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Inquadramento preoperatorio 
del fabbisogno trasfusionale 
Giovanni Inghilleri 
Servizio di Immunoematologia 
e Medicina Trasfusionale 
A.O. Fatebenefratelli e Oftalmico - Milano
In recent years, questions have been raised 
about clinical outcomes after allogeneic 
transfusion……In addition to these clinical 
issues, economic questions about transfusion 
are also being asked.
Strategies for allogeneic blood conservation 
· Preoperative correction of anaemia 
· Preoperative autologous blood donation 
· rHuEPO stimulation of erythropoiesis 
· Ultrasonic scalpel, argon beam coagulation 
· Use procoagulant drugs 
· Use of topical glues 
· Acute normovolemic haemodilution 
· Hypervolemic haemodilution 
· Intra and post-operative blood salvage 
· Use of blood substitutes
How Well Can Transfusion 
Requirements Be Predicted? 
Approaces to identify Pts at risk of requiring 
blood Tx / to define Pt’s Tx requirements 
1. Type of surgery (MSBOS) + some 
Pts related parameters 
2. Score systems 
3. Mathematical approaches
Type of surgery (MSBOS) + some 
Pts related parameters 
• Much of the variability in transfusion need for a 
given surgery lies with patient variables and not 
with surgical variables. 
• When performed by an experienced surgeon, a 
given type of surgery will result in similar blood 
loss for most patients, despite significant 
differences in patient blood volume or starting 
hematocrit. 
Palmer T, Anesth Analg 2003;96:369 –75
• Aim of the study: 
to analyse the clinical factors that would be useful in 
predicting patients who would require blood transfusion. 
• Evaluated parameters were: 
age, gender, body weight, operation, pre-op Hb, actual blood 
loss, postop Hb level, whether a patient developed symptoms 
of anaemia (e.g. shortness of breath, dizziness or weakness), 
whether transfusion was administered and, if so, the number 
of units transfused. 
• There were no autologous donations.
• The univariate analysis revealed a significant 
relationship between postoperative blood Tx and pre-op 
Hb levels (P=0.001), weight (P= 0.019) and age 
(P=0.018) and not gender (P=0.47). 
• However, multivariate analysis identified a significant 
relationship only between the need for transfusion and 
the pre-op Hb (P=0.0001) with weight (P=0.169) and age 
(P=0.058) being discounted as significant factors.
Univariate analysis 
relationship between Tx and 
•Preop Hb (p = 0.0001) 
•Duration of surgery (p= 0.0001) 
•Weight (p= 0.002), 
•Height (p = 0.019), 
•Gender (p=0.0056). 
Multivariate analysis 
relationship only between TX and 
•Preop Hb (p = 0.0001) 
•Weight (p = 0.011); 
% Pts transfused 
• Hb < 13 g = 69% 
• Hb 13-15g = 36% 
• Hb > 15 g = 13%
Type of surgery (MSBOS) + some Pts related parameters 
Cardiac Surgery 
Besides preop Hb a number of clinical and surgical parameters 
significantly correlate with TR (Shehata N et al Vox Sang 2007). 
Magovern et al. (Ann Thorac Surg 1996) in 2000 CABG: 
emergency operation, cardiogenic shock, urgent operation, catheterization-induced 
coronary occlusion, low left ventricular function, low RBC mass, low body mass 
index, age > 74 years, female sex, peripheral vascular disease, renal dysfunction, 
redo operation, diabetes and low serum albumin. 
Parr et al., J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2003 in CABG pts: 
increased age, preop. creatinine, low body surface and preop Hct, operative 
emergency, the lowest T°on CPB and the duration of CPB. 
No association for gender and prolongation of coagulation tests. 
Moskowitz et al., Ann Thorac Surg 2004 in 307 CABG pts 
Preop creatinine, type and the complexity of the operation (n° of vessels) and the 
urgency of surgery. Moreover, the authors identified a diminished RBC mass as 
one of the strongest predictors of transfusion
Prospective observational study in consecutive patients 
undergoing primary THA or TKA. N=533 N=86 N=89 
Transfusion Policy: 
Pts with Hct > 39%: No PABD or EPO 
Pts with Hct 37 – 39%: PABD 2 units 
Pts with Hct < 37%: EPO 
Results 
In the group with Hct > 39% (533 out 708 
pts) only 7% received allogeneic 
transfusion
How Well Can Transfusion 
Requirements Be Predicted? 
