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Pacific island health inequities forecast to grow unless
profound changes are made to health systems in the region
Don Matheson1,4
FAFPHM, MBChB, BSc, Professor
Kunhee Park2
MD, PhD, Doctor
Taniela Sunia Soakai3
Diploma Business (Health Service Management), MBA, Deputy Director,
Public Health Division
1
Griffith University School of Medicine, 170 Kessels Road, Nathan, Qld 4111, Australia.
2
World Health Organization, Level 4, Provident Plaza One, Downtown Boulevard, 33 Ellery Street, Suva, Fiji.
Email: parkku@who.int
3
Pacific Community BP D5, 98848, Noumea, New Caledonia. Email: sunia@spc
4
Corresponding author. Email: donmathes@gmail.com
Abstract
Objective. Twenty years ago the Pacific’s health ministers developed a ‘Healthy Islands’ vision to lead health
development in the subregion. This paper reports on a review of health development over this period and discusses the
implications for the attainmentof the health related Sustainable Development Goals.
Methods. The review used qualitative and quantitative methods. The qualitative review included conducting semi-
structured interviews with Pacific Island Government Ministers and officials, regional agencies, health workers and
communitymembers.A documentreview was also conducted.The quantitativereview consisted of examining secondary
data from regional and global data collections.
Results. The review foundimprovementin healthindicators,butincreasinghealthinequality between the Pacific and
the rest of the world. Many of the larger island populations were unable to reach the health Millennium Development
Goals. The ‘Healthy Islands’ vision remainedan inspirationto healthministersandseniorofficials in the region. However,
implementationof the ‘Healthy Islands’ approach was patchy, under-resourcedand un-sustained. Communicable and
Maternal and Child Health challenges persist alongside unprecedentedlevels of non-communicablediseases, inadequate
levels of health finance and few skilled health workers as the major impedimentsto health development for many of the
Pacific’s countries.
Conclusions. The currenttrajectoryfor healthin the Pacific will lead to increasing health inequity with the rest of the
world. The challenges to health in the region include persisting communicable disease and maternal and child health
threats,unprecedentedlevels of NCDs, climate change andinstability, as well as low economicgrowth. In orderto change
the fortunes of this region in the age of the SDGs, a substantial investment in health is required, including in the health
workforce, by countries and donors alike. That investment requires a nuanced response that takes into account the
contextual differences between and within Pacific islands, adherence to aid effectiveness principles and interventions
designed to strengthenlocal health systems.
What is known about the topic? It is well established that the Pacific island countries are experiencing the double
disease burden, and that the non-communicabledisease epidemic is more advanced.
What does this paper add? This paper discusses the review of 20 years of health developmentin the Pacific. It reveals
that although progress is being made, health development in the region is falling behind that of the rest of the world.
It also describes the progress made by the Pacific countries in pursuitof the ‘Healthy Islands’ concept.
What are the implications for practitioners? This paper has significant implications for Pacific countries, donor
partners and development partners operating across and within Pacific countries. It calls for a substantial increase in
health resourcing and the way development assistance is organised to arrest the increasing inequities in health outcomes
between Pacific people and those of the rest of the world.
Additional keywords: health promotion,health system evaluation, health system strengthening,Healthy Islands, Pacific
island health development, settings approach, sustainable development goals.
Received 9 May 2016, accepted 23 August 2016, published online 20 February 2017
Journal compilation AHHA 2017/World Health Organization www.publish.csiro.au/journals/ahr
CSIRO PUBLISHING
Australian Health Review, 2017, 41, 590–598
http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/AH16065
INTERNATIONAL
Open Access CC BY-NC-ND
Introduction
The Pacific island countries have a population of 10 million
people living in 22 nationsand territoriesspread over morethan
25 000 islands and islets occupying an ocean covering one-third
of the Earth’s surface. These countries vary considerably in
population size, growth and density, the non-communicable
disease (NCD) burden, the wider burden of disease, resource
availability for health and local capacity. Rates of obesity and
diabetes in many Pacific countriesare higherthananywhere else
intheworldandcontinuetoincrease.1
AlthoughNCDsdominate
the disease burden in many Polynesian and Micronesian coun-
tries, the disease burden in most of Melanesia is shared with
communicablediseases and maternaland child health issues, as
evidenced by outbreaksof cholera, high maternaldeathratesand
low levels of child nutrition;this is the only region in the world
where the number of underweight children increased over the
past25 years.2
Thematernalandchild health-relatedMillennium
DevelopmentGoals (MDGs)4 and5 (http://www.unmillennium-
project.org/goals/gti.htm,verified 13 October16) have not been
reachedinthePacific’s mostpopulouscountries;basic necessities
of life, such as clean water supplies, are accessible to only half
the population and only one-third of people use any type of
improvedsanitationfacility.3
The recentEl Niñoweatherpattern
exposed the fragility of food security for many Pacific commu-
nities, where stunting rates were already high. Added to this is
the effect of climate change, starkly demonstrated by high-
intensity cyclones hitting the region, costing lives, devastating
dwellings and crops and further damaging weak economies.
As sea levels rise, the very existence of some Pacific states and
cultures is threatened because, in many countries, the entire
populationlives at 5 m above sea level.
Twenty years ago, Pacific health ministers declared their
vision for ‘Healthy Islands’ in the Yanuca Island Declaration.4
They envisioned Healthy Islands as places where children are
nurturedin body and mind, environments invite learning and
leisure, people work and age with dignity, ecological balance is
a source of pride and the ocean which sustains us is protected.5
The health ministersreturnedto Yanuca Island, Fiji, in April
2015 and reviewed the progress made over the past 20 years.
They reaffirmed their commitmentto Healthy Islands as their
vision forhealthdevelopmentforthe21st century.6
InSeptember
2015, the world’s political leaders confirmed their commitment
to 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs),7
with health
featuring directly in Goal 3: ‘Ensure healthy lives and promote
well-being for all at all ages’.
The purpose of this paper is to report on the findings of a
review of the past 20 years of health development in the Pacific
across 22 countries and territories,8
and to discuss the implica-
tions of these findings for future health development in the
subregion if the health-relatedSDGs are to be achieved.
Methods
The review used qualitative and quantitative methods. The
qualitative review included conducting semi-structured inter-
views and a document review. The interview questions were
derived fromthe five elements describing a ‘Healthy Island’ and
explored its strength as a vision, a catalyst for change and its
effects. Therecruitmentprocess forinterviewees was purposeful,
initially involved identifying key informants through contacts
in the respective Pacific island governmentsand regional health
agencies (World Health Organization (WHO), the Secretariat
of the Pacific Community,Pacific Island Health Officers Asso-
ciation). Snowballing was then used to identify further key
informantsto be interviewed. Participants were interviewed in
person at a regional meeting of health ministers held in Manila
from 13–17 Oct 2014 during country visits to Fiji, Samoa and
Vanuatu or by telephone. In all, 79 people were interviewed,
including six ministers of health, 20 senior health officials,
development partners at national and regional levels and other
national and sub-nationalhealth workers in the three countries
visited. Interviews were recorded manually and then entered
into NVivo software (QSR International), where data were
coded according to the initial questionnaire,then furthercoded
to capture emerging themes and concepts. Participantsincluded
people from all three Pacific groupings: Melanesia, Polynesia
and Micronesia.
