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Trends of the retail and FMCG market in Greece - April 2016
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Market View April 2016
1.
Market View Year 2015,
January – April 2016
2.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 2 Value Sales Trend: Super/Hyper Markets FMCG Metrics Super/Hyper Markets (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis real data) Channels Greece Mainland Crete Areas YR 2015 vs YR 2014 Jan-Apr 2016 vs Jan-Apr 2015 Periods Study ID Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). This publication contains IRI confidential information. Unless otherwise expressly permitted in writing, this information should not be released or disclosed to other third parties.
3.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 3 Stores with large selling spaces (over 2500 sqm) and even broader range of products Hypermarket Self-service retail stores with a central check-out area and at least 2 cash registers, offering a large variety of groceries as well as consumer durables and goods Supermarket Self-service retail stores carrying mainly groceries in limited range with emphasis on own label products and low prices Discounters Channels definitions
4.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 4 Greece economy RETAIL TURNOVER INDEX (w.o AUTOMOTIVE FUEL) INFLATION RATE TREND UNEMPLOYMENT - 4 .9 % - 7 .1 % - 5 .3 % - 1 .8 % - 0 .2 % - 6 .4 % 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 GDP 4.7% 3.3% -0.9% -1.3% -1.7% 1.5% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1 4 .8 % 2 1 .0 % 2 7 .5 % 2 6 .5 % 2 5 .0 % 2 6 .9 % 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 -1.2% -7.2% -8.6% -1.0% -1.0% -11.3% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Jan/Oct '15 vs. Jan/Oct '14 Source: ELSTAT Feb 2016 (latest available period/provisional data)
5.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 5 HM/SM VALUE SALES TREND YR 2013 YR 2014 YR 2015 YR 2013 YR 2014 YR 2015 -1.4% -2.1% Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data) In 2015 the negative sales trend is deccelarating compared to the previous years
6.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 6 HM/SM VALUE SALES TREND YTD 2014 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2014 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 -1.1% -5.7% Overall sales in YTD are declining Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016
7.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 7 TRENDS PER SHOP TYPE - YTD Medium sized Super Markets (400-1000 sq.m.) manage to reverse the negative trend in YTD 0-400 sqm 2500+ sqm 400-1000 sqm 1000-2500 sqm • % Value Contribution: 13,3% • Value sales trend: -17,7% • % Value Contribution: 9,1% • Value sales trend: -23,9% • % Value Contribution: 44,4% • Value sales trend: -1,6% • % Value Contribution: 33,2% • Value sales trend: 1,3% Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016
8.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 8 LIDL VALUE SALES TREND YTD 2014 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 Column 2YTD 2014 YTD 2015 YTD 2016 1.2% 9.0% Lidl sales are increasing in YTD Source: IRI Lidl estimation, YTD: Jan-Apr 2016
9.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 9 HM/SM SALES AND PRICE TREND Decline in consumption leads to price level upraise Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016 -1,4 -2,1 -5,7 0,6 -2,1 -9,0 -2,0 0,2 4,0 2014 2015 YTD 2016 Value Volume Price per Volume
10.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 10 HM/SM VALUE SALES TREND BY MONTH -0,4% -3,7% -0,6% -7,7% -1,4% -2,9% -6,9% -6,6% -4,1% -2,4% -3,1% -2,6% -4,2% 3,0% -2,7% -4,8% 4,1% 1,5%1,5% -3,3% -3,1% -3,4% -2,7% -2,5% 2,3% -4,4% 3,1% -6,3% -0,1% 5,5% -8,3% -0,5% -2,6% -3,9% -3,6% -7,5% -6,0% -8,3% -8,8% 2,0% Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data) April was the first month with a positive growth sign after the referendum due to Easter period
11.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 11 HM/SM UNIT SALES TREND BY MONTH 1,9% 0,8% 3,2% -2,5% -0,6%0,0% -5,6%-6,0% -2,3% -2,7% -1,8%-1,6% -3,1% -2,5% -3,2% 0,3% -2,6% 1,5% 3,2% -7,2% -5,5% -5,4% -6,4% -8,5% 2,0% -5,0% 1,4% -7,6% -0,8% 4,8% -9,3% -3,8% -6,7% -9,5% -7,8% -11,6% -11,2% -11,7% -13,5% -0,9% Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data) Despite Easter period, April is slightly negative in unit sales
12.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 12 HM/SM VALUE SALES TREND 2015 -2,0% -2,4% -2,1% FOOD HBA HOUSEHOLD YTD -6,1% -4,2% -3,2% FOOD HBA HOUSEHOLD Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016 All segments mark negative trends in YTD
13.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 13 HM/SM UNIT SALES TREND 2015 -4,4% -3,9% -2,4% FOOD HBA HOUSEHOLD YTD -10,6% -4,6% -6,8% FOOD HBA HOUSEHOLD Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016 Food categories are driving the loss in unit sales
14.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 14 Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data) Frozen and packaged foods were the only categories with a positive growth HM/SM VALUE SALES TREND 2015 -1,2% -3,7% -2,4% -2,4% 1,7% -0,3% -4,5% 1,1% -4,0% -2,0% -5,5% HOUSEHOLD CLEANERS & DETERGENTS OTHER HOUSEHOLD PRODUCTS PERSONAL CARE & BEAUTY PERSONAL HYGIENE PACKAGED FOOD SNACKS DAIRY FROZEN FOOD COOKING AIDS, INGREDIENTS & CONDIMENTS NON ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES ALCOHOL DRINKS
