1. a hotdog stand owner who sales hotdogs only on saturdays has coll

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A hotdog stand owner recorded quarterly hotdog sales over 12 quarters. The owner wants to forecast the next quarter's sales using either a 3-period or 2-period moving average, exponential smoothing with an alpha of 0.3, or linear regression. A 3-period moving average is better because it considers more data points and helps reduce fluctuations compared to a 2-period average.

Education

1. A hotdog stand owner who sales hotdogs only on Saturdays
has collected the following time series data on the number of
hotdogs sold over the past 12 quarters.
Year Quarter Demand
1 Winter 29
1 Spring 65
1 Summer 56
1 Fall 45
2 Winter 23
2 Spring 57
2 Summer 48
2 Fall 32
3 Winter 14
3 Spring 55
3 Summer 52
3 Fall 25
A) Forecast next weekly rate using a
3 period moving
average.

B) Forecast the next weekly rate using a
2 period moving
average
.
Which one of these (A or B) is a better forecast and why?
Please explain it in writing.
C) Forecast the next weekly rate by using exponential
smoothing with an alpha value of 0.3.
D) Forecast the next weekly rate by using a linear regression.

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number 1 Are you a born leader? If yes, provide examples of how you would prove it. If no, where are you short? Are you more comfortable as a leader or a follower? Why? number 2 reply to this I am not a born leader. I fall short to the take charge attitude of dominance. I do not have a dominating presence and I tend to shy away from being the center of attention. I would rather be someone's right hand man. I am the Robin to Batman or the Louis Lane to Superman. However, I strive on being a supportive follower that works hard, has a positive attitude, and is the support system for the leader. I have never sight out a leadership position, but I enjoy doing work that carries great importance and helps out the organization. The readings this week and last week makes me think about the different aspects of my personality and some of the qualities that are considered leadership. According to our readings, "Leadership is realized in the process of influencing the activities of an organized group toward goal achievement" (Yukl, 2006, P.3). Even though a person is not in a direct leadership position or prefers to stay out of the lime light, they can still influence people by their attitudes, work ethic, and loyalty to the company. It does not take a person to be in a leadership position to show leadership qualities. In conclusion, I am not a born leader, but I show certain qualities that reflect leadership. I would rather be someone's sidekick and help them guide and influence the organization to success. Dominance is not a strength of mine and because of that I find it hard to take charge and be the boss. References Yukl, G. (2006) Leadership in Organizations, sixth edition. Retrieved on February 25, 2014 from http://www.coursesmart.com/C090030010667/firstsection number 3 When is participative leadership most likely to be effective? When not? Provide an example of when you've seen participative leadership in your experience be effective or ineffective. number 4 reply to this Participative leadership involves efforts by a leader to encourage and facilitate participation by others in making important decisions" (Yukl, 2006, p. 82). I think participative leadership is important because it involves an entire team, and it shows the value of others ideas and creates leadership opportunities. I think this type of leadership is most effective when there has been a steady track record of the leader following through with the thoughts of others. When a leader truly wants what is best for the company, and they can see beyond themselves. Participative leadership can effective as well as ineffective. An effective example of participative leadership would be an employee owned company or volunteer projects. When a company is employee owned, all employees want what is best and so its important to listen to everyone and the leader to do what is best for the company. Another effective example would be volunteer projects such as .

