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EC 194/2014-15
17th
March, 2015
To All Members:
Sub : COOIT’s Trade Estimate for Rabi Oilseed Production and
Availability of Vegetable Oils during 2014-15 Season
*******
36th
All India Rabi Seminar of Oilseeds, Oil Trade & Industry was held on 15th
March, 2015
at Jaipur and arrived at trade estimate of Rabi Oilseeds crop and availability of vegetable
oils from Rabi and Kharif Crops during 2014-15 season as under:
Rabi Oilseeds Area & Crop
Oilseeds 2014-15
Area* Crop
Lakh Ha Lakh T
2013-14
Area Crop
Lakh Ha Lakh T.
Change
Area Crop
Lakh Ha Lakh T.
Groundnut 8.43 12.75 8.71 17.67 (-) 0.28 (-) 4.92
Rape/Mustard 65.17 57.40 71.32 65.00 (-) 6.15 (-) 7.60
Sunflowerseed 3.19 2.53 4.40 3.95 (-) 1.21 (-) 1.42
Sesameseed 2.26 2.44 1.12 3.02 (+) 1.14 (-) 0.58
Safflowerseed 0.95 0.50 1.78 1.01 (-) 0.84 (-) 0.51
Linseed 3.21 1.03 3.59 1.20 (-) 0.38 (-) 0.17
Other Oilseeds 0.80 -- 0.53 -- (+) 0.27 --
Total 84.01 76.65 91.44 91.85 (-) 7.43 (-) 15.20
* Area as per GOI data as on 12th
March, 2015
Oilseeds Production: Qty : Lakh Tones
Oilseeds 2014-15 2013-14 Change
Kharif Rabi Total
Groundnut(in shell) 35.70 12.75 48.45 64.82 (-) 16.37
Soybean 91.70 -- 91.70 95.00 (-) 3.30
Rape/Mustard/Toria 0.80 57.40 58.20 66.50 (-) 8.30
Sunflowerseed 1.30 2.53 3.83 5.80 (-) 1.97
Sesameseed 4.70 2.44 7.14 6.52 (+) 0.62
Castorseed® 12.95 -- 12.95 11.30 (+) 1.65
Nigerseed 0.70 -- 0.70 0.70 No Change
Safflowerseed -- 0.50 0.50 1.01 (-) 0.51
Lineseed -- 1.03 1.03 1.20 (-) 0.17
Sub Total 147.85 76.65 224.50 252.85 (-) 28.35
Cottonseed 124.00 -- 124.00 125.50 (-) 1.35
Copra 6.50 -- 6.50 7.00 (-) 0.50
Grand Total 278.35 76.65 355.00 385.35 (-) 30.35
Cont…2
- 2 –
General Observations :-
1. The area under Rabi Oilseeds crop 2014-15 decreased to 84.01 lakh hectares from
91.44 lakh hectares last year i.e. down by 7.43 lakh hectares.
2. Rabi Groundnut crop has decreased to 12.75 lakh tones from 17.67 lakh tones of
last year, down by 4.92 lakh tones.
3. Rapeseed-Mustard including Taramira crop decreased to 57.40 lakh tones from
65.00 lakh tones of last year, down by 7.60 lakh tones.
4. Rabi Sunflowerseed crop decreased to 2.53 lakh tones from 3.95 lakh tones of last
year, down by 1.42 lakh tones.
5. Rabi Sesameseed crop decreased to 2.44 lakh tones from 3.02 lakh tones of last
year, down by 0.58 lakh tones.
6. The overall Rabi Oilseeds Crop 2014-15 has decreased to 76.65 lakh tones from
91.85 lakh tones last year, down by 15.20 lakh tones, mainly due to shortage of
water and shifting to other crops.
7. There is wide spread report of hailstorm and rain in Rajasthan in last 4 to 5 days,
which have damage the mustard crop in some area and at the same time late
sowing of mustard crop in certain area like Sri Ganganagar would be benefitted. We
are assessing the impact and shall revise the crop in next few days.
8. The combined area of Kharif and Rabi oilseeds during 2014-15 as per GOI, is about
262.49 lakh hectres and production of 9 oilseed crops ( Kharif & Rabi) for the
current year (2014-15) is estimated at 224.50 lakh tones compared to 252.85 lakh
tones of last year, down by 28.35 lakh tones (11.21%). The total production
including Cottonseed and Copra estimated at 355.0 lakh tones compared to 385.35
lakh tones in 2013-14.
9. The total vegetable oil availability from Kharif and Rabi Oilseeds crops for the year
2014-15 (Nov-Oct) is estimated at 76.14 lakh tones compared to 83.77 lakh tones
last year, down by 7.63 lakh tones (9.11 %).
10. In view of lesser crop coupled and higher demand for edible oils, import of edible
oil during 2014-15 (Nov-Oct) likely to increase by 9 to 10 lakh tones and estimated
at 125.0 + lakh tones. Import of non-edible oil is likely to be 2.0 + lakh tones. Total
import of vegetable oils (Edible + non-edible) is estimated at 127.0 + lakh tones
during 2014-15 (Nov-Oct) against 118.2 lakh tones in 2013-14.
