Review and analysis of the highlights from the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in Las Vegas and the North American International Auto Show (NAIAS) in Detroit
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Introductions
2016 Consumer Electronics Show
BMW
• 2016 BMW i Vision Future Interaction concept
Faraday Future
• 2016 Faraday Future FFZero1 concept
Fiat Chrysler
• 2016 Uconnect 12.1
General Motors
• 2017 Chevrolet Bolt
Hyundai/Kia
• 2016 Kia Soul
Toyota
• 2016 Toyota innovations
Volkswagen
• 2016 Audi Interior concept
• 2016 Volkswagen Budd-e concept
2016 North American International Auto Show
Daimler
• 2016 Mercedes-Benz E-Class
Fiat Chrysler
• 2017 Chrysler Pacifica
Ford
• 2017 Lincoln Continental
Geely
• 2017 Volvo S90
General Motors
• 2016 Buick Avista concept
• 2017 GMC Acadia
Honda
• 2017 Acura Precision Concept
• 2017 Honda Ridgeline
Hyundai/Kia
• 2017 Genesis G90
• 2017 Kia Forte
• 2016 Kia Telluride concept
Nissan
• 2016 Infiniti Q60
• 2017 Nissan Titan Warrior concept
Toyota
• 2017 Lexus LC
• 2016 Lexus LF-FC
Volkswagen
• 2017 Audi A4 allroad
• 2016 Audi h-tron
• 2016 Volkswagen Tiguan GTE Active concept
Introductions
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Briefly
Styling updates & Special Editions
BMW
•BMW M2 Coupe
•New Trim Level
•BMW X4 M40i
•New Engine
Daimler
•Mercedes-Benz SLC
•Facelift and new name
•Mercedes-AMG S65
•New Trim Level
Ford
•Ford Fusion
•Facelift
General Motors
•Buick Envision
•North American debut
•Chevrolet Cruze Hatchback
•New Body Style
Nissan
•Infiniti Q50
•New engines
VLF
•The Force 1
•World debut
Volkswagen
•Porsche 911 Turbo/Turbo S
•New Trim Level
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January2016:AutoShowReview
CES is the new NAIAS?
Detroit officially became the “North American
International Auto Show” (NAIAS) about a
quarter century ago. Raising its prominence in
the global auto show rankings, Detroit took the
front row along with the top European and
Asian shows. Some automakers, however,
don’t see Detroit as a “must-attend” event.
This year, Bentley, Jaguar-Land Rover, Mini
and Tesla decided to not show its wares in the
Motor City. Their claim was each brand is
between major launches, but that’s not quite
the case. Bentley has the new Bentayga SUV,
Jaguar has the F-Pace crossover, and Tesla
has the new Model X, none of which have
appeared in Detroit. Could it be that Detroit is
losing its luster? It’s possible, and there are
several reasons why this could be the case.
First, there’s the weather. It may be a tired
argument, but the North American International
Auto Show is held two weeks into winter…in
Detroit; a city not known for tropical weather in
January. Attendees have slogged through a foot
or two of snow while trying to park a few blocks
away. On the plus side, it’s warm enough inside
to make you forget the adventure that awaits
after the show as patrons slide through the
slush on Washington Boulevard hunting for
their ride home.
Second, Detroit is no longer the center of the
automotive universe. One hundred years ago,
more than half of the world’s motor vehicles
were produced by companies headquartered in
and around Detroit. In recent years, the “Big 3”
car companies have been renamed by some
media as the “Detroit 3”, pointing out how GM,
Ford, and the former Chrysler Corporation have
slipped from the globe’s 1-2-3 to 5-6-8 with
manufacturers in Japan, Germany, and South
Korea well ahead of the former “Big 3”.
Third, there’s the competition. After the Los
Angeles show moved to November, Detroit was
all alone at the beginning of the year. LA’s
importance has grown over the years as more
and more companies look to Southern
California for its cultural importance. But the
bigger issue is with the Consumer Electronics
Show in Las Vegas the week before NAIAS,
where the technology featured in modern cars
are showcased to the electronics industry and
the world. Detroit’s taking a back seat.
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NorthAmerican Car of theYear
2016 Honda Civic
After Honda’s mis-step with the 9th
generation model, the company stepped up
and created the all-new 10th generation and
the voters loved it. Beating out all-new
models from Chevrolet and Mazda, the Civic
returns with a coupe and sedan featuring the
first turbocharged engine in the model’s
history. Radical styling and new features
make the Civic this year’s winner.