Estimation of Tx requirement bbaasseedd oonn ttyyppee ooff 
ssuurrggeerryy aanndd ssiinnggllee ppaattiieenntt ccoorrrreellaatteedd vvaarriiaabbllee 
• Simple; 
• Criteria defined in each centre; 
• Most relevant parameters Hb and RBCs 
mass; 
• Effective in identifying Pts not requiring 
Tx support; 
• Not effective to define Tx requirements 
(n° of units transfused).
British Journal of Surgery 2007; 94: 860–865 
Methods: Data from 480 Pts who underwent 
hepatic resection were analysed. The data set 
was split randomly into a derivation set of 
two-thirds and a validation set of one-third. 
Univariable analysis was carried out to 
determine the association between clinico-pathological 
factors and blood transfusion. 
Significant variables were entered into a 
multiple logistic regression model, and a 
transfusion risk score (TRS) was developed. 
The accuracy of the system was validated by 
calculating the area under the receiver– 
operator characteristic (ROC) curve. 
Univariable predictors of blood transfusion 
Parameter P value 
Male sex 0,189 
Age >65 years 0,351 
Associated co-morbidities 0,183 
Cardiopulmonary disease 0,784 
Diabetes 0,891 
Cirrhosis 0,085 
Weight >70 kg 0,586 
Pathology 0,035 
Neoadjuvant chemotherapy 0,309 
Largest tumour >4 cm <0.001 
Previous liver resection 0,353 
Exposure of vena cava <0,001 
Non-anatomical resection 0,936 
Bilobar distribution of tumours 0,355 
Multiple resections 0,332 
Extent of liver resection 0,001 
Associated procedures <0,001 
ASA score >2 0,414 
Haemoglobin <12,5 g/dl <0,001 
Platelet count <250 × 109/l 0,390 
PT-INR >1 0,008 
Albumin <40 g/dl 39 ( 0,001 
ALT >60 units/l 30 0,339 
Total bilirubin >1,2 mg/dl 0,389 
GGT >70 units/l 0,008
British Journal of Surgery 2007; 94: 860–865 
Calculated area under the 
curve was 0,89 indicating 
good discrimination. 
N° of units of blood transfused 
correlated significantly with 
the TRS.
Anesth Analg 2004; 99: 1239-44 
Scores for each variable are added 
together. 
The predicted risk of allogenic Tx 
based on total scores is as follows: 
• score of 0–100, 10% or less; 
• score of 100 –150, 10% – 
30%; 
• score of 150 – 200, 30%–50%; 
• score more than 200, 50%. 
Validation Set (934 patients) 
Score % Pts in 
this group 
% of Pts 
transfused 
0-100 46 13 
100-150 31 33 
150-200 14 44 
> 200 9 64
235 Pts in derivation set; 125 Pts in validation set. 
predictors significantly associated with 
homologous RBC transfusion (P 0.05) in the 
multivariable analysis were 
Adjusted 
odds ratio 
4.9 
6.9 
6,7 
19.9 
Individual probability by score value: 
0 = 0%; 1 = 7%; 2 = 19%; 3 = 54%; >4 = 90% 
Results 
Discriminating capacity of the score was 
0.86 in the receiver operating 
characteristics in the derivation sample and 
0.83 in the validation sample. 
Observed Tx rates in the validation set and 
individual probabilities of RBC Tx from the 
score were well correlated 
(y= 0.98x+0.04; P < 0.0001). 
The score was also correlated with the n° of 
RBC units Tx Spearman 0.61; P < 0.0001). 
Individual probability by score value: 
0 = 0%; 1 = 4%; 2 = 35%; 3 = 64%; >4 = 88%
How Well Can Transfusion 
Requirements Be Predicted? 
Estimation of Tx requirement bbaasseedd oonn SSccoorriinngg 
SSyysstteemmss 
• Simple but require knowledge in statistics; 
• Parameters and their weight must be 
defined in each centre; 
• Effective in defining the probability for a 
Pts to requiring Tx support; 
• Not effective to define Tx requirements 
(n° of units transfused).
Mathematical approaches to Tx requirement 
prediction 
Define transfusion requirements taking into account 
measured value of the parameters that determine TR 
TTrraannssffuussiioonn RReeqquuiirreemmeenntt 
RReedduuccttiioonn ooff TToottaall 
BBlloooodd VVoolluummee 
((BBlloooodd LLoossss)) 
TToolleerraatteedd BBlloooodd LLoossss 
((CClliinniiccaall CCoonnddiittiioonnss ++ 
TToottaall BBlloooodd VVoolluummee)) 
HHbb rreedduucc 
VVooll ooff BBlloooodd 
VVooll ooff RRBBCC 
HHbb rreedduucc 
VVooll ooff BBlloooodd 
VVooll ooff RRBBCC
A prospettive randomized trial of the surgical blood order 
equation for ordering red cells for total arthroplasty patients. 
