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Yoshitaro	
  Takaesu	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  KIAS/KNRC	
  
The	
  Sensi7vity	
  to	
  Mass	
  Hierarchy	
  
determina7on	
  of	
  Future	
  Reactor	
  
Neutrino	
  experiments	
  
In	
  collabora7on	
  with	
  S.F.	
  Ge,	
  N.	
  Okamura	
  and	
  K.	
  Hagiwara	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  JHEP	
  1305:131,2013	
  
Introduc7on	
  
2	
  
Mass	
  Hierarchy	
  
3	
  
P( e e) =
3
i=1
Uei exp i
m2
i
2Ei
Uei
2
= P( e e)
m2
31 = m2
3 m2
1 > 0 m2
31 = m2
3 m2
1 < 0
m2
31 < 0
m2
31 > 0
e
Reactor	
  neutrino	
  experiment	
  
Detector	
  	
  
Baseline	
  Length	
  L	
  
Reactors	
  
6 1023
e/3GW/15min
Evis
(E 0.8)MeV
PMT	
  
Inside	
  Detector	
  (Inverse	
  Beta	
  Decay)	
  
E < 10MeV
MH	
  difference	
  in	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  spectrum	
  e
Sensi7vity	
  
 	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  analysis	
  
The	
  theore2cal	
  predic2on	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  is	
  fi7ed	
  to	
  the	
  Data,	
  
assuming	
  NH	
  or	
  IH.	
  
2
min(NH) 2
min(IH)
Nfit
i = dEvis
NpT
4 L2
Ethr
dE (E ) Pee IBD G(E , Evis)
FiAng	
  parameters	
  are	
  	
   12, 13, m2
21, | m2
31|, fsys
Penalty	
  term	
  
Nfit
i
2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
(
2
)min
L [km]
a = 2% NH
3% NH
4% NH
5% NH
6% NH
Sensi7vity	
  to	
  the	
  Mass	
  hierarchy	
  
16.5GW	
  18kton	
  5yrs	
  
Current	
  value	
  
NH	
   a 7%
b = 0
b 1%
E
E
=
a
E/MeV
2
+ b2
 	
  Effect	
  of	
  b	
  term	
  
E
E
=
a
E
2
+ b2
16.5GW	
  18kton	
  5yrs	
  
20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
L [km]
b = 0%
0.5%
0.75%
1%
a	
  =	
  3%	
  a	
  =	
  2%	
  
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
(
2
)min
L [km]
b	
  =	
  0%	
   b	
  =	
  1%	
   Sensi7vity	
  40%	
  
Imrovement	
  of	
  b	
  term	
  is	
  also	
  important	
  
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
(
2
)min
L [km]
a = 2% NH
3% NH
4% NH
5% NH
6% NH
Sensi7vity	
  to	
  the	
  Mass	
  hierarchy	
  
16.5GW	
  18kton	
  5yrs	
  
Current	
  value	
  
NH	
   a 7%
( m2
31) Small	
  Flux	
  
b = 0
b 1%
E
E
=
a
E/MeV
2
+ b2
Interference	
  Effect	
  
Mul7-­‐reactor	
  interference	
  
L1	
   L2	
  
E.	
  Ciuffoli,	
  J.	
  Evslin,	
  X.	
  Zhang:	
  1302.0624	
  
Y-­‐F.	
  Li,	
  J.	
  Cao,	
  Y.	
  Wang,	
  L.	
  Zhan:	
  1303.6733	
  
ΔL	
  =	
  L1	
  –	
  L2	
  	
  
RENO	
  Reactor	
  
mul7-­‐cores	
  
Mul7-­‐reactor	
  interference	
  	
  
16.5GW	
  	
  
18kton	
  5yrs	
  
a	
  =	
  3%,	
  b	
  =	
  0.5%	
  
E
E
=
a
E
2
+ b2
RENO	
  Reactor	
  
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
( 2)min
All	
  Reactors	
  
Summary	
  
Future	
  Reactor	
  neutrino	
  Experiment	
  for	
  MH	
  determina2on	
  
with	
  16.5GW	
  18kton	
  Reactor	
  complex,	
  
	
  	
  	
  a	
  <	
  3%	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  b	
  <	
  0.5%	
  	
  	
  
of	
  Energy	
  Resolu7on	
  is	
  required	
  
for	
  >	
  3-­‐sigma	
  determina2on	
  
within	
  5	
  years.	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
E
E
=
a
E
2
+ b2
Interference	
  among	
  reactor	
  cores	
  significantly	
  affects	
  	
  
the	
  sensi2vity.	
  
Many	
  Efforts	
  for	
  MH	
  determina2on	
  have	
  started	
  !	
  
