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Climate Change and
Global Warming
Chapter outlines: Atmosphere:
Composition and Structure, Global Warming,
Earth’s Energy Balance, Greenhouse Effect,
Climate Change over Time, Glacier and
Inter-Glacier Age and its correlation to CO2
level, Climate Change and its Impact on
Bangladesh, Mitigation.
1Lec 13_RDg
Major components of Earth’s
atmosphere today
Gas % volume
Nitrogen, N2 78
Oxygen, O2 21
Argon, Ar 0.9
Water vapor, H2O 0.00001 (S. Pole)
4.0 (tropics)
Carbon Dioxide, C02 0.037 (370ppm)
The concentrations of CO2 and methane have increased
by 36% and 148% respectively since 1750 [1].
Lec 13_RDg 2
• Ozone absorbs dangerous UV radiation
• Misconception: Ozone depletion doesn’t have Global
Warming effect[2]
Lec 13_RDg 3
Global Warming
• Global warming is the increase in the average
temperature of Earth's near-surface air and oceans
since the mid-20th century and its projected
continuation.
• According to the 2007 Fourth Assessment Report by
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC), global surface temperature increased by
0.74 ± 0.18 °C (1.33 ± 0.32 °F) during the 20th
century. [3]
Lec 13_RDg 4
• Most of the observed temperature increase since
the middle of the 20th century has been caused by
increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases,
which result from human activities such as the
burning of fossil fuel and deforestation.[4][5]
• An increase in global temperature will cause sea
levels to rise and will change the amount and
pattern of precipitation, probably including
expansion of subtropical deserts.[6]
Lec 13_RDg 5
Global Warming
• Warming is expected to be strongest in the Arctic
than Antarctica because of much land on northern
hemisphere than southern and would be associated
with continuing retreat of glaciers, permafrost and
sea ice. Other likely effects include more frequent
and intense extreme weather events, species
extinctions, and changes in agricultural yields.
Warming and related changes will vary from region
to region around the globe, though the nature of
these regional changes is uncertain.
Lec 13_RDg 6
Global Warming
Lec 13_RDg 7
Earth’s energy balance
Lec 13_RDg 8
Lec 13_RDg 9
Blasing, T. J. (February 2013), Current Greenhouse Gas
Concentrations, doi:10.3334/CDIAC/atg.032, on CDIAC 2013.
10
Greenhouse Effect NOT BAD Keeps Earth’s
Temperature Optimum
Greenhouse Mechanism:
Solar radiation (45%) reach the Earth
surface but a little or most of it
cannot go out make the Earth warm.
The outgoing radiation is IR (infrared)
has lower energy level than visible
light.
Low energy = Low capacity to pass
through the cloud, atmospheric dust
or CO2 . [ Wavelength = 1/ Energy ]
Lec 13_RDg 11
Earth Axis is Tilted
Lec 13_RDg 12
Tilted Axis creates
Precession
Climate Change :
Milanković Cycle
Lec 13_RDg 13
Glacial age or ice cover occur every
100000 yr cycle in graph (a), (b)
14Lec 13_RDg
Lec 13_RDg 15
Inter Glacial age warming effect started
18000 year before from now in graph (c), (d)
Lec 13_RDg 16
Huge Temperature variability within
decades observed in graph (e)
Global Warming in 20th Century
started from here
Temperature variability and CO2 level has
high correlation
17Lec 13_RDg
Summary
• Climate change happened in historic time and
sometime too frequently within decades. The
Medieval warming period was not correlated with
higher CO2.
• But in the modern era, temp. and CO2 have been
rising together.
• This suggests that two things are happening—one
process of variability due to nature, one due to
CO2.
• Natural causes: Earth’s rotation on its axis or orbit
changes in its angle and vibration result in climate
change within 100000 or 20000 year cycle
Lec 13_RDg 18
IPCC prediction:
• The IPCC anticipates a warming of 1.1 °C to 1.4 °C
by the end of the 21st century.
