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Evidence Based Mapping
Network Strategy Consulting in KOL Management,
Marketing, Regulatory & Market Access.




Harald Katzmair

  6/6/2011           © 2011 FAS.research         1
FAS.research is a Social Network Analytics &
     Strategies company. FAS.research maps key-
     drivers and key-influencers to leverage the power
     of networks for KOL management, public affairs,
     key account management and social change.




6/6/2011                 © 2011 FAS.research             2
Clients (Selection)




6/6/2011         © 2011 FAS.research   3
Rx




6/6/2011   © 2011 FAS.research   4
How does the Pharma Business work?
Price




        Perceived medical need and value
Drug from Pharma Company ABC

                             Rx
Price




        Perceived medical need and value
Goal Pharma Company ABC
Price




                                            Huge therapeutic deficit
                                            Huge pain and suffering
                                            No alternatives
                                            Low complexity
                                            Evidence


        Perceived medical need and value
Goal Pharma Company ABC



                                            Massive development
Price




                                             and research costs
                                            Secure medical
                                             progress
                                            High service level
                                             (hotlines, value adds)
                                            General economic
                                             savings through
                                             reduced follow up costs

        Perceived medical need and value
Goal Pharma Company ABC
                                            High value block buster
                                 Rx Rx       drug
Price




        Perceived medical need and value
Goal Payor ABC

                                  Rx
Price




        Perceived medical need and value
Goal Payor ABC

                               Rx
                                             Not enough evidence
                                              in all fields
                                             Existing alternatives
                                             High complexity
Price




                                             Me-too product
            Commoditize perceived medical
                                              (Pseudo Innovation)
                          value and need
                                             Therapeutic guidelines
                                             Competitors product
                                              shows more evidence
                                              and value


        Perceived medical need and value
Goal Payor ABC

                                                                 Rx
        Reduce drug prices (Sick funds)
Price




                                                                              FRP
                                                                              Guidelines
                                                                              Rebates



                                          Perceived medical need and value
Goal Payors and Competitors
                                             Biggest bang for the
                                              buck
                                             Commoditized markets
                                              (Scaling Effects)
                                             Decreasing health care
                                              costs
Price




        Rx




         Perceived medical need and value
Strategy of Payor ABC
                Product B        Product A
Price




                Product C        Product D    Challenge Evidence
                                              Discredit as Me-too
                                               product (Pseudo
                                               Innovation)
                                              Show Alternatives



        Perceived medical need and value
Pharma Portfolio Strategies
                                              Based on position of
                                              drug different strategies
               Product B         Product A
                                              Qualitative
                                              Increase perception of
                                              medical value and need
                                              (quality) strategy
Price




                                  Product D   Quantitative
                Product C                     Maximize price (avoid,
                                              delay FRP, rebate
                                              contracts negotiation
                                              excellence)



        Perceived medical need and value
Challange
      Perception of value and need outcome of a social
       construction and negotiations?
      Who are the people, institutions, frames and stories
       that shape the value perception of a drug?
      How robust and stable are those constellations?
      What are the right strategies and tactics to improve
       the value perception?
      Stories, frames, domains, context?
      Key Opinion Leader? „Followers“?

6/6/2011                                                16
Social Networks in Business-to-Doctor (B2D)


       Pharma-to-Doctor                                      Doctor-to-External



                                            Doctor-to-Doctor                Doctor-to-Altera


                                                                                                       Patient,
                                                                              Patient                  doctor,
 Quality Circle                           Peer Group Networks
                                                                           organizations                family
                                                                                                      members…
                       Specialists/           Associations                  Networks
Research Groups      Hospital Re+ Ug+

                        Specialists,        Research Groups
 Focus Groups                                                            Informal Groups
                       GPs + Pharma            (Hospital)

                      Opinion Leaders
Advisory Boards                             Informal Group                  Sick Funds
                        ++ Pharma

                           GPs
Informal Groups           + Ug+                    …


       …




                                                                                           Based on van Lier, 2007
Key Opinion Leader (KOL)




6/6/2011          © 2008 FAS.research   18
6/6/2011   © 2008 FAS.research   19
Functional KOL Segmentation
                                         Influence Drug Perception and Value




                 Regulatory Acceptance
                       and FRPs                                                            Clinical Trials



                                  Evidence and
                                   Guidelines                                Clinical Trials
                                                      Reimbursement
KOL Segmentation

      Global KOL                                 Local KOL                                     Emerging KOL
      use for:                                   use for:                                      use for:
      • Assessing drug efficacy                  • Conducting, Supervising                     • Building early trust
      (evidence)
                                                  Clinical Trials                              • Running clinical trials
      • Forming public opinion
                                                 • Advising company                            • Conducting early research
      • Lobbying (regulatory
                                                 • Lobbying (regulatory &
       & reimbursement
                                                  reimbursement)
Evidence based validation cycle




                       check      ok



                        ok     check
Potential Network
                                           Key Network Partner
                         Partners
             high




