10. FLOODS ARE BEcOMING MORE FREquENT…
… AND MORE
damaging
1993 flood: $4.5 billion
2008 flood: $10.9 billion
Source: Graph (USGS paper, page 25) http://pubs.usgs.gov/pp/1775/pdf/pp1775.pdf
Damage data from NOAA Flood Safety: http://www.floodsafety.noaa.gov/states/ia-flood.shtml (values in in 2013 inflation-adjusted dollars)
According to NOAA, estimated
damage for:
11. HAZUS: THE STUDY REGION AND DATA
Study Region: Iowa > Johnson County >
1 Census Tract and 3 Census Blocks*
*Census Tract: 19103002300, Census Blocks:191030023001000,191030023001001, 191030023001002
** Buyout map updated as of July, 2012: http://www.icgov.org/site/CMSv2/file/buyout/buyoutMap.pdf
DEM Level 1: 1-arc sec USGS (Level 1 scenarios)
Buildings Level 2: User Defined Facilities (UDFs)
DEM Level 2: 1/3-arc sec USGS (Level 2 scenarios)
Buildings Level 1: General Building Stock data
Updated database using the last Buyout Map** (as of July, 2012)
Query to select only Parkview Terrace properties
Imported entries for 51 properties to User Defined Facilities (all of them RES1 type)
12. DATA USED FOR BUYOUT PROGRAM
Voluntary flood buyout
1 Source: Information extracted from the map depicted in this slide and also available at http://www.icgov.org/site/CMSv2/file/buyout/buyoutMap.pdf
Funds came from HMGP and CDBG
Results of the Buyout Program (as of July, 2012)1
# of properties % of properties
Purchased 88 63%
Stayed 52 37%
Total 140 100%
Standard program offered 112% of
the pre-flood value of the home
HMPG: Hazard Mitigation Grant Program and CDBG: Community Development Block Grant Program
13. SUMMARY: SCENARIOS
Level 1 Level 1 Level 2 Level 2 Worst Case
DEM 1-arc sec 1-arc sec 1/3-arc sec 1/3-arc sec 1-arc sec
Inventory GBS GBS Point-data Point-data GBS
Return Period 500-year flood 500-year flood 500-year flood 500-year flood 1,000-year flood
Depth-damage
function
Default (FIA) Default (FIA) Default (FIA) Default (FIA) USACE (IWR/St.Paul)
Levee? No Yes, 500 No Yes, 500 No
Study Region 1 Study Region 2 Study Region 3
14. SUMMARY: RESULTS
Level 1 Level 1 Level 2 Level 2 Worst Case
Total buildings 56 12 56 20 51
Undamaged 1 0 1 3 1
Damaged 55 12 55 17 50
Subst. damaged 24 8 24 10 25
Partially damaged 31 4 31 7 25
Ec. losses (million) $12.27 $3.53 $12.27 $4.33 $13.59
Study Region 1 Study Region 2 Study Region 3
15. SUMMARY: RESULTS
Level 1 Level 1 Level 2 Level 2 Worst Case
Total buildings 56 12 56 20 51
Undamaged 1 0 1 3 1
Damaged 55 12 55 17 50
Subst. damaged 24 8 24 10 25
Partially damaged 31 4 31 7 25
Ec. losses (million) $12.27 $3.53 $12.27 $4.33 $13.59
Study Region 1 Study Region 2 Study Region 3
Same results for Level 1 and 2!!!
Level 2: DB has only 51
buildings! HAZUS didn’t
update DB.
22. Possible Mitigation Strategies
Eminent domain buyout
Offer voluntary buyout to the remaining homeowners and eliminate future development
Flood berm and drain gates (or a levee)
Elevate homes
Lower water level of Coralville Reservoir
23. Possible Mitigation Strategies
Cost/Home Total Cost Advantages Disadvantages
Eminent domain (130%
value pre-flood*)
$168,000 $8.7MM
-One time cost
-Eliminates the problem
-Not socially well accepted
-Reduces tax base
Flood wall/Levee (5,000ft,
500-year flood)
$250,000 $13.0M+**
-Protection to the remaining
homes
-Acquisition of homes
-More “social” disruption in the
community
-Annual maintenance
- Highest cost/home
Elevate homes (500-year
flood)
$29,000 $1.5M
-No maintenance cost
-No homes
acquired/displaced
-Maintains tax base
-Still subject to damage/isolation
-Affects accessibility
Offer voluntary buyout and
eliminate future
development (112% value
pre-flood*)
$134,400 $7.0M
-One time cost
-Reduces base for flood
-May be eligible by HMGP
-Depends on the homeowners
willingness
-Reduces tax base
*Average value pre-flood per home utilized $120,000
**Values obtained from an estimation requested by the City of Iowa City in January, 2009. Available at: http://www.luminpdf.com/files/1191633/Stanley_Consultants_Estimation_Cost.pdf