Possible IMPACT on Bangladesh:
Rise of sea level range from 0.18 to 0.59 m
Average height of Bangladesh is 1 m form sea level
More frequent and intense extreme weather
events, and changes in agricultural yields
Drought situation likely to be increase
Salinity increases in the soil of coastal zone
Lec 13_RDg 19
Mitigation
• Reduce greenhouse gas emission at least half
of present emission within 2020.
• Use of Alternative energy: wind, solar energy
• Use of carbon sink to store atmospheric
carbon; i.e., Planting tree
• Salinity and drought tolerant crop variety
cultivation and new search for variety
• Rainwater harvesting in deep ponds to solve
drought situation
Lec 13_RDg 20
Reference
• [1]EPA (2007). "Recent Climate Change: Atmosphere Changes". Climate Change
Science Program. United States Environmental Protection Agency.
http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/recentac.html. Retrieved 21 April
2009.
• [2]Ramaswamy, V.; Schwarzkopf, M.D.; Shine, K.P. (1992). "Radiative forcing of
climate from halocarbon-induced global stratospheric ozone loss". Nature 355
(6363): 810–812. doi:10.1038/355810a0 .
• [3] IPCC (2007-05-04). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). Climate Change 2007:
The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth
Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-spm.pdf. Retrieved
2009-07-03.
• [4]"Understanding and Responding to Climate Change". United States National
Academy of Sciences. 2008.
http://americasclimatechoices.org/climate_change_2008_final.pdf. Retrieved 30
May 2010.
• [5]America's Climate Choices: Panel on Advancing the Science of Climate Change;
National Research Council (2010). Advancing the Science of Climate Change.
• [6]Lu, Jian; Vecchi, Gabriel A.; Reichler, Thomas (2007). "Expansion of the Hadley
cell under global warming" (PDF). Geophysical Research Letters 34 (6): L06805.
Lec 13_RDg 21
• For more curiosity about this important issue
please see the FAQ = Frequently Asked
Questions of IPCC = Inter Governmental Panel
on Climate Change given in the resource
centre as a PDF.
Lec 13_RDg 22

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Climate Change, Global Warming and Their Impacts

  • 1. Climate Change and Global Warming Chapter outlines: Atmosphere: Composition and Structure, Global Warming, Earth’s Energy Balance, Greenhouse Effect, Climate Change over Time, Glacier and Inter-Glacier Age and its correlation to CO2 level, Climate Change and its Impact on Bangladesh, Mitigation. 1Lec 13_RDg
  • 2. Major components of Earth’s atmosphere today Gas % volume Nitrogen, N2 78 Oxygen, O2 21 Argon, Ar 0.9 Water vapor, H2O 0.00001 (S. Pole) 4.0 (tropics) Carbon Dioxide, C02 0.037 (370ppm) The concentrations of CO2 and methane have increased by 36% and 148% respectively since 1750 [1]. Lec 13_RDg 2
  • 3. • Ozone absorbs dangerous UV radiation • Misconception: Ozone depletion doesn’t have Global Warming effect[2] Lec 13_RDg 3
  • 4. Global Warming • Global warming is the increase in the average temperature of Earth's near-surface air and oceans since the mid-20th century and its projected continuation. • According to the 2007 Fourth Assessment Report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), global surface temperature increased by 0.74 ± 0.18 °C (1.33 ± 0.32 °F) during the 20th century. [3] Lec 13_RDg 4
  • 5. • Most of the observed temperature increase since the middle of the 20th century has been caused by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases, which result from human activities such as the burning of fossil fuel and deforestation.[4][5] • An increase in global temperature will cause sea levels to rise and will change the amount and pattern of precipitation, probably including expansion of subtropical deserts.[6] Lec 13_RDg 5 Global Warming