Nuttall GA, Santrach WC Ereth MH et al. Transfusion 1998; 38: 828-33 
• SBOE used to calculate the n° of RBCs units to 
order, as follows: 
Hb lost – (preop Hb – min HHbb)) == UUnniittss ttoo oorrddeerr 
• Hb lost for THR previously measured: 3.7±1.7 
• The SBOE system 
– Exactly matched n° of units ordered with transfused 
in 58%; 
– Ordered more RBCs units than transfused in 19% 
– Underordered RBCs units in 23%
Surgical blood order equation in femoral fracture surgery. 
Kajja I, et al Transfusion Medicine 2011; 21: 7-12 
• SBOE vs current order method in a case-control 
study in homgeneous group of pts (n=62 each) 
• SBOE used to calculate the n° of RBCs units to order, as follows: 
Hb lost – (pre Hb –– MMiinn HHbb)) == UUnniittss ttoo oorrddeerr 
• Hb lost for FF previously measured: 3.3±1.56 
• Overall accuracy: 
SBOE= 65,3%; Unaided ordering= 34,7%
Algorithm to help the choice of the best transfusion 
strategy. 
Mercuriali F, Inghilleri G Curr Med Res Opin 1996;13:465–78 
Transfusion need = 
predicted RBC loss - tolerated RBC loss 
RBCs loss = Circulating RBC mass reduction (from presurgery 
to postoperative day 5) plus the volume of RBC transfused 
=PBV x (Hctpreop - Hctday 5 postop) + mL RBC transfused 
Tolerated RBC loss =Volume of RBC loss to reach an 
accepted minimal Hct value (according to clinical condition) 
=PBV x (Hctbaseline- Hctmin acceptable)
Study 1 
• At the preoperative anesthesia 
evaluation the Pt’s estimated RBC 
reserve was calculated and compared 
with estimated loss (using Mercuriali & 
Inghilleri formulas) 
• The median RBC loss was previously 
estimated to be 538 mL for THA 
(range, 100–1212 mL) and 693 mL for 
TKA (range, 272–1535 mL). 
• PABD was indicated if RBC reserve 
was < 800 mL (THA) or < 1000 mL 
(TKA). 
N° of Pts evaluated = 182 
Pts with no expected Tx 
requirement 91 
Pts with no expected Tx 
req. but Tx 17 (19%) 
Autologous units 
collected 172 
Auto units Tx 93 
Auto units wasted 79 (45%)
“Metodo per la definizione preoperatoria del fabbisogno trasfusionale nel paziente chirurgico. 
Valutazione per un suo utilizzo nella selezione dei pazienti in cui adottare strategie alternative alla 
trasfusione di sangue allogenico” 
PROGETTI PIANO SANGUE 2008 REGIONE LOMBARDIA 
Obbiettivi 
verificare l’efficacia del metodo proposto nel prevedere il fabbisogno 
trasfusionale di pz sottoposti ad intervento di chirurgia ortopedica maggiore 
e la sua idoneità ad essere utilizzato per selezionare i pz in cui è 
appropriato il ricorso tecniche alternative alla trasfusione di sangue; 
Pazienti 
906 Pz: PTA, PTG ed EndoPTA - Ist. Ortop.G. Pini (nov 07 - ott 08) 
1° fase: Def perdite = 484 pz; 2° fase Valid. Mod. = 422 
Pz 
Ipotesi valutata 
valore di perdita attesa = valore mediano per intervento e sesso 
PTA : M = 850mL; F = 630mL . PTG M = 800 mL F = 670 mL 
Hb minima accet: 9 g/dL x età < 80; 9,5 g/dL x età > 80 anni
“Metodo per la definizione preoperatoria del fabbisogno trasfusionale nel paziente chirurgico. 