2016 Chevrolet Malibu 2016 Mazda MX-5
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Sporting three versions of Volvo’s new
four-cylinder engine (in turbo, supercharged-
turbo, and hybrid versions), the second-
generation full-sized crossover beat out
excellent restylings of Honda’s big CUV and
Nissan’s full-sized pickup. With three rows of
seating, the XC90 takes its Swedish roots to
heart and embraces it fully (leading off with
“Thor’s hammer” headlights).
NorthAmerican Truck of the Year
2016 Volvo XC90
2016 Honda Pilot 2016 Nissan Titan XD
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BMW
2016 BMW i VisionFutureInteraction
• Based on the BMW i8 Concept
Spyder, the i Vision Future
Interaction showcases many of
the ways BMW wants to make
technology “disappear”
• Introduced on the latest BMW
7-Series, AirTouch “gesture
control” allows the driver to
manipulate various features of
the car by moving hands near
the infotainment system
• Three driving modes can be chosen including Pure Drive (where the
driver has total control), Assist (where the driver gains electronic
assistance from the car), and Auto (where the vehicle runs without human
interaction and even retracts controls from the driver)
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Daimler
2016 Mercedes-Benz E-Class
• Four-cylinder gas engines in
241hp turbocharged and 275hp
plug-in hybrid versions initially
but a new inline six cylinder
engine family as well as the new
OM654 diesel engines are
expected to follow
• New styling at the front of the
sedan features new multi-beam
headlights sporting 84 LED units
to precisely illuminate the way
• Mercedes-Benz’ slightly longer (+1.7 inches) mid-sized offering rides on
a 2.6-inch longer wheelbase and sports all of the latest technology
• Starting with the aluminum-intensive structure that lower’s the car’s
weight significantly
• Inside, two high-definition digital displays showcase all of the important
driver’s information across half of the instrument panel
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FaradayFuture
2016 Faraday FutureFFZero1concept
• CES was the perfect back drop
for a technology introduction
from the secretive Faraday
Future venture
• Financiers for the new
company are from China and
key players in the company have
been selected from veterans of
Tesla, BMW, and other big EV
players
• The concept will not represent
the production models
• FFZero1 showcases some of the technologies planned for the lineup of
Faraday Future models
• FF models will be fully electric with Tesla-rivaling performance and range
• The company has announced the investment of US$1 billion in a new
Nevada-based assembly plant for a range of cars and crossovers
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FiatChrysler
2016 Uconnect 12.1
• The latest generation of the company’s Uconnect system adds the
availability of Apple CarPlay and Android Auto and is offered on a number
of 2016 models throughout the Fiat Chrysler lineup
• Improvements allow the system to have a quicker start-up time and
increases the resolution and brightness of the more responsive touch
screens
• Showing what’s in the wings, FCA demonstrated new technologies
featuring:
• Predictive technology which will learn the driver’s daily routine and keep the driver
informed of updates and changes
• Vehicle-to-X communication will allow the car to connect with other vehicles as well
as items along the roadside
• Workload manager where the vehicle reacts to the driver’s need to concentrate on
driving, eliminating unnecessary distractions
• Privacy mode can move personal information to the instrument cluster instead of the
center screen when a passenger is present
• Intelligent concierge learns the driver’s preferences and may suggest information in
anticipation of the driver’s needs
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FiatChrysler
2017 Chrysler Pacifica
• Replaces the Chrysler Town &
Country (and Dodge Grand
Caravan) with an all-new
minivan and platform
• Sharing nothing but its 3.6L V6
with the ‘16 Town & Country, the
new model is as close as
possible to “all-new”
• Exterior styling blends the utility of a boxy minivan with the sportiness of
a crossover
• Inside, Chrysler’s Stow ‘n Go seating package adds automatically
retracting front seats and improved stowing mechanics for easier use
• In addition to the standard V6 and nine-speed automatic drivetrain, the
Pacifica has an optional plug-in hybrid system (filling the Stow ‘n Go area)
that promises up to 80 mpg
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Ford
2017 LincolnContinental
• Introduced as a concept at last
year’s New York Auto Show, the
‘17 Continental keeps many of
the styling cues found on the
original showcar
• The production version will
offer three states of V6 power
including the standard 3.7L, the