The quantitative review consisted of examining secondary
data from regional and global data collections. Indicators were
sought according to the following criteria: data available to
assess trends over a 20-year time frame; data covering both the
subregion and individual countries; and data reflecting progress
ononeof theoriginalHealthyIslanddescriptors.Nationalreports
from specific countries were used to fill the gaps in global data
collections.
Results
Child survival
Measurable outcome indicators, such as life expectancy and
child survival, show health improvementin the Pacific over the
20-year period. However, the progress is slower than the world
average.
Figure 1 shows thedeathrateinchildrenunder5 years of age.
Overall, this death rate is decreasing for the Pacific. However,
comparisons show that the mortality rate for children under
5 years of age was lower in the Pacific thanthe rest of the world
in 1995, but is now higher. Differences between the Pacific
countries and the rest of the world are increasing and, if the
current trends continue, the inequality in child mortality will
intensify. MDG4 was not met for Pacific Children.
The child mortality rate in Melanesia is much higher than
that in Polynesia or Micronesia (Fig. 2). (Melanesia includes
Fiji, Papua New Guinea (PNG), Solomon Islands and Vanuatu.
Micronesia includes Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Federated
States of Micronesia, Nauru and Palau. Polynesia includes
Cook Islands, Niue, Samoa, Tonga andTuvalu.) Whenthe three
major groupings in the Pacific are examined, there are very
marked differences between them. The mortality rate for
children under 5 years of age is highest in Melanesia, largely
influenced by PNG, with its under-5 population of 1 million
children.
Water and sanitation
Figure 3 shows the proportion of the population using
improved water sources. This is lower for the Pacific than the
rest of the world, and the gap is not closing. A similar pattern
is seen for the proportion of the population with improved
Pacific island health inequities Australian Health Review 591
sanitationfacilities, with theworld at 64% andthePacific at 36%
at 2012 and the gap increasing. There is a strong correlation
between the state of water and sanitationand the mortality rate
for childrenunder5 years of age. Melanesia again has the lowest
level of coverage (data not shown).
Non-communicable diseases
The differences between the Pacific and the rest of the world are
most marked when it comes to NCDs. Figure 4 shows that the
rates of obesity for adults over 18 years of age for many Pacific
Countries far exceeds the world average. Obesity reduces life
expectancy, as it is a major risk factor for NCDs such as
diabetes, heart disease and some cancers. The negative effects
on families of losing parents at a young age are considerable.
The negative economic effect is also large, not only throughthe
cost of health care, but also throughloss of labour productivity.
Almost half of all deaths (48%) in Tonga occur below the age
of 64 years as a resultof cardiovasculardisease, resultinginlarge
losses of labour productivity among the country’s most skilled
workers.9
The WHO STEPwise approach to Surveillance (STEPS)
surveys (WHO Office, Suva, pers. comm) and other studies
show that the NCD epidemic in the Pacific has not yet reached
its peak. Living with diabetes is now becoming the norm for
adults in some Pacific communities.
Health resourcing
Health in the Pacific, as elsewhere, is strongly affected by the
wider determinants of health, as well as the health system
0
1
9
9
5
1
9
9
6
1
9
9
7
30
60
90
Pacific
Year
Deaths
per
1000
live
births
World
1
9
9
8
1
9
9
9
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
3
2
0
0
4
2
0
0
5
2
0
0
6
2
0
0
7
2
0
0
8
2
0
0
9
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
2
2
0
1
3
M
D
G
t
a
r
g
e
t
(
2
0
1
5
)
Fig. 1. Mortalityratefor childrenaged 5 years in the Pacific comparedwith the world from1995 to 2014.
Note: “Pacific” in this figure includes data from14 countriesand areas. Data was notavailable for American
Samoa, Guam, the Commonwealth of the NorthernMariana Islands, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Wallis and Futuna,
New Caledonia, French Polynesia.8
0
20
Year
Child
mortality
40
60
80
100
1
9
9
5
1
9
9
6
1
9
9
7
1
9
9
8
1
9
9
9
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
3
2
0
0
4
2
0
0
5
2
0
0
6
2
0
0
7
2
0
0
8
2
0
0
9
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
2
2
0
1
3
M
D
G
t
a
r
g
e
t
(
2
0
1
5
)
Polynesia Melanesia
Micronesia World
Fig. 2. Mortality rate for children aged 5 years in Melanesia, Polynesia and Micronesia from 1995 to
2014. MDG, Millennium Development Goal. Note: Melanesia includes Fiji, Papua New Guinea, Solomon
Islands and Vanuatu. Micronesia includes Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Nauru
and Palau. Polynesia includes Cook Islands, Niue, Samoa, Tonga and Tuvalu.8
592 Australian Health Review D. Matheson et al.
response. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth per capita
from 1992 to 201210
has been slow in the Pacific, and negative
in some periods. Only PNG is showing significant growth, due
to the effect of the extraction industry, but recent predictionsof
high growth in this economy have not materialised because of
the currentlow price for oil and gas. Pacific economies have a
narrow economic base, are geographically isolated from global
markets, rely on few commodities for export (agriculture, for-
estry, fishing, minerals and gas) and are prone to interruption
because of the frequency of naturaldisasters.
Investment in health per head of population in the Pacific
began at one-fifth of the global spend in 1995, but by 2012 this
proportion had decreased, with Pacific health spending now
one-sixth of the world average, reflecting increased inequality
in health resourcing (Fig. 5).
There is wide variation in the expenditure on health service
provision per capita and the efficiency of the health spend
between different Pacific countries. PNG (with 75% of the
region’s population) spends USD100 per person per year,
whereas New Caledonia spends US$2600 (data not shown).
Figure 6 shows the relationshipbetween health expenditureand
themortalityrateof childrenunder5 years of age, with improved
mortality associated with increased expenditure. Many Pacific
states (Cook Islands, Tonga, Vanuatu, Fiji, Solomon Islands)
have achieved lower levels of child mortality than the world
trend line (Fig. 6), despite their geographic and demographic
challenges. Other countries (Federated States of Micronesia,
Marshal Islands, Kiribati, Palau) have expenditures above the
trend line (Fig. 6). A full examination of the drivers of these
differences has not been conducted.