Valutazione per un suo utilizzo nella selezione dei pazienti in cui adottare strategie alternative alla 
trasfusione di sangue allogenico” 
PROGETTI PIANO SANGUE 2008 REGIONE LOMBARDIA 
valore di perdita attesa = valore mediano per tipo intervento e sesso 
PTA : M = 850mL; F = 630mL . PTG M = 800 mL F = 670 mL 
Fabbisogno trasfusionale previsto 
NO (Fab Neg) Si (Fab Pos) Totale 
Supporto Tx 
NO o 28 45 73 
SI 3 128 131 
Totale 31 173 204 
Valore 95% CI 
Prevalenza supporto Tx 64,2% 57,2% 70,8% 
Sensibilità 97,7% 93,5% 99,5% 
Specificità 38,4% 27,2% 50,5% 
Valore Predittivo Positivo 74,0% 66,8% 80,4% 
Valore Predittivo Negativo 90,3% 74,2% 98,0% 
Accuratezza 76,47
Mathematical approaches to Tx requirement 
prediction 
Critical points 
 Which value utilize as “predicted blood loss”. 
 Large database for defining RBCs loss statistics. 
 To have adequate IT support to collect data. 
 Continuous updating of database and statistics
• Analysis of patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery in 2008 
from The American College of Surgeons’ National Surgical Quality 
Improvement Program database. 
• 227 425 patients, of whom 69 229 (30,44%) had preop anaemia. 
• After adjustment, postoperative mortality at 30 days was higher in 
patients with anaemia than in those without anaemia (odds ratio 
[OR] 1,42); this difference was consistent in mild anaemia (OR 1,41) 
and moderate-to-severe anaemia (OR 1,44). 
• Composite postoperative morbidity at 30 days was also higher in 
patients with anaemia than in those without anaemia (adjusted OR 
1,35), again consistent in patients with mild anaemia (1,31) and 
moderate-to-severe anaemia (1,56).
Predicting Blood Transfusion Requirements in 
Surgical Patients 
Conclusions 
 Different strategies to predict transfusion requirement 
in surgical patients are currently available; 
 The choice of the strategy to be used depend on the 
required precision and the intended use; 
 Reliable predictions must be based on accurate 
analysis of the specific centre experience 
 Collaboration between different specialists involved in 
the transfusion process is mandatory 
 Evaluation and correction of preoperative anemia 
should be the first topic of a PBM program.
Maximum Surgical Blood Order Schedule 
(MSBOS) 
• In the 1970s, Friedman et al. proposed the use of 
MSBOS as a way to limit outdating risk. 
• The MSBOS guidelines are widely accepted and have 
been repeatedly shown to decrease unnecessary 
cross-matching and wastage. 
• MSBOS recommends that 
– RBCs units should be cross-matched only for 
patients undergoing surgery with a high likelihood 
of blood transfusion 
– the n° of units x-matched should be twice the 
median requirement for that surgical procedure 
(cross-match-to-transfusion [C:T] ratio of 2:1).
Maximum Surgical Blood Order Schedule 
(MSBOS) 
• The MSBOS methods introduced the concept that 
prediction should based on specific hospital 
experience. 
• It takes into account only “surgical variables” and 
specifically the type of surgery. Patient-correlated 
variable are not considered. 
• Main limit is the inability to accurately predict, 
for a given surgery, which patients are likely to 
receive a blood transfusion.
Predicting Blood Transfusion Requirements in 
Surgical Patients: Clinical Role 
• To optimize blood inventory 
management; 
• To make the best use of 
alternative strategies to 
allogeneic blood;
Anesth Analg 2004; 99: 1239-44 
Methods 
• Univariate analysis performed to look for associations 
between allogeneic Tx and each of the predictor variables. 
• Predictor variables (known before surgery) showing a 
significant relationship (P 0.05) were considered for 
inclusion in the regression modelling process. 
• The odds ratio for Tx for each predictor variable 
was multiplied to yield an arithmetically convenient 
integer, and these new covariates were used to create a 
scoring system. 
• The scores were categorized into 4 groups (transfusion 
risk of 10% or less, 10%– 30%, 30% –50%, and 50%).
Mercuriali F, Inghilleri G. Proposal of an algorithm to 
help the choice of the best transfusion strategy. 
Curr Med Res Opin 1996;13:465–78 
TToottaall EEssttiimmaatteedd RRBBCC LLoossss 
cRBCsVpresurgery - cRBCsVday 5 postop + mL RBC transfused 
Where 
cRBCsV = PBV x Hct 
PBV (predicted blood volume) = 
Female = 0.3561 x height (m)3 + 0.03308 x weight (kg) + 
0.1833 
Male = 0.3669 x height (m)3 + 0.03219 x weight (kg) + 
0.6041 
mL RBC transfused = mL PAD RBC Tx + No of allogeneic 
units Tx x 200 mL + mL of salvaged RBC
Mercuriali F, Inghilleri G. Proposal of an algorithm to 
help the choice of the best transfusion strategy. 