  • 6. • Warming is expected to be strongest in the Arctic than Antarctica because of much land on northern hemisphere than southern and would be associated with continuing retreat of glaciers, permafrost and sea ice. Other likely effects include more frequent and intense extreme weather events, species extinctions, and changes in agricultural yields. Warming and related changes will vary from region to region around the globe, though the nature of these regional changes is uncertain. Lec 13_RDg 6 Global Warming
  • 10. Blasing, T. J. (February 2013), Current Greenhouse Gas Concentrations, doi:10.3334/CDIAC/atg.032, on CDIAC 2013. 10
  • 11. Greenhouse Effect NOT BAD Keeps Earth’s Temperature Optimum Greenhouse Mechanism: Solar radiation (45%) reach the Earth surface but a little or most of it cannot go out make the Earth warm. The outgoing radiation is IR (infrared) has lower energy level than visible light. Low energy = Low capacity to pass through the cloud, atmospheric dust or CO2 . [ Wavelength = 1/ Energy ] Lec 13_RDg 11
  • 12. Earth Axis is Tilted Lec 13_RDg 12 Tilted Axis creates Precession
  • 13. Climate Change : Milanković Cycle Lec 13_RDg 13
  • 14. Glacial age or ice cover occur every 100000 yr cycle in graph (a), (b) 14Lec 13_RDg
  • 15. Lec 13_RDg 15 Inter Glacial age warming effect started 18000 year before from now in graph (c), (d)
  • 16. Lec 13_RDg 16 Huge Temperature variability within decades observed in graph (e) Global Warming in 20th Century started from here
  • 17. Temperature variability and CO2 level has high correlation 17Lec 13_RDg
  • 18. Summary • Climate change happened in historic time and sometime too frequently within decades. The Medieval warming period was not correlated with higher CO2. • But in the modern era, temp. and CO2 have been rising together. • This suggests that two things are happening—one process of variability due to nature, one due to CO2. • Natural causes: Earth’s rotation on its axis or orbit changes in its angle and vibration result in climate change within 100000 or 20000 year cycle Lec 13_RDg 18
  • 19. IPCC prediction: • The IPCC anticipates a warming of 1.1 °C to 1.4 °C by the end of the 21st century. Possible IMPACT on Bangladesh: Rise of sea level range from 0.18 to 0.59 m Average height of Bangladesh is 1 m form sea level More frequent and intense extreme weather events, and changes in agricultural yields Drought situation likely to be increase Salinity increases in the soil of coastal zone Lec 13_RDg 19
  • 20. Mitigation • Reduce greenhouse gas emission at least half of present emission within 2020. • Use of Alternative energy: wind, solar energy • Use of carbon sink to store atmospheric carbon; i.e., Planting tree • Salinity and drought tolerant crop variety cultivation and new search for variety • Rainwater harvesting in deep ponds to solve drought situation Lec 13_RDg 20
  • 21. Reference • [1]EPA (2007). "Recent Climate Change: Atmosphere Changes". Climate Change Science Program. United States Environmental Protection Agency. http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/recentac.html. Retrieved 21 April 2009. • [2]Ramaswamy, V.; Schwarzkopf, M.D.; Shine, K.P. (1992). "Radiative forcing of climate from halocarbon-induced global stratospheric ozone loss". Nature 355 (6363): 810–812. doi:10.1038/355810a0 . • [3] IPCC (2007-05-04). "Summary for Policymakers" (PDF). Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-spm.pdf. Retrieved 2009-07-03. • [4]"Understanding and Responding to Climate Change". United States National Academy of Sciences. 2008. http://americasclimatechoices.org/climate_change_2008_final.pdf. Retrieved 30 May 2010. • [5]America's Climate Choices: Panel on Advancing the Science of Climate Change; National Research Council (2010). Advancing the Science of Climate Change. • [6]Lu, Jian; Vecchi, Gabriel A.; Reichler, Thomas (2007). "Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming" (PDF). Geophysical Research Letters 34 (6): L06805. Lec 13_RDg 21
  • 22. • For more curiosity about this important issue please see the FAQ = Frequently Asked Questions of IPCC = Inter Governmental Panel on Climate Change given in the resource centre as a PDF. Lec 13_RDg 22