We are forwarding herewith trade estimate arrived at Rabi Seminar, for your kind
information.
Thanking you,
Yours faithfully,
(Dr. B.V.MEHTA)
Executive Director
Encl : COOIT’s Trade Estimate
File : S-63
36th
ALL INDIA RABI SEMINAR ON OILSEEDS,
OIL TRADE AND INDUSTRY
ON 15th
MARCH, 2015
AT JAIPUR
COOIT’S ESTIMATE OF PRODUCTION AND MARKETABLE
SURPLUS OF OILSEEDS AND AVAILABILITY OF
VEGETABLE OILS DURING OIL YEAR 2014-15
1.GROUNDNUT (IN LAKH TONNES)
Sr.
No.
State Trade Estimate
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
1. Gujarat 14.40 2.00 16.40 25.00 2.86 27.86
2. Maharashtra 1.60 0.65 2.25 1.75 1.12 2.87
3. A.P./Telangana 3.80 3.00 6.80 6.00 4.35 10.35
4. Tamil Nadu 2.00 2.60 4.60 1.80 3.44 5.24
5. Karnataka 3.10 2.70 5.80 3.50 3.46 6.96
6. Madhya Pradesh/C.G. 2.00 -- 2.00 1.70 -- 1.70
7. Rajasthan 6.50 -- 6.50 5.20 -- 5.20
8. Punjab/Haryana/U.P. 0.80 -- 0.80 0.80 -- 0.80
9. Orissa 1.00 1.30 2.30 1.00 1.99 2.99
10. Others 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.40 0.45 0.85
Total in Shells 35.70 12.75 48.45 47.15 17.67 64.82
Equivalent in kernels (70%)
Less:-
Retained for sowing,
Export
Direct Consumption
Sub Total
25.00
5.00
5.00
12.00
22.00
8.90
1.20
1.50
5.00
7.70
33.90
6.20
6.50
17.00
29.70
33.00
5.40
5.00
12.00
22.40
12.37
1.20
1.50
4.40
7.10
45.37
6.60
6.50
16.40
29.50
Marketable surplus
(In kernels for crushing)
3.00 1.20 4.20 10.60 5.27 15.87
1.
2. SOYBEAN
Sr.
No.
State Trade Estimate
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif® Rabi Total
1. Madhya Pradesh 53.00 -- 53.00 43.30 -- 43.30
2. Maharashtra 25.00 -- 25.00 38.00 -- 38.00
3. A.P./Telangana 2.50 -- 2.50 2.30 -- 2.30
4. Rajasthan 6.00 -- 6.00 7.00 -- 7.00
5. Karnataka 2.60 -- 2.60 2.00 -- 2.00
6. Chhatisgarh 1.30 -- 1.30 0.90 -- 0.90
7. Gujarat 0.70 -- 0.70 0.80 -- 0.80
8. Others 0.60 -- 0.60 0.70 -- 0.70
Total
Retained for sowing
Direct Consumption including
Export
Sub Total
91.70
10.00
5.00
15.00
--
--
--
---
91.70
10.00
5.00
15.00
95.00
9.00
3.50
12.50
--
--
--
---
95.00
9.00
3.50
12.50
Marketable surplus for crushing 76.70 --- 76.70 82.50 -- 82.50
® Revised
3. RAPE/MUSTARD/TORIA
Sr.
No.
State Trade Estimate
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Kharif
(Toria)
Rabi
(R&M)
Total Kharif
(Toria)
Rabi®
(R&M)
Total
A)
1.
RAPE/MUSTARD/TORIA
Uttar Pradesh 0.50 6.50 7.00 1.00 7.00 8.00
2. Rajasthan – Mustard
Taramira
--
--
25.80
0.40
26.20 --
--
31.50
1.25
32.75
3. Punjab/Haryana 0.20 7.25 7.45 0.40 7.00 7.40
4. Gujarat -- 2.85 2.85 -- 3.80 3.80
5. Madhya Pradesh -- 4.80 4.80 -- 5.35 5.35
6. Chhatisgarh -- 0.90 0.90 -- 1.00 1.00
7. West Bengal -- 3.00 3.00 -- 2.80 2.80
8. Bihar -- 1.10 1.10 -- 1.50 1.50
9. Eastern India & Others 0.10 4.80 4.90 0.10 3.80 3.90
Total 0.80 57.40 58.20 1.50 65.00 66.50
Retained for sowing &
Direct Consumption
-- 2.50 2.50 -- 2.50 2.50
Marketable surplus for crushing 0.80 54.90 55.70 1.50 62.50 64.00
® revised of Rabi Crop for the year 2013-14
2.
4. SUNFLOWERSEED
Sr.
No.