The health workforce profile in Pacific countries (Fig. 7)
shows that although many of the countries have at least the
critical threshold11
required to meet the MDGs, the exceptions
(PNG, Vanuatu, Solomon Islands and Samoa) involve some of
the biggest populations. In PNG, it is estimated that 3.5 million
people do nothave access to a doctorwithin theirdistrict.12
The
countryrequires17 600 additionalskilled healthworkers.13
The
global critical threshold of 2.3 skilled health workers per 1000
population12
does not take into account the workforce required
to meet the overwhelming NCD challenge or the workforce
required for isolated island populations. The critical thresholds
for a health workforce in the Pacific to meet global goals has yet
to be determined.
Qualitative findings
The interviewees strongly supported ‘Healthy Islands’ as
the overarching vision for Pacific health development. The
meaning associated with Healthy Islands was the articulation
0
10
Year
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1995
1997
Pacific World
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
%
Population
using
improved
drinking
water
source
Fig. 3. Proportionof thepopulationusing improveddrinkingwatersources
in the Pacific comparedwith the world from 1995 to 2011.4
51%
36%
41%
37%
46%
43%
28%
43%
28%
43%
40%
35%
13%
C
o
o
k
I
s
l
a
n
d
s
F
i
j
i
N
a
u
r
u
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Premature
NCD-related
deaths
(%)
K
i
r
i
b
a
t
i
F
S
M
N
i
u
e
P
a
p
u
a
N
e
w
G
u
i
n
e
a
S
a
m
o
a
S
o
l
o
m
o
n
I
s
l
a
n
d
T
o
n
g
a
T
u
v
a
l
u
V
a
n
u
a
t
u
W
o
r
l
d
Fig. 4. Percentageof theadultpopulation with obesity in selected Pacific Countriescompared
to the world average (dashed line). Available from: http://app
s.who.int/gho/data/view.
main.2450A?lang=en [verified 4 November 2016].
Pacific island health inequities Australian Health Review 593
of a high-level vision steeped in Pacific understandingof health
and the environment. This view was consistently articulated
by ministers and senior health officials. Interviewees reported
a heartfelt message arising from Healthy Islands, using words
such as ‘utopia’, ‘unifying’, ‘spiritual’, ‘freedom’, ‘wisdom’ and
‘heart’ to describe its meaning. Healthy Islands was used in
0
200
Total
health
expenditure
per
head
of
population
US$
(purchasing
power
parity)
400
600
800
Year
1000
1200
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Pacific World
Fig. 5. Total health expenditure per head of population in the Pacific compared with the world from 1995 to 2012.
Note: “Pacific” in this figure includes data from Cook Islands, the Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, Kiribati, the
Marshall Islands, Nauru, New Caledonia, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu
and Vanuatu.8
CI
FJ
KB
MI
FSM
NR
NU
PL
PNG
SM
SI
TA
TV
VN
NC
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000
Total health expenditure per head of population
Mortality
rate
for
children
aged
5
years
Health expenditure in US$ (purchasing power parity) per capita in 2014
Fig. 6. Relationship between health expenditure and mortality rate of children under 5 years
of age in 2014. PNG, Papua New Guinea; KB, Kiribati, FSM, Federated States of Micronesia;
MI, MarshallIslands; NR, Nauru;SI, SolomonIslands; TV, Tuvalu; NU,Niue; NC, New Caledonia;
FJ, Fiji; SM, Samoa; PL, Palau; VN, Vanuatu; TA, Tonga; CI, Cook Islands.8
594 Australian Health Review D. Matheson et al.
practicetorefertoa settingsapproach,primaryhealthcare, health
promotionandworkingacross sectors. Recent evidence suggests
that Pacific youth also share this holistic view of health.14
Healthy Islands played a significant role in the advocacy by
Pacific ministers to address NCDs globally, and the adoption
of inter-sectoral approaches at the national level. The vision
framedtheapproachPacific healthleaders have taken toengage
with other sectors, and continues to inspire health ministers
and senior health officials across the Pacific. As one official
noted, ‘Healthy Islands was ahead of its time, and its time
has now come’. A joint agreement has been forged15
between
Pacific health and economic ministers on the approach to
NCDs, including an agreement to increase excise duties on
tobacco products and to consider an increase in taxation of
alcohol products, as well as introducing policies that reduce the
consumption of local and imported food and drink products
high in sugar, salt and fat. Several Pacific countries have
already developed this approach for tobacco control16
and it
could be extended furtheracross the region to include alcohol,
gambling and some foods.
There was a broad consensus that although the vision was
strong, more could have been achieved had greater attention
been paid to the implementation barriers over the 20-year
period. These barriers included the fragmented approach taken
by development partners. Interviewees commented that even
existing funds, such as Global Alliance for Vaccines and
Immunization(GAVI), the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuber-
culosis andMalaria,andtheGates Foundationaretoofrequently
off plan, off budget and have separate reporting arrangements,
severely limiting their futuresustainability and the opportunity
to strengthen local systems. In addition, barriers identified
by participants included political upheaval, vertical programs
driving system inefficiencies, lack of sustained momentum in
programs, lack of sub-national health system development
and local managementfailures, including the lack of adequate
information systems and reporting.
Discussion
The review of the past 20 years of health developmentin Pacific
island countries has found that despite improvements,gaps are
increasing between health outcomes in the Pacific and those in
the rest of the world. The region has a well-supported vision,
Healthy Islands, butimplementationhas fallen short.Inadequate
finances, workforce and fragmented implementation are the
main implementationbarriers identified.
Fromthe perspective of Pacific ministersandseniorofficials,
the problemhas not been the lack of a clear vision, or the cross-
sectoral approaches required,but the challenges of implementa-
tion. Resourcing for health has been low for most countries,
reflecting weak economic growth. Efficiency of health service
provision does not differ markedly from global trends,although
there is considerable variation within the region. The strategic
frameworks developed by the Pacific and global leaders are
unlikely to reverse the currenttrajectoryfor health in the Pacific
unless the implementationmechanism,including resourcingthe
health systems in the region, is strengthenedconsiderably.
The prospects of economic growth closing the gap in health
development between the Pacific and the rest of the world are
slim. Economic growth is attracted to scale and concentration,
and deterred by isolation and dispersal.17
The Pacific reality is
small populations,isolated frommarketsandreliantonfiniteand
diminishingcommodities,such as forests, fish, mineralsandgas.
The island nationshave experienced considerable downsides to
globalisation to date. Pacific food supplies have seen nutritious
local food consumptionreplaced by low-quality importedfood,
high in fat, salt and sugar. The numberof underweightchildren
is increasing18
and water and sanitation coverage lags behind
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Cook
Islands
Fiji
French
Polynesia
Kiribati
Marshalls
FSM
Nauru
New
Caledonia
Niue
Northern
Marianas
Palau
PNG
Samoa
Solomon
Islands
Tokelau
Tonga
Tuvalu
Vanuatu
Wallis

Futuna
Health
worker
ratio
per
1000
Midwives Nurses Physicians
Fig. 7. Pacific health workforce (doctors, nurses, midwives) per 1000 population in 2011.