2.7L EcoBoost twin-turbo, and
the new 3.0L twin-turbo 400hp
engine, powering the front or all
four wheels
• Driver and front passenger are treated to “30-way” seats featuring
adjustments for each leg
• Third-generation Sync system improves on the hands-free control of
many of the car’s features
• High-end Revel sound system sports 19 speakers and 3 sound modes
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Geely
2017 VolvoS90
• Following the new XC90
crossover, the S90 is the second
model to use Volvo’s new SPA
(Scalable Product Architecture)
platform which will become the
basis for all next-generation
Volvos
• Long and low, the S90 has an
almost rear-wheel drive
silhouette, stretching the new
platform to its theoretical limit
• Like the XC90, the S90 will be offered with three 2.0L four-cylinder
powertrain options including the 240hp T5 turbo, 302hp T6
turbo/supercharged version, and the 410hp T8 turbo/supercharged hybrid,
all mated to an 8-speed automatic transaxle powering the front or all four
wheels
• Electronic do-dads galore enhance the classic safety image of Volvo
including the semi-autonomous Pilot Assist system
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GeneralMotors
2016 Buick Avista concept
• Purely a styling concept, the
Avista gives many Buick fans
hope that a new Riviera might be
in the brand’s future
• Based on a rear-wheel drive
platform that can only be
assumed to be GM’s Alpha, the
long and low coupe displays an
athletic silhouette unlike any
recent Buick, production or
concept
• Buick described the powerplant as a 400hp 3.0L V6 mated to an eight-
speed automatic transmission powering the rear wheels
• The Avista’s modern interior allows for seating for four and features a
fully digital instrument panel
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GeneralMotors
2017 ChevroletBolt
• Introduced as a concept at the
2014 Detroit Auto Show, this is
the final production version,
expected to go on sale in the
fourth quarter of 2016
• Instead of the airy subcompact
box shown as the concept, the
production version looks more
like a small crossover with a
much sportier design
• As promised, the all-electric Bolt will be priced around $37,500, before
incentives, and feature a 200-mile range
• GM claims an unprecedented $145/kWh LG Chem battery pack, beating
prices promised by even Tesla’s next-generation batteries
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GeneralMotors
2017 GMC Acadia
• Positioned below the current
model, the ‘17 Acadia loses
length, height, and width along
with 700lbs of weight placing it
between the compact GMC
Terrain and larger Buick Enclave
• Five-seats are standard while
an optional third row makes
seating for seven possible
• In addition to the carry-over 3.6L V6 engine, standard power comes from
the start/stop-equipped 2.5L four-cylinder which improves fuel economy
substantially; gear changing is accomplished by a six-speed automatic unit
• New active safety includes front pedestrian braking, following distance
indicator, Intellibeam automatic high-beam headlights, Surround Vision
cameras, and Safety Alert Seat
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Honda
2016 Acura Precision Concept
• One of the most distinctive
introductions at the show, the
Precision Concept shows the
way for the new Acura design
language as the brand tries to
break from its traditionally
conservative styling
• A new “Diamond Pentagon”
grille is expected to become the
trademark look for future sedans
and coupes in the lineup
• The concept’s intricate exterior curves hide a modern and clean interior
with a nearly rectangular steering wheel and a significant lack of buttons
and switches supported by a wide infotainment screen
• Designed for purely stylistic reasons, the concept was shown without a
powertrain but is built around a long and wide platform with the front
wheels hinting at rear-wheel drive proportions
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Honda
2017 Honda Ridgeline
• Based on the latest Honda
Pilot, the second-generation
Ridgeline takes a more truck-like
direction than the first generation
• Offered with all-wheel drive or,
for the first time, front-wheel
drive, the new pickup may
appeal to a wider audience
• Dropping the earlier model’s sail panels around the bed, the 2017
Ridgeline features a cargo box which looks more like a traditional pickup
although the bed is not separated from the cabin; the tailgate both lowers
and swings to the side and reveals the in-floor lockable storage
• Power comes from the Pilot’s 280hp 3.5L V6 engine pushed through a 6-
speed automatic transaxle and available with Honda’s i-VTM4 all-wheel
drive
• Payload capacity of around 1,600lbs has been promised making it
compatible with other mid-sized pickups
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Hyundai/Kia
2017 Genesis G90