State Trade Estimate
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
1. Karnataka 0.90 1.70 2.60 1.50 2.30 3.80
2. Andhra Pradesh 0.10 0.40 0.50 0.10 0.80 0.90
3. Maharashtra 0.20 0.13 0.33 0.20 0.35 0.55
4. Tamilnadu -- 0.05 0.05 0.05 -- 0.05
5. Punjab 0.10 -- 0.10 -- -- --
6. Haryana -- -- -- -- -- --
7. Uttar Pradesh -- -- -- -- -- --
8. Bihar -- 0.02 0.02 -- -- --
9. Others -- 0.23 0.23 -- 0.50 0.50
Total
Retained for sowing , Direct
Consumption & export
1.30
--
2.53
--
3.83
--
1.85
--
3.95
--
5.80
--
Marketable surplus for crushing 1.30 2.53 3.83 1.85 3.95 5.80
5. SESAMESEED
Sr.
No.
State Trade Estimate
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
1. Gujarat 0.45 0.15 0.60 0.20 0.55 0.75
2. Rajasthan 1.30 -- 1.30 0.60 -- 0.60
3. Tamil Nadu 0.05 0.18 0.23 0.05 0.25 0.30
4. Madhya Pradesh/C.G. 1.30 -- 1.30 0.60 -- 0.60
5. A.P./Telangana 0.08 0.32 0.40 0.10 0.17 0.27
6. Maharashtra 0.06 -- 0.06 0.05 -- 0.05
7. Karnataka 0.11 -- 0.11 0.10 -- 0.10
8. U.P./Uttaranchal 0.85 -- 0.85 1.20 -- 1.20
9. West Bengal -- 1.40 1.40 -- 1.60 1.60
10. Orissa 0.35 0.36 0.71 0.40 0.45 0.85
11. Others 0.15 0.03 0.18 0.20 -- 0.20
Total
Retained for sowing,direct
Consumption & export
4.70
3.00
2.44
1.00
7.14
4.00
3.50
3.00
3.02
1.00
6.52
4.00
Marketable surplus for crushing 1.70 1.44 3.14 0.50 2.02 2.52
3.
6. CASTORSEED
Sr.
No.
State Trade Estimate
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
1. Gujarat 10.26 -- 10.26 8.40 -- 8.40
2. Rajasthan 1.70 -- 1.70 1.60 -- 1.60
3. Andhra Pradesh 0.75 -- 0.75 1.00 -- 1.00
4. Maharashtra & Others 0.24 -- 0.24 0.30 -- 0.30
Total
Retained for sowing & export
12.95
--
--
--
12.95
--
11.30
--
--
--
11.30
--
Marketable surplus for crushing 12.95 -- 12.95 11.30 -- 11.30
@ Revised at Rabi seminar based on Global Castor Conference announcement made at Ahmedabad on 21.2.2015
7. NIGERSEED
Sr.
No.
State Trade Estimate
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
1. Orissa 0.20 -- 0.20 0.20 -- 0.20
2. M.P. & Chhatisgarh 0.20 -- 0.20 0.20 -- 0.20
3. Others 0.30 -- 0.30 0.30 -- 0.30
Total
Retained for sowing, direct
Consumption & export
0.70
0.35
--
--
0.70
0.35
0.70
0.25
--
--
0.70
0.25
Marketable surplus for crushing 0.35 -- 0.35 0.45 -- 0.45
8. SAFFLOWERSEED(KARDI)
Sr.
No.
State Trade Estimate
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
1. Maharashtra -- 0.18 0.18 -- 0.55 0.55
2. Karnataka -- 0.21 0.21 -- 0.27 0.27
3. Andhra Pradesh -- 0.04 0.04 -- 0.06 0.06
4. Others -- 0.07 0.07 -- 0.13 0.13
Total
Retained for sowing &
Direct Consumption
--
--
0.50
0.10
0.50
0.10
--
--
1.01
0.10
1.01
0.10
Marketable surplus for crushing -- 0.40 0.40 -- 0.91 0.91
4.
9. LINSEED
Sr.
No.
State Trade Estimate
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
1. Madhya Pradesh/C.G. -- 0.34 0.34 -- 0.38 0.38
2. Uttar Pradesh -- 0.09 0.09 -- 0.10 0.10
3. Maharashtra -- 0.05 0.05 -- 0.12 0.12
4. Bihar } -- } } -- } }
5. Nagaland } -- 0.55} 0.55} -- 0.60} 0.60}
6. Others } -- } } -- } }
Total
Retained for sowing &
Direct Consumption
--
--
1.03
--
1.03
--
--
--
1.20
--
1.20
--
Marketable surplus for crushing -- 1.03 1.03 -- 1.20 1.20
TOTAL ESTIMATED AREA AND PRODUCTION OF NINE MAJOR OILSEEDS
2014-15 2013-14 Change
Area
Lakh Ha.
Production
Lakh Tons
Area
Lakh Ha.
Production
Lakh Tons
Area
Lakh Ha.
Production
Lakh Tons
Kharif 178.48 147.85 194.91 161.00 (-) 16.43 (-) 13.15 ( 8.17%)
Rabi 84.01 76.65 91.44 91.85® (-) 7.43 (-) 15.20 (16.55%)
Total 262.49 224.50 286.35 252.85® (-) 23.86 (-) 28.35 (11.21%)
® Revised
COTTONSEED
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Bales of Cotton
( 170 Kg.each)
400.00 Lakh Bales 405.00 Lakh Bales
Cottonseed Production
@ 310 Kg/Bale
124.00 Lakh Tonnes 125.50 Lakh Tonnes
Retained for Sowing & Direct
Consumption
6.00 Lakh Tonnes 6.00 Lakh Tonnes
Marketable Surplus 118.00 Lakh Tonnes 119.50 Lakh Tonnes
Production of Washed
Cottonseed Oil ( 12.0% )
14.16 Lakh Tonnes 14.34 Lakh Tonnes
5.