The dashedline indicatesthe WorldHealthOrganization(WHO)thresholdof healthworkers
to meet MillenniumDevelopment Goals.8
Pacific island health inequities Australian Health Review 595
therestof theworld. Deterioratingfood security remainsa major
health challenge.19
The by-product of the rest of the world’s
global economic growth, climate change, now threatens the
existence of some Pacific island nations, and associated climate
instability furthercurbs economic growth.
What needs to change over the next 15 years?
The global SDGs have now been set for 2030. These goals have
madestronglinks between differentdimensionsof development.
Health benefits are likely to accrue from attainmentof most of
the goals. Of special significance to the Pacific is Goal 13: ‘Take
urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts’.7
The Pacific ministers, 20 years earlier, had envisaged health as
being intrinsically connectedto work, the learningenvironment,
ecological balance and the protection of oceans. The SDGs
also affirm a strong focus on equity. ‘No one left behind’ and
‘Universal Health Coverage’ (http://www.who.int/dg/speeches/
2015/universal-health-coverage/en/, verified 13 October 2016)
imply that there needs to be a system response that delivers on
equity.
Both Healthy Islands and the SDGs call for an integrated
view of health development. The past has seen a disconnection
between economic, environmental and social progress in the
Pacific (as they have elsewhere). For example, tradeagreements
have been largely negotiated without assessing their health and
environmental effects on the Pacific peoples.20
An integrated
view of healthdevelopmentneeds to be putintopracticeby both
the countries themselves and the development partners.
For much of the past 20 years, the bulk of the Pacific
population’s health services had insufficient levels of financing
and human resources to achieve global health goals. Island
governments’ contributions to health have increased over the
period and, for most countries, health is now predominantly
governmentfunded.Given theeconomicheadwindsbeing faced,
it is unlikely there will be sufficient growth in these economies
to fund health services in the Pacific to the level that is required
to meet the health SDGs, as happenedwith the MDGs.
Ontheirown, many Pacific countriescannotafford universal
health coverage. Given the global origins of many of the chal-
lenges faced (NCDs, global warming), developed countries
should take more responsibility in addressing health challenges
in the Pacific.
As indicated in Fig. 8, the level of overseas development
assistance for most of the region’s largest donors21
(Australia,
USA, New Zealand, Japan, Korea) is currentlybelow the Orga-
nization for Economic Cooperationand Development (OECD)
average of 0.29% of gross nationalincome,21
and well less than
half of the 1970 UnitedNations commitmentto 0.7%. France is
the only major Pacific island donor country that contributes
above theOECD average. The commitmentto 0.7% has recently
been refreshed at a meeting of small island developing states22
and as a central tool for meeting global development goals.23
Any move that major donors in the Pacific make towards 0.7%
could substantially address the financingdeficit for health in the
region.
The numberof actors providing supportfor Pacific countries
is increasing rapidly. There is a strong likelihood of further
fragmentation, and resulting frustration,24
with the potential
addition to the development architecture of the Green Climate
Fund (www.greenclimate.fund, verified 15 February 2016),
Asian InfrastructureInvestment Bank (www.aiib.org, verified
15 February 2016), the Global InfrastructureHub (www.globa-
linfrastructurehub.org, verified 15 February 2016) , the New
Development Bank (www.ndbbrics.org, verified 15 February
2016), the Asia Pacific Project PreparationFacility (www.adb.
0
Sweden
Luxembourg
Norway
Denmark
United Kindom
Netherlands
Finland
Switzerland
Belgium
Cermany
Ireland
France
DAC total
New Zealand
Australia
Austria
Canada
Iceland
Japan
United States
Portugal
Italy
Spain
Korea
Slovenia
Czech Republic
Creece
Slovak Republic
Poland
ODA as percentage of GNI (2014)
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Fig. 8. Overseas development assistance (ODA) as a percentage of gross national income (GNI).
The dashedline indicatesthe 1970 UnitedNationscommitmentto 0.7% of developed countries’ gross
national income to Official Development Assistance (Internationa
l Development Strategy for the
Second United Nations Development Decade”, UN General Assembly Resolution 2626 (XXV),
24 October 1970, paragraph43).22
596 Australian Health Review D. Matheson et al.
org/documents/asia-paci
fic-project-preparation-facility,verified
15 February 2016), the World Bank Group’s Global Infrastruc-
ture Facility (www.worldbank.org/en/programs/global-Infra-
structure-facility, verified 15 February 2016), Global Financing
Facility in supportof Every Woman,Every Child (www.global-
financingfacility.org, verified 15 February 2016), a Technology
Facilitation Mechanism (www.sustainabledevelopment.un.org/
topics/technology/facilitationmechanism,verified 15 February
2016) and the Technology Bank for Least Developed Countries
(www.unohrlls.org/technologybank,verified 15 February2016).
This list is not exhaustive, because it omits the global growth
of private philanthropicefforts. Pacific health leaders have iden-
tified fragmentationof development efforts as a major impedi-
ment to implementation over the past 20 years, so this latest
wave of development modalities risks furtherexacerbating this
problem, overwhelming local capacity and consequently failing
to achieve health development goals. What is required is better
coordination, and a focus on how development assistance in
the Pacific can best meet the developmentneeds of these unique
populations in this unique setting. This renewed interest in
financing modalities is welcomed, but its effect will be limited
unless aid effectiveness principles25
and cognizance of the
Pacific context are applied from the start.
The response to the health care worker deficit also requires a
nuancedresponse to the different island contexts. PNG’s deficit
requires a substantial boost to its local health training capacity.
Currently,45 doctorsaretrainedinthecountryperyear (G. Mola,
pers. comm.),andthisneeds toincrease to300 peryear if thereis
to be any chance of meeting universal health coverage require-
ments. Effective deployment of these doctors will also require
resources for salaries, infrastructureand supplies. Other coun-
tries, such as the Solomon Islands, will double their doctor
numbers in the next 5 years by increasing the number trained
outside the country, such as in Cuba.26
Their challenge is to
build the necessary districtinfrastructureso thatthey can deploy
these new graduates to areas where their skills are most needed.
The NCD epidemic also calls for a response commensurate
with the size of the disease threat, and the state of knowledge
of effective interventions. The Pacific is already pioneering
public health responses to NCDs27
that will have important
lessons for therestof theworld. The currentpackage of essential
NCD interventions for primary health care approach is an im-
portant start, but much more is required in adapting chronic
disease managementapproaches for Pacific island contexts.
Conclusion
The current trajectory for health in the Pacific will lead to
increasing inequity with the rest of the world. The challenges to
health in the region include persisting communicable disease
and maternal and child health threats, unprecedentedlevels of
NCDs, climate change and instability, as well as low economic
growth.
In orderto change the fortunesof this region in the age of the
SDGs, a substantial investment in health is required, including
in the health workforce, by countries and donors alike. That
investment requires a nuanced response that takes into account
the contextual differences between and within Pacific islands,
adherence to aid effectiveness principles and interventions
designed to strengthenlocal health systems.
