APNIC's Senior Research and Development Scientist, George Michaelson, provides an overview of global IPv6 trends at the Global IPv6 Summit Hangzhou, China, from 21 to 22 May 2018.
3. The world is on around 18% IPv6 Capability
• Capability as in ‘can use IPv6’ not necessarily preferring it.
• Measured as % of sampled users who can fetch an IPv6 addressed web asset
embedded in a web advertisement.
• 15million or more samples per day, worldwide
• Figures adjusted for relative internet population
• We over-sample the US, under-sample India
• Other measures place it slightly higher at 20% or better
• Consider APNIC a ‘low side’ count and them as ‘high side count’
• Its pretty well bracketed. It’s a high confidence figure.
• Lets rank the economies by IPv6 capability above and below 18%
4. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC
BE 58% IN 56.79% US 45.24% DE 39.71% GR 38.57% UY 33% LU 32.72% CH 30.87%
GB 29.95% FI 28.13% MY 27.98% JP 26.99% BR 26.44% TT 25.92% FR 23.36% EE 22.18%
CA 21.65% IE 21.58% PT 20.65% NZ 19.94%
BE 58%IN 56.79%US 45.24%DE 39.71%GR 38.57%UY 33%LU 32.72%CH 30.87%
AU 17.70% EC 17.42% PE 15.63% NO 15.20% NL 14.07% MO 11.89% SI 11.81% RO 11.74%
HU 11.54% VN 11.40% PR 11.25% ZW 11.16% SA 11.08% KR 10.37% SE 9.86% TH 9.52%
CZ 9.26% GT 9.24% SG 8.63% AT 7.87% AR 7.61% PL 7.03% MX 6.73% LK 6.52%
DK 5.21% BO 4.36% SK 4.36% TW 4.33% ES 3.34% BA 3.21% IL 2.74% IR 2.41%
AE 2.35% IT 1.99% RU 1.71% BG 1.71% EG 1.27% LR 1.23% GA 1.19% DO 0.98%
Economies Ranked around 18% IPv6 Capability
These ones are “above” World 18% levels
And these ones are “below” World 18% levels
6. How much of the world IPv6 is each economy
• Lets re-scale this to reflect the % of world Internet broken
out by economies
• and then calculate the % of worldwide IPv6 each economy is
contributing by relative size.
• Lets focus on the top 15.
12. Guess which Economy is Which..
India
49%Brazil 6%
Japan 6%
USA 22%
Germany 5%
13. Guess which Economy is Which..
India
49%Brazil 6%
Japan 6%
USA 22%
Germany 5%
United Kingdom 3%
14. Guess which Economy is Which..
India
49%Brazil 6%
Japan 6%
USA 22%
Germany 5%
United Kingdom 3%
France 2%
15. Guess which Economy is Which..
India
49%Brazil 6%
Japan 6%
USA 22%
Germany 5%
United Kingdom 3%
France 2% Canada 1% Sth Korea
Belgium
Malaysia 1%
Vietnam
Australia
Thailand
Mexico <1%
17. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC
BE 58% IN 56.79% US 45.24% DE 39.71% GR 38.57% UY 33% LU 32.72% CH 30.87%
GB 29.95% FI 28.13% MY 27.98% JP 26.99% BR 26.44% TT 25.92% FR 23.36% EE 22.18%
CA 21.65% IE 21.58% PT 20.65% NZ 19.94%
BE 58%IN 56.79%US 45.24%DE 39.71%GR 38.57%UY 33%LU 32.72%CH 30.87%
AU 17.70% EC 17.42% PE 15.63% NO 15.20% NL 14.07% MO 11.89% SI 11.81% RO 11.74%
HU 11.54% VN 11.40% PR 11.25% ZW 11.16% SA 11.08% KR 10.37% SE 9.86% TH 9.52%
CZ 9.26% GT 9.24% SG 8.63% AT 7.87% AR 7.61% PL 7.03% MX 6.73% LK 6.52%
DK 5.21% BO 4.36% SK 4.36% TW 4.33% ES 3.34% BA 3.21% IL 2.74% IR 2.41%
AE 2.35% IT 1.99% RU 1.71% BG 1.71% EG 1.27% LR 1.23% GA 1.19% DO 0.98%
Economies Ranked around 18% IPv6 Capability
18. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC
BE 58% IN 56.79% US 45.24% DE 39.71% GR 38.57% UY 33% LU 32.72% CH 30.87%
GB 29.95% FI 28.13% MY 27.98% JP 26.99% BR 26.44% TT 25.92% FR 23.36% EE 22.18%
CA 21.65% IE 21.58% PT 20.65% NZ 19.94%
AU 17.70% EC 17.42% PE 15.63% NO 15.20% NL 14.07% MO 11.89% SI 11.81% RO 11.74%
HU 11.54% VN 11.40% PR 11.25% ZW 11.16% SA 11.08% KR 10.37% SE 9.86% TH 9.52%
CZ 9.26% GT 9.24% SG 8.63% AT 7.87% AR 7.61% PL 7.03% MX 6.73% LK 6.52%
DK 5.21% BO 4.36% SK 4.36% TW 4.33% ES 3.34% BA 3.21% IL 2.74% IR 2.41%
AE 2.35% IT 1.99% RU 1.71% BG 1.71% EG 1.27% LR 1.23% GA 1.19% DO 0.98%
G8 Economies
All of the G8 economies are on the board
19. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC
BE 58% IN 56.79% US 45.24% DE 39.71% GR 38.57% UY 33% LU 32.72% CH 30.87%
GB 29.95% FI 28.13% MY 27.98% JP 26.99% BR 26.44% TT 25.92% FR 23.36% EE 22.18%
CA 21.65% IE 21.58% PT 20.65% NZ 19.94%
AU 17.70% EC 17.42% PE 15.63% NO 15.20% NL 14.07% MO 11.89% SI 11.81% RO 11.74%
HU 11.54% VN 11.40% PR 11.25% ZW 11.16% SA 11.08% KR 10.37% SE 9.86% TH 9.52%
CZ 9.26% GT 9.24% SG 8.63% AT 7.87% AR 7.61% PL 7.03% MX 6.73% LK 6.52%
DK 5.21% BO 4.36% SK 4.36% TW 4.33% ES 3.34% BA 3.21% IL 2.74% IR 2.41%
AE 2.35% IT 1.99% RU 1.71% BG 1.71% EG 1.27% LR 1.23% GA 1.19% DO 0.98%
G20 Economies
Missing: CN ID SA TR ZA
20. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC
BE 58% IN 56.79% US 45.24% DE 39.71% GR 38.57% UY 33% LU 32.72% CH 30.87%
GB 29.95% FI 28.13% MY 27.98% JP 26.99% BR 26.44% TT 25.92% FR 23.36% EE 22.18%
CA 21.65% IE 21.58% PT 20.65% NZ 19.94%
AU 17.70% EC 17.42% PE 15.63% NO 15.20% NL 14.07% MO 11.89% SI 11.81% RO 11.74%
HU 11.54% VN 11.40% PR 11.25% ZW 11.16% SA 11.08% KR 10.37% SE 9.86% TH 9.52%
CZ 9.26% GT 9.24% SG 8.63% AT 7.87% AR 7.61% PL 7.03% MX 6.73% LK 6.52%
DK 5.21% BO 4.36% SK 4.36% TW 4.33% ES 3.34% BA 3.21% IL 2.74% IR 2.41%
AE 2.35% IT 1.99% RU 1.71% BG 1.71% EG 1.27% LR 1.23% GA 1.19% DO 0.98%
OECD Economies
Missing: CL IS TR
21. CC CC CC CC CC CC CC CC
BE 58% IN 56.79% US 45.24% DE 39.71% GR 38.57% UY 33% LU 32.72% CH 30.87%
GB 29.95% FI 28.13% MY 27.98% JP 26.99% BR 26.44% TT 25.92% FR 23.36% EE 22.18%
CA 21.65% IE 21.58% PT 20.65% NZ 19.94%
AU 17.70% EC 17.42% PE 15.63% NO 15.20% NL 14.07% MO 11.89% SI 11.81% RO 11.74%
HU 11.54% VN 11.40% PR 11.25% ZW 11.16% SA 11.08% KR 10.37% SE 9.86% TH 9.52%
CZ 9.26% GT 9.24% SG 8.63% AT 7.87% AR 7.61% PL 7.03% MX 6.73% LK 6.52%
DK 5.21% BO 4.36% SK 4.36% TW 4.33% ES 3.34% BA 3.21% IL 2.74% IR 2.41%
AE 2.35% IT 1.99% RU 1.71% BG 1.71% EG 1.27% LR 1.23% GA 1.19% DO 0.98%
APEC Economies
Missing BN CL CN HK ID PG PH
22. Take-away messages
• There is no strong indication that specific sector-economy drivers are
making IPv6 happen
• We have strong, developed G8/G20 economies with little or no IPv6
• We have emerging Internet Economies with significant IPv6
• There are signs that suggest a two-track internet risks emerging
• Lack of capital investment to upgrade to dualstack or IPv6
• IPv6 is interesting because of the future potential to innovate
• Don’t get caught behind incumbent thinking!
