Energy Storage:
Opportunities and Challenges
SITE Energy Talk. April 2021
Natalia Fabra
EnergyEcoLab, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
1 / 22
We will soon be here....
Electricity Demand and Solar PV Generation
(Spanish 2019 data with planned investments up to 2030)
2 / 22
We will soon be here....
Electricity Demand and Solar PV Generation
(Spanish 2019 data with planned investments up to 2030)
3 / 22
Key benefits of energy storage
Energy storage’s key role in the energy transition:
1 It facilitates the integration of renewables in the power sector.
By reducing spills at times of excess production.
2 It improves security of supply:
By reducing the need to invest in back-up capacity.
3 It reduces generation costs:
By replacing expensive energy with cheap energy.
4 / 22
Key benefits of energy storage
Energy storage’s key role in the energy transition:
1 It facilitates the integration of renewables in the power sector.
By reducing spills at times of excess production.
2 It improves security of supply:
By reducing the need to invest in back-up capacity.
3 It reduces generation costs:
By replacing expensive energy with cheap energy.
Do markets internalize these (private and social) benefits?
Other instruments to induce efficient storage decisions?
4 / 22
Do markets internalize these benefits?
1 Renewables’ integration: only by renewables’ owners
5 / 22
Do markets internalize these benefits?
1 Renewables’ integration: only by renewables’ owners
2 Security of supply: no, it is an externality
5 / 22
Do markets internalize these benefits?
1 Renewables’ integration: only by renewables’ owners
2 Security of supply: no, it is an externality
3 Cost reductions: only if...
No market power in generation
No market power in storage
No vertical integration generation-storage
5 / 22
Do markets internalize these benefits?
1 Renewables’ integration: only by renewables’ owners
2 Security of supply: no, it is an externality
3 Cost reductions: only if...
No market power in generation
No market power in storage
No vertical integration generation-storage
The above implies...
1 and 2 Under-investment in storage
3 Market power in storage strengthens under-investment
→ [Some sort of] regulation is needed
5 / 22
Storing Power: Market Structure Matters
Andrés-Cerezo, D. and N. Fabra (2020):
Storing Power: Market Structure Matters
We leave aside other market failures to focus on market power:
1 How does market power affect storage decisions?
Investment
Operation
2 How does this depend on the market structure?
Competitive vs. strategic storage
Competitive vs. strategic generation
Stand-alone vs. vertically integrated storage
6 / 22
Storing technologies and market structure
Different types of storage give rise to different market structures
Figure: Pumped
hydro
Figure: Grid-scale
batteries
Figure: Electric
vehicle fleet
7 / 22
Regulatory debate regarding market structure
Ownership structure:
California → Utilities mandated to invest in storage capacity.
Texas → Utilities not permitted to own storage capacity.
EU, FERC vs. Australia, Chile → Different views regarding
ownership by System Operators.
Investment decisions:
Recent orders by FERC and the European Commission assume
that markets provide optimal incentives for investment.
Some countries are already running auctions for storage
investments.
8 / 22
Roadmap of our analysis
1 Theory: Stylized wholesale electricity market with storage
Main model ingredients:
Demand moves deterministically across time
Marginal costs of generation are increasing
Investment in storage followed by competition in generation
Dominant-fringe firm structure in generation
9 / 22
Roadmap of our analysis
1 Theory: Stylized wholesale electricity market with storage
Main model ingredients:
Demand moves deterministically across time
Marginal costs of generation are increasing
Investment in storage followed by competition in generation
Dominant-fringe firm structure in generation
Cases considered for storage:
First-best (regulator decides on storage+generation)
Second-best (regulator decides on storage)
Competitive storage
Storage monopolist
Vertically integrated storage-generation firm
9 / 22
Roadmap of our analysis
1 Theory: Stylized wholesale electricity market with storage
Main model ingredients:
Demand moves deterministically across time
Marginal costs of generation are increasing
Investment in storage followed by competition in generation
Dominant-fringe firm structure in generation
Cases considered for storage:
First-best (regulator decides on storage+generation)
Second-best (regulator decides on storage)
Competitive storage
Storage monopolist
Vertically integrated storage-generation firm
2 Simulations: Spanish electricity market
2030 market structure with different investments in storage
9 / 22
Insights from the Theoretical Model
Storage under the First Best
Store/release to flatten demand/production
Invest in storage to equate the marginal cost savings due to
an extra unit of storage with its investment cost
Demand is not fully flatten
11 / 22
Price arbitrage in competitive markets
Competitive storage firms make arbitrage profits by storing
when prices are low are releasing when prices are high
Prices allow firms to internalize the marginal costs savings
associated with storage
12 / 22
Market power in generation
Market power in generation steepens price differences (higher
markups at peak times)
This creates artificially large arbitrage profits
And it can result in over-investment in storage
13 / 22
Market power in storage
Large storage firms are no longer price-takers
They smooth storage so as to avoid strong price impacts
This distorts the use of storage, leading to
under-investment
14 / 22
Vertical integration generation-storage
A vertically integrated (VI) firm operates storage taking into
account the price effects on storage and generation profits
1 The VI firm smooths the use of storage even more to
avoid strong price effects on its storage and generation
2 Storage is less valuable for a VI firm as it depresses its
generation profits
Vertical integration generation-storage distorts the optimal use
of storage and weakens the incentives to invest in storage
15 / 22
Cost and price comparison
Market power creates productive inefficiencies:
Generation ⇒ Distorted market shares.