Competing interests
The lead authoris a healthsystems consultantandtheco-authors
work for the World Health Organisation and the Pacific Com-
munity respectively.
Acknowledgements
This article uses some of the findings of The First 20 Years of the Journey
towards the Vision of Healthy Islands in the Pacific, which was supported
financiallyby theWorldHealthOrganization(WHO)andis available athttp://
iris.wpro.who.int/bitstrea
m/10665.1/10928/3/9789290617150_eng.pdf, ver-
ified 14 October2016], andThe State of HumanDevelopmentin the Pacific;
A Report on Vulnerability and Exclusion in a Time of Rapid Change’,
available at: http://www.unescap.org/resources/state-human-deve
lopment-
pacific-report-vulnerability-and-exclusion-time-rapid-change [verified 2 May
2015]. The authors thank Vivian Lin, who provided valuable commentar
y
at the drafting stage, and Junsoo Ro, who assisted with the compilation
of indicators. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authorsand
do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the World Health
Organization or Pacific Community.
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Ah16065

  • 1. Pacific island health inequities forecast to grow unless profound changes are made to health systems in the region Don Matheson1,4 FAFPHM, MBChB, BSc, Professor Kunhee Park2 MD, PhD, Doctor Taniela Sunia Soakai3 Diploma Business (Health Service Management), MBA, Deputy Director, Public Health Division 1 Griffith University School of Medicine, 170 Kessels Road, Nathan, Qld 4111, Australia. 2 World Health Organization, Level 4, Provident Plaza One, Downtown Boulevard, 33 Ellery Street, Suva, Fiji. Email: parkku@who.int 3 Pacific Community BP D5, 98848, Noumea, New Caledonia. Email: sunia@spc 4 Corresponding author. Email: donmathes@gmail.com Abstract Objective. Twenty years ago the Pacific’s health ministers developed a ‘Healthy Islands’ vision to lead health development in the subregion. This paper reports on a review of health development over this period and discusses the implications for the attainmentof the health related Sustainable Development Goals. Methods. The review used qualitative and quantitative methods. The qualitative review included conducting semi- structured interviews with Pacific Island Government Ministers and officials, regional agencies, health workers and communitymembers.A documentreview was also conducted.The quantitativereview consisted of examining secondary data from regional and global data collections. Results. The review foundimprovementin healthindicators,butincreasinghealthinequality between the Pacific and the rest of the world. Many of the larger island populations were unable to reach the health Millennium Development Goals. The ‘Healthy Islands’ vision remainedan inspirationto healthministersandseniorofficials in the region. However, implementationof the ‘Healthy Islands’ approach was patchy, under-resourcedand un-sustained. Communicable and Maternal and Child Health challenges persist alongside unprecedentedlevels of non-communicablediseases, inadequate levels of health finance and few skilled health workers as the major impedimentsto health development for many of the Pacific’s countries. Conclusions. The currenttrajectoryfor healthin the Pacific will lead to increasing health inequity with the rest of the world. The challenges to health in the region include persisting communicable disease and maternal and child health threats,unprecedentedlevels of NCDs, climate change andinstability, as well as low economicgrowth. In orderto change the fortunes of this region in the age of the SDGs, a substantial investment in health is required, including in the health workforce, by countries and donors alike. That investment requires a nuanced response that takes into account the contextual differences between and within Pacific islands, adherence to aid effectiveness principles and interventions designed to strengthenlocal health systems. What is known about the topic? It is well established that the Pacific island countries are experiencing the double disease burden, and that the non-communicabledisease epidemic is more advanced. What does this paper add? This paper discusses the review of 20 years of health developmentin the Pacific. It reveals that although progress is being made, health development in the region is falling behind that of the rest of the world. It also describes the progress made by the Pacific countries in pursuitof the ‘Healthy Islands’ concept. What are the implications for practitioners? This paper has significant implications for Pacific countries, donor partners and development partners operating across and within Pacific countries. It calls for a substantial increase in health resourcing and the way development assistance is organised to arrest the increasing inequities in health outcomes between Pacific people and those of the rest of the world. Additional keywords: health promotion,health system evaluation, health system strengthening,Healthy Islands, Pacific island health development, settings approach, sustainable development goals. Received 9 May 2016, accepted 23 August 2016, published online 20 February 2017 Journal compilation AHHA 2017/World Health Organization www.publish.csiro.au/journals/ahr CSIRO PUBLISHING Australian Health Review, 2017, 41, 590–598 http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/AH16065 INTERNATIONAL Open Access CC BY-NC-ND
  • 2. Introduction The Pacific island countries have a population of 10 million people living in 22 nationsand territoriesspread over morethan 25 000 islands and islets occupying an ocean covering one-third of the Earth’s surface. These countries vary considerably in population size, growth and density, the non-communicable disease (NCD) burden, the wider burden of disease, resource availability for health and local capacity. Rates of obesity and diabetes in many Pacific countriesare higherthananywhere else intheworldandcontinuetoincrease.1 AlthoughNCDsdominate the disease burden in many Polynesian and Micronesian coun- tries, the disease burden in most of Melanesia is shared with communicablediseases and maternaland child health issues, as evidenced by outbreaksof cholera, high maternaldeathratesand low levels of child nutrition;this is the only region in the world where the number of underweight children increased over the past25 years.2 Thematernalandchild health-relatedMillennium DevelopmentGoals (MDGs)4 and5 (http://www.unmillennium- project.org/goals/gti.htm,verified 13 October16) have not been reachedinthePacific’s mostpopulouscountries;basic necessities of life, such as clean water supplies, are accessible to only half the population and only one-third of people use any type of improvedsanitationfacility.3 The recentEl Niñoweatherpattern exposed the fragility of food security for many Pacific commu- nities, where stunting rates were already high. Added to this is the effect of climate change, starkly demonstrated by high- intensity cyclones hitting the region, costing lives, devastating dwellings and crops and further damaging weak economies. As sea levels rise, the very existence of some Pacific states and cultures is threatened because, in many countries, the entire populationlives at 5 m above sea level. Twenty years ago, Pacific health ministers