Paper given by Prof David Grigg, Monash Uni, Melbourne to ALSEC-ANZ conference -Regarding the Earth, Aug 31-2 Sept 2012

1. Climate Change in images
Dave Griggs
CEO ClimateWorks Australia
9 March 2011
Monash Sustainability Institute 1

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Monash Sustainability Institute 2
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6. Amount spent on
Cosmetics (US)
$8 billion ($8 000 000 000)
Monash Sustainability Institute 6

7. Amount spent on Ice-cream
(Europe)
$11 billion
($11 000 000 000)
Monash Sustainability Institute 7

8. Amount spent on Pet Food (US & Europe)
$17 billion ($17 000 000 000)
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9. Amount spent on Cigarettes (Europe)
$50 billion
($50 000 000 000)
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10. Amount spent on
Alcoholic Drinks
(Europe)
$105 billion
($105 000 000 000)
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11. Amount spent on Narcotics (worldwide)
$400 billion ($400 000 000 000)
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12. Military Spending (worldwide)
$780 billion ($780 000 000 000)
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13. Cost of Attaining each Millennium Development Goal
$40-60 billion ($40-60 000 000 000)
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24. 4. Science-
policy
intersection:
The
critical
decade
Monash Sustainability Institute 24
Meinshausen et al. 2009

25. The Critical Decade
(a la Prof Lesley Hughes)
My grandkids?
My kids
Me
Monash Sustainability Institute 25

26. 1950
• Refrigerator
• Toaster
• Frypan
• Oven
• Kettle
• Lighting
• Radio
• Record player
• Iron
• Vacuum Cleaner
Monash Sustainability Institute 26

27. 2008
• Fridge • DVD
• That 2nd fridge in the garage • VCR
• Freezer • Games console
• Toaster • Stereo
• Kettle • T.V
• Sandwich toaster • 2nd, 3rd 4th etc. T.V
• Stove • Computer
• Oven • Computer Speakers
• Blender • Modem
• Electric Mixer • Printer
• Microwave Oven • Computer Screen
• Range hood • Hairdryer
• Dishwasher • Hair Straightener
• Washing Machine • Portable Heater
• Clothes Dryer • Air conditioning
• Iron • Fan
• Vacuum Cleaner • Heating system
• Hot Water System • Clock Radio
• Lighting • Variety of gardening tools
• Electric Razor • Power tools
• Electric Blanket • Electric toothbrush
• I-Pod • Mobile phone charger
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28. Growth in demand and population
600 556%
Electricity
Fuel
500 Population
Water
Index of per capita consumption
400
Per capita
Indexed to 1961
300
218%
199%
200
90%
100
(Sources: ABS, ABARE and
0
Melbourne Water)
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Year
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Infrastructure 21

29. Global resource use
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30. Natural system – energy links
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31. Gb/year
50
50
Demand
World oil Trend
40 40
shortfall scenarios
30 30
Past Production of Oil Shortfall
20 20
Forecast
10 10 Production
0 0
2007 2030
1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050
By 2030, the gap is equivalent to 6,000 nuclear reactors
Monash Sustainability Institute 31

32. Declining ore grades
General Trend
Source: Mudd GM, 2009. The Sustainability of Mining in Australia: Key Production
Monash Sustainability Institute Trends and Their Environmental Implications for the Future. Department of Civil 32
Engineering, Monash University and Mineral Policy Institute.

33. Natural system – population links
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34. Natural system – population links
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35. Page title
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36. Natural system – population links
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37. Natural system – food production links
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38. Natural system – food production links
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39. Natural system – food production links
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