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Decreased fuel price could mean lower interest rates
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Wednesday's drop in the price of petrol and diesel could mean lower interest rates.
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Decreased fuel price could mean lower interest rates
1.
SinceWednesday5July2017,thepetrolpricehasdroppedby69c/l,meaningthat95Octane nowcostsR12.86perlitre,whilethepriceofdieselwilldecreaseby60c/l.Thispetrolprice decreaseis48c/lbelowthepriceitwasayearago,andR1.53/lbelowtherecordhighofApril 2014(R14.39/l). STANLIBisanauthorisedfinancialservicesprovider Decreasedfuelpricecouldmeanlowerinterestrates Thedecreasewillreducethemonthlyconsumerinflationratebyamassive0.3percentage points(basedonthenewCPIweights).Itwillalsohelptopullinflationbelow5%andincrease thelikelihoodofaninterestcutlaterintheyear. ThestrengtheningoftherandagainsttheUSDollarinthepastmonthdecreasedthebasic fuelpricebyalmost15c/l.Thiswascoupledwiththeoilpricemovinglowerinthemonth, reducingthefuelpricebyafurther52c/l. Thisisgoodnewsfrombothaconsumerperspectiveandamonetarypolicyperspective. ConsumerinflationisexpectedtoremaininsidetheReserveBank’stargetuntiltheendof 2018andmayencourageaninterestratecutbeforetheendof2017,andagaininearly2018, giventheweaknessofthedomesticeconomyandglobalinvestorsentimenttowards emergingmarkets.
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