Backup	
  Slides	
  
15	
  
Energy	
  Distribu7on	
  e
	
  @	
  Detector	
  e
near	
  
dNfar
dEvis
=
NpT
4 L2
Ethr
dE (E ) Pee IBD G(E , Evis)
Pee
far	
  
L
Fourier	
  Analysis	
  
FCT( m2
) = d
L
E
dN
dEvis
L
E
cos m2 L
E
FST( m2
) = d
L
E
dN
dEvis
L
E
sin m2 L
E
• 	
  has	
  sensi2vity	
  for	
  small	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  .	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
• 	
  Don’t	
  need	
  accurate	
  knowledge	
  of	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  or	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  flux.	
  
sin2
2 13 0.005
| m2
31(32)| e
Effects	
  of	
  	
      to	
  the	
  sensi7vity	
  
| m2
31|
L	
  =	
  30km	
  
| m2
31|
| m2
31|
L	
  =	
  50km	
  
Baseline	
  should	
  be	
  long	
  enough	
  
| m2
31|+2
fit
2
fit | m2
31|+
Effect	
  of	
  Energy	
  Resolu7on	
  	
  
Evergy	
  Resolu7on	
  	
  
affects	
  the	
  sensi7vity	
  significantly.	
  
E
E
=
a
E
Pull	
  Factors	
  of	
  fidng	
  parameters	
  
-0.25
0
0.25
0.5 sin
2
2 12
2% NH
IH
3% NH
IH
6% NH
IH
-0.25
0
0.25
0.5 sin2
2 13
-0.25
0
0.25
0.5
pullfactor
m2
21
-0.25
0
0.25
0.5
| m
2
31|
-0.25
0
0.25
0.5
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
L [km]
fsys
Interpreta7on	
  of	
  	
  ( 2
)min
Dashed:	
  	
   ( 2)min
Solid:	
  	
  1 p
There	
  are	
  studies	
  based	
  on	
  Bayesian	
  approach.	
  	
  	
  
This	
  is	
  a	
  frequen2st	
  approach	
  to	
  interpret	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  .	
  	
  ( 2
)min
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Qian	
  et.al.	
  arXiv:	
  1210.3651	
  
Evslin	
  et.al.	
  arXiv:	
  1305.5150	
  
2 (1 p) 95.5%
1 (1 p) 68.2%
3 (1 p) 99.7%
...
Reactor	
  neutrino	
  experiment	
  (contd.)	
  
22	
  
Energy	
  Resolusion	
  
Energy	
  Scale	
  Unc.	
  ~	
  2%	
  
Reconstructed	
  
E
Energy	
  Resolu7on	
  	
  
E
E
=
4.6%
E/MeV
2
+ (0%)2
E
E
=
3.6%
E/MeV
2
+ (0.6%)2
E
E
=
4.6%
E/MeV
2
+ (0%)2
J.S.	
  Park,	
  S.B.	
  Kim	
  (RENO50)	
  
Energy	
  scale	
  uncertainty	
  
Energy	
  scale	
  uncertainty	
  is	
  controlled	
  to	
  ~	
  2%	
  for	
  current	
  detectors.	
  
J.	
  Evslin	
  et.al.	
  
arXiv:	
  1308.0591	
  
No	
  E	
  scale	
  Unc.	
  
Unknown	
  E	
  scale	
  (worst	
  case)	
  