COPRA ( Milling )
2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season
Estimated Production 6.50 Lakh Tonnes 7.00 Lakh Tonnes
Equivalent Coconut Oil (65%) 4.25 Lakh Tonnes 4.55 Lakh Tonnes
SOLVENT EXTRACTED OILS
S. E. Oils
Estimated for
Oil Year
2014-15
Estimated for
Oil Year
2013-14
Rice Bran Oil Edible 9.00
Non-Edible 0.30 9.30
Edible 9.00
Non-Edible 0.30 9.30
S.E. Rapeseed 1.70 1.60
S.E. Sunflowerseed 0.40 0.40
S.E. Groundnut 0.30 0.40
S.E. Cottonseed & Other Oils 0.50 0.40
Minor Oils (TBOs) 0.50 0.50
Maize Oil 1.00 0.50
Local Palm Oil 1.70 1.10
Total 15.40 14.20
IMPORTED OIL
Oils
Forecast for
Oil Year
2014-15
(Nov-Oct)
Oil Year
2013-14
(Nov-Oct)
Edible Oil 125.00 + 116.18
Vanaspati -- ---
Non-Edible Oil 2.00 + 2.00
Total 127.00 + 118.18
6.
COOIT’S ESTIMATE OF
DOMESTIC AVAILABILITY OF VEGETABLE OILS
FROM KAHRIF & RABI OILSEEDS CROPS DURING 2014-15 (NOV-OCT)
(IN LAKH TONNES)
Sr.
No.
Oilseeds/
S.E. Oils
Oil
Reco-
Very
%
2014-15 Seasons Total
Oil
Availa
bility
2013-14 Seasons Total
Oil
Availa
bility
Production Marketable Surplus Production Marketable Surplus
Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total
I. Oilseeds
1. Groundnut
(In Shell) 40 35.70 12.75 48.45 3.00 1.20 4.20 1.68 47.15 17.67 64.82 10.60 5.27 15.87 6.35
2. Soya 17 91.70 -- 91.70 76.70 -- 76.70 13.04 95.00 -- 95.00 82.50 -- 82.50 14.03
3. Rape/Mustard/Toria 33 0.80 57.40 58.20 0.80 54.90 55.70 18.38 1.50 65.00* 66.50 1.50 62.50 64.00 21.12
4. Sunflower 35 1.30 2.53 3.83 1.30 2.53 3.83 1.34 1.85 3.95 5.80 1.85 3.95 5.80 2.03
5. Sesame 45 4.70 2.44 7.14 1.70 1.44 3.14 1.41 3.50 3.02 6.52 0.50 2.02 2.52 1.13
6. Castor 45 12.95 -- 12.95 12.95 -- 12.95 5.83 11.30 -- 11.30 11.30 -- 11.30 5.09
7. Niger 30 0.70 -- 0.70 0.35 -- 0.35 0.11 0.70 -- 0.70 0.45 -- 0.45 0.14
8. Safflower 30 -- 0.50 0.50 -- 0.40 0.40 0.12 -- 1.01 1.01 -- 0.91 0.91 0.27
9. Linseed 43 -- 1.03 1.03 -- 1.03 1.03 0.44 -- 1.20 1.20 -- 1.20 1.20 0.52
SUB-TOTAL 147.85 76.65 224.50 96.80 61.50 158.30 42.35 161.00 91.85 252.85 108.70 75.85 184.55 50.68
II. Other Oilseeds
10. Cottonseed 12 124.00 -- 124.00 118.00 -- 118.00 14.16 125.50 -- 125.50 119.50 -- 119.50 14.34
11. Copra 65 6.50 -- 6.50 6.50 -- 6.50 4.23 7.00 -- 7.00 7.00 -- 7.00 4.55
SUB-TOTAL 130.50 -- 130.50 124.50 -- 124.50 18.39 132.50 -- 132.50 126.50 -- 126.50 18.89
III. Secondary Source
12. Rice Bran 16 -- -- -- -- -- -- 9.30 -- -- -- -- -- -- 9.30
13. Rapseed Cake 9 -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.70 -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.60
14. Sunflowerseed Cake 12 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.40 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.40
15. Groundnut Cake 7 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.30 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.40
16. Cottonseed & Others 7 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.50 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.40
17. Mionr Oilseeds(TBOs) -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.50 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.50
18. Maize Oil -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.00 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.50
19. Local Palm Oil -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.70 -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.10
SUB-TOTAL -- -- -- -- -- -- 15.40 -- -- -- -- -- -- 14.20
GRAND TOTAL 278.35 76.65 355.00 221.30 61.50 282.80 76.14 293.50 91.85 385.35 235.20 75.85 311.05 83.77
