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Andraž Štalec
@andrazstalec
GROWTH HACKING
YOUR DIGITAL MARKETING
THERE IS NONE!
1 2
3 4
The Plan
1. Build a website
2. Put ecommerce on it
3. Get tons of free traffic
4. Get rich
5. Party with 3 sexy ladies
6. Party some more
7. Get even richer
8. Move to Dracula castle
9. Transform to vampire
10. Live forever long
100 VISITS - 1 PURCHASE - 100 €
IT SUCKS
WE NEED MORE TRAFFIC
LET‘S START TO ADVERTISE
2.500 € investment | CPC = 0,25 € | 10.000 clicks
10.000 VISITS - 5 PURCHASES - 500 €
IT STILL SUCKS
ROI
-80 %
PAUSE ALL ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS
IT‘S NOT WORKING
… BUT AT LEAST WE BUILT SOME BRAND AWARENESS
100 VISITS - 1 PURCHASE - 100 €
WTF*?!
ZAPPOS
Revenue = $1.000.000.000
WTF
SERIOUSLY
HOW THE F***???
How to increase revenue and profits?
INCREASE
AVERAGE
PURCHASE
VALUE
INCREASE
TRAFFIC
DECREASE
CPA
INCREASE
CONVER.
RATE
DECREASE
BOUNCE
RATE
IT‘S
WEATHER
RELATED
IT‘S ALL
ABOUT THE
PAY DAY
ADD
PRODUCT
RATINGS
INCREASE
PER
SESSION
VALUE
DAY OF THE
WEEK
IT‘S THE
MOON
INCREASE
USER
RETENTION
ADD
COMPARE
PRODUCTS
INCREASE
AVERAGE
QUANTITY
INCREASE
AVERAGE
UNIT PRICE
INCREASE
TIME ON
SITE
INCREASE
READ RATE
ADD
SOCIAL
ACTIONS
How to do it?
5 MILLION
SESSIONS
130 MILLION
DATA POINTS
12 MONTHS OF
DATA
BOUNCE RATE
Arrogant bastard, who‘s not as important as it seems.
WEATHER
On the internet it is always sunny and 28°C.
THE MOON
Sorry dear, I was moonwalking (and I was without € 100).
REVENUE PER SESSION
You are worth 0,56 €.
NUMBER OF SESSIONS
»Supersize me«.
AVERAGE ORDER VALUE
Two pears and an apple.
CONVERSION RATE
Everything is OK, but I won‘t buy it.
THE DAY OF THE MONTH
Pay day. Let's go shopping!
REVIEWS
COMPARE
PRODUCTS
SAVE TO
WISH LIST
CHECK STOCK
Not really connected to Add to cart
REVENUE
R2 = 0,947
R2 = 0,831
REVENUE PER
VISITOR
R2 = 0,961
R2 = 0,353
AVERAGE ORDER
VALUE
R2 = 0,754
CONVERSION
RATE
R2 = 0,570
ADD-TO-CART
CONVERSION
RATE
R2 = 0,225
VISITORS
USER
AQUISITION
USER
RETENTION
Ecommerce revenue streams
CONDUCT A BUSINESS OVERVIEW
REVENUE
2,0 M
REVENUE PER
VISITOR
1,00 €
AVERAGE
ORDER VALUE
50,00 €
AVERAGE
QUANTITY
2,00
AVERAGE PER
UNIT PRICE
25,00 €
CONVERSION
RATE
2,00 %
NUMBER OF
STEPS
AVERAGE
COMPLETION
RATE
VISITORS
2,0 M
USER
AQUISITION
1,5 M
USER
RETENTION
33 %
Ecommerce revenue streams
REVENUE
1.000 €
REVENUE PER
VISITOR
1,00 €
AVERAGE
ORDER VALUE
100,00 €
AVERAGE
QUANTITY
AVERAGE PER
UNIT PRICE
CONVERSION
RATE
1,00 %
NUMBER OF
STEPS
AVERAGE
COMPLETION
RATE
VISITORS
1.000
USER
AQUISITION
USER
RETENTION
Ecommerce revenue streams
MINIMAL SUCCESS VOLUME
~ 10.000 VISITORS
PROFIT
REVENUE COSTS
COGS CPA
CPC CR
OTHER COSTS
Ecommerce profitability
PROFIT
REVENUE
10 €
COSTS
COGS
CPA
10 €
CPC
0,10 €
CR
1 %
OTHER COSTS
Ecommerce profitability
GROWTH HACKING
My ultimate success line (until now)
Dreaming about Growth hacking
Periods where progress is minimal
Periods of significant progress
Growth hacking in Real life
MEASURE ANALYZE OPTIMIZE
DELIVER
RESULTS
How to do it?