Effect	
  of	
  Energy	
  scale	
  Uncertainty	
  

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Talk @ KEKPH 2013

  • 1. Yoshitaro  Takaesu                      KIAS/KNRC   The  Sensi7vity  to  Mass  Hierarchy   determina7on  of  Future  Reactor   Neutrino  experiments   In  collabora7on  with  S.F.  Ge,  N.  Okamura  and  K.  Hagiwara                                                                                                                                              JHEP  1305:131,2013  
  • 3. Mass  Hierarchy   3   P( e e) = 3 i=1 Uei exp i m2 i 2Ei Uei 2 = P( e e) m2 31 = m2 3 m2 1 > 0 m2 31 = m2 3 m2 1 < 0 m2 31 < 0 m2 31 > 0
  • 4. e Reactor  neutrino  experiment   Detector     Baseline  Length  L   Reactors   6 1023 e/3GW/15min Evis (E 0.8)MeV PMT   Inside  Detector  (Inverse  Beta  Decay)   E < 10MeV
  • 5. MH  difference  in            spectrum  e
  • 7.            analysis   The  theore2cal  predic2on                    is  fi7ed  to  the  Data,   assuming  NH  or  IH.   2 min(NH) 2 min(IH) Nfit i = dEvis NpT 4 L2 Ethr dE (E ) Pee IBD G(E , Evis) FiAng  parameters  are     12, 13, m2 21, | m2 31|, fsys Penalty  term   Nfit i 2
  • 8. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 ( 2 )min L [km] a = 2% NH 3% NH 4% NH 5% NH 6% NH Sensi7vity  to  the  Mass  hierarchy   16.5GW  18kton  5yrs   Current  value   NH   a 7% b = 0 b 1% E E = a E/MeV 2 + b2
  • 9.    Effect  of  b  term   E E = a E 2 + b2 16.5GW  18kton  5yrs   20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 L [km] b = 0% 0.5% 0.75% 1% a  =  3%  a  =  2%   0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 ( 2 )min L [km] b  =  0%   b  =  1%   Sensi7vity  40%   Imrovement  of  b  term  is  also  important  
  • 10. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 ( 2 )min L [km] a = 2% NH 3% NH 4% NH 5% NH 6% NH Sensi7vity  to  the  Mass  hierarchy   16.5GW  18kton  5yrs   Current  value   NH   a 7% ( m2 31) Small  Flux   b = 0 b 1% E E = a E/MeV 2 + b2
  • 12. Mul7-­‐reactor  interference   L1   L2   E.  Ciuffoli,  J.  Evslin,  X.  Zhang:  1302.0624   Y-­‐F.  Li,  J.  Cao,  Y.  Wang,  L.  Zhan:  1303.6733   ΔL  =  L1  –  L2    
  • 13. RENO  Reactor   mul7-­‐cores   Mul7-­‐reactor  interference     16.5GW     18kton  5yrs   a  =  3%,  b  =  0.5%   E E = a E 2 + b2 RENO  Reactor   0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 ( 2)min All  Reactors  
  • 14. Summary   Future  Reactor  neutrino  Experiment  for  MH  determina2on   with  16.5GW  18kton  Reactor  complex,        a  <  3%                  b  <  0.5%       of  Energy  Resolu7on  is  required   for  >  3-­‐sigma  determina2on   within  5  years.           E E = a E 2 + b2 Interference  among  reactor  cores  significantly  affects     the  sensi2vity.   Many  Efforts  for  MH  determina2on  have  started  !  
  • 16. Energy  Distribu7on  e  @  Detector  e near   dNfar dEvis = NpT 4 L2 Ethr dE (E ) Pee IBD G(E , Evis) Pee far   L
  • 17. Fourier  Analysis   FCT( m2 ) = d L E dN dEvis L E cos m2 L E FST( m2 ) = d L E dN dEvis L E sin m2 L E •   has  sensi2vity  for  small                                                                        .                                                                             •   Don’t  need  accurate  knowledge  of                                        or                  flux.   sin2 2 13 0.005 | m2 31(32)| e
  • 18. Effects  of        to  the  sensi7vity   | m2 31| L  =  30km   | m2 31| | m2 31| L  =  50km   Baseline  should  be  long  enough   | m2 31|+2 fit 2 fit | m2 31|+
  • 19. Effect  of  Energy  Resolu7on     Evergy  Resolu7on     affects  the  sensi7vity  significantly.   E E = a E
  • 20. Pull  Factors  of  fidng  parameters   -0.25 0 0.25 0.5 sin 2 2 12 2% NH IH 3% NH IH 6% NH IH -0.25 0 0.25 0.5 sin2 2 13 -0.25 0 0.25 0.5 pullfactor m2 21 -0.25 0 0.25 0.5 | m 2 31| -0.25 0 0.25 0.5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 L [km] fsys
  • 21. Interpreta7on  of    ( 2 )min Dashed:     ( 2)min Solid:    1 p There  are  studies  based  on  Bayesian  approach.       This  is  a  frequen2st  approach  to  interpret                                        .    ( 2 )min          Qian  et.al.  arXiv:  1210.3651   Evslin  et.al.  arXiv:  1305.5150   2 (1 p) 95.5% 1 (1 p) 68.2% 3 (1 p) 99.7% ...
  • 22. Reactor  neutrino  experiment  (contd.)   22   Energy  Resolusion   Energy  Scale  Unc.  ~  2%   Reconstructed   E
  • 23. Energy  Resolu7on     E E = 4.6% E/MeV 2 + (0%)2 E E = 3.6% E/MeV 2 + (0.6%)2 E E = 4.6% E/MeV 2 + (0%)2 J.S.  Park,  S.B.  Kim  (RENO50)  
  • 24. Energy  scale  uncertainty   Energy  scale  uncertainty  is  controlled  to  ~  2%  for  current  detectors.   J.  Evslin  et.al.   arXiv:  1308.0591   No  E  scale  Unc.   Unknown  E  scale  (worst  case)   Effect  of  Energy  scale  Uncertainty