declared their vision for ‘Healthy Islands’ in the Yanuca Island Declaration.4 They envisioned Healthy Islands as places where children are nurturedin body and mind, environments invite learning and leisure, people work and age with dignity, ecological balance is a source of pride and the ocean which sustains us is protected.5 The health ministersreturnedto Yanuca Island, Fiji, in April 2015 and reviewed the progress made over the past 20 years. They reaffirmed their commitmentto Healthy Islands as their vision forhealthdevelopmentforthe21st century.6 InSeptember 2015, the world’s political leaders confirmed their commitment to 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs),7 with health featuring directly in Goal 3: ‘Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages’. The purpose of this paper is to report on the findings of a review of the past 20 years of health development in the Pacific across 22 countries and territories,8 and to discuss the implica- tions of these findings for future health development in the subregion if the health-relatedSDGs are to be achieved. Methods The review used qualitative and quantitative methods. The qualitative review included conducting semi-structured inter- views and a document review. The interview questions were derived fromthe five elements describing a ‘Healthy Island’ and explored its strength as a vision, a catalyst for change and its effects. Therecruitmentprocess forinterviewees was purposeful, initially involved identifying key informants through contacts in the respective Pacific island governmentsand regional health agencies (World Health Organization (WHO), the Secretariat of the Pacific Community,Pacific Island Health Officers Asso- ciation). Snowballing was then used to identify further key informantsto be interviewed. Participants were interviewed in person at a regional meeting of health ministers held in Manila from 13–17 Oct 2014 during country visits to Fiji, Samoa and Vanuatu or by telephone. In all, 79 people were interviewed, including six ministers of health, 20 senior health officials, development partners at national and regional levels and other national and sub-nationalhealth workers in the three countries visited. Interviews were recorded manually and then entered into NVivo software (QSR International), where data were coded according to the initial questionnaire,then furthercoded to capture emerging themes and concepts. Participantsincluded people from all three Pacific groupings: Melanesia, Polynesia and Micronesia. The quantitative review consisted of examining secondary data from regional and global data collections. Indicators were sought according to the following criteria: data available to assess trends over a 20-year time frame; data covering both the subregion and individual countries; and data reflecting progress ononeof theoriginalHealthyIslanddescriptors.Nationalreports from specific countries were used to fill the gaps in global data collections. Results Child survival Measurable outcome indicators, such as life expectancy and child survival, show health improvementin the Pacific over the 20-year period. However, the progress is slower than the world average. Figure 1 shows thedeathrateinchildrenunder5 years of age. Overall, this death rate is decreasing for the Pacific. However, comparisons show that the mortality rate for children under 5 years of age was lower in the Pacific thanthe rest of the world in 1995, but is now higher. Differences between the Pacific countries and the rest of the world are increasing and, if the current trends continue, the inequality in child mortality will intensify. MDG4 was not met for Pacific Children. The child mortality rate in Melanesia is much higher than that in Polynesia or Micronesia (Fig. 2). (Melanesia includes Fiji, Papua New Guinea (PNG), Solomon Islands and Vanuatu. Micronesia includes Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Nauru and Palau. Polynesia includes Cook Islands, Niue, Samoa, Tonga andTuvalu.) Whenthe three major groupings in the Pacific are examined, there are very marked differences between them. The mortality rate for children under 5 years of age is highest in Melanesia, largely influenced by PNG, with its under-5 population of 1 million children. Water and sanitation Figure 3 shows the proportion of the population using improved water sources. This is lower for the Pacific than the rest of the world, and the gap is not closing. A similar pattern is seen for the proportion of the population with improved Pacific island health inequities Australian Health Review 591
  • 3. sanitationfacilities, with theworld at 64% andthePacific at 36% at 2012 and the gap increasing. There is a strong correlation between the state of water and sanitationand the mortality rate for childrenunder5 years of age. Melanesia again has the lowest level of coverage (data not shown). Non-communicable diseases The differences between the Pacific and the rest of the world are most marked when it comes to NCDs. Figure 4 shows that the rates of obesity for adults over 18 years of age for many Pacific Countries far exceeds the world average. Obesity reduces life expectancy, as it is a major risk factor for NCDs such as diabetes, heart disease and some cancers. The negative effects on families of losing parents at a young age are considerable. The negative economic effect is also large, not only throughthe cost of health care, but also throughloss of labour productivity. Almost half of all deaths (48%) in Tonga occur below the age of 64 years as a resultof cardiovasculardisease, resultinginlarge losses of labour productivity among the country’s most skilled workers.9 The WHO STEPwise approach to Surveillance (STEPS) surveys (WHO Office, Suva, pers. comm) and other studies show that the NCD epidemic in the Pacific has not yet reached its peak. Living with diabetes is now becoming the norm for adults in some Pacific communities. Health resourcing Health in the Pacific, as elsewhere, is strongly affected by the wider determinants of health, as well as the health system 0 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 30 60 90 Pacific Year Deaths per 1000 live births World 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 M D G t a r g e t ( 2 0 1 5 ) Fig. 1. Mortalityratefor childrenaged 5 years in the Pacific comparedwith the world from1995 to 2014. Note: “Pacific” in this figure includes data from14 countriesand areas. Data was notavailable for American Samoa, Guam, the Commonwealth of the NorthernMariana Islands, Pitcairn, Tokelau, Wallis and Futuna, New Caledonia, French Polynesia.8 0 20 Year Child mortality 40 60 80 100 1 9 9 5 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 6 2 0 0 7 2 0 0 8 2 0 0 9 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 0 1 3 M D G t a r g e t ( 2 0 1 5 ) Polynesia Melanesia Micronesia World Fig. 2. Mortality rate for children aged 5 years in Melanesia, Polynesia and Micronesia from 1995 to 2014. MDG, Millennium Development Goal. Note: Melanesia includes Fiji, Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands and Vanuatu. Micronesia includes Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia, Nauru and Palau. Polynesia includes Cook Islands, Niue, Samoa, Tonga and Tuvalu.8 592 Australian Health Review D. Matheson et al.