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number 1 complete the attached test called the urbulence Tolerance Test , and then answer the question: What are the implications of your 'change tolerance' for you as a leader? As a follower? How does one become more comfortable with change? number 2 reply to this based on the above question On the test, I received a 1.54, which apparently seemed to be the average for the MBA students. I feel that I am actually quite tolerant to change in my current position as a manager. I have to be open to changes on a daily basis because it is a way of life in the corporate environment. As Yukl states, "Relevant competencies identified in more recent research include emotional intelligence, social intelligence, systems thinking, and the ability to learn and adapt to change" (2006, pg. 209). It's important to be able to handle change with acceptance and grace, and try to stay positive. That is how I stay comfortable with change in as a leader and follower, look at it in a way that is positive and feel that I will only grow and learn from the situation. If there were no changes, life would be boring. :) Each day is a new adventure so try to see everything as a good thing even if it seems a bit scary. Yukl, Gary. (2006). Leadership in Organizations (6th ed.). Upper Saddle River, New Jersey : Pearson number 3 How did the media portray the Vietnam War during the 1970's? How did this affect popular youth culture? number 4 repy to this based on the above question The television news industry is a business with a profit motive before it is a public service; consequently, producers and reporters attempt to make the news more entertaining by airing stories that involve conflict, human impact, or morality. Television news did not find material that was dramatic enough until the number of American troops was raised to 175, 000 in July 1965 (Hallin, 1986, p.115). Combat, interviews with American soldiers, and helicopter scenes all provided the television news industry with the drama that it required. The networks set up permanent bureaus in Saigon and sent hundreds of correspondents there throughout the war. From 1965 through the Tet Offensive in 1968, 86 percent of the CBS and NBC nightly news programs covered the war, focusing mostly on ground and air combat (Bonior, Champlin, Kolly, 1984, p.4). This coverage was generally very supportive of U.S involvement in the war and of the soldier himself until 1967. The media labeled the conflict as a "good guys shooting Reds" story so that it could fit into the ongoing saga of the Cold War (Wyatt, 1995, p.81). In the wake of such death and destruction, it isn’t surprising that peace, love and sexual freedom became the mantra of a new generation. The youth movement challenged authority on all fronts, and authority frequently fought back. As the Sixties unfolded, no institution remained untouched, no belief unchallenged. It was a climatic decade. A dashing young president was shot only two brief years a.

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number 1 answer this one in a pargraph Although you may not be a formal manager, you have opportunities to be a leader, even for a short time, as part of a team or as an individual. In your current role how do you consider yourself a leader? What leadership theories best fit you as a leader? Which theories best fit you when you are leading and when you are a follower? Are the theories the same at all times? Why or why not? number 2 reply to this one based on the above question Right now I am a stay at home mother, so that is currently my leadership role. I am a leader to my son and because I am a parent, I see myself as being strong and authoritative, when it comes to the “leadership role” of being a mother. I think the leadership theories that best fit me would be: Situational and Transformational . I feel as though one of my greatest strengths is being able to adapt to new situations very easily. I can also adapt how I am, to each individual that I am with to best suit what is needed for them to strive at their respective position. I also like to lead by example and am confident and optimistic in my decisions. When I have a goal that needs to be set, I stand by it and believe the outcome will come with hard work and the right goal setting. The theory that best fits me as a follower would probably have to be The Charismatic Leader . I would like to have a leader that is going to be sympathetic + understanding to problems that occur in the workforce. Having a leader that is willing to make sacrificies for the best of the company and is confident is also very important. I don’t believe that all of the Theories are the same. I believe that they all have the same basic approach, which is to lead a team, but the strategies behind each Theory is different. number 3 below is 5 emails i sent out for pretend you will reply to each email as that person i wrote to. When you reply you will reply with feedback of my leadership style. When you do reply make sure all of the replys are very good about me. Email 1. Dear Samson Kollock RE: INVITATION FOR A FEEDBACK ON PERSONAL BEHAVIOUR AND STYLE I hope you are fine and in good health. I am writing this letter to provoke feedback from you concerning my personal behavioral style. I currently undertook a disc assessment so as to know my behaviors. As you may have heard, the assessment categorizes all individuals into four subsets of behavior. The four subsets are namely: Dominance, influence, steadiness and conscientiousness. Accordingly, the results implied that I am a person who places emphasis in accomplishing results. The results dictate that my behaviors are: I consist of seeing a big picture. I am blunt. I accept challenges and I get straight to the point. To make the results more reliable, I am requesting you to kindly let me know the kind of a person that I am. Kindly use the descriptive words that are mainly used to describe individuals in, accordance with the Disc assessment.

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Nr: Question: Mark: Discuss the three main environments that make up the management environment. Your discussion should include: All the variables that make up each environment. 9. 20 The level of control that the manager has over each environment. The influences that these environments had on South African managers in the past 5 years. 10. Explain the main reasons why people generally resist change 10 Explain the main features of each of the five stages in group and team development. 11. Also indicate what the main role of the team or group leader would be during each 20 stage. 12. Discuss five of the characteristics of good corporate governance that were identified 10 by the King II report. Discuss the importance of the organising function in the management process. Refer 13. to the necessity of organising to make the other management functions work 10 effectively. Discuss the challenges for management in each of the following features of the ‘new organisation’: a. Operating in a global economy b. Virtual organisations 14. 15 c. Flatter and leaner organisational structures d. Flexibility e. Workforce diversity Illustrate how the management functions vary between the different levels of management in terms of the responsibilities, competencies and roles of managers on these levels. Use the following format for your illustration: Top Middle Low Planning 15. 15 Organising Leading Controlling .

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