. This indicates the importance of the variables used. The adjusted R-Square of 0.9937 and F-Test 356.32 is > than 2,528tab are found to be significant at 0.05 level of significance, suggesting that suggesting that the proxies adopted to represent financial innovations in the model, collectively and significantly impact on the on the Nigeria’s economic growth and development as proxy by GDP. The p-value < 0.05. Therefore, the hypothesis that the there is no positive correlation between financial innovations and the Nigerian economic growth and development is rejected. All the coefficients of the model are positive except for the MOBILE which shows positive or direct relationships between all the explanatory variables and the independent variable while the MOBILE shows inverse relationship. For instance, the coefficient of ATM, β1=20.25, indicates that a unit increase in the level of ATM will have a positive impact on GDP to the tune of 20.25 and likewise for the coefficients of WEB and POS which would equally increase the contributions to GDP by β2 = 67.91 and β3 = 39.04 respectively. All these are in line with the a priori expectation. However, the contribution of MOBILE is inversely related to the GDP as shown by a4 = -88.66 though there are divergent views for this in the literature but the traditional International Financial Statistics (IFS) (2008) definition, mobile phone penetration has a negative correlation with traditional financial intermediary dynamics of depth, activity, and size. However, when a previously missing informal-financial sector component is integrated into the definition, mobile phone penetration has a positive correlation with informal financial development. Also, according to Harald and Koutroumpis (2011), impact is smaller for countries with a low mobile penetration, usually low income countries. While in low income countries the mobile telecommunications contribution to annual GDP growth is 0.11%, for high income countries this is 0.20%. The increasing returns from mobile adoption are also emerging when assessing the impact on productivity growth. The study identified some specific and prevalent risks associated with the examined financial innovations namely, ATM Banking, WEB (Internet) Banking, POS Banking and Mobile Banking as well as the implications they pose on the financial system. Financial Innovation Risk Types Implications ATM Banking Service  Card theft  Skimming devices  Pin Fraud  Financial loss  Loss of financial data WEB/ Internet Banking  Hackers  Phishing  Secure Login  Suspicious email  Username and Password  Financial loss  Loss of financial data  POS Banking  Connection reliability.  Security risks Mobile Banking  Identity theft:  Impersonation of provider status:  Inability to transact  Transaction delayed by Network  Delays in balance updates by the service: Reputational
  • 5. Business, Management and Economics Research 31 5. Conclusion Financial innovations are essential for economic growth and development. This study established that a positive and significant relationship exist with most of the financial innovation products and the GDP with the exception of Mobile Banking that showed a negative but significant relationship with the GDP. It was also observed that in spite of the positive and significant relationship which implies that the independent variables contributes positively and significantly to the economic growth and development, they are not without some risks that could make them rather a liability rather than asset to the financial system and inadvertently to the nation’s economy. This study recommends policy makers to encourage home grown financial innovations that can impact positively on the domestic economy and that can also be exported to other economies. The policy makers should also ensure that implementable policies are put in place to address some of the risks that could arise from external threats while operators deploying the financial innovation products ensure that they have in place very sound and regularly updated risk management frameworks, required hardware and software and personnel that could forestall any internal and external threats. References Abel, S. (2010). Key drivers of financial innovation. Available: http://www.herald.co.zw/key-drivers-of-financial- innovation/ Agbaje and Ayanbadejo (2017). Electronic payment and economic growth in nigeria, a report by rtc advisory services limited. Available: https://www.prosharengCom/admin/upload/reports/RTCcashless.pdf Akhalumeh, P. B. and Ohiokha, F. (2012). Nigeria’s cashless economy: The imperatives. International Journal of Management & Business Studies, 2(2): 12-17. Akinwunmi, I. A., Muturi, W. and Ngumi, P. (2016). Financial incentives and financial innovation adoption in Nigeria (2005 – 2010). Pyrex Journal of Business and Finance Management Research, 2(4): 25-34. Arnaboldi, F. and Rossignoli, B. (2013). Financial innovation in banking. Department of Law “Cesare Beccaria”, University of <ilam and centre for research in banking and finance, University of Modena and Reggio. Available: http://convegni.unicatt.it/meetings_Arnaboldi_Rossignoli.pdf Bazhal, I. (2016). The theory of economic development if J. A. Schumpeter: Key feature. National University of “Kyiv-Mohyla Academy”, MPRA Paper No. 69883. Available: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/69883/ Becalli and Poli (2015). Bank risk, governance and regulation. Beck, T., Chen, C. T., Lin, C. and Song, F. M. (2014). Financial innovation: The bright and the dark sides. HKIMR Working Paper 05/2012. Available: Hhtp://papers.ssrn.com/so13/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1991216 Block, T. (2002). Financial systems, innovation and economic performance. Merit-infonomics research memorandum series. Available: http://collections.unu.edu/view/UNU:1115 Central Bank of Nigeria (2016). Statistical bulletins. Available: www.cenbank.org Crafts, N. (2004). Steam as a general purpose technology: A growth accounting perspective. Economic Journal, 114(495): 338-50. Crescenzi, R., Rodríguez-Pose, A. and Storper, M. (2012). The territorial dynamics of innovation in China and India. Journal of Economic Geography, 12(5): 1055-85. Available: https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbs020 Echekoba (2012). Electronic retail payment systems: User acceptability and payment problems in Nigeria. Oman Chapter of Arabian Journal of Business and Management Review, 1(9): 111-23. Elliott, D. J. (2010). The pros and cons of financial Innovation. Available: https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/the- pros-and-cons-of-financial-innovation/ Eloranta, J. and Land, J. (2011). Hollow victory? Britain’s public debt and the seven years’ war. French, A. M. and Shim, J. P. (2016). 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  • 7. Business, Management and Economics Research 33 Appendix Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation GDP[t] = + 28125 + 20.25ATM[t] + 67.9125WEB[t] + 39.0403POS[t] -88.6645MOB[t] + e[t] Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares Variable Parameter S.D. T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 2-tail p-value 1-tail p-value (Intercept) +2.812e+04 1565 +1.7970e+01 9.803e-06 4.902e-06 ATM +20.25 1.044 +1.9400e+01 6.717e-06 3.358e-06 WEB +67.91 21.72 +3.1270e+00 0.02604 0.01302 POS +39.04 58.23 +6.7040e-01 0.5323 0.2662 MOB -88.66 55.8 -1.5890e+00 0.1729 0.08645 Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.9983 R-squared 0.9965 Adjusted R-squared 0.9937 F-TEST (value) 356.3 F-TEST (DF numerator) 4 F-TEST (DF denominator) 5 p-value 2.523e-06 Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics Residual Standard Deviation 1866 Sum Squared Residuals 1.741e+07
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  • 9. Business, Management and Economics Research 35