 Impact on          Invest (selectively)   Develop & Invest
     value
perception           Unnecessary           Peripheral Network
of Drug RX          Network Actors                Actors
             low




                         Disinvest                Hold

                           low                    high

                      Access and win-win opporunities
The Myth of Influence
Is really everybody a receptive match
Who is receptive / susceptible?
Prescribing as Process
                   1. Hears drug story (media, colleagues etc.)
 I. Awareness
                   2. Understands value proposition
                   3. Likes story and value prop (matches with need)
 II. Conviction
                   4. Talks with colleagues and KOLs
                   5. Experiences consensus in network
 III. Decision     6. Intents to prescribe
 IV. Action        7. Prescribes
                   8. Positive / Negative experiences
 V. Confirmation
                   9. Passes on experience

6/6/2011               © 2010 FAS.research                        28
Who is receptive / susceptible ?




           stable          instable               neutral


    Role of KOL        Role of KOL             Role of KOL
   Conservative,      Change agent,        Agnostic / nihilistic,
 keeps the systems   becomes a new         everything is equally
  thresholds and        attractor              good / bad
 boundaries stable

6/6/2011             © 2011 FAS.research                      29
Influence: Cause or Effect?
      Influence is the result of the sensitivity of a system
       towards variables from the environment.
      The higher the instability (closeness to threshold) of
       a node the higher the (random) influence of the
       environment.
      Examples for instability
        – Buyers remorse
        – Diminishing returns
        – Crisis, confusion, insecurity
        – Innovation, new products
6/6/2011                  © 2011 FAS.research             30
Stages of a network




                                            Growth
                                            Equilibrium
                                            Crisis
                                            Re-organization




6/6/2011           © 2011 FAS.research                         31
Sensitivity Parameter
        Attribute of Node:
          – Horizontal centrality (betweeness)
          – Vertical centrality (eigenvector)
          – Degree of economic stress of organization
          – Phase in the PLC and adaptive cycle
        Attributes of Product:
          – Therapeutic risks
          – TNT, revenue and profit for prescribers
          – Number of alternative products
        Attribute of Network:
          – Degree of cognitive dissonance and polarization in the therapeutic
             field
          – Morphology: Structural Holes, Closure, Fold, Random Network
6/6/2011                         © 2011 FAS.research                        32
Next Generation Strategy Map




6/6/2011       © 2011 FAS.research   33
Summary
      Network Mapping has proven to be a very powerful process
       to identify und understand different functional roles and
       their key players in the Pharma business.
      Network Strategy Consulting requires to overcome a
       mythological framework to understand and manage
       influence.
      Based on a modified, more realistic model of influence new
       insights about people and organizations with increasing or
       decreasing capacities to influence can be identified.
      Future research and application at FAS will intensify the
       combination of node centric measures and models to
       measure the degree of sensitivity of the overall network.
6/6/2011                    © 2011 FAS.research                34
Evidence Based Mapping
Network Strategy Consulting in KOL Management,
Marketing, Regulatory & Market Access.




      Thank you for your Attention!

www.fas-research.com    mailto:harald.katzmair@fas-research.com

 6/6/2011              © 2011 FAS.research                        35

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Evidence-Based Network Strategy Consulting