Curr Med Res Opin 1996;13:465–78 
Transfusion requirement expressed in mL of RBCs 
 Difference between predicted and tolerated 
RBC loss 
 When a negative figure is obtained: 
PABD or EPO not indicated (type and screen + 
stand by intraoperative salvage) 
 When a positive figure is obtained: 
The figure represents the transfusion need 
expressed in mL of RBCs

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2012 anemo inghilleri - inquadramento preoperatorio del fabbisogno trasfusionale

  • 1. Inquadramento preoperatorio del fabbisogno trasfusionale Giovanni Inghilleri Servizio di Immunoematologia e Medicina Trasfusionale A.O. Fatebenefratelli e Oftalmico - Milano
  • 2. In recent years, questions have been raised about clinical outcomes after allogeneic transfusion……In addition to these clinical issues, economic questions about transfusion are also being asked.
  • 3. Strategies for allogeneic blood conservation · Preoperative correction of anaemia · Preoperative autologous blood donation · rHuEPO stimulation of erythropoiesis · Ultrasonic scalpel, argon beam coagulation · Use procoagulant drugs · Use of topical glues · Acute normovolemic haemodilution · Hypervolemic haemodilution · Intra and post-operative blood salvage · Use of blood substitutes
  • 4. How Well Can Transfusion Requirements Be Predicted? Approaces to identify Pts at risk of requiring blood Tx / to define Pt’s Tx requirements 1. Type of surgery (MSBOS) + some Pts related parameters 2. Score systems 3. Mathematical approaches
  • 5. Type of surgery (MSBOS) + some Pts related parameters • Much of the variability in transfusion need for a given surgery lies with patient variables and not with surgical variables. • When performed by an experienced surgeon, a given type of surgery will result in similar blood loss for most patients, despite significant differences in patient blood volume or starting hematocrit. Palmer T, Anesth Analg 2003;96:369 –75
  • 6. • Aim of the study: to analyse the clinical factors that would be useful in predicting patients who would require blood transfusion. • Evaluated parameters were: age, gender, body weight, operation, pre-op Hb, actual blood loss, postop Hb level, whether a patient developed symptoms of anaemia (e.g. shortness of breath, dizziness or weakness), whether transfusion was administered and, if so, the number of units transfused. • There were no autologous donations.
  • 7. • The univariate analysis revealed a significant relationship between postoperative blood Tx and pre-op Hb levels (P=0.001), weight (P= 0.019) and age (P=0.018) and not gender (P=0.47). • However, multivariate analysis identified a significant relationship only between the need for transfusion and the pre-op Hb (P=0.0001) with weight (P=0.169) and age (P=0.058) being discounted as significant factors.
  • 8. Univariate analysis relationship between Tx and •Preop Hb (p = 0.0001) •Duration of surgery (p= 0.0001) •Weight (p= 0.002), •Height (p = 0.019), •Gender (p=0.0056). Multivariate analysis relationship only between TX and •Preop Hb (p = 0.0001) •Weight (p = 0.011); % Pts transfused • Hb < 13 g = 69% • Hb 13-15g = 36% • Hb > 15 g = 13%
  • 9. Type of surgery (MSBOS) + some Pts related parameters Cardiac Surgery Besides preop Hb a number of clinical and surgical parameters significantly correlate with TR (Shehata N et al Vox Sang 2007). Magovern et al. (Ann Thorac Surg 1996) in 2000 CABG: emergency operation, cardiogenic shock, urgent operation, catheterization-induced coronary occlusion, low left ventricular function, low RBC mass, low body mass index, age > 74 years, female sex, peripheral vascular disease, renal dysfunction, redo operation, diabetes and low serum albumin. Parr et al., J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2003 in CABG pts: increased age, preop. creatinine, low body surface and preop Hct, operative emergency, the lowest T°on CPB and the duration of CPB. No association for gender and prolongation of coagulation tests. Moskowitz et al., Ann Thorac Surg 2004 in 307 CABG pts Preop creatinine, type and the complexity of the operation (n° of vessels) and the urgency of surgery. Moreover, the authors identified a diminished RBC mass as one of the strongest predictors of transfusion
  • 10. Prospective observational study in consecutive patients undergoing primary THA or TKA. N=533 N=86 N=89 Transfusion Policy: Pts with Hct > 39%: No PABD or EPO Pts with Hct 37 – 39%: PABD 2 units Pts with Hct < 37%: EPO Results In the group with Hct > 39% (533 out 708 pts) only 7% received allogeneic transfusion
  • 11. How Well Can Transfusion Requirements Be Predicted? Estimation of Tx requirement bbaasseedd oonn ttyyppee ooff ssuurrggeerryy aanndd ssiinnggllee ppaattiieenntt ccoorrrreellaatteedd vvaarriiaabbllee • Simple; • Criteria defined in each centre; • Most relevant parameters Hb and RBCs mass; • Effective in identifying Pts not requiring Tx support; • Not effective to define Tx requirements (n° of units transfused).