• Replacing the Hyundai Equus
and doubling the new Genesis
brand’s lineup is the full-sized
G90 sedan
• Rear-wheel drive is standard
while all-wheel drive is optional
with a choice of Hyundai’s 3.8L
V6, twin-turbo 3.3L V6 or 5.0L
V8 engines joined to an 8-speed
automatic
• In order to compete with the “big boys” from Germany, the G90
showcases all of the latest technological wonders including a 12.3-inch
high-def screen in the center console to harness the megapixel camera
and 360-degree monitoring system
• Of course, all of the semi-autonomous features such as dynamic cruise
control, blind spot alert system, and active lane assist are offered
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Hyundai/Kia
2017 Kia Forte
• Kia’s popular Forte compact is
heading into the new model year
with a modest styling revision
including a more prominent
version of the brand’s “tiger
nose” grille
• Under the hood, a new
Atkinson cycle 2.0L four-cylinder
replaces the 1.8L engine with a
choice of manual or automatic 6-
speed transaxles; a 1.6L turbo
and 7-speed DCT will be
available
• Production of the Forte christens the company’s second North American
plant in Monterrey, Mexico
• Two versions, four-door sedan and four-door hatchback, were introduced
at the Detroit show, but a replacement for the two-door Forte Koup will
follow
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Hyundai/Kia
2016 Kia Soul
• Kia used the Consumer
Electronics Show to debut its
new “Drive Wise” sub brand for
its electronic driving aids and
demonstrated some on its Kia
Soul
• Drive Wise is promised to lead
Kia to partial autonomy by 2020
and full autonomy a decade later
• I-Cockpit combines gesture and touchpad control to adjust the sound
system and climate control to the driver’s preferences
• Highway Autonomous Driving allows the car to assist lane changes and
passing on the open road
• Preceding Vehicle Following system which takes autonomy to the next
level
• Emergency Stop System helps get the driver to safety if they stop
watching the road for too long
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Hyundai/Kia
2016 Kia Tellurideconcept
• Based on the mid-sized
Sorento, the Telluride hints at a
larger production crossover to
replace the ill-fated Borrego
• Riding on a wheelbase nearly a
foot longer than the Sorento, the
Telluride’s big features hide the
fact that it’s a very large (9.5
inches longer than the 7-
passenger Sorento) sport utility
• The concept’s modern interior sports four bucket seats as well as a fold
away third row
• Hybrid power mating a 130hp electric motor and the 270hp 3.5L V6
engine powers all four wheels but returns a claimed 30 mpg
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Nissan
2016 InfinitiQ60
• Replacing the aged Q60
(formerly G37) coupe, the new
Infiniti Q60 takes on some clean
lines to attack BMW
• The new coupe wraps those
new duds around a body that’s
within an inch of most
dimensions of the coupe it
replaces
• Gone is the old 3.7L V6 replaced by the 2.0L turbocharged four-cylinder
shared with Mercedes-Benz as well as the new 3.0L twin-turbo V6 engine
in two states of tune: 300hp or 400hp
• A seven-speed automatic transmission is standard with electronic
Dynamic Digital Suspension, and all-wheel drive
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Nissan
2016 Nissan Titan Warrior concept
• As part of the on-going
marketing effort to establish the
Titan in the full-sized pickup
market, Nissan rolled out this
hard-core concept
• Huge 37-inch tires and a
modified suspension raise the
Warrior 3 inches higher than the
standard Titan XD and spread it
6 inches wider
• Under the hood sits the same 5.0L turbocharged diesel Cummins V8 and
6-speed automatic found in the production Titan XD
• To enhance the rugged look of the Warrior, the concept wears an
integrated skid plate up front, a unique grille, glossy fender flares, LED
headlights and driving lights, and a roof-mounted spoiler
• Black cloth and leather interior sports orange trim with an aluminum-
spoked steering wheel and additional gauges
• Production is doubtful, but the Ford F150 Raptor is the obvious target
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Toyota
2017 Lexus LC
• Lexus’ latest flagship model
comes in the form of a luxury
coupe
• Based on the architecture that
will underpin a number of new
rear-drive models, the LC is
positioned above the LS sedan
but well below the exotic LF-A
• Inspired by the LF-LC concept,
the LC500 won rave reviews for
its long and low styling and
presence
• Using the same 5.0L 467hp V8 found in the Lexus IS-F sports sedan, the
LC500 can hit 60 mph in less than 4.5 seconds
• Production is expected to begin later this year
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Toyota
2016 Lexus LF-FC concept
• Just a styling concept, LF-FC
points toward the next design