  • 4. response. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth per capita from 1992 to 201210 has been slow in the Pacific, and negative in some periods. Only PNG is showing significant growth, due to the effect of the extraction industry, but recent predictionsof high growth in this economy have not materialised because of the currentlow price for oil and gas. Pacific economies have a narrow economic base, are geographically isolated from global markets, rely on few commodities for export (agriculture, for- estry, fishing, minerals and gas) and are prone to interruption because of the frequency of naturaldisasters. Investment in health per head of population in the Pacific began at one-fifth of the global spend in 1995, but by 2012 this proportion had decreased, with Pacific health spending now one-sixth of the world average, reflecting increased inequality in health resourcing (Fig. 5). There is wide variation in the expenditure on health service provision per capita and the efficiency of the health spend between different Pacific countries. PNG (with 75% of the region’s population) spends USD100 per person per year, whereas New Caledonia spends US$2600 (data not shown). Figure 6 shows the relationshipbetween health expenditureand themortalityrateof childrenunder5 years of age, with improved mortality associated with increased expenditure. Many Pacific states (Cook Islands, Tonga, Vanuatu, Fiji, Solomon Islands) have achieved lower levels of child mortality than the world trend line (Fig. 6), despite their geographic and demographic challenges. Other countries (Federated States of Micronesia, Marshal Islands, Kiribati, Palau) have expenditures above the trend line (Fig. 6). A full examination of the drivers of these differences has not been conducted. The health workforce profile in Pacific countries (Fig. 7) shows that although many of the countries have at least the critical threshold11 required to meet the MDGs, the exceptions (PNG, Vanuatu, Solomon Islands and Samoa) involve some of the biggest populations. In PNG, it is estimated that 3.5 million people do nothave access to a doctorwithin theirdistrict.12 The countryrequires17 600 additionalskilled healthworkers.13 The global critical threshold of 2.3 skilled health workers per 1000 population12 does not take into account the workforce required to meet the overwhelming NCD challenge or the workforce required for isolated island populations. The critical thresholds for a health workforce in the Pacific to meet global goals has yet to be determined. Qualitative findings The interviewees strongly supported ‘Healthy Islands’ as the overarching vision for Pacific health development. The meaning associated with Healthy Islands was the articulation 0 10 Year 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1995 1997 Pacific World 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 % Population using improved drinking water source Fig. 3. Proportionof thepopulationusing improveddrinkingwatersources in the Pacific comparedwith the world from 1995 to 2011.4 51% 36% 41% 37% 46% 43% 28% 43% 28% 43% 40% 35% 13% C o o k I s l a n d s F i j i N a u r u 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Premature NCD-related deaths (%) K i r i b a t i F S M N i u e P a p u a N e w G u i n e a S a m o a S o l o m o n I s l a n d T o n g a T u v a l u V a n u a t u W o r l d Fig. 4. Percentageof theadultpopulation with obesity in selected Pacific Countriescompared to the world average (dashed line). Available from: http://app s.who.int/gho/data/view. main.2450A?lang=en [verified 4 November 2016]. Pacific island health inequities Australian Health Review 593
  • 5. of a high-level vision steeped in Pacific understandingof health and the environment. This view was consistently articulated by ministers and senior health officials. Interviewees reported a heartfelt message arising from Healthy Islands, using words such as ‘utopia’, ‘unifying’, ‘spiritual’, ‘freedom’, ‘wisdom’ and ‘heart’ to describe its meaning. Healthy Islands was used in 0 200 Total health expenditure per head of population US$ (purchasing power parity) 400 600 800 Year 1000 1200 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Pacific World Fig. 5. Total health expenditure per head of population in the Pacific compared with the world from 1995 to 2012. Note: “Pacific” in this figure includes data from Cook Islands, the Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, Kiribati, the Marshall Islands, Nauru, New Caledonia, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu.8 CI FJ KB MI FSM NR NU PL PNG SM SI TA TV VN NC 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 Total health expenditure per head of population Mortality rate for children aged 5 years Health expenditure in US$ (purchasing power parity) per capita in 2014 Fig. 6. Relationship between health expenditure and mortality rate of children under 5 years of age in 2014. PNG, Papua New Guinea; KB, Kiribati, FSM, Federated States of Micronesia; MI, MarshallIslands; NR, Nauru;SI, SolomonIslands; TV, Tuvalu; NU,Niue; NC, New Caledonia; FJ, Fiji; SM, Samoa; PL, Palau; VN, Vanuatu; TA, Tonga; CI, Cook Islands.8 594 Australian Health Review D. Matheson et al.
  • 6. practicetorefertoa settingsapproach,primaryhealthcare, health promotionandworkingacross sectors. Recent evidence suggests that Pacific youth also share this holistic view of health.14 Healthy Islands played a significant role in the advocacy by Pacific ministers to address NCDs globally, and the adoption of inter-sectoral approaches at the national level. The vision framedtheapproachPacific healthleaders have taken toengage with other sectors, and continues to inspire health ministers and senior health officials across the Pacific. As one official noted, ‘Healthy Islands was ahead of its time, and its time has now come’. A joint agreement has been forged15 between Pacific health and economic ministers on the approach to NCDs, including an agreement to increase excise duties on tobacco products and to consider an increase in taxation of alcohol products, as well as introducing policies that reduce the consumption of local and imported food and drink products high in sugar, salt and fat. Several Pacific countries have already developed this approach for tobacco control16 and it could be extended furtheracross the region to include alcohol, gambling and some foods. There was a broad consensus that although the vision was strong, more could have been achieved had greater attention been paid to the implementation barriers over the 20-year period. These barriers included the fragmented approach taken by development partners. Interviewees commented that even existing funds, such as Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunization(GAVI), the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuber- culosis andMalaria,andtheGates Foundationaretoofrequently off plan, off budget and have separate reporting arrangements, severely limiting their futuresustainability and the opportunity to strengthen local systems. In addition, barriers identified by participants included political upheaval, vertical programs driving system inefficiencies, lack of sustained momentum in programs, lack of sub-national health system development and local managementfailures, including the lack of adequate information systems and reporting. Discussion The review of the past 20 years of health developmentin Pacific island countries has found that despite improvements,gaps are increasing between health outcomes in the Pacific and those in the rest of the world. The region has a well-supported vision, Healthy Islands, butimplementationhas fallen short.Inadequate finances, workforce and fragmented implementation are the main implementationbarriers identified. Fromthe perspective of Pacific ministersandseniorofficials, the problemhas not been the lack of a clear vision, or the cross- sectoral approaches required,but the challenges of implementa- tion. Resourcing for health has been low for most countries, reflecting weak economic growth. Efficiency of health service provision does not differ markedly from global trends,although there is considerable variation within the region. The strategic frameworks developed by the Pacific and global leaders are unlikely to reverse the currenttrajectoryfor health in the Pacific unless the implementationmechanism,including resourcingthe health systems in the region, is strengthenedconsiderably. The prospects of economic growth closing the gap in health development between the Pacific and the rest of the world are slim. Economic growth is attracted to scale and concentration, and deterred by isolation and dispersal.17 The Pacific reality is small populations,isolated frommarketsandreliantonfiniteand diminishingcommodities,such as forests, fish, mineralsandgas. The island nationshave experienced considerable downsides to globalisation to date. Pacific food supplies have seen nutritious local food consumptionreplaced by low-quality importedfood, high in fat, salt and sugar. The numberof underweightchildren is increasing18 and water and sanitation coverage lags behind 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Cook Islands Fiji French Polynesia Kiribati Marshalls FSM Nauru New Caledonia Niue Northern Marianas Palau PNG Samoa Solomon Islands Tokelau Tonga Tuvalu Vanuatu Wallis Futuna Health worker ratio per 1000 Midwives Nurses Physicians Fig. 7. Pacific health workforce (doctors, nurses, midwives) per 1000 population in 2011. The dashedline indicatesthe WorldHealthOrganization(WHO)thresholdof healthworkers to meet MillenniumDevelopment Goals.8 Pacific island health inequities Australian Health Review 595