FIND WEAK POINTS
REVENUE
2,0 M
REVENUE PER
VISITOR
1,00 €
AVERAGE
ORDER VALUE
50,00 €
AVERAGE
QUANTITY
2,00
AVERAGE PER
UNIT PRICE
25,00 €
CONVERSION
RATE
2,00 %
NUMBER OF
STEPS
AVERAGE
COMPLETION
RATE
VISITORS
2,0 M
USER
AQUISITION
1,5 M
USER
RETENTION
33 %
Ecommerce revenue streams
Why do so many users leave the cart?
Are users changing the contents of the cart?
How can we improve user experience?
Funnel Visualization
Where should you spend your efforts?
21% of users return from Delivery
back to Review.
What is the cause?
18% of users return from Summary to
Choice of payment methods.
What is the cause?
Goal Flow
REVENUE
2,0 M
REVENUE PER
VISITOR
1,00 €
AVERAGE
ORDER VALUE
50,00 €
AVERAGE
QUANTITY
2,00
AVERAGE PER
UNIT PRICE
25,00 €
CONVERSION
RATE
2,00 %
NUMBER OF
STEPS
AVERAGE
COMPLETION
RATE
VISITORS
2,0 M
USER
AQUISITION
1,5 M
USER
RETENTION
33 %
Ecommerce revenue streams
How is traffic distributed between channels?
Google
AdWords has
the highest CR
and lowest BR
Aquisition Overview
Sessions - Ecommerce CR Treemap
Best Aquisition Campaigns
Top Landing Pages
Mobile Usage
REVENUE
2,0 M
REVENUE PER
VISITOR
1,00 €
AVERAGE
ORDER VALUE
50,00 €
AVERAGE
QUANTITY
2,00
AVERAGE PER
UNIT PRICE
25,00 €
CONVERSION
RATE
2,00 %
NUMBER OF
STEPS
AVERAGE
COMPLETION
RATE
VISITORS
2,0 M
USER
AQUISITION
1,5 M
USER
RETENTION
33 %
Ecommerce revenue streams
Why 54 % of
users never see
the product?
Segmentation by
campaign
Shopping Behavior Analysis
Top Exit Pages
The most visited page has a high Exit rateBehaviour Flow
Below
average CTR
Fold-line for
95% of users
In-Page Analytics
Site Search
Assisted Conversions
REVENUE
2,0 M
REVENUE PER
VISITOR
1,00 €
AVERAGE
ORDER VALUE
50,00 €
AVERAGE
QUANTITY
2,00
AVERAGE PER
UNIT PRICE
25,00 €
CONVERSION
RATE
2,00 %
NUMBER OF
STEPS
AVERAGE
COMPLETION
RATE
VISITORS
2,0 M
USER
AQUISITION
1,5 M
USER
RETENTION
33 %
Ecommerce revenue streams
Most valuable campaigns
Most valuable user category
PERSUASIONAL AWARENESS CAMPAIGNS
TRANSACTIONAL CONVERSION CAMPAIGNS
PREFERENCE CAMPAIGNSINFORMATIONAL
DO
THINK
SEE
Optimize for all stages of CDJ
BUILD IMPROVEMENT PLAN
EXPERIMENT
GOALS
Increase advertising budget
for high-end categories
OPTIMIZATION
GOALS
Increase AOV
BUSINESS UNIT
GOALS
Improve RPV
COMPANY METRIC
Increase revenue
Improve RPV
Change CPC
bids
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change
AvgPos
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change LP
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Split Ad
Groups
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change
targeting
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change copy
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change KW
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Add
negative KW
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Add bid
adjustments
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Building Improvement Plan
Analytics & Benchmarking
Technical & „Political“
Visits & Costs
EASE
IMPORTANCE
POTENTIAL
Ad Group #1 Ad Group #2 Ad Group #3
PIE Framework
Improve RPV
Change CPC
bids
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change
AvgPos
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change LP
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Split Ad
Groups
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change
targeting
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change copy
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Change KW
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Add
negative KW
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Add bid
adjustments
Ad Group #1
Ad Group #2
Ad Group #3
Building Improvement Plan
BEING A CASH MACHINE
Projected Incremental Value
=
(RPV of improved campaign x expected traffic over a given
period)
-
(RPV of original x expected traffic over same period)
VISITORS
100 K
REVENUE PER
VISITOR
1,00 €
REVENUE PER
VISITOR
1,50 €
VISITORS
100.000
VISITORS
100.000
ADDITIONAL
REVENUE
50.000 €
Increased revenue calculation
Thank you
andraz.stalec@red-orbit.com