direction for the Lexus brand
and, more specifically, the next
generation LS sedan
• Styled in the popular “4-door
coupe” theme with its fast
sloping rear windshield, LF-FC
stretches nearly 209 inches long
and 78.7 inches wide while
standing just 55.6 inches high
• A rear-mounted fuel cell stack powers the rear wheels as well as front in-
wheel motors creating a zero emission all-wheel drive driveline
• Interior controls are changed with hand gestures “without the need to
touch a panel or controls”
• Of course the concept has autonomous technology to anticipate traffic
and keep the car relatively accident-free
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Toyota
2016 Toyota innovations
• Toyota Smart Center organizes the needs of multiple drivers to help them
find answers to their transportation needs by connecting “people, vehicles
and communities”
• With autonomous vehicles predicted to be right around the corner,
improved mapping will be in demand
• Toyota’s answer to the world’s ever-changing network of roadways is for the
vehicles themselves to map the roads
• Using the vehicle’s cameras and sensors, the system will constantly map the
road and relay the information to a central data center
• Toyota’s Mobility Teammate Concept demonstrates the company’s plan to
automate driving by connecting vehicles with people and other vehicles in
order to make driving safer and more enjoyable
• The company’s promise with its full suite of technologies is that “next
generation connected and automated vehicles will optimize their own
operational capabilities and deliver comfort, convenience and joy to
passengers – and they’ll be arriving sooner than you think”
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Toyota
2016 Toyota/Kymetaconcept
• Toyota joined with Kymeta to
create a “truly connected car”
• Based on the Murai, the
concept showcases the satellite
communication technology
offered by the Redmond,
Washington-based Kymeta
created
• Satellite technology improves
the connectivity by increasing
the bandwidth and speed of the
connection
• Improved connectivity through satellites will increase the car’s ability to
enhance navigation, infotainment, and even software updates
• Kymeta promises that their 50 satellites are in operation currently and
are ready to be harnessed through their mobile antennae this year
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Volkswagen
2017 Audi A4 allroad
• With a range of wagons (A4,
A6) and crossovers (Q3, Q5,
Q7), Audi introduced their latest
in the allroad line that is neither
wagon nor crossover
• Based on the A4 wagon, the
allroad features a 0.9-inch taller
stance and 1.3 inches more
ground clearance and an
“offroad” model
• Styling is enhanced with fender
flares and large wheels
• Even though Audi (and VW) is waiting for final approvals, the brand
announced powertrains for the A4 allroad would include a 150hp
turbodiesel engine in addition to the 272hp gas engine mated to a six-
speed manual, seven-speed “S tronic” or eight-speed “tiptronic” transaxles
powering all four wheels
• Sales begin in the summer of 2016
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Volkswagen
2016 Audi Interiorconcept
• New AMOLED (active-matrix
organic light emitting diode)
screens provide a virtual display
for the driver and passengers
• A 14.1-inch screen spreads
across the instrument panel in
front of the driver with a second
touch screen in the center
console controlled by Audi’s MMI
(multi-media interface)
• Audi’s MIB2+ modular infotainment platform combines touch and gesture
control for easy adaptation from other consumer electronic hardware
• LTE Advanced communications allows for better voice recognition and
use of VoLTE (voice over LTE) technology for more reliable phone calls
with improved sound quality
• Navigation showcases the HERE mapping, the joint venture between
Audi, BMW, and Daimler
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Volkswagen
2016 Audi h-tronconcept
• As Audi prepares for its new
generation of battery electric
models, called “e-tron”, the
brand previewed the new EV
with the even more futuristic fuel
cell model
• The h-tron Quattro uses a
121hp electric motor at the front
and a 188hp motor in the rear to
move the h-tron from a stop to
100 km/h in just seven seconds
• A hydrogen refuel takes just a few minutes and allows the h-tron to travel
as much as 370 miles on one tank, with the aid of lithium-ion batteries
• Among the car’s most interesting features are the 330 individual cells in
the fuel cell stack, the 132lb battery pack under the floor, the solar panels
to generate electricity to recharge the batteries, and the hideaway rear-
sideview cameras which replace normal sideview mirrors
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Volkswagen
2016 Volkswagen BUDD-e concept
• With so much being said about