23. India
49%Brazil 6%
Japan 6%
USA 22%
Germany 5%
United Kingdom 3%
France 2% Canada 1% Sth Korea
Belgium
Malaysia 1%
Vietnam
Australia
Thailand
Mexico <1%
Looking into the top 15 economies
25. • Whats going on inside these economies?
• Look at the per-AS statistics on when their top ASN (by measured
share of experiments) enabled IPv6.
• Focusses on the most ‘impactful’ ASN, and their deployment stories
• What can this say about competitive ‘tension’ in services?
• Can we see signs of active competition in IPv6? Do we see signs of
market dominance?
26. AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm
Limited
AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd.,
Telecommunication - Value Added Services
AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited
AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel
Ltd. AS for GPRS Service
AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone
716 other ASN
%IPv6 %IPv4
How to interpret the charts
27. AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm
Limited
AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd.,
Telecommunication - Value Added Services
AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited
AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel
Ltd. AS for GPRS Service
AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone
716 other ASN
%IPv6 %IPv4
How to interpret the charts
• AS NUMBER and WHOIS Nice name
• ”Width” of the box is % of economies IPv6
28. AS55836 - RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm
Limited
AS38266 - HUTCHVAS-AS Vodafone Essar Ltd.,
Telecommunication - Value Added Services
AS45271 - ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited
AS45609 - BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel
Ltd. AS for GPRS Service
AS9829 - BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone
716 other ASN
%IPv6 %IPv4
How to interpret the charts
• AS NUMBER and WHOIS Nice name
• ”Width” of the box is % of economies IPv6
Length denotes %capable
42. AS133481 - AIS-FIBRE-AS-AP AIS Fibre
AS131445 - AIS3G-2100-AS-AP Advance Wireless Network
AS17552 - TRUE-AS-AP True Internet Co.,Ltd.
AS23969 - TOT-NET TOT Public Company Limited
AS132061 - REALMOVE-AS-AP Realmove Company Limited
AS24378 - ENGTAC-AS-TH-AP Total Access Communication
PLC.
AS45758 - TRIPLETNET-AS-AP Triple T InternetTriple T
Broadband
AS45629 - JASTEL-NETWORK-TH-AP JasTel Network
International Gateway
80 other ASN
%IPv6 %IPv4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
131445
133481
V6 capability & eyeball share, Thailand < 1%
43. AS8151 - Uninet S.A. de C.V.
AS13999 - Mega Cable, S.A. de C.V.
AS17072 - TOTAL PLAY TELECOMUNICACIONES SA DE CV
AS11888 - Television Internacional, S.A. de C.V.
AS28548 - Cablevisin, S.A. de C.V.
AS28509 - Cablemas Telecomunicaciones SA de CV
AS28545 - Cablemas Telecomunicaciones SA de CV
130 other ASN
%IPv6 %IPv4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
8151
V6 capability & eyeball share, Mexico <1%
45. Observations/Conclusions
• Economically diverse economies are deploying IPv6
• There are signs it encourages competition in the ISP sector
• There are signs that some economies have very entrenched,
dominant ISPs
• IPv6 is a significant element of global Internet deployment
• Its too big to ignore
• Its fate is not certain, but the trends are very encouraging
• It looks like good capital investment to deploy
• Where is your economy in this story?
46. An emerging IPv6 deployment story of interest
• Recent signs of activity from two major ASN in the Chinese region of
Taiwan
• HINET Chunghwa Telecom (Landline, FTTx, xSDL)
• EMOME (mobile division of Chunghwa)
• Almost 50% of the Taiwanese Sample share
• Early stages of a rapid deployment
• signs of ‘competitive tension’ in IPv6
47. Chunghwa (AS3462) and EMOME (AS17421)
ASAS17421 - EMOME-NET Mobile Business
Group
ASAS3462 - HINET Data Communication
Business Group
ASAS24158 - TAIWANMOBILE-AS Taiwan
Mobile Co., Ltd.
ASAS9674 - FET-TW Far EastTone
Telecommunication Co., Ltd.
ASAS24157 - VIBO-NET-AS Taiwan Star
Telecom Corporation Limited.(Former Vibo
Telecom Inc.)ASAS131591 - AMBIT-AS-TW Ambit
Microsystem Corporation
48 other ASN
%EyeballShare
%IPv6 %IPv4
0
5
10
15
20
25
2011-10
2012-04
2012-10
2013-04
2013-10
2014-04
2014-10
2015-04
2015-10
2016-04
2016-10
2017-04
2017-10
2018-04
3462
17421