Storage ⇒ Less storage use, production not flattened.
Worsened by vertical integration.
Worsened when investment in storage is decided by firms.
Efficiency: cost ranking across market structures is
CFB
< CSB
< CC
< CM
< CI
< CNS
16 / 22
Cost and price comparison
Market power creates productive inefficiencies:
Generation ⇒ Distorted market shares.
Storage ⇒ Less storage use, production not flattened.
Worsened by vertical integration.
Worsened when investment in storage is decided by firms.
Efficiency: cost ranking across market structures is
CFB
< CSB
< CC
< CM
< CI
< CNS
Consumers’ surplus: price ranking is
PFB
< PSB
< PC
< PM
< PI
< PNS
16 / 22
Simulations
Simulations
Spanish electricity market with...
Current energy mix (medium renewables’ penetration)
2030 energy mix (high renewables’ penetration)
Detailed data: electricity demand and generation costs.
Different investment levels in storage capacity.
18 / 22
Simulations
Spanish electricity market with...
Current energy mix (medium renewables’ penetration)
2030 energy mix (high renewables’ penetration)
Detailed data: electricity demand and generation costs.
Different investment levels in storage capacity.
Main results:
1 Results in line with theoretical analysis.
2 Complementarity between renewables and storage.
3 Storage unprofitable at current investment costs.
18 / 22
Marginal value of storage investments
Marginal value of investing in storage for different levels of storage
investment (FB, SB and competitive firms)
19 / 22
Efficiency and consumers’ gains
Generation costs and consumers’ expenditure
as a function of storage capacity
20 / 22
Conclusions
Storage brings several potential benefits to electricity markets,
but they depend on the market structure.
The market does not provide adequate investment incentives
in storage capacity.
Market power in generation leads to over-investment.
Market power in storage to under-investment.
Vertical integration between storage and generation yields the
most inefficient outcome.
Storage capacity auctions:
Solve investment problem, but potential for inefficient storage
operation remains.
21 / 22
Thank You!
Comments? Feedback? Questions?
natalia.fabra@uc3m.es
energyecolab.uc3m.es

Energy Storage: Opportunities and Challenges presented by Natalia Fabra

  • 1.
    Energy Storage: Opportunities andChallenges SITE Energy Talk. April 2021 Natalia Fabra EnergyEcoLab, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid 1 / 22
  • 2.
    We will soonbe here.... Electricity Demand and Solar PV Generation (Spanish 2019 data with planned investments up to 2030) 2 / 22
  • 3.
    We will soonbe here.... Electricity Demand and Solar PV Generation (Spanish 2019 data with planned investments up to 2030) 3 / 22
  • 4.
    Key benefits ofenergy storage Energy storage’s key role in the energy transition: 1 It facilitates the integration of renewables in the power sector. By reducing spills at times of excess production. 2 It improves security of supply: By reducing the need to invest in back-up capacity. 3 It reduces generation costs: By replacing expensive energy with cheap energy. 4 / 22
  • 5.
    Key benefits ofenergy storage Energy storage’s key role in the energy transition: 1 It facilitates the integration of renewables in the power sector. By reducing spills at times of excess production. 2 It improves security of supply: By reducing the need to invest in back-up capacity. 3 It reduces generation costs: By replacing expensive energy with cheap energy. Do markets internalize these (private and social) benefits? Other instruments to induce efficient storage decisions? 4 / 22
  • 6.
    Do markets internalizethese benefits? 1 Renewables’ integration: only by renewables’ owners 5 / 22
  • 7.
    Do markets internalizethese benefits? 1 Renewables’ integration: only by renewables’ owners 2 Security of supply: no, it is an externality 5 / 22
  • 8.
    Do markets internalizethese benefits? 1 Renewables’ integration: only by renewables’ owners 2 Security of supply: no, it is an externality 3 Cost reductions: only if... No market power in generation No market power in storage No vertical integration generation-storage 5 / 22
  • 9.
    Do markets internalizethese benefits? 1 Renewables’ integration: only by renewables’ owners 2 Security of supply: no, it is an externality 3 Cost reductions: only if... No market power in generation No market power in storage No vertical integration generation-storage The above implies... 1 and 2 Under-investment in storage 3 Market power in storage strengthens under-investment → [Some sort of] regulation is needed 5 / 22
  • 10.
    Storing Power: MarketStructure Matters Andrés-Cerezo, D. and N. Fabra (2020): Storing Power: Market Structure Matters We leave aside other market failures to focus on market power: 1 How does market power affect storage decisions? Investment Operation 2 How does this depend on the market structure? Competitive vs. strategic storage Competitive vs. strategic generation Stand-alone vs. vertically integrated storage 6 / 22
  • 11.
