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Business models on Facebook Stanford Facebook Class Nov 15 th , 2007 Jeremy Liew Partner, Lightspeed Venture Partners [email_address] www.Lightspeedvp.com Lsvp.wordpress.com
Its cheaper than ever to start an internet or app companyโ€ฆ $ โ€˜000s Source: Carsonified.com/SXSW Presentation
โ€ฆ and cheaper than ever to run an internet company SAMPLE EXPENSE BUDGET ,[object Object],$0.20m Other Costs $1.22m TOTAL ,[object Object],$0.18m Infrastructure Costs ,[object Object],[object Object],$0.84m Staff Costs Assumptions Annual Fixed Costs
As a result, getting to breakeven isnโ€™t too hardโ€ฆ * Assumes ad sales by an ad network or ad rep firm Illustrative 0% -  EBITDA 7% 200  Other Costs 7% 180  Infrastructure Costs 36% 840  Staff Costs 0% -  Marketing 50%* 1,220  Cost of Goods 100% 2,440  Revenue % $ '000s Media
Advertising RPMs* depend on your ability to deliver a targeted audience $10-40 $1-5 $0.50 - 2 ** Facebook revenue estimate โ€œwell over $100mโ€, Fandango revenue estimated to be โ€œaround $50m with half from advertising and half from ticketingโ€ Source: Myspace, Merrill Lynch; Facebook, MSNBC; Fandango, Techcrunch; Traffic, Comscore; Lightspeed Analysis * RPM =  Revenue per thousand pageviews, taking into account multiple ad units and all forms of advertising: CPM, CPC and lead gen 600M 126B 524B Annual US PVs $41.67 50M $25M** Fandango $1.03 12B $150M** Facebook $0.52 44B $271M Myspace RPM March US PVs 2007 Revenue Example
Pageview targets get progressively harder as revenue aspirations increaseโ€ฆ RPM Annual Revenue Goal Monthly Pageviews needed to hit Revenue Goal 208m 21m 2m $10 833m 83m 8m $2.50 4,167m 417m 42m $0.50 $25m $2.5m $250k
โ€ฆrequiring stretch targets for installs RPM Annual Revenue Goal Total app installs needed to hit revenue goal* * Assumes 5% active per day, 3 pageviews per visit 21m installs VS. 46m 5m 0.5m $10 185m 19m 2m $2.50 926m 93m 9m $0.50 $25m $2.5m $250k
Implication for ad models โ€“ get big or get expensive ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
What about digital goods? Purchase rate Annual Revenue Goal Total installs needed to hit Revenue Goal * Assumes 5% active per day, $1 per item 28m 3m 0.3m 5% 139m 14m 1m 1% 1,389m 139m 14m 0.1% $25m $2.5m $250k

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Jeremy Liew - Stanford Facebook Class Presentation

  • 1. Business models on Facebook Stanford Facebook Class Nov 15 th , 2007 Jeremy Liew Partner, Lightspeed Venture Partners [email_address] www.Lightspeedvp.com Lsvp.wordpress.com
  • 2. Its cheaper than ever to start an internet or app companyโ€ฆ $ โ€˜000s Source: Carsonified.com/SXSW Presentation
  • 3.
  • 4. As a result, getting to breakeven isnโ€™t too hardโ€ฆ * Assumes ad sales by an ad network or ad rep firm Illustrative 0% - EBITDA 7% 200 Other Costs 7% 180 Infrastructure Costs 36% 840 Staff Costs 0% - Marketing 50%* 1,220 Cost of Goods 100% 2,440 Revenue % $ '000s Media
  • 5. Advertising RPMs* depend on your ability to deliver a targeted audience $10-40 $1-5 $0.50 - 2 ** Facebook revenue estimate โ€œwell over $100mโ€, Fandango revenue estimated to be โ€œaround $50m with half from advertising and half from ticketingโ€ Source: Myspace, Merrill Lynch; Facebook, MSNBC; Fandango, Techcrunch; Traffic, Comscore; Lightspeed Analysis * RPM = Revenue per thousand pageviews, taking into account multiple ad units and all forms of advertising: CPM, CPC and lead gen 600M 126B 524B Annual US PVs $41.67 50M $25M** Fandango $1.03 12B $150M** Facebook $0.52 44B $271M Myspace RPM March US PVs 2007 Revenue Example
  • 6. Pageview targets get progressively harder as revenue aspirations increaseโ€ฆ RPM Annual Revenue Goal Monthly Pageviews needed to hit Revenue Goal 208m 21m 2m $10 833m 83m 8m $2.50 4,167m 417m 42m $0.50 $25m $2.5m $250k
  • 7. โ€ฆrequiring stretch targets for installs RPM Annual Revenue Goal Total app installs needed to hit revenue goal* * Assumes 5% active per day, 3 pageviews per visit 21m installs VS. 46m 5m 0.5m $10 185m 19m 2m $2.50 926m 93m 9m $0.50 $25m $2.5m $250k
  • 8.
  • 9. What about digital goods? Purchase rate Annual Revenue Goal Total installs needed to hit Revenue Goal * Assumes 5% active per day, $1 per item 28m 3m 0.3m 5% 139m 14m 1m 1% 1,389m 139m 14m 0.1% $25m $2.5m $250k