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Growth Hacking your Digital Marketing by Andraž Štalec | SemDays 2015

Editor's Notes

  1. For the past few years I traveled the world, spoke at different conference, met interesting people (Cristian Ignat one of them) and learned a lot. Then in May this year I received an invitation to SEM Days. Cooool :) I have never been to Romania before. They have Dracula and pretty ladies - joey – how you doin ;)
  2. But then over the course of our conversation they told me: Andraž, you should tell them te big secret! Hmm… (gif: shmmm don‘t tell anyone)
  3. So I packed my bags, my wife and my baby girl (sorry pretty ladies) and here I am.
  4. And I have a secret :))))
  5. There in none!!! Come on guys (and girls)…it so fucking simple…
  6. So I asked myself and I asked around….and got 1000 different answers
  7. OMG…this is not helping There should be a better way
  8. So we did some advanced analysis and data mining. We took all this metrics and data (130 millions data points), calculated correlations, did some regresion and multiple regression analysis.
  9. Even in the prehistoric time of digital (in the 90s of the last millennium) bounce rate was considered to be one of the most important digital metrics. It turns out that this is not the case. If a bounce rate is within the normal range (below 30%), a few % changes have no impact on revenue. Struggling to reduce a bounce rate from 23% to 17% is therefore meaningless. This does not mean that we can afford a website with a bounce rate of 50% or more. R-squared is a statistical measure of how close the data are to the fitted regression line. It is also known as the coefficient of determination, or the coefficient of multiple determination for multiple regression. 0% indicates that the model explains none of the variability of the response data around its mean.
  10. Weather and temperature at the actual location of the user do not have a drastic impact on online behavior. It is wrong to think that the rain brings higher revenue, because we are all in the safe shelter of home on the computer - and vice versa. Local weather is supposed to affect the emotional state of users, but it not true on the web. This does not mean that the same applies to seasonal or large scale weather changes like heat waves.
  11. Moon rises oceans, moves rocks, shapes space-time and therefore we could conclude that it has impact on users' behavior online as well. But our analysis showed that people are harder to bend than our cosmos and the moon has no effect on our purchasing behavior. Even if it's a blue moon.
  12. Yes, I know. This one is quite obvious. The average visitor value (calculated by dividing the total revenue divided by the number of visitors) has one of the biggest impacts on revenue (R2 = 0.831). Why do I even mention it? First, because this metric is often overlooked and, secondly, because it gives us an excellent basis for the calculation of the profitability of individual digital channels. If the cost of acquisition on each user channel is greater than the value of the user obtained through this channel, then something is wrong.
  13. I'm not sure whether this is the result of capitalism or something else, but the belief that, if I drive more traffic to the website all our financial problems will be solved, does not apply at all. Number of visitors, while it is important, has a weak correlation with revenue (R2 = 0.225).
  14. It seems that the fact how much an average user spends online, is quite important - and indeed it is. Even more interesting is that the average number of products in the shopping cart has no significant correlation with revenue. Hint: rather to focus on how to presuade users to add another product to a cart, we should focus on how to enable better user experience to finish the purchase as quickly as possible.
  15. Conversion rate has a strong correlation with revenue per session. I believe that this is something that everyone has long known, and that is why I wonder why the progress in this field so minimal. Testing customer shopping experience is still science fiction.