  • 12. British Journal of Surgery 2007; 94: 860–865 Methods: Data from 480 Pts who underwent hepatic resection were analysed. The data set was split randomly into a derivation set of two-thirds and a validation set of one-third. Univariable analysis was carried out to determine the association between clinico-pathological factors and blood transfusion. Significant variables were entered into a multiple logistic regression model, and a transfusion risk score (TRS) was developed. The accuracy of the system was validated by calculating the area under the receiver– operator characteristic (ROC) curve. Univariable predictors of blood transfusion Parameter P value Male sex 0,189 Age >65 years 0,351 Associated co-morbidities 0,183 Cardiopulmonary disease 0,784 Diabetes 0,891 Cirrhosis 0,085 Weight >70 kg 0,586 Pathology 0,035 Neoadjuvant chemotherapy 0,309 Largest tumour >4 cm <0.001 Previous liver resection 0,353 Exposure of vena cava <0,001 Non-anatomical resection 0,936 Bilobar distribution of tumours 0,355 Multiple resections 0,332 Extent of liver resection 0,001 Associated procedures <0,001 ASA score >2 0,414 Haemoglobin <12,5 g/dl <0,001 Platelet count <250 × 109/l 0,390 PT-INR >1 0,008 Albumin <40 g/dl 39 ( 0,001 ALT >60 units/l 30 0,339 Total bilirubin >1,2 mg/dl 0,389 GGT >70 units/l 0,008
  • 13. British Journal of Surgery 2007; 94: 860–865 Calculated area under the curve was 0,89 indicating good discrimination. N° of units of blood transfused correlated significantly with the TRS.
  • 14. Anesth Analg 2004; 99: 1239-44 Scores for each variable are added together. The predicted risk of allogenic Tx based on total scores is as follows: • score of 0–100, 10% or less; • score of 100 –150, 10% – 30%; • score of 150 – 200, 30%–50%; • score more than 200, 50%. Validation Set (934 patients) Score % Pts in this group % of Pts transfused 0-100 46 13 100-150 31 33 150-200 14 44 > 200 9 64
  • 15. 235 Pts in derivation set; 125 Pts in validation set. predictors significantly associated with homologous RBC transfusion (P 0.05) in the multivariable analysis were Adjusted odds ratio 4.9 6.9 6,7 19.9 Individual probability by score value: 0 = 0%; 1 = 7%; 2 = 19%; 3 = 54%; >4 = 90% Results Discriminating capacity of the score was 0.86 in the receiver operating characteristics in the derivation sample and 0.83 in the validation sample. Observed Tx rates in the validation set and individual probabilities of RBC Tx from the score were well correlated (y= 0.98x+0.04; P < 0.0001). The score was also correlated with the n° of RBC units Tx Spearman 0.61; P < 0.0001). Individual probability by score value: 0 = 0%; 1 = 4%; 2 = 35%; 3 = 64%; >4 = 88%
  • 16. How Well Can Transfusion Requirements Be Predicted? Estimation of Tx requirement bbaasseedd oonn SSccoorriinngg SSyysstteemmss • Simple but require knowledge in statistics; • Parameters and their weight must be defined in each centre; • Effective in defining the probability for a Pts to requiring Tx support; • Not effective to define Tx requirements (n° of units transfused).