VW’s diesel troubles, the
company used CES to show off
its latest zero emission concept
• Subtly hinting at the VW Bus,
the BUDD-e is a small people
carrier sporting sliding rear-
passenger doors and front-wheel
drive
• Measuring just over 15-feet long, the little BUDD-e is longer than the
first-generation Type 2 “Bus”
• Power comes from a 101-kWh lithium ion battery pack providing a 233-
mile range through electric motors front and rear giving a top speed of 93
mph; promised recharging time includes 80% charge in just 15 minutes
• The concept introduces Volkswagen’s new MEB (Modularer Elektrischer
Baukasten) platform placing the batteries under the floor, which will be the
basis of future electric production models
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Volkswagen
2016 Volkswagen Tiguan GTE Active
• Foreshadowing the next-
generation compact crossover,
the Tiguan GTE Active concept
shows that Volkswagen has the
ability to design a stylish vehicle
• Large c-shaped LED driving
lights and an aluminum skid
plate punctuate the styling of the
concept, highlighting its rugged
image
• With the diesel spectre still haunting VW, the Tiguan GTE Active mates a
148hp four-cylinder and 6-speed DSG transaxle with a 12.4 kWh battery
creating 221hp hybrid; front wheels are powered by the gas engine while
the rear are electrically motivated
• Remove the roof-mounted lights, over-sized fender flares, and big tires,
the concept hides the new MQB-based Tiguan, entering production in
Mexico in the spring
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AutoForecast Solutions LLC
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enhance our combined global solution. With breakthrough innovations, the
combination of these two proven companies provides valuable insight, expertise, and
decision support to vehicle manufacturers, suppliers, financial institutions and the
academic community.
Together, our two companies bring the WardsAuto/AFS Forecast & Planning Solutions
to the global automotive community.
The following slides contain a sample of the data provided to AFS customers as part of
their subscription-based service
Please feel free to contact us to see how we can support your automotive
forecasting and business planning needs
855.734.4590 x1001
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AutoForecast Solutions
35
Global LV Production
(2009 – 2022)
0
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Middle-East/Africa
Asia-Pacific
Eastern Europe
Western Europe
South America
North America
Region 2015 (Mil) 2022 (Mil) 2022 VS. 2015 Growth 2022 vs. 2009 CAGR 2022 vs. 2015 CAGR
NA 17.5 19.2 10.0% 6.4% 1.4%
SA 3.1 4.1 32.4% 0.8% 4.1%
WE 14.2 14.8 3.9% 1.7% 0.5%
EE 6.82 8.2 21.7% 4.0% 2.8%
AP 45.5 57.4 26.1% 5.4% 3.4%
ME/A 2.2 2.8 25.0% 3.6% 3.2%
TOTAL 89.3 106.5 19.3% 4.5% 2.6%
Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – January 2016
2022 = 106.5 Million
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RegionalPowertrainForecast
byPackageTypeandVehicleRegionApplication
Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – Jan 2016
Powertrain Package Type - All Region
Summary 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
EL Only 259,842 332,583 394,012 450,027 479,133 499,244 507,293 508,797
EVICE 17,020 25,300 29,707 31,106 31,693 31,952 32,617 32,451
FC Only 1,469 2,881 4,163 4,396 5,157 5,624 5,634 5,379
HYBRID 2,450,589 2,963,425 3,166,300 3,307,460 3,549,336 3,770,024 3,790,688 3,896,469
IC Only 86,517,631 89,965,811 92,930,818 95,677,011 98,250,684 99,968,156 101,178,768 102,016,904
Total - All Region Summary 89,246,551 93,290,000 96,525,000 99,470,000 102,316,003 104,275,000 105,515,000 106,460,000
Powertrain Package Type - ASIA-PACIFIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
EL Only 116,797 148,689 157,809 169,391 180,387 178,722 182,940 183,372
EVICE 204 432 3,708 4,813 4,842 4,944 5,104 5,193
FC Only 1,421 2,833 4,115 4,139 4,162 4,141 4,147 4,158
HYBRID 1,926,198 2,263,813 2,369,983 2,422,071 2,458,286 2,422,698 2,398,127 2,450,957
IC Only 43,470,380 46,524,233 48,524,385 50,469,586 52,027,326 53,219,495 54,104,682 54,756,320
Total - ASIA-PACIFIC 45,515,000 48,940,000 51,060,000 53,070,000 54,675,003 55,830,000 56,695,000 57,400,000
Powertrain Package Type - EASTERN
EUROPE 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
EL Only 6,348 7,926 8,274 8,634 8,826 8,818 9,132 9,300
EVICE 1,095 3,068 3,447 3,762 4,152 4,339 4,520 4,535
HYBRID 19,210 26,557 27,271 26,707 34,665 39,463 40,036 41,999
IC Only 6,692,344 6,762,449 6,996,008 7,430,897 7,872,357 8,027,380 8,096,312 8,119,166
Total - EASTERN EUROPE 6,718,997 6,800,000 7,035,000 7,470,000 7,920,000 8,080,000 8,150,000 8,175,000
Powertrain Package Volumes
Release: R1512 Dec 31 2015
*Volumes displayed are the Powertrain Volumes consumed by Light Vehicle (LV) production.