* Revised 10 Lakh = 1 Million
Source : SEA Data Bank. (www.seaofindia.com)

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#217 COOIT Rabi Crop Estimate for 2014-15

  • 1. EC 194/2014-15 17th March, 2015 To All Members: Sub : COOIT’s Trade Estimate for Rabi Oilseed Production and Availability of Vegetable Oils during 2014-15 Season ******* 36th All India Rabi Seminar of Oilseeds, Oil Trade & Industry was held on 15th March, 2015 at Jaipur and arrived at trade estimate of Rabi Oilseeds crop and availability of vegetable oils from Rabi and Kharif Crops during 2014-15 season as under: Rabi Oilseeds Area & Crop Oilseeds 2014-15 Area* Crop Lakh Ha Lakh T 2013-14 Area Crop Lakh Ha Lakh T. Change Area Crop Lakh Ha Lakh T. Groundnut 8.43 12.75 8.71 17.67 (-) 0.28 (-) 4.92 Rape/Mustard 65.17 57.40 71.32 65.00 (-) 6.15 (-) 7.60 Sunflowerseed 3.19 2.53 4.40 3.95 (-) 1.21 (-) 1.42 Sesameseed 2.26 2.44 1.12 3.02 (+) 1.14 (-) 0.58 Safflowerseed 0.95 0.50 1.78 1.01 (-) 0.84 (-) 0.51 Linseed 3.21 1.03 3.59 1.20 (-) 0.38 (-) 0.17 Other Oilseeds 0.80 -- 0.53 -- (+) 0.27 -- Total 84.01 76.65 91.44 91.85 (-) 7.43 (-) 15.20 * Area as per GOI data as on 12th March, 2015 Oilseeds Production: Qty : Lakh Tones Oilseeds 2014-15 2013-14 Change Kharif Rabi Total Groundnut(in shell) 35.70 12.75 48.45 64.82 (-) 16.37 Soybean 91.70 -- 91.70 95.00 (-) 3.30 Rape/Mustard/Toria 0.80 57.40 58.20 66.50 (-) 8.30 Sunflowerseed 1.30 2.53 3.83 5.80 (-) 1.97 Sesameseed 4.70 2.44 7.14 6.52 (+) 0.62 Castorseed® 12.95 -- 12.95 11.30 (+) 1.65 Nigerseed 0.70 -- 0.70 0.70 No Change Safflowerseed -- 0.50 0.50 1.01 (-) 0.51 Lineseed -- 1.03 1.03 1.20 (-) 0.17 Sub Total 147.85 76.65 224.50 252.85 (-) 28.35 Cottonseed 124.00 -- 124.00 125.50 (-) 1.35 Copra 6.50 -- 6.50 7.00 (-) 0.50 Grand Total 278.35 76.65 355.00 385.35 (-) 30.35 Cont…2
  • 2. - 2 – General Observations :- 1. The area under Rabi Oilseeds crop 2014-15 decreased to 84.01 lakh hectares from 91.44 lakh hectares last year i.e. down by 7.43 lakh hectares. 2. Rabi Groundnut crop has decreased to 12.75 lakh tones from 17.67 lakh tones of last year, down by 4.92 lakh tones. 3. Rapeseed-Mustard including Taramira crop decreased to 57.40 lakh tones from 65.00 lakh tones of last year, down by 7.60 lakh tones. 4. Rabi Sunflowerseed crop decreased to 2.53 lakh tones from 3.95 lakh tones of last year, down by 1.42 lakh tones. 5. Rabi Sesameseed crop decreased to 2.44 lakh tones from 3.02 lakh tones of last year, down by 0.58 lakh tones. 6. The overall Rabi Oilseeds Crop 2014-15 has decreased to 76.65 lakh tones from 91.85 lakh tones last year, down by 15.20 lakh tones, mainly due to shortage of water and shifting to other crops. 7. There is wide spread report of hailstorm and rain in Rajasthan in last 4 to 5 days, which have damage the mustard crop in some area and at the same time late sowing of mustard crop in certain area like Sri Ganganagar would be benefitted. We are assessing the impact and shall revise the crop in next few days. 8. The combined area of Kharif and Rabi oilseeds during 2014-15 as per GOI, is about 262.49 lakh hectres and production of 9 oilseed crops ( Kharif & Rabi) for the current year (2014-15) is estimated at 224.50 lakh tones compared to 252.85 lakh tones of last year, down by 28.35 lakh tones (11.21%). The total production including Cottonseed and Copra estimated at 355.0 lakh tones compared to 385.35 lakh tones in 2013-14. 