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Indian Railways - Transitioning to
Predictive Maintenance
Anirudh Gautam, Amit Srivastava, Arvind Srivastava, Naresh Kr Meena, Avadh Bihari
Resource & Testing Vertical
Research Designs & Standards Organisation
Ministry of Railways – Lucknow
1
Objectives of IR
• Reduce travel time by half at least
• Increase carrying capacity of goods trains
• On demand passenger trains
• Incorporate road flexibility for goods transport
• Increase availability of assets
• High safety for passengers and goods
• Shift2rail (Europe)
• Export rolling stock, signaling system
2
IR – Large Inventory of assets
3
IR Finance (2020-2021, Rs. Crore)
• Goods Earning - 115738.38
• Passenger Earning - 15248.49
TOTAL Earning - 130986.87
• Repairs and Maintenance of Permanent Way and Works - 5,766.34
• Repairs and Maintenance of Motive Power - 5,719.89
• Repairs and Maintenance of Carriages and Wagons - 15,670.86
• Repairs and Maintenance of Plant and Equipment - 8,157.82
• TOTAL Repairs and Maintenance - 45314.91
PERCENTAGE of Repairs and Maintenance of total Earning : 34.60%
Target should be less than 20%
4
How to achieve these objectives?
• Adoption of structured RAMS (Reliability, Availability,
Maintainability, and Safety) as per International Standards
(EN 50126)
• Adoption of structured PHM (Prognostics & Health
Management of assets as per International Standards (ISO
17359, ISO 13374, ISO 17359, Diagnostics: ISO 13379-1
Prognostics: ISO 13381-1)
• Asset Management as per ISO 55000
5
RAMS
• Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety
• Reliability – Probability that a component or system will perform its
required function for a given period of time under stated operating and
environmental conditions
• Availability – Probability that a repairable system or system element is
operational at a given point in time under a given set of environmental
conditions
• Maintainability - Probability that a failed component or system will be
restored or repaired to a specified condition within a specified period or
time when maintenance is performed in accordance with prescribed
procedures
• Safety – Ability not to harm people, the environment or any assets during
the whole life-cycle
6
Life-cycle approach of RAMS
7
PHM
• Prognostics & Health Management - permits the evaluation of a
system’s reliability in its actual life-cycle conditions.
• Prognostics - is the process of monitoring the health of a product and
predicting its remaining useful life (RUL) by assessing the extent of
deviation or degradation from its expected state of health in its
expected usage conditions.
• Health Management - utilizes prognostic information to make
decisions related to safety, condition-based maintenance, ensuring
adequate inventory, and product life extension.
8
PHM system development process
9
System Architecture using IoT
10
PHM Cycle
11
An example – System modeling of a hydraulic lifter
12
Example – Failure diagram of Power System
13
Expected benefits
• Reduction of maintenance expenditure to Rs.20 thousand Cr
per year from existing Rs. 45 thousand per year
• Increase in availability of assets to 97-98% (International
practice)
• Zero accidents
• Zero train failures due to reliability problems
14
Action Plan
• Integrated Quality Control – Design, Manufacturing, Maintenance & Operation
• Adoption of International standards for Assets procurement using 16-step vendor
development procedure, based on life cycle costs and not upfront cost (Need of the hour,
see next slide on right price)
• Proof of concept project – Two Vande Bharat trains
• Pilot project (Rs. 400 Cr sanctioned by railway board)
• 100 WAP7
• 50 Vande Bharat
• 125 BCN Wagons
• 100 LHB Coaches
• Bridges monitoring pilots running
• Track monitoring pilot running
• After successful implementation of pilot, wide-scale implementation on all rolling stock
and infrastructure
• Cost of implementation on IR – Rs. 10 to 15 thousand Crore (rough estimate)
15
What is Right price?
• “There is hardly anything in this world that some man
cannot make a little worse and sell a little cheaper, and the
people who consider price only are this man’s lawful prey.”
-John Ruskin
• “You need to be rich to buy cheap products. Why? Because
you eventually have to buy twice to have the job done
properly.”