  • 17. Mathematical approaches to Tx requirement prediction Define transfusion requirements taking into account measured value of the parameters that determine TR TTrraannssffuussiioonn RReeqquuiirreemmeenntt RReedduuccttiioonn ooff TToottaall BBlloooodd VVoolluummee ((BBlloooodd LLoossss)) TToolleerraatteedd BBlloooodd LLoossss ((CClliinniiccaall CCoonnddiittiioonnss ++ TToottaall BBlloooodd VVoolluummee)) HHbb rreedduucc VVooll ooff BBlloooodd VVooll ooff RRBBCC HHbb rreedduucc VVooll ooff BBlloooodd VVooll ooff RRBBCC
  • 18. A prospettive randomized trial of the surgical blood order equation for ordering red cells for total arthroplasty patients. Nuttall GA, Santrach WC Ereth MH et al. Transfusion 1998; 38: 828-33 • SBOE used to calculate the n° of RBCs units to order, as follows: Hb lost – (preop Hb – min HHbb)) == UUnniittss ttoo oorrddeerr • Hb lost for THR previously measured: 3.7±1.7 • The SBOE system – Exactly matched n° of units ordered with transfused in 58%; – Ordered more RBCs units than transfused in 19% – Underordered RBCs units in 23%
  • 19. Surgical blood order equation in femoral fracture surgery. Kajja I, et al Transfusion Medicine 2011; 21: 7-12 • SBOE vs current order method in a case-control study in homgeneous group of pts (n=62 each) • SBOE used to calculate the n° of RBCs units to order, as follows: Hb lost – (pre Hb –– MMiinn HHbb)) == UUnniittss ttoo oorrddeerr • Hb lost for FF previously measured: 3.3±1.56 • Overall accuracy: SBOE= 65,3%; Unaided ordering= 34,7%
  • 20. Algorithm to help the choice of the best transfusion strategy. Mercuriali F, Inghilleri G Curr Med Res Opin 1996;13:465–78 Transfusion need = predicted RBC loss - tolerated RBC loss RBCs loss = Circulating RBC mass reduction (from presurgery to postoperative day 5) plus the volume of RBC transfused =PBV x (Hctpreop - Hctday 5 postop) + mL RBC transfused Tolerated RBC loss =Volume of RBC loss to reach an accepted minimal Hct value (according to clinical condition) =PBV x (Hctbaseline- Hctmin acceptable)
  • 21. Study 1 • At the preoperative anesthesia evaluation the Pt’s estimated RBC reserve was calculated and compared with estimated loss (using Mercuriali & Inghilleri formulas) • The median RBC loss was previously estimated to be 538 mL for THA (range, 100–1212 mL) and 693 mL for TKA (range, 272–1535 mL). • PABD was indicated if RBC reserve was < 800 mL (THA) or < 1000 mL (TKA). N° of Pts evaluated = 182 Pts with no expected Tx requirement 91 Pts with no expected Tx req. but Tx 17 (19%) Autologous units collected 172 Auto units Tx 93 Auto units wasted 79 (45%)
  • 22. “Metodo per la definizione preoperatoria del fabbisogno trasfusionale nel paziente chirurgico. Valutazione per un suo utilizzo nella selezione dei pazienti in cui adottare strategie alternative alla trasfusione di sangue allogenico” PROGETTI PIANO SANGUE 2008 REGIONE LOMBARDIA Obbiettivi verificare l’efficacia del metodo proposto nel prevedere il fabbisogno trasfusionale di pz sottoposti ad intervento di chirurgia ortopedica maggiore e la sua idoneità ad essere utilizzato per selezionare i pz in cui è appropriato il ricorso tecniche alternative alla trasfusione di sangue; Pazienti 906 Pz: PTA, PTG ed EndoPTA - Ist. Ortop.G. Pini (nov 07 - ott 08) 1° fase: Def perdite = 484 pz; 2° fase Valid. Mod. = 422 Pz Ipotesi valutata valore di perdita attesa = valore mediano per intervento e sesso PTA : M = 850mL; F = 630mL . PTG M = 800 mL F = 670 mL Hb minima accet: 9 g/dL x età < 80; 9,5 g/dL x età > 80 anni
  • 23. “Metodo per la definizione preoperatoria del fabbisogno trasfusionale nel paziente chirurgico. Valutazione per un suo utilizzo nella selezione dei pazienti in cui adottare strategie alternative alla trasfusione di sangue allogenico” PROGETTI PIANO SANGUE 2008 REGIONE LOMBARDIA valore di perdita attesa = valore mediano per tipo intervento e sesso PTA : M = 850mL; F = 630mL . PTG M = 800 mL F = 670 mL Fabbisogno trasfusionale previsto NO (Fab Neg) Si (Fab Pos) Totale Supporto Tx NO o 28 45 73 SI 3 128 131 Totale 31 173 204 Valore 95% CI Prevalenza supporto Tx 64,2% 57,2% 70,8% Sensibilità 97,7% 93,5% 99,5% Specificità 38,4% 27,2% 50,5% Valore Predittivo Positivo 74,0% 66,8% 80,4% Valore Predittivo Negativo 90,3% 74,2% 98,0% Accuratezza 76,47
  • 24. Mathematical approaches to Tx requirement prediction Critical points  Which value utilize as “predicted blood loss”.  Large database for defining RBCs loss statistics.  To have adequate IT support to collect data.  Continuous updating of database and statistics
  • 25. • Analysis of patients undergoing major non-cardiac surgery in 2008 from The American College of Surgeons’ National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. • 227 425 patients, of whom 69 229 (30,44%) had preop anaemia. • After adjustment, postoperative mortality at 30 days was higher in patients with anaemia than in those without anaemia (odds ratio [OR] 1,42); this difference was consistent in mild anaemia (OR 1,41) and moderate-to-severe anaemia (OR 1,44). • Composite postoperative morbidity at 30 days was also higher in patients with anaemia than in those without anaemia (adjusted OR 1,35), again consistent in patients with mild anaemia (1,31) and moderate-to-severe anaemia (1,56).