9. The total vegetable oil availability from Kharif and Rabi Oilseeds crops for the year 2014-15 (Nov-Oct) is estimated at 76.14 lakh tones compared to 83.77 lakh tones last year, down by 7.63 lakh tones (9.11 %). 10. In view of lesser crop coupled and higher demand for edible oils, import of edible oil during 2014-15 (Nov-Oct) likely to increase by 9 to 10 lakh tones and estimated at 125.0 + lakh tones. Import of non-edible oil is likely to be 2.0 + lakh tones. Total import of vegetable oils (Edible + non-edible) is estimated at 127.0 + lakh tones during 2014-15 (Nov-Oct) against 118.2 lakh tones in 2013-14. We are forwarding herewith trade estimate arrived at Rabi Seminar, for your kind information. Thanking you, Yours faithfully, (Dr. B.V.MEHTA) Executive Director Encl : COOIT’s Trade Estimate File : S-63
  • 3. 36th ALL INDIA RABI SEMINAR ON OILSEEDS, OIL TRADE AND INDUSTRY ON 15th MARCH, 2015 AT JAIPUR COOIT’S ESTIMATE OF PRODUCTION AND MARKETABLE SURPLUS OF OILSEEDS AND AVAILABILITY OF VEGETABLE OILS DURING OIL YEAR 2014-15 1.GROUNDNUT (IN LAKH TONNES) Sr. No. State Trade Estimate 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total 1. Gujarat 14.40 2.00 16.40 25.00 2.86 27.86 2. Maharashtra 1.60 0.65 2.25 1.75 1.12 2.87 3. A.P./Telangana 3.80 3.00 6.80 6.00 4.35 10.35 4. Tamil Nadu 2.00 2.60 4.60 1.80 3.44 5.24 5. Karnataka 3.10 2.70 5.80 3.50 3.46 6.96 6. Madhya Pradesh/C.G. 2.00 -- 2.00 1.70 -- 1.70 7. Rajasthan 6.50 -- 6.50 5.20 -- 5.20 8. Punjab/Haryana/U.P. 0.80 -- 0.80 0.80 -- 0.80 9. Orissa 1.00 1.30 2.30 1.00 1.99 2.99 10. Others 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.40 0.45 0.85 Total in Shells 35.70 12.75 48.45 47.15 17.67 64.82 Equivalent in kernels (70%) Less:- Retained for sowing, Export Direct Consumption Sub Total 25.00 5.00 5.00 12.00 22.00 8.90 1.20 1.50 5.00 7.70 33.90 6.20 6.50 17.00 29.70 33.00 5.40 5.00 12.00 22.40 12.37 1.20 1.50 4.40 7.10 45.37 6.60 6.50 16.40 29.50 Marketable surplus (In kernels for crushing) 3.00 1.20 4.20 10.60 5.27 15.87 1.
  • 4. 2. SOYBEAN Sr. No. State Trade Estimate 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Kharif Rabi Total Kharif® Rabi Total 1. Madhya Pradesh 53.00 -- 53.00 43.30 -- 43.30 2. Maharashtra 25.00 -- 25.00 38.00 -- 38.00 3. A.P./Telangana 2.50 -- 2.50 2.30 -- 2.30 4. Rajasthan 6.00 -- 6.00 7.00 -- 7.00 5. Karnataka 2.60 -- 2.60 2.00 -- 2.00 6. Chhatisgarh 1.30 -- 1.30 0.90 -- 0.90 7. Gujarat 0.70 -- 0.70 0.80 -- 0.80 8. Others 0.60 -- 0.60 0.70 -- 0.70 Total Retained for sowing Direct Consumption including Export Sub Total 91.70 10.00 5.00 15.00 -- -- -- --- 91.70 10.00 5.00 15.00 95.00 9.00 3.50 12.50 -- -- -- --- 95.00 9.00 3.50 12.50 Marketable surplus for crushing 76.70 --- 76.70 82.50 -- 82.50 ® Revised 3. RAPE/MUSTARD/TORIA Sr. No. State Trade Estimate 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Kharif (Toria) Rabi (R&M) Total Kharif (Toria) Rabi® (R&M) Total A) 1. RAPE/MUSTARD/TORIA Uttar Pradesh 0.50 6.50 7.00 1.00 7.00 8.00 2. Rajasthan – Mustard Taramira -- -- 25.80 0.40 26.20 -- -- 31.50 1.25 32.75 3. Punjab/Haryana 0.20 7.25 7.45 0.40 7.00 7.40 4. Gujarat -- 2.85 2.85 -- 3.80 3.80 5. Madhya Pradesh -- 4.80 4.80 -- 5.35 5.35 6. Chhatisgarh -- 0.90 0.90 -- 1.00 1.00 7. West Bengal -- 3.00 3.00 -- 2.80 2.80 8. Bihar -- 1.10 1.10 -- 1.50 1.50 9. Eastern India & Others 0.10 4.80 4.90 0.10 3.80 3.90 Total 0.80 57.40 58.20 1.50 65.00 66.50 Retained for sowing & Direct Consumption -- 2.50 2.50 -- 2.50 2.50 Marketable surplus for crushing 0.80 54.90 55.70 1.50 62.50 64.00 ® revised of Rabi Crop for the year 2013-14 2.
