Building Dreams: Newman Leech's Visionary Approach to Real Estate Investment
December 2016 Market Absorption for the Northern Virginia and Washington DC Marketplaces
1.
2. 10 Vital Statistics You Must Know
Fairfax Co. Stats YTD
•Total listings- 2,090
•Avg LP- $553,967
•Avg SP- $544,416
•LP/ SP- 97.2%
•DOM- 52
•Sales YTD- 15,755 (+6.09%)
•Appreciation/ Depreciation- 0%
•Months of Supply- 2.37
•Interest Rate- 4.07
Source: MRIS, Inc. January 16, 2017
3. 10 Vital Statistics You Must Know
Prince William Co. Stats YTD
•Total listings- 948
•Avg LP- $367,127
•Avg SP- $363,155
•LP/ SP- 97.6%
•DOM- 50
•Sales YTD- 7,391 (+7.36%)
•Appreciation/ Depreciation- +2.61%
•Months of Supply- 2.04
•Interest Rate- 4.07%
Source: MRIS, Inc. January 16, 2017
4. 10 Vital Statistics You Must Know
Loudoun Co. Stats YTD
•Total listings- 1,063
•Avg LP- $490,607
•Avg SP- $483,713
•LP/ SP- 97.6%
•DOM- 51
•Sales YTD- 6,976 (+7.57%)
•Appreciation/ Depreciation- +1%
•Months of Supply- 2.43
•Interest Rate- 4.07%
Source: MRIS, Inc. January 16, 2017
5. Local Market Update
December 2016
Northern Virginia Available UC Abs Rate
< $100,000 7 1 7.00
$100,000–$199,999 169 85 1.99
$200,000-$299,999 286 164 1.74
$300,000-$399,999 314 205 1.53
$400,000-$499,999 264 192 1.38
$500,000-$599,999 256 152 1.68
$600,000-$699,999 253 114 2.22
Source: MRIS, Inc.; Northern Virginia is comprised of the Counties of Arlington and Fairfax; and the Cities of
Alexandria, Fairfax & Falls Church. January 16, 2017
6. Local Market Update
December 2016
Northern Virginia Available UC Abs Rate
$700,000-$799,999 172 73 2.36
$800,000-$899,999 179 48 3.73
$900,000-$999,999 156 31 5.03
$1M -$1.49M 416 68 6.12
$1.5M -2.49 272 29 9.38
$2.5 million + 138 4 34.50
Overall 2,882 1,166 2.47
Absorption Rate = the number of active listings/by the number of homes marked “under contract” in the past 30
days. The absorption rate is the number of months it would take to deplete the inventory January 16, 2017
7. No VA Stats- December
Avg. SP- +3.51%
Units Sold- -4%
DOM- -3.03% to 64days
Source: MRIS, Inc. January 16, 2017 Year over year
8. Local Market Update
December 2016
Prince William Available UC Abs Rate
< $100,000 0 2 0.00
$100,000–$199,999 39 35 1.11
$200,000-$299,999 186 150 1.24
$300,000-$399,999 205 130 1.58
$400,000-$499,999 154 75 2.05
$500,000-$599,999 167 34 4.91
$600,000-$699,999 74 17 4.35
Source: MRIS, Inc. January 16, 2017
9. Local Market Update
December 2016
Prince William Available UC Abs Rate
$700,000-$799,999 43 3 14.33
$800,000-$899,999 23 2 11.50
$900,000-$999,999 12 1 12.00
$1M -$1.49M 21 1 21.00
$1.5M -2.49 3 0 0.00
$2.5 million + 2 0 0.00
Overall 929 450 2.06
Absorption Rate = the number of active listings/by the number of homes marked “under contract” in the past 30
days. The absorption rate is the number of months it would take to deplete the inventory. January 16, 2017
10. Local Market Update
December 2016
Loudoun Available UC Abs Rate
< $100,000 1 1 1.00
$100,000–$199,999 14 12 1.17
$200,000-$299,999 55 54 1.02
$300,000-$399,999 116 89 1.30
$400,000-$499,999 130 92 1.41
$500,000-$599,999 146 58 2.52
$600,000-$699,999 214 67 3.19
Source: MRIS, Inc. January 16, 2017
11. Local Market Update
December 2016
Loudoun Available UC Abs Rate
$700,000-$799,999 128 29 4.41
$800,000-$899,999 77 20 3.85
$900,000-$999,999 36 1 36.00
$1M -$1.49M 67 8 8.38
$1.5M -2.49 49 1 49.00
$2.5 million + 23 0 0.00
Overall 1,056 432 2.44
Absorption Rate = the number of active listings/by the number of homes marked “under contract” in the past 30
days. The absorption rate is the number of months it would take to deplete the inventory. January 16, 2017
12. Local Market Update
No. VA Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 2,873 3,474 -17%
UC Last 30 Days 1,207 1,226 -2%
Sold Last 30 Days 1,558 1,623 -4%
Absorption Rate 2.38 2.83
As of January 16, 2017
13. Local Market Update
Fairfax Co. Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 2,090 2,581 -19%
UC Last 30 Days 881 919 -4%
Sold Last 30 Days 1,087 1,150 -5%
Absorption Rate 2.37 2.81
As of January 16, 2017
14. Fairfax Co. Stats- December
Avg. SP- +2.99%
Units Sold- -5.48%
DOM- -2.99% to 65 days
Source: MRIS, Inc. January 16, 2017 Year over year
15. Local Market Update
Alexandria City Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 319 375 -15%
UC Last 30 Days 133 124 +7%
Sold Last 30 Days 213 211 +1%
Absorption Rate 2.40 3.02
As of January 16, 2017
16. Local Market Update
Arlington Co. Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 399 454 -12%
UC Last 30 Days 164 149 +10%
Sold Last 30 Days 66 59 +12%
Absorption Rate 2.43 3.05
As of January 16, 2017
17. Local Market Update
Annandale Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 74 80 -8%
UC Last 30 Days 41 43 -5%
Sold Last 30 Days 45 56 -20%
Absorption Rate 1.80 1.86
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
18. Local Market Update
Ashburn Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 201 299 -33%
UC Last 30 Days 117 115 +2%
Sold Last 30 Days 160 148 +8%
Absorption Rate 1.72 2.60
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
19. Local Market Update
Bristow Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 39 76 -49%
UC Last 30 Days 36 40 -10%
Sold Last 30 Days 49 45 +9%