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Predicting Blood Transfusion Requirements in Surgical Patients Conclusions  Different strategies to predict transfusion requirement in surgical patients are currently available;  The choice of the strategy to be used depend on the required precision and the intended use;  Reliable predictions must be based on accurate analysis of the specific centre experience  Collaboration between different specialists involved in the transfusion process is mandatory  Evaluation and correction of preoperative anemia should be the first topic of a PBM program.
  • 29. Maximum Surgical Blood Order Schedule (MSBOS) • In the 1970s, Friedman et al. proposed the use of MSBOS as a way to limit outdating risk. • The MSBOS guidelines are widely accepted and have been repeatedly shown to decrease unnecessary cross-matching and wastage. • MSBOS recommends that – RBCs units should be cross-matched only for patients undergoing surgery with a high likelihood of blood transfusion – the n° of units x-matched should be twice the median requirement for that surgical procedure (cross-match-to-transfusion [C:T] ratio of 2:1).
  • 30. Maximum Surgical Blood Order Schedule (MSBOS) • The MSBOS methods introduced the concept that prediction should based on specific hospital experience. • It takes into account only “surgical variables” and specifically the type of surgery. Patient-correlated variable are not considered. • Main limit is the inability to accurately predict, for a given surgery, which patients are likely to receive a blood transfusion.
  • 31. Predicting Blood Transfusion Requirements in Surgical Patients: Clinical Role • To optimize blood inventory management; • To make the best use of alternative strategies to allogeneic blood;
  • 32. Anesth Analg 2004; 99: 1239-44 Methods • Univariate analysis performed to look for associations between allogeneic Tx and each of the predictor variables. • Predictor variables (known before surgery) showing a significant relationship (P 0.05) were considered for inclusion in the regression modelling process. • The odds ratio for Tx for each predictor variable was multiplied to yield an arithmetically convenient integer, and these new covariates were used to create a scoring system. • The scores were categorized into 4 groups (transfusion risk of 10% or less, 10%– 30%, 30% –50%, and 50%).
  • 33. Mercuriali F, Inghilleri G. Proposal of an algorithm to help the choice of the best transfusion strategy. Curr Med Res Opin 1996;13:465–78 TToottaall EEssttiimmaatteedd RRBBCC LLoossss cRBCsVpresurgery - cRBCsVday 5 postop + mL RBC transfused Where cRBCsV = PBV x Hct PBV (predicted blood volume) = Female = 0.3561 x height (m)3 + 0.03308 x weight (kg) + 0.1833 Male = 0.3669 x height (m)3 + 0.03219 x weight (kg) + 0.6041 mL RBC transfused = mL PAD RBC Tx + No of allogeneic units Tx x 200 mL + mL of salvaged RBC
  • 34. Mercuriali F, Inghilleri G. Proposal of an algorithm to help the choice of the best transfusion strategy. Curr Med Res Opin 1996;13:465–78 Transfusion requirement expressed in mL of RBCs Difference between predicted and tolerated RBC loss When a negative figure is obtained: PABD or EPO not indicated (type and screen + stand by intraoperative salvage) When a positive figure is obtained: The figure represents the transfusion need expressed in mL of RBCs