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Cost Behaviour: Analysis and Use
Chapter 3
The Activity Base
A measure of what
causes the incurrence
of a variable cost
Units
produced
Miles
driven
Labour
hours
Machine
hours
2
Minutes Talked
Total
Long
Distance
Telephone
Bill
A variable cost is a cost whose total dollar
amount varies in direct proportion to changes in
the activity level. Your total long distance
telephone bill is based on how many minutes
you talk.
True Variable Cost Example
3
Summary of Variable and Fixed Cost Behavior
Cost In Total Per Unit
Variable Total variable cost is Variable cost per unit remains
proportional to the activity the same over wide ranges
level within the relevant range. of activity.
Total fixed cost remains the
same even when the activity Fixed cost per unit goes
Fixed level changes within the down as activity level goes up.
relevant range.
Types of Cost Behaviour Patterns
4
Minutes Talked
Per
Minute
Telephone
Charge
A variable cost remains constant if expressed on a
per unit basis. The cost per minute talked is
constant. For example, 10 cents per minute.
Variable Cost Per Unit Example
5
Volume
Cost
Direct materials is a true or proportionately
variable cost because the amount used during a
period will vary in direct proportion to the level of
production activity.
True Variable Cost
6
Relevant
Range
A straight line
closely
approximates a
curvilinear
variable cost line
within the
relevant range.
Activity
Total
Cost
Curvilinear Cost
Function
The Linearity Assumption and the
Relevant Range
7
Summary of Variable and Fixed Cost Behavior
Cost In Total Per Unit
Variable Total variable cost is Variable cost per unit remains
proportional to the activity the same over wide ranges
level within the relevant range. of activity.
Total fixed cost remains the
same even when the activity Fixed cost per unit goes
Fixed level changes within the down as activity level goes up.
relevant range.
Types of Cost Behaviour Patterns
8
Number of Local Calls
Monthly
Basic
Telephone
Bill
A fixed cost is a cost whose total dollar amount
remains constant as the activity level changes.
Your monthly basic telephone bill is probably fixed
and does not change when you make more local
calls.
Total Fixed Cost Example
9
Summary of Variable and Fixed Cost Behavior
Cost In Total Per Unit
Variable Total variable cost is Variable cost per unit remains
proportional to the activity the same over wide ranges
level within the relevant range. of activity.
Total fixed cost remains the
same even when the activity Fixed cost per unit goes
Fixed level changes within the down as activity level goes up.
relevant range.
Types of Cost Behaviour Patterns
10
Monthly
Basic
Telephone
Bill
per
Local
Call
Number of Local Calls
Average fixed costs per unit decrease as the
activity level increases. The fixed cost per local call
decreases as more local calls are made.
Fixed Cost Per Unit Example
11
Rent
Cost
in
Thousands
of
Dollars
0 1,000 2,000 3,000
Rented Area (Square Feet)
0
30
60
Fixed Costs and Relevant Range
90
Relevant
Range
Total cost doesn’t
change for a wide
range of activity, and
then jumps to a new
higher cost for the
next higher range of
activity.
12
• Marginal cost: the additional cost caused by
producing one more unit of output (activity).
– Incremental cost, avoidable cost
• Average cost: the average cost per unit of output
(activity).
– Unit cost
• Beware of unitized fixed costs
Marginal Cost vs. Average Cost
13
• January cellphone – texting plan (fixed cost) =
$30
Unitized Fixed Costs – Example
14
Mixed-Cost Behaviour
Total Costs
Cost
Number of Units Produced
Fixed Costs
Variable Costs
Linearity Assumption
Total cost = Fixed cost + Total variable cost
15
Fixed Monthly
Utility Charge
Variable
Cost per KW
Activity (Kilowatt Hours)
Total
Utility
Cost
•X
Y
Mixed Costs
The total mixed cost line can be expressed
as an equation: Y = a + bX
Where: Y = the total cost
a = the total fixed cost (the
vertical intercept of the line)
b = the variable cost per unit of
activity (the slope of the line)
X = the level of activity
16
If your fixed monthly utility charge is $40, your
variable cost is $0.03 per kilowatt hour, and your
monthly activity level is 2,000 kilowatt hours, what
is the amount of your utility bill?
Mixed Costs Example
Y = a + bX
Y = $40 + ($0.03 × 2,000)
Y = $100
17
• Methods for separating mixed costs into fixed
and variable components:
– Account-analysis method
– Scatterplot (or visual-fit) method
– High-low method
– Least-squares regression
– Single variable
– Multiple variables
Analysis of Mixed Costs
18
• Is reasonably accurate, cost-effective, and easy
to use, but is subjective
• Each account is classified as either variable or
fixed based on the analyst’s knowledge of how
the account behaves.
• Cost estimates are based on an evaluation of
production methods, and material, labour and
overhead requirements.
Analysis of Mixed Costs
Account Analysis
19
Plot the data points on a graph
(total cost vs. activity)
0 1 2 3 4
*
Maintenance
Cost
1,000’s
of
Dollars
10
20
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
Patient-days in 1,000’s
X
Y
Analysis of Mixed Costs
The Scattergraph Method
20
The Scattergraph Method
Draw a line through the data points with about an
equal numbers of points above and below the line.
0 1 2 3 4
*
Maintenance
Cost
1,000’s
of
Dollars
10
20
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
Patient-days in 1,000’s
X
Y
21
The Scattergraph Method
Use one data point to estimate the total level of activity and the
total cost.
Intercept = Fixed cost: $?
0 1 2 3 4
*
Maintenance
Cost
1,000’s
of
Dollars
10
20
0
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
Patient-days in 1,000’s
X
Y
Patient days = ?
Total maintenance cost = $?