Absorption Rate 1.23 2.63
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
20. Local Market Update
Burke Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 47 54 -13%
UC Last 30 Days 32 36 -11%
Sold Last 30 Days 53 52 +2%
Absorption Rate 1.47 1.50
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
21. Local Market Update
Centreville Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 105 134 -22%
UC Last 30 Days 64 63 +2%
Sold Last 30 Days 76 75 +1%
Absorption Rate 1.64 2.13
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
22. Local Market Update
Chantilly Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 79 141 -44%
UC Last 30 Days 57 55 +4%
Sold Last 30 Days 71 63 +13%
Absorption Rate 1.39 2.56
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
23. Local Market Update
Clifton Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 50 45 +11%
UC Last 30 Days 9 12 -25%
Sold Last 30 Days 10 20 -50%
Absorption Rate 5.56 3.75
As of January 16, 2017
24. Local Market Update
Fairfax Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 202 264 -23%
UC Last 30 Days 124 118 +5%
Sold Last 30 Days 143 154 -7%
Absorption Rate 1.63 2.24
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
25. Local Market Update
Fairfax Station Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 37 43 -14%
UC Last 30 Days 6 11 -46%
Sold Last 30 Days 12 12 0%
Absorption Rate 6.17 3.91
As of January 16, 2017
26. Local Market Update
Gainesville Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 92 149 -38%
UC Last 30 Days 54 37 +46%
Sold Last 30 Days 52 47 +11%
Absorption Rate 1.70 4.03
As of January 16, 2017
27. Local Market Update
Great Falls Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 116 149 -22%
UC Last 30 Days 10 15 -33%
Sold Last 30 Days 19 17 +12%
Absorption Rate 11.60 9.93
As of January 16, 2017
28. Local Market Update
Haymarket Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 129 149 -13%
UC Last 30 Days 24 25 -4%
Sold Last 30 Days 37 31 +19%
Absorption Rate 5.38 5.96
As of January 16, 2017
29. Local Market Update
Herndon Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 115 151 -24%
UC Last 30 Days 58 47 +23%
Sold Last 30 Days 57 60 -5%
Absorption Rate 1.98 3.21
As of January 16, 2017
30. Local Market Update
Leesburg Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 227 339 -33%
UC Last 30 Days 109 78 +40%
Sold Last 30 Days 113 104 +9%
Absorption Rate 2.08 4.35
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
31. Local Market Update
Manassas Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 262 373 -30%
UC Last 30 Days 144 138 +4%
Sold Last 30 Days 158 158 0%
Absorption Rate 1.82 2.70
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
32. Local Market Update
McLean Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 287 294 -2%
UC Last 30 Days 58 61 -5%
Sold Last 30 Days 61 61 0%
Absorption Rate 4.95 4.82
As of January 16, 2017
33. Local Market Update
Oakton Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 52 62 -16%
UC Last 30 Days 12 14 -14%
Sold Last 30 Days 32 25 +28%
Absorption Rate 4.33 4.43
As of January 16, 2017
34. Local Market Update
Reston Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 162 203 -20%
UC Last 30 Days 64 73 -12%
Sold Last 30 Days 93 93 0%
Absorption Rate 2.53 2.78
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
35. Local Market Update
Springfield Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 109 155 -30%
UC Last 30 Days 76 88 -14%
Sold Last 30 Days 93 98 -5%
Absorption Rate 1.43 1.76
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
36. Local Market Update
Sterling Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 100 148 -32%
UC Last 30 Days 69 105 -34%
Sold Last 30 Days 82 115 -29%
Absorption Rate 1.45 1.41
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
37. Local Market Update
Vienna Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 163 186 -12%
UC Last 30 Days 57 62 -8%
Sold Last 30 Days 61 76 -20%
Absorption Rate 2.86 3.00
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
38. 10 Vital Statistics You Must Know
Vienna Stats YTD
•Total listings- 163
•Avg LP- $792,273
•Avg SP- $782,416
•LP/ SP- 96.9%
•DOM- 62
•Sales YTD- 956 (+2.80%)
•Appreciation/ Depreciation- 0%
•Months of Supply- 2.86
•Interest Rate- 4.07%
Source: MRIS, Inc. January 16, 2017
39. Local Market Update
Woodbridge Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 351 469 -25%
UC Last 30 Days 211 207 +2%
Sold Last 30 Days 216 253 -15%
Absorption Rate 1.66 2.27
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
40. Local Market Update
DC Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 1,080 1,029 +5%
UC Last 30 Days 594 548 +8%
Sold Last 30 Days 632 702 -10%
Absorption Rate 1.82 1.88
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
41. Local Market Update
Loudoun Co. Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 1,063 1,451 -27%
UC Last 30 Days 437 420 +4%
Sold Last 30 Days 548 534 +3%
Absorption Rate 2.43 3.45
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET
42. Local Market Update
Prince William Current Dec 2015 Var
Available 948 1,257 -25%
UC Last 30 Days 465 452 +3%
Sold Last 30 Days 510 547 -7%
Absorption Rate 2.04 2.78
As of January 16, 2017
SELLERS
MARKET