-Anonymous
16
Namaste
17

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DR Anirudh Gautam ( RAMS ).pptx

  • 1. Indian Railways - Transitioning to Predictive Maintenance Anirudh Gautam, Amit Srivastava, Arvind Srivastava, Naresh Kr Meena, Avadh Bihari Resource & Testing Vertical Research Designs & Standards Organisation Ministry of Railways – Lucknow 1
  • 2. Objectives of IR • Reduce travel time by half at least • Increase carrying capacity of goods trains • On demand passenger trains • Incorporate road flexibility for goods transport • Increase availability of assets • High safety for passengers and goods • Shift2rail (Europe) • Export rolling stock, signaling system 2
  • 3. IR – Large Inventory of assets 3
  • 4. IR Finance (2020-2021, Rs. Crore) • Goods Earning - 115738.38 • Passenger Earning - 15248.49 TOTAL Earning - 130986.87 • Repairs and Maintenance of Permanent Way and Works - 5,766.34 • Repairs and Maintenance of Motive Power - 5,719.89 • Repairs and Maintenance of Carriages and Wagons - 15,670.86 • Repairs and Maintenance of Plant and Equipment - 8,157.82 • TOTAL Repairs and Maintenance - 45314.91 PERCENTAGE of Repairs and Maintenance of total Earning : 34.60% Target should be less than 20% 4
  • 5. How to achieve these objectives? • Adoption of structured RAMS (Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, and Safety) as per International Standards (EN 50126) • Adoption of structured PHM (Prognostics & Health Management of assets as per International Standards (ISO 17359, ISO 13374, ISO 17359, Diagnostics: ISO 13379-1 Prognostics: ISO 13381-1) • Asset Management as per ISO 55000 5
  • 6. RAMS • Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety • Reliability – Probability that a component or system will perform its required function for a given period of time under stated operating and environmental conditions • Availability – Probability that a repairable system or system element is operational at a given point in time under a given set of environmental conditions • Maintainability - Probability that a failed component or system will be restored or repaired to a specified condition within a specified period or time when maintenance is performed in accordance with prescribed procedures • Safety – Ability not to harm people, the environment or any assets during the whole life-cycle 6
  • 8. PHM • Prognostics & Health Management - permits the evaluation of a system’s reliability in its actual life-cycle conditions. • Prognostics - is the process of monitoring the health of a product and predicting its remaining useful life (RUL) by assessing the extent of deviation or degradation from its expected state of health in its expected usage conditions. • Health Management - utilizes prognostic information to make decisions related to safety, condition-based maintenance, ensuring adequate inventory, and product life extension. 8
  • 12. An example – System modeling of a hydraulic lifter 12
  • 13. Example – Failure diagram of Power System 13
  • 14. Expected benefits • Reduction of maintenance expenditure to Rs.20 thousand Cr per year from existing Rs. 45 thousand per year • Increase in availability of assets to 97-98% (International practice) • Zero accidents • Zero train failures due to reliability problems 14
  • 15. Action Plan • Integrated Quality Control – Design, Manufacturing, Maintenance & Operation • Adoption of International standards for Assets procurement using 16-step vendor development procedure, based on life cycle costs and not upfront cost (Need of the hour, see next slide on right price) • Proof of concept project – Two Vande Bharat trains • Pilot project (Rs. 400 Cr sanctioned by railway board) • 100 WAP7 • 50 Vande Bharat • 125 BCN Wagons • 100 LHB Coaches • Bridges monitoring pilots running • Track monitoring pilot running • After successful implementation of pilot, wide-scale implementation on all rolling stock and infrastructure • Cost of implementation on IR – Rs. 10 to 15 thousand Crore (rough estimate) 15
  • 16. What is Right price? • “There is hardly anything in this world that some man cannot make a little worse and sell a little cheaper, and the people who consider price only are this man’s lawful prey.” -John Ruskin • “You need to be rich to buy cheap products. Why? Because you eventually have to buy twice to have the job done properly.” -Anonymous 16