1. Can our Economies grow
when our
Demographics change?
Björn Schwentker
mail@bjoernschwentker.de

2. Yes.

3. Growth?
Netherlands:
770,000 Mio US$
Germany:
2,800,000 Mio US$
(Gross Domestic Product, GDP)

4. Growth?
Netherlands:
46,300 US$
Germany:
40,400 US$
(GDP per capita)

5. Change?
%
??
Source: Sanderson & Sergei Scherbov, Nature 2005

6. New Question
How do we want to live?
How do we achieve this?

7. Wealth!
Increase GNP per capita (Germany)
%
Source: Axel Börsch-Supan, MEA

8. Ja
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
p
an
U
S
S A
w
ed
en
Ir
la
n
d
N
et
h U
er K
la
n
d
A s
u
st
G r
er ia
m
an
Fr y
an
ce
It
al
y
S
p
ai
G n
re
ec
E e
st
o
n
ia
P
2009 to 2025: Increase real GDP per capita
o
la
n
d
Source: Prognos 2009

9. (Un)Employment
Source: Prognos 2009

11. What Vision?

12. Everything
changes
-
Fortunately!