  • 5. 4. SUNFLOWERSEED Sr. No. State Trade Estimate 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total 1. Karnataka 0.90 1.70 2.60 1.50 2.30 3.80 2. Andhra Pradesh 0.10 0.40 0.50 0.10 0.80 0.90 3. Maharashtra 0.20 0.13 0.33 0.20 0.35 0.55 4. Tamilnadu -- 0.05 0.05 0.05 -- 0.05 5. Punjab 0.10 -- 0.10 -- -- -- 6. Haryana -- -- -- -- -- -- 7. Uttar Pradesh -- -- -- -- -- -- 8. Bihar -- 0.02 0.02 -- -- -- 9. Others -- 0.23 0.23 -- 0.50 0.50 Total Retained for sowing , Direct Consumption & export 1.30 -- 2.53 -- 3.83 -- 1.85 -- 3.95 -- 5.80 -- Marketable surplus for crushing 1.30 2.53 3.83 1.85 3.95 5.80 5. SESAMESEED Sr. No. State Trade Estimate 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total 1. Gujarat 0.45 0.15 0.60 0.20 0.55 0.75 2. Rajasthan 1.30 -- 1.30 0.60 -- 0.60 3. Tamil Nadu 0.05 0.18 0.23 0.05 0.25 0.30 4. Madhya Pradesh/C.G. 1.30 -- 1.30 0.60 -- 0.60 5. A.P./Telangana 0.08 0.32 0.40 0.10 0.17 0.27 6. Maharashtra 0.06 -- 0.06 0.05 -- 0.05 7. Karnataka 0.11 -- 0.11 0.10 -- 0.10 8. U.P./Uttaranchal 0.85 -- 0.85 1.20 -- 1.20 9. West Bengal -- 1.40 1.40 -- 1.60 1.60 10. Orissa 0.35 0.36 0.71 0.40 0.45 0.85 11. Others 0.15 0.03 0.18 0.20 -- 0.20 Total Retained for sowing,direct Consumption & export 4.70 3.00 2.44 1.00 7.14 4.00 3.50 3.00 3.02 1.00 6.52 4.00 Marketable surplus for crushing 1.70 1.44 3.14 0.50 2.02 2.52 3.
  • 6. 6. CASTORSEED Sr. No. State Trade Estimate 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total 1. Gujarat 10.26 -- 10.26 8.40 -- 8.40 2. Rajasthan 1.70 -- 1.70 1.60 -- 1.60 3. Andhra Pradesh 0.75 -- 0.75 1.00 -- 1.00 4. Maharashtra & Others 0.24 -- 0.24 0.30 -- 0.30 Total Retained for sowing & export 12.95 -- -- -- 12.95 -- 11.30 -- -- -- 11.30 -- Marketable surplus for crushing 12.95 -- 12.95 11.30 -- 11.30 @ Revised at Rabi seminar based on Global Castor Conference announcement made at Ahmedabad on 21.2.2015 7. NIGERSEED Sr. No. State Trade Estimate 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total 1. Orissa 0.20 -- 0.20 0.20 -- 0.20 2. M.P. & Chhatisgarh 0.20 -- 0.20 0.20 -- 0.20 3. Others 0.30 -- 0.30 0.30 -- 0.30 Total Retained for sowing, direct Consumption & export 0.70 0.35 -- -- 0.70 0.35 0.70 0.25 -- -- 0.70 0.25 Marketable surplus for crushing 0.35 -- 0.35 0.45 -- 0.45 8. SAFFLOWERSEED(KARDI) Sr. No. State Trade Estimate 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total 1. Maharashtra -- 0.18 0.18 -- 0.55 0.55 2. Karnataka -- 0.21 0.21 -- 0.27 0.27 3. Andhra Pradesh -- 0.04 0.04 -- 0.06 0.06 4. Others -- 0.07 0.07 -- 0.13 0.13 Total Retained for sowing & Direct Consumption -- -- 0.50 0.10 0.50 0.10 -- -- 1.01 0.10 1.01 0.10 Marketable surplus for crushing -- 0.40 0.40 -- 0.91 0.91 4.
  • 7. 9. LINSEED Sr. No. State Trade Estimate 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total 1. Madhya Pradesh/C.G. -- 0.34 0.34 -- 0.38 0.38 2. Uttar Pradesh -- 0.09 0.09 -- 0.10 0.10 3. Maharashtra -- 0.05 0.05 -- 0.12 0.12 4. Bihar } -- } } -- } } 5. Nagaland } -- 0.55} 0.55} -- 0.60} 0.60} 6. Others } -- } } -- } } Total Retained for sowing & Direct Consumption -- -- 1.03 -- 1.03 -- -- -- 1.20 -- 1.20 -- Marketable surplus for crushing -- 1.03 1.03 -- 1.20 1.20 TOTAL ESTIMATED AREA AND PRODUCTION OF NINE MAJOR OILSEEDS 2014-15 2013-14 Change Area Lakh Ha. Production Lakh Tons Area Lakh Ha. Production Lakh Tons Area Lakh Ha. Production Lakh Tons Kharif 178.48 147.85 194.91 161.00 (-) 16.43 (-) 13.15 ( 8.17%) Rabi 84.01 76.65 91.44 91.85® (-) 7.43 (-) 15.20 (16.55%) Total 262.49 224.50 286.35 252.85® (-) 23.86 (-) 28.35 (11.21%) ® Revised COTTONSEED 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Bales of Cotton ( 170 Kg.each) 400.00 Lakh Bales 405.00 Lakh Bales Cottonseed Production @ 310 Kg/Bale 124.00 Lakh Tonnes 125.50 Lakh Tonnes Retained for Sowing & Direct Consumption 6.00 Lakh Tonnes 6.00 Lakh Tonnes Marketable Surplus 118.00 Lakh Tonnes 119.50 Lakh Tonnes Production of Washed Cottonseed Oil ( 12.0% ) 14.16 Lakh Tonnes 14.34 Lakh Tonnes 5.