15.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 15 Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis data) Packaged foods were the only categories with a positive growth HM/SM UNIT SALES TREND 2015 -2,6% -2,2% -3,0% -4,8% 0,3% -5,5% -5,3% -2,4% -7,8% -4,3% -7,9% HOUSEHOLD CLEANERS & DETERGENTS OTHER HOUSEHOLD PRODUCTS PERSONAL CARE & BEAUTY PERSONAL HYGIENE PACKAGED FOOD SNACKS DAIRY FROZEN FOOD COOKING AIDS, INGREDIENTS & CONDIMENTS NON ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES ALCOHOL DRINKS
16.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 16 HM/SM VALUE SALES TREND YTD -2,8% -4,0% -1,6% -6,7% -5,6% -3,6% -9,4% -8,7% -2,1% -5,1% -9,7% HOUSEHOLD CLEANERS & DETERGENTS OTHER HOUSEHOLD PRODUCTS PERSONAL CARE & BEAUTY PERSONAL HYGIENE PACKAGED FOOD SNACKS DAIRY FROZEN FOOD COOKING AIDS, INGREDIENTS & CONDIMENTS NON ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES ALCOHOL DRINKS Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016 All categories decrease in value during the first 4 months of 2016
17.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 17 HM/SM UNIT SALES TREND YTD -3,8% -9,7% -0,5% -8,6% -10,0% -12,0% -11,3% -16,2% -10,3% -7,3% -12,1% HOUSEHOLD CLEANERS & DETERGENTS OTHER HOUSEHOLD PRODUCTS PERSONAL CARE & BEAUTY PERSONAL HYGIENE PACKAGED FOOD SNACKS DAIRY FROZEN FOOD COOKING AIDS, INGREDIENTS & CONDIMENTS NON ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES ALCOHOL DRINKS Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016 All categories decrease in units during the first 4 months of 2016
18.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 18 Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016 Winning and losing categories in YTD CATEGORIES WITH THE BIGGEST GROWTH IN VALUE CATEGORIES WITH THE BIGGEST DECLINE IN VALUE • Food supplements • Iron aids and water • Insecticides • Olives • Seasonal chocolates • Packaged sausages • Female razors and blades • Baby colognes • Baby food (jars, juices, biscuits) • Sun care products
19.
19 Evolution of Private
Labels IRI InfoScan
20.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 20 PL losing ground for the first time in 2015, marking the lowest share in YTD ’16 since 2012 PL IN SUPER/HYPER MARKETS, 2007-2016 Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016 Figures in grey brackets, indicate PL‘s value growth vs YA 5,9% 7,3% 8,6% 11,9% 16,1% 17,8% 18,3% 19,0% 18,0% 16,9% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 YTD 7.4% 0.8% 2.3% -7.0% -16.1% 34.5% 35.9% 19.1% 25.8%
21.
21 Leading barcodes IRI InfoScan
22.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 22 No 3 • Καραμολέγκος σταρένιο φόρμα 680γρ No 2 • Λουμίδης Παπαγάλος παραδοσιακός 200γρ No 1 in unit • Νερό Ζαγόρι 500ml Leading barcodes for April ‘16 in terms of value and unit sales No 3 • Νescafe classic 200γρ No 2 • Νescafe classic 100γρ No 1 in value • Λουμίδης Παπαγάλος παραδοσιακός 200γρ Top 3 barcodes contribute 0.88% of total FMCG value sales Top 3 barcodes contribute 1.07% of total FMCG sales in units Source: IRI InfoScan, HM/SM (including Key Retailers, smaller Retailers and Sklavenitis), YTD: Jan-Apr 2016
23.
23 Top manufacturers’ performance IRI
InfoScan
24.
Copyright © 2015 Information
Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 24 VALUE SALES TREND 2015 AND YTD -5,7% -2,4%-2,9% -12,1% -2,5% -6,6%-7,2% -15,7% -4,1% 8,0% 11,1% -0,8% -7,6% -0,5% 1,0% -8,5% -1,4%-0,3% -7,4% -14,6% 1,9% -15,1% -4,1% -6,2% 7,8% 9,4% TOTALMARKET UNILEVER P&G DELTA-B.STATHIS NESTLE-PURINA CCHBC FRIESLAND OLYMPOS MONDELEZ PAPADOPOULOU MEGA COLGATE-PALMOLIVE FAGE ELBISCO SARANTIS HENKEL ATHENEAN RECKIT MINERVA BOLTON ION SCA TASTY PEPSICO GIOTIS KARAMOLEGOS YTD -2,1% -2,4% -6,8% -3,6% -2,2% -2,0% -5,4% -0,5% -1,0% 4,3% 20,5% 1,1% -10,0% 4,8% -5,8% 1,8% 1,4% -3,8% -2,4% 7,3% 1,9% -17,1% -0,6% -12,0% 5,6% 6,4% Key manufacturers Figures in blue indicate the trend for 2015 Source: IRI InfoScan, Ranked based on value sales 2015, YTD: Jan-Apr 2016 General Mills 2015 vs 2014 +2.7% YTD Jan – Apr +3.5%
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Resources, Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary. 25 IRI CONTACTS FOR MORE INFORMATION Simos Triandafillakis Simos.Triandafillakis@IRIworldwide.com (+30) 2102787678 ABOUT IRI IRI is a leader in delivering powerful market and shopper information, predictive analysis and the foresight that leads to action. We go beyond the data to ignite extraordinary growth for our clients in the CPG, retail and over-the-counter healthcare industries by pinpointing what matters and illuminating how it can impact their businesses across sales and marketing. Move your business forward at IRIworldwide.com and/or IRIworldwide.gr Greek Office 31 Spartis Street, 144 52 Metamorfosi, Athens, GR (+30) 210 27 87 600 Copyright © 2016 Information Resources, Inc. (IRI). This publication contains IRI confidential information. Unless otherwise expressly permitted in writing, this information should not be released or disclosed to other third parties.
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