22
Example – Scattergraph Method
Month Machine Hours Overhead $
1 15.00 35.00
2 14.00 29.50
3 9.50 20.60
4 18.00 50.00
5 15.00 41.00
6 20.00 47.00
7 12.00 34.00
8 10.00 29.00
9 2.00 29.00
10 16.00 40.20
11 14.00 31.50
12 7.00 25.00
23
Example – Scattergraph Method
24
Example – Scattergraph Method
Draw a line through the data points with about an
equal numbers of points above and below the line.
25
Example – Scattergraph Method
We need to know where the line we drew crosses
the Y axis – this is the fixed costs
Let’s say this is 5.00 – just a guess
26
Example – Scattergraph Method
Use one data point to estimate the total
level of activity and the total cost.
Let’s choose this one: 40.20
27
Example – Scattergraph Method
As 40.20 is a Y data point, we know that the X is
16.00 (from the original data) and Y is 40.20
28
• So what do we have:
• Where the line crosses the Y axis is “5”. This is the fixed
cost – or in the equation Y=a + bX this is “a”.
• We have that Y = 40.2
• We have that X = 16
• We can now solve for “b”
– Y = a + bX
– 40.2 = 5 + 16b
– 40.2 – 5 = 16b
– 35.5 = 16b
– 2.21875 = b
• So our equation using the scattergraph method is
Y = 5 + 2.21875X
Example – Scattergraph Method
29
Example - Scattergraph Method
Y = 5 + 2.219 X
30
• Simplest method of quantitative analysis
• Uses only the highest and lowest observed
values
• Based on linear relationship
High-Low Method
y = a + bx
31
• Using the highest and lowest levels of activity,
compute:
– the variable cost per unit
– the fixed cost
– express the costs in equation form
Hi –Low Method Steps
y = a + bx
32
Example – High Low Method
Month Machine Hours Overhead $
1 15.00 35.00
2 14.00 29.50
3 9.50 20.60
4 18.00 50.00
5 15.00 41.00
6 20.00 47.00
7 12.00 34.00
8 10.00 29.00
9 2.00 29.00
10 16.00 40.20
11 14.00 31.50
12 7.00 25.00
33
Choose the highest and
lowest levels of activity
(from the driver).
X Y
MH Overhead
High 20 $47
Low 2 $29
Example - High-Low Method
Note: Always choose the dependant variable that goes with the
corresponding driver value (i.e. Choose the high and low driver
and its corresponding overhead... Not $50 as the highest
overhead $)
34
Compute the Variable Cost per unit using MH as the
driver.
X Y
MH Overhead
High 20 $47
Low 2 $29
Difference 18 $18
Example - High-Low Method
Y / X = $18 / 18 = $1 per MH. The variable cost per unit
is $1. Or in the equation Y = a + bX, “b” is $1.
35
Compute the Compute the fixed cost: Use the equation Y = a + b
X, use the data used to calculate the variable cost, and the “b”
we already calculated.
Use ONE of the coordinates above – either the HIGH or the
LOW and sub into the equation with the b:
– Y = a + bX
– $47 = a + 1 * 20
– $47 – 20 = a
– $27 = a
Example - High-Low Method
X Y
MH Overhead
High 20 $47
Low 2 $29
36
Express the costs in equation form
• Y = a + bX
• Y = $27 + $1X or Y = $27 + X
Example - High-Low Method
37
Example - High-Low Method
Y = 27 + X
38
A method used to analyze mixed costs if a
scattergraph plot reveals an approximately linear
relationship between the X and Y variables
Least-Squares Regression Method
This method uses all of the
data points to estimate
the fixed and variable
cost components of a
mixed cost.
The goal of this method is
to fit a straight line to the
data that minimizes the
sum of the squared errors.
39
• Regression analysis is a statistical method that
measures the average amount of change in the
dependent variable associated with a unit
change in one or more independent variables
• Is more accurate than the High-Low method
because the regression equation estimates
costs using information from all observations;
the High-Low method uses only two
observations
Regression Analysis
40
• Simple – estimates the relationship between the
dependent variable and one independent
variable
• Multiple – estimates the relationship between
the dependent variable and two or more
independent variables
Types of Regression
41
• Goodness of Fit - R2
– Indicates the strength of the relationship between the
cost driver and costs
– The higher the percentage, the better.
– the R2 test is a measure of the extent to which the
independent variable explains or accounts for the
variability of the of the dependent variable.
• Standard error
– The standard error of the estimate for regression
measures the amount of variability in the points
around the regression line. It is the standard deviation
of the data points as they are distributed around the
regression line.
– The standard error of the estimate can be used to
develop confidence intervals around a prediction.
Terminology
42
• T-statistic
– The t-statistic for the significance of the slope is
essentially a test to determine if the regression
model (equation) is usable. If the slope is
significantly different than zero, then we can use
the regression model to predict the dependent
variable for any value of the independent
variable.
– The larger the absolute value of t, the less likely
that the actual value of the parameter could be
zero.
– If the absolute value of t is less than two (2) the
regression model is not appropriate.
Terminology continued
43
Example – Regression Analysis
Month Machine Hours Overhead $
1 15.00 35.00
2 14.00 29.50
3 9.50 20.60
4 18.00 50.00
5 15.00 41.00
6 20.00 47.00
7 12.00 34.00
8 10.00 29.00
9 2.00 29.00
10 16.00 40.20
11 14.00 31.50
12 7.00 25.00
44
Example – Regression Analysis
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.77
R Square 0.60
Adjusted R Square 0.56
Standard Error 5.86
Observations 12
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat
Intercept 16.95196252 4.824419266 3.513783
X Variable 1 1.36640295 0.355560276 3.8429573
45
Example – Regression Analysis
Y = 16.95+ 1.366 x
46
Comparing Results from
the Three Methods
The three methods just discussed provide slightly