  • 1. Evidence Based Mapping Network Strategy Consulting in KOL Management, Marketing, Regulatory & Market Access. Harald Katzmair 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 1
  • 2. FAS.research is a Social Network Analytics & Strategies company. FAS.research maps key- drivers and key-influencers to leverage the power of networks for KOL management, public affairs, key account management and social change. 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 2
  • 3. Clients (Selection) 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 3
  • 4. Rx 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 4
  • 5. How does the Pharma Business work? Price Perceived medical need and value
  • 6. Drug from Pharma Company ABC Rx Price Perceived medical need and value
  • 7. Goal Pharma Company ABC Price  Huge therapeutic deficit  Huge pain and suffering  No alternatives  Low complexity  Evidence Perceived medical need and value
  • 8. Goal Pharma Company ABC  Massive development Price and research costs  Secure medical progress  High service level (hotlines, value adds)  General economic savings through reduced follow up costs Perceived medical need and value
  • 9. Goal Pharma Company ABC  High value block buster Rx Rx drug Price Perceived medical need and value
  • 10. Goal Payor ABC Rx Price Perceived medical need and value
  • 11. Goal Payor ABC Rx  Not enough evidence in all fields  Existing alternatives  High complexity Price  Me-too product Commoditize perceived medical (Pseudo Innovation) value and need  Therapeutic guidelines  Competitors product shows more evidence and value Perceived medical need and value
  • 12. Goal Payor ABC Rx Reduce drug prices (Sick funds) Price  FRP  Guidelines  Rebates Perceived medical need and value
  • 13. Goal Payors and Competitors  Biggest bang for the buck  Commoditized markets (Scaling Effects)  Decreasing health care costs Price Rx Perceived medical need and value
  • 14. Strategy of Payor ABC Product B Product A Price Product C Product D  Challenge Evidence  Discredit as Me-too product (Pseudo Innovation)  Show Alternatives Perceived medical need and value
  • 15. Pharma Portfolio Strategies Based on position of drug different strategies Product B Product A Qualitative Increase perception of medical value and need (quality) strategy Price Product D Quantitative Product C Maximize price (avoid, delay FRP, rebate contracts negotiation excellence) Perceived medical need and value
  • 16. Challange  Perception of value and need outcome of a social construction and negotiations?  Who are the people, institutions, frames and stories that shape the value perception of a drug?  How robust and stable are those constellations?  What are the right strategies and tactics to improve the value perception?  Stories, frames, domains, context?  Key Opinion Leader? „Followers“? 6/6/2011 16
  • 17. Social Networks in Business-to-Doctor (B2D) Pharma-to-Doctor Doctor-to-External Doctor-to-Doctor Doctor-to-Altera Patient, Patient doctor, Quality Circle Peer Group Networks organizations family members… Specialists/ Associations Networks Research Groups Hospital Re+ Ug+ Specialists, Research Groups Focus Groups Informal Groups GPs + Pharma (Hospital) Opinion Leaders Advisory Boards Informal Group Sick Funds ++ Pharma GPs Informal Groups + Ug+ … … Based on van Lier, 2007
  • 18. Key Opinion Leader (KOL) 6/6/2011 © 2008 FAS.research 18
  • 19. 6/6/2011 © 2008 FAS.research 19
  • 20. Functional KOL Segmentation Influence Drug Perception and Value Regulatory Acceptance and FRPs Clinical Trials Evidence and Guidelines Clinical Trials Reimbursement KOL Segmentation Global KOL Local KOL Emerging KOL use for: use for: use for: • Assessing drug efficacy • Conducting, Supervising • Building early trust (evidence) Clinical Trials • Running clinical trials • Forming public opinion • Advising company • Conducting early research • Lobbying (regulatory • Lobbying (regulatory & & reimbursement reimbursement)
  • 21. Evidence based validation cycle check ok ok check
  • 22. Potential Network Key Network Partner Partners high Impact on Invest (selectively) Develop & Invest value perception Unnecessary Peripheral Network of Drug RX Network Actors Actors low Disinvest Hold low high Access and win-win opporunities
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. The Myth of Influence
  • 26. Is really everybody a receptive match
  • 27. Who is receptive / susceptible?
  • 28. Prescribing as Process 1. Hears drug story (media, colleagues etc.) I. Awareness 2. Understands value proposition 3. Likes story and value prop (matches with need) II. Conviction 4. Talks with colleagues and KOLs 5. Experiences consensus in network III. Decision 6. Intents to prescribe IV. Action 7. Prescribes 8. Positive / Negative experiences V. Confirmation 9. Passes on experience 6/6/2011 © 2010 FAS.research 28
  • 29. Who is receptive / susceptible ? stable instable neutral Role of KOL Role of KOL Role of KOL Conservative, Change agent, Agnostic / nihilistic, keeps the systems becomes a new everything is equally thresholds and attractor good / bad boundaries stable 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 29
  • 30. Influence: Cause or Effect?  Influence is the result of the sensitivity of a system towards variables from the environment.  The higher the instability (closeness to threshold) of a node the higher the (random) influence of the environment.  Examples for instability – Buyers remorse – Diminishing returns – Crisis, confusion, insecurity – Innovation, new products 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 30
  • 31. Stages of a network  Growth  Equilibrium  Crisis  Re-organization 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 31
  • 32. Sensitivity Parameter  Attribute of Node: – Horizontal centrality (betweeness) – Vertical centrality (eigenvector) – Degree of economic stress of organization – Phase in the PLC and adaptive cycle  Attributes of Product: – Therapeutic risks – TNT, revenue and profit for prescribers – Number of alternative products  Attribute of Network: – Degree of cognitive dissonance and polarization in the therapeutic field – Morphology: Structural Holes, Closure, Fold, Random Network 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 32
  • 33. Next Generation Strategy Map 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 33
  • 34. Summary  Network Mapping has proven to be a very powerful process to identify und understand different functional roles and their key players in the Pharma business.  Network Strategy Consulting requires to overcome a mythological framework to understand and manage influence.  Based on a modified, more realistic model of influence new insights about people and organizations with increasing or decreasing capacities to influence can be identified.  Future research and application at FAS will intensify the combination of node centric measures and models to measure the degree of sensitivity of the overall network. 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 34
  • 35. Evidence Based Mapping Network Strategy Consulting in KOL Management, Marketing, Regulatory & Market Access. Thank you for your Attention! www.fas-research.com mailto:harald.katzmair@fas-research.com 6/6/2011 © 2011 FAS.research 35