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Harold and Maude plan to take a cruise that departs from Miami together, but they live in
separate cities. Based on their itinerary to Miami, Harolds chance of making it to the cruise is
87%, whereas Maudes is 91%. Assume that the event of Harold making it is independent of the
event of Maude making it. Once the cruise ship sails, you come to know that only one of them
made it to the cruise. What is the probability that Harold was the one who made it to the cruise

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  • 1. Harold and Maude plan to take a cruise that departs from Miami together, but they live in separate cities. Based on their itinerary to Miami, Harolds chance of making it to the cruise is 87%, whereas Maudes is 91%. Assume that the event of Harold making it is independent of the event of Maude making it. Once the cruise ship sails, you come to know that only one of them made it to the cruise. What is the probability that Harold was the one who made it to the cruise