  • 7. therestof theworld. Deterioratingfood security remainsa major health challenge.19 The by-product of the rest of the world’s global economic growth, climate change, now threatens the existence of some Pacific island nations, and associated climate instability furthercurbs economic growth. What needs to change over the next 15 years? The global SDGs have now been set for 2030. These goals have madestronglinks between differentdimensionsof development. Health benefits are likely to accrue from attainmentof most of the goals. Of special significance to the Pacific is Goal 13: ‘Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts’.7 The Pacific ministers, 20 years earlier, had envisaged health as being intrinsically connectedto work, the learningenvironment, ecological balance and the protection of oceans. The SDGs also affirm a strong focus on equity. ‘No one left behind’ and ‘Universal Health Coverage’ (http://www.who.int/dg/speeches/ 2015/universal-health-coverage/en/, verified 13 October 2016) imply that there needs to be a system response that delivers on equity. Both Healthy Islands and the SDGs call for an integrated view of health development. The past has seen a disconnection between economic, environmental and social progress in the Pacific (as they have elsewhere). For example, tradeagreements have been largely negotiated without assessing their health and environmental effects on the Pacific peoples.20 An integrated view of healthdevelopmentneeds to be putintopracticeby both the countries themselves and the development partners. For much of the past 20 years, the bulk of the Pacific population’s health services had insufficient levels of financing and human resources to achieve global health goals. Island governments’ contributions to health have increased over the period and, for most countries, health is now predominantly governmentfunded.Given theeconomicheadwindsbeing faced, it is unlikely there will be sufficient growth in these economies to fund health services in the Pacific to the level that is required to meet the health SDGs, as happenedwith the MDGs. Ontheirown, many Pacific countriescannotafford universal health coverage. Given the global origins of many of the chal- lenges faced (NCDs, global warming), developed countries should take more responsibility in addressing health challenges in the Pacific. As indicated in Fig. 8, the level of overseas development assistance for most of the region’s largest donors21 (Australia, USA, New Zealand, Japan, Korea) is currentlybelow the Orga- nization for Economic Cooperationand Development (OECD) average of 0.29% of gross nationalincome,21 and well less than half of the 1970 UnitedNations commitmentto 0.7%. France is the only major Pacific island donor country that contributes above theOECD average. The commitmentto 0.7% has recently been refreshed at a meeting of small island developing states22 and as a central tool for meeting global development goals.23 Any move that major donors in the Pacific make towards 0.7% could substantially address the financingdeficit for health in the region. The numberof actors providing supportfor Pacific countries is increasing rapidly. There is a strong likelihood of further fragmentation, and resulting frustration,24 with the potential addition to the development architecture of the Green Climate Fund (www.greenclimate.fund, verified 15 February 2016), Asian InfrastructureInvestment Bank (www.aiib.org, verified 15 February 2016), the Global InfrastructureHub (www.globa- linfrastructurehub.org, verified 15 February 2016) , the New Development Bank (www.ndbbrics.org, verified 15 February 2016), the Asia Pacific Project PreparationFacility (www.adb. 0 Sweden Luxembourg Norway Denmark United Kindom Netherlands Finland Switzerland Belgium Cermany Ireland France DAC total New Zealand Australia Austria Canada Iceland Japan United States Portugal Italy Spain Korea Slovenia Czech Republic Creece Slovak Republic Poland ODA as percentage of GNI (2014) 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 Fig. 8. Overseas development assistance (ODA) as a percentage of gross national income (GNI). The dashedline indicatesthe 1970 UnitedNationscommitmentto 0.7% of developed countries’ gross national income to Official Development Assistance (Internationa l Development Strategy for the Second United Nations Development Decade”, UN General Assembly Resolution 2626 (XXV), 24 October 1970, paragraph43).22 596 Australian Health Review D. Matheson et al.
  • 8. org/documents/asia-paci fic-project-preparation-facility,verified 15 February 2016), the World Bank Group’s Global Infrastruc- ture Facility (www.worldbank.org/en/programs/global-Infra- structure-facility, verified 15 February 2016), Global Financing Facility in supportof Every Woman,Every Child (www.global- financingfacility.org, verified 15 February 2016), a Technology Facilitation Mechanism (www.sustainabledevelopment.un.org/ topics/technology/facilitationmechanism,verified 15 February 2016) and the Technology Bank for Least Developed Countries (www.unohrlls.org/technologybank,verified 15 February2016). This list is not exhaustive, because it omits the global growth of private philanthropicefforts. Pacific health leaders have iden- tified fragmentationof development efforts as a major impedi- ment to implementation over the past 20 years, so this latest wave of development modalities risks furtherexacerbating this problem, overwhelming local capacity and consequently failing to achieve health development goals. What is required is better coordination, and a focus on how development assistance in the Pacific can best meet the developmentneeds of these unique populations in this unique setting. This renewed interest in financing modalities is welcomed, but its effect will be limited unless aid effectiveness principles25 and cognizance of the Pacific context are applied from the start. The response to the health care worker deficit also requires a nuancedresponse to the different island contexts. PNG’s deficit requires a substantial boost to its local health training capacity. Currently,45 doctorsaretrainedinthecountryperyear (G. Mola, pers. comm.),andthisneeds toincrease to300 peryear if thereis to be any chance of meeting universal health coverage require- ments. Effective deployment of these doctors will also require resources for salaries, infrastructureand supplies. Other coun- tries, such as the Solomon Islands, will double their doctor numbers in the next 5 years by increasing the number trained outside the country, such as in Cuba.26 Their challenge is to build the necessary districtinfrastructureso thatthey can deploy these new graduates to areas where their skills are most needed. The NCD epidemic also calls for a response commensurate with the size of the disease threat, and the state of knowledge of effective interventions. The Pacific is already pioneering public health responses to NCDs27 that will have important lessons for therestof theworld. The currentpackage of essential NCD interventions for primary health care approach is an im- portant start, but much more is required in adapting chronic disease managementapproaches for Pacific island contexts. Conclusion The current trajectory for health in the Pacific will lead to increasing inequity with the rest of the world. The challenges to health in the region include persisting communicable disease and maternal and child health threats, unprecedentedlevels of NCDs, climate change and instability, as well as low economic growth. In orderto change the fortunesof this region in the age of the SDGs, a substantial investment in health is required, including in the health workforce, by countries and donors alike. That investment requires a nuanced response that takes into account the contextual differences between and within Pacific islands, adherence to aid effectiveness principles and interventions designed to strengthenlocal health systems. Competing interests The lead authoris a healthsystems consultantandtheco-authors work for the World Health Organisation and the Pacific Com- munity respectively. Acknowledgements This article uses some of the findings of The First 20 Years of the Journey towards the Vision of Healthy Islands in the Pacific, which was supported financiallyby theWorldHealthOrganization(WHO)andis available athttp:// iris.wpro.who.int/bitstrea m/10665.1/10928/3/9789290617150_eng.pdf, ver- ified 14 October2016], andThe State of HumanDevelopmentin the Pacific; A Report on Vulnerability and Exclusion in a Time of Rapid Change’, available at: http://www.unescap.org/resources/state-human-deve lopment- pacific-report-vulnerability-and-exclusion-time-rapid-change [verified 2 May 2015]. The authors thank Vivian Lin, who provided valuable commentar y at the drafting stage, and Junsoo Ro, who assisted with the compilation of indicators. 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