  16. polynomial of the fifth degree I get my salary on the 15th of the month, then I immediately go shopping and, consequently, the number of transactions rises. Probably true. But pay day could be on 1, 8, 15, pensions can be on 31 etc. Fact: day of the month does not have any connection with revenues on the website.
  17. Even in this case you would need good margin 10.000 visitors with 1 % CR results in 100 transactions. If APV is 30 € your profit is 3.000 €. Hardly enough to survive
  18. Find the bottlenecks and improvement areas in your conversion funnel Learn: - Which steps drive users to leave your website - Which steps have users leave for other pages - Where users enter your funnel from
  19. Funnels are non-linear, users move backwards and forwards. See when users move back through your funnel and try to find out why. Learn: - Which steps do users skip? - Which steps do users redo? - What are the top funnel paths?
  20. Understand where customers are coming from and which acquisition channels to optimize for Learn: - The user split between acquisition channels - How performance differs between channels
  21. Quickly see which campaigns are performing well
  22. See which campaigns bring most of users Learn: What‘s the New Sessions ratio What‘s the bounce rate What‘s the reach of the specific campaign Which campaigns are costing us most of our money Can you optimize the costs What‘s the CPC of this specific campaign What‘s the AvgPos
  23. See where your users land/leave. Learn: - How your overall landing/exit pages perform over time - How individual pages perform by time on site, exit rate, and more
  24. See the devices users use and how adoption changes over time Learn: - The split between device types, specific smartphone types or operating systems, screen sizes Learn which segments you are performing well for How well are your campaigns performing on different devices Are you reaching users on mobile as well How are they behaving and converting compared to desktop users
  25. See how your users behave in relation to key shopping goals. Segment results to see which user groups are underperforming. Learn: - How many users you lose per step - How individual user groups perform - Which functionalities you need to improve urgently
  26. See where your users land/leave. Learn: - How your overall landing/exit pages perform over time - How individual pages perform by time on site, exit rate, and more
  27. Understand your users most common navigation paths Learn: - How users move through your website - Where users land - Which pages have high exit rates
  28. See where users click on your pages, as well as what their scroll-depth is Learn: - Which elements get the best CTR (note: when multiple buttons share the same URL they share CTR’s here) - What the scroll-depth of your users is - What content underperforms for the amount of screen real estate it has
  29. See how often site search is used and how much value it adds to your business Learn: - The percentage of users who do or do not use site search, segment by user types Understand how important site search is to conversion rates and business revenue Add search keywords to your Google Search campaigns
  30. See which campaigns are more effective in awareness phase and which in purchase phase Learn: - Are we targeting the right part of CDJ - Are we using the right targeting - How effective are my GDN campaigns
  31. See which campaigns have the highest AOV. Filter out campaigns with few transactions. Learn: Which type of campaign has the highest AOV Calculate profitability based on CR, AOV and CPC
  32. Value Proposition – kakšen Value Proposition aktivira uporabnika Relevance – naredi stran bolj relevantno za uporabnika (glede na STD oz. source in customer need) Clarity – eyeflow & grafični izgled/preglednost Anxiety – znižuje CR (gradnja zaupanja) Distraction – preveč opcij, upsales, cross sales Urgency – zakaj rabim za izdelek sedaj takoj http://www.widerfunnel.com/conversion-rate-optimization/the-six-landing-page-conversion-rate-factors
  33. Potential How much improvement can be made on the pages? Although I’ve yet to find a page without some potential for improvement, you can’t test everywhere at once and you should prioritize your worst performers. This should take into account your web analytics data, customer data and expert heuristic analysis of user scenarios. Importance How valuable is the traffic to the pages? Your most important pages are the ones with the highest volume and the costliest traffic. You may have identified pages that perform terribly, but if they don’t have significant volume of costly traffic, they aren’t testing priorities. Ease How complicated will the test be to implement on the page or template? The final consideration is the degree of difficulty a test will take to get running on a page, which includes technical implementation and organizational or political barriers. The less time and resources you need to invest for the same return, the better. This includes both technical and “political” ease. A page that would be technically easy may have many stakeholders or vested interests that can cause barriers. I’m looking at you, home page. http://www.widerfunnel.com/conversion-rate-optimization/how-to-prioritize-conversion-rate-optimization-tests-using-pie