Package Types are: EL Only - Electric Motor Drive with battery only; EVICE - Electric Motor Drive with Internal Combustion Engine as Generator;
FC Only - Electric Motor Drive with Fuel Cell power source; HYBRID - Electric Motor and Internal Combustion Engine Drive; IC Only - Internal Combustion Engine Drive
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38Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – Jan 2016
Powertrain Package Type - MIDDLE
EAST/AFRICA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
EL Only 46 66 66 66 66 54 54 54
HYBRID 0 0 0 2,850 3,444 3,492 3,540 3,600
IC Only 2,235,954 2,449,934 2,559,934 2,607,084 2,652,490 2,721,454 2,786,406 2,791,346
Total - MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA 2,236,000 2,450,000 2,560,000 2,610,000 2,656,000 2,725,000 2,790,000 2,795,000
Powertrain Package Type - NORTH
AMERICA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
EL Only 72,464 107,362 157,354 195,208 196,072 208,462 211,393 213,585
FC Only 0 0 0 0 498 979 983 989
HYBRID 288,673 434,537 516,341 584,347 756,276 991,140 1,025,629 1,074,820
IC Only 17,096,861 17,158,101 17,396,305 17,470,445 17,662,154 17,769,419 17,871,995 17,920,606
Total - NORTH AMERICA 17,457,998 17,700,000 18,070,000 18,250,000 18,615,000 18,970,000 19,110,000 19,210,000
Powertrain Package Type - SOUTH
AMERICA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
IC Only 3,108,998 3,100,000 3,400,000 3,570,000 3,850,000 3,950,000 4,040,000 4,115,000
Total - SOUTH AMERICA 3,108,998 3,100,000 3,400,000 3,570,000 3,850,000 3,950,000 4,040,000 4,115,000
Powertrain Package Type - WESTERN
EUROPE 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
EL Only 64,187 68,540 70,509 76,728 93,782 103,188 103,774 102,486
EVICE 15,721 21,800 22,552 22,531 22,699 22,669 22,993 22,723
FC Only 48 48 48 257 497 504 504 232
HYBRID 216,508 238,518 252,705 271,485 296,665 313,231 323,356 325,093
IC Only 13,913,094 13,971,094 14,054,186 14,128,999 14,186,357 14,280,408 14,279,373 14,314,466
Total - WESTERN EUROPE 14,209,558 14,300,000 14,400,000 14,500,000 14,600,000 14,720,000 14,730,000 14,765,000
*Volumes displayed are the Powertrain Volumes consumed by Light Vehicle (LV) production.