  • 8. COPRA ( Milling ) 2014-15 Season 2013-14 Season Estimated Production 6.50 Lakh Tonnes 7.00 Lakh Tonnes Equivalent Coconut Oil (65%) 4.25 Lakh Tonnes 4.55 Lakh Tonnes SOLVENT EXTRACTED OILS S. E. Oils Estimated for Oil Year 2014-15 Estimated for Oil Year 2013-14 Rice Bran Oil Edible 9.00 Non-Edible 0.30 9.30 Edible 9.00 Non-Edible 0.30 9.30 S.E. Rapeseed 1.70 1.60 S.E. Sunflowerseed 0.40 0.40 S.E. Groundnut 0.30 0.40 S.E. Cottonseed & Other Oils 0.50 0.40 Minor Oils (TBOs) 0.50 0.50 Maize Oil 1.00 0.50 Local Palm Oil 1.70 1.10 Total 15.40 14.20 IMPORTED OIL Oils Forecast for Oil Year 2014-15 (Nov-Oct) Oil Year 2013-14 (Nov-Oct) Edible Oil 125.00 + 116.18 Vanaspati -- --- Non-Edible Oil 2.00 + 2.00 Total 127.00 + 118.18 6.
  • 9. COOIT’S ESTIMATE OF DOMESTIC AVAILABILITY OF VEGETABLE OILS FROM KAHRIF & RABI OILSEEDS CROPS DURING 2014-15 (NOV-OCT) (IN LAKH TONNES) Sr. No. Oilseeds/ S.E. Oils Oil Reco- Very % 2014-15 Seasons Total Oil Availa bility 2013-14 Seasons Total Oil Availa bility Production Marketable Surplus Production Marketable Surplus Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total Kharif Rabi Total I. Oilseeds 1. Groundnut (In Shell) 40 35.70 12.75 48.45 3.00 1.20 4.20 1.68 47.15 17.67 64.82 10.60 5.27 15.87 6.35 2. Soya 17 91.70 -- 91.70 76.70 -- 76.70 13.04 95.00 -- 95.00 82.50 -- 82.50 14.03 3. Rape/Mustard/Toria 33 0.80 57.40 58.20 0.80 54.90 55.70 18.38 1.50 65.00* 66.50 1.50 62.50 64.00 21.12 4. Sunflower 35 1.30 2.53 3.83 1.30 2.53 3.83 1.34 1.85 3.95 5.80 1.85 3.95 5.80 2.03 5. Sesame 45 4.70 2.44 7.14 1.70 1.44 3.14 1.41 3.50 3.02 6.52 0.50 2.02 2.52 1.13 6. Castor 45 12.95 -- 12.95 12.95 -- 12.95 5.83 11.30 -- 11.30 11.30 -- 11.30 5.09 7. Niger 30 0.70 -- 0.70 0.35 -- 0.35 0.11 0.70 -- 0.70 0.45 -- 0.45 0.14 8. Safflower 30 -- 0.50 0.50 -- 0.40 0.40 0.12 -- 1.01 1.01 -- 0.91 0.91 0.27 9. Linseed 43 -- 1.03 1.03 -- 1.03 1.03 0.44 -- 1.20 1.20 -- 1.20 1.20 0.52 SUB-TOTAL 147.85 76.65 224.50 96.80 61.50 158.30 42.35 161.00 91.85 252.85 108.70 75.85 184.55 50.68 II. Other Oilseeds 10. Cottonseed 12 124.00 -- 124.00 118.00 -- 118.00 14.16 125.50 -- 125.50 119.50 -- 119.50 14.34 11. Copra 65 6.50 -- 6.50 6.50 -- 6.50 4.23 7.00 -- 7.00 7.00 -- 7.00 4.55 SUB-TOTAL 130.50 -- 130.50 124.50 -- 124.50 18.39 132.50 -- 132.50 126.50 -- 126.50 18.89 III. Secondary Source 12. Rice Bran 16 -- -- -- -- -- -- 9.30 -- -- -- -- -- -- 9.30 13. Rapseed Cake 9 -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.70 -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.60 14. Sunflowerseed Cake 12 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.40 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.40 15. Groundnut Cake 7 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.30 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.40 16. Cottonseed & Others 7 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.50 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.40 17. Mionr Oilseeds(TBOs) -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.50 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.50 18. Maize Oil -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.00 -- -- -- -- -- -- 0.50 19. Local Palm Oil -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.70 -- -- -- -- -- -- 1.10 SUB-TOTAL -- -- -- -- -- -- 15.40 -- -- -- -- -- -- 14.20 GRAND TOTAL 278.35 76.65 355.00 221.30 61.50 282.80 76.14 293.50 91.85 385.35 235.20 75.85 311.05 83.77 * Revised 10 Lakh = 1 Million Source : SEA Data Bank. (www.seaofindia.com)