    Storing technologies andmarket structure Different types of storage give rise to different market structures Figure: Pumped hydro Figure: Grid-scale batteries Figure: Electric vehicle fleet 7 / 22
  • 12.
    Regulatory debate regardingmarket structure Ownership structure: California → Utilities mandated to invest in storage capacity. Texas → Utilities not permitted to own storage capacity. EU, FERC vs. Australia, Chile → Different views regarding ownership by System Operators. Investment decisions: Recent orders by FERC and the European Commission assume that markets provide optimal incentives for investment. Some countries are already running auctions for storage investments. 8 / 22
  • 13.
    Roadmap of ouranalysis 1 Theory: Stylized wholesale electricity market with storage Main model ingredients: Demand moves deterministically across time Marginal costs of generation are increasing Investment in storage followed by competition in generation Dominant-fringe firm structure in generation 9 / 22
  • 14.
    Roadmap of ouranalysis 1 Theory: Stylized wholesale electricity market with storage Main model ingredients: Demand moves deterministically across time Marginal costs of generation are increasing Investment in storage followed by competition in generation Dominant-fringe firm structure in generation Cases considered for storage: First-best (regulator decides on storage+generation) Second-best (regulator decides on storage) Competitive storage Storage monopolist Vertically integrated storage-generation firm 9 / 22
  • 15.
    Roadmap of ouranalysis 1 Theory: Stylized wholesale electricity market with storage Main model ingredients: Demand moves deterministically across time Marginal costs of generation are increasing Investment in storage followed by competition in generation Dominant-fringe firm structure in generation Cases considered for storage: First-best (regulator decides on storage+generation) Second-best (regulator decides on storage) Competitive storage Storage monopolist Vertically integrated storage-generation firm 2 Simulations: Spanish electricity market 2030 market structure with different investments in storage 9 / 22
  • 16.
    Insights from theTheoretical Model
  • 17.
    Storage under theFirst Best Store/release to flatten demand/production Invest in storage to equate the marginal cost savings due to an extra unit of storage with its investment cost Demand is not fully flatten 11 / 22
  • 18.
    Price arbitrage incompetitive markets Competitive storage firms make arbitrage profits by storing when prices are low are releasing when prices are high Prices allow firms to internalize the marginal costs savings associated with storage 12 / 22
  • 19.
    Market power ingeneration Market power in generation steepens price differences (higher markups at peak times) This creates artificially large arbitrage profits And it can result in over-investment in storage 13 / 22
  • 20.
    Market power instorage Large storage firms are no longer price-takers They smooth storage so as to avoid strong price impacts This distorts the use of storage, leading to under-investment 14 / 22
  • 21.
    Vertical integration generation-storage Avertically integrated (VI) firm operates storage taking into account the price effects on storage and generation profits 1 The VI firm smooths the use of storage even more to avoid strong price effects on its storage and generation 2 Storage is less valuable for a VI firm as it depresses its generation profits Vertical integration generation-storage distorts the optimal use of storage and weakens the incentives to invest in storage 15 / 22
  • 22.
    Cost and pricecomparison Market power creates productive inefficiencies: Generation ⇒ Distorted market shares. Storage ⇒ Less storage use, production not flattened. Worsened by vertical integration. Worsened when investment in storage is decided by firms. Efficiency: cost ranking across market structures is CFB < CSB < CC < CM < CI < CNS 16 / 22
  • 23.
    Cost and pricecomparison Market power creates productive inefficiencies: Generation ⇒ Distorted market shares. Storage ⇒ Less storage use, production not flattened. Worsened by vertical integration. Worsened when investment in storage is decided by firms. Efficiency: cost ranking across market structures is CFB < CSB < CC < CM < CI < CNS Consumers’ surplus: price ranking is PFB < PSB < PC < PM < PI < PNS 16 / 22
  • 24.
  • 25.
    Simulations Spanish electricity marketwith... Current energy mix (medium renewables’ penetration) 2030 energy mix (high renewables’ penetration) Detailed data: electricity demand and generation costs. Different investment levels in storage capacity. 18 / 22
  • 26.
    Simulations Spanish electricity marketwith... Current energy mix (medium renewables’ penetration) 2030 energy mix (high renewables’ penetration) Detailed data: electricity demand and generation costs. Different investment levels in storage capacity. Main results: 1 Results in line with theoretical analysis. 2 Complementarity between renewables and storage. 3 Storage unprofitable at current investment costs. 18 / 22
  • 27.
    Marginal value ofstorage investments Marginal value of investing in storage for different levels of storage investment (FB, SB and competitive firms) 19 / 22
  • 28.
    Efficiency and consumers’gains Generation costs and consumers’ expenditure as a function of storage capacity 20 / 22
  • 29.
    Conclusions Storage brings severalpotential benefits to electricity markets, but they depend on the market structure. The market does not provide adequate investment incentives in storage capacity. Market power in generation leads to over-investment. Market power in storage to under-investment. Vertical integration between storage and generation yields the most inefficient outcome. Storage capacity auctions: Solve investment problem, but potential for inefficient storage operation remains. 21 / 22
  • 30.
    Thank You! Comments? Feedback?Questions? natalia.fabra@uc3m.es energyecolab.uc3m.es