Package Types are: E L Only - Electric Motor Drive with battery only; E V ICE - Electric Motor Drive with Internal Combustion Engine as Generator;
FC Only - Electric Motor Drive with Fuel Cell power source; HY BRID - Electric Motor and Internal Combustion Engine Drive; IC Only - Internal Combustion Engine Drive
RegionalPowertrainForecast
byPackageTypeandVehicleRegionApplication(Cont’d)
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39
NAFTA Greenfield Production
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
Canada United States Mexico
• BMW San Luis Potosi (2019)
• BMW (2-Series, 3-Series, 4-Series)
• COMPAS (RNNS + Daimler) Aguascalientes(2017)
• Infiniti QX30
• Daimler (A-Class SWB, GLB)
• Daimler North Charleston (2018)
• Freightliner Sprinter
• FaradayFutures North Vegas (2017)
• Faraday (Large EV Plus, MP-EV, Sedan)
• FCA Saltillo Van (2013)
• Ram ProMaster
• Ford (via Multimatic) (2016)
• Ford GT
• Ford Queretaro (2018)
• Ford Focus
• Honda Performance Manufacturing Center (2016)
• Acura NSX
• Honda Celaya (2014)
• Honda (Fit/Jazz, HR-V/Vezel)
• Hyundai Monterrey(2016)
• Kia (Forte, Rio)
• Karma Automotive (2016)
• Elux Karma EV/EVER
• Mazda Salamanca(2014)
• Mazda (2, 3)
• Toyota Yaris / Scion iA
• RNNS Aguascalientes 2 (2013)
• Nissan (B-CUV, Sentra)
• Toyota Guanajuato(2018)
• Toyota Corolla
• Volvo (Geely) Berkeley County(2018)
• Volvo (S60/S60L, XC60)
• VW San Jose Chiapa (2015)
• Audi Q5
Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – Jan 2016
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40Source: WardsAuto/AutoForecast Solutions – May 2015
Reporting/Analysis Planning
Vehicle Life Cycle Charts Regional Scenario creation
Multiple Flexible Report Generators Competitor/Market Share
Quick access reports Vehicle Changes (what’s new, cancelled, or changed)
Support
Daily/Weekly Monthly Frequently
Direct Access to Forecast Team
Leaders
Regional Code Books Back Office Support
AFS Weekly Guidance Report Regional Cycle Charts WardsAuto Relationship
Regional Production Databases
Volumes, History, Structure and FPP (8-year forecast window)
Light Vehicle VM, Brand Owner, Brand, Platform, Program, Nameplate,
Plant, Segment, SOP/EOP… and more
Powertrain
-Engine, Transmission, Electric Motors,
Drivetrain
Family; # of Cyl; # of Forward Gears; Fuel Type; Package
type; Voltage; Valves per Cyl, Transmission Type,
manufacturer/plant source … and much more … attached to
each vehicle
Call for more information 855.734.4590 ext. 1001
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41
WardsAutoForecast Solution Highlights
AFS Forecast* Regional vehicle production data - Volume, History, Structure, and FPP Production Forecast for an 8-year forecast window.
Monthly/Annual Detail: VM, Brand Owner, Brand, Platform, Program, Nameplate, Plant, Segment, SOP/EOP.. and more
*Engine, Transmission, Electric Motor, Drivetrain Production Data
Volume, History, Structure, and FPP Production Forecast for an 8-year forecast window
Monthly/Annual Detail: Family; # of Cyl; # of Forward Gears; Fuel Type; Package type; Voltage; Valves per Cyl, manufacturer/plant source, .. and
much more … attached to each vehicle
AFS Weekly Weekly PDF detailing global automotive manufacturing changes, new vehicle introductions, cancelled vehicles, and labor
issues
AFS Monthly Regional code books. Vehicle structure detail for the 8-year forecast planning window – in PDF format on a monthly basis.
AFS Quarterly A quarterly newsletter focused on key factors driving the automotive production outlook - Regional analysis, key performance
indicators, editorial commentary, and light vehicle and powertrain production outlook highlights.
AFS Cycle
Charts
Regional cycle charts. Chart/volume lifecycle charts at the vehicle assembly detail level. User defined filters and report
layouts. Excel output.
AFS Portfolio Enter and analyze market share and competitive positioning by product, vehicle, customer, and competitor. Dynamically
updated each month to maintain an accurate, and consistent global competitive view. Integrates directly with the AFS
Forecast data.
AFS Scenario Build your own regional vehicle/powertrain forecasts to support scenario analysis (upside, base, downside). Full reporting
capability. The only tool of its kind in the industry today!
AFS Planning A web-based, revenue planning solutions developed specifically for automotive suppliers. Track past, current, and future
revenue at the part number level. Attach products directly to vehicle and powertrain applications to analyze part volumes,
installation rates, piece price, and much more – all in real time! Dynamically attached to the AFS Forecast database for
accurate results. AFS Planning is the premier solution for business planning and opportunity identification to support your
core business and promote future growth.
Flexible Report
Generators
User-friendly interface to create customized data layouts at the monthly, quarterly and annual levels .. With all of the
available vehicle and powertrain data fields. Save, view, and export results into Excel.
Support Subscribers gain direct access to the automotive forecast team. We are more than just your data provider - we support your
automotive industry analysis and back office operations.
Call for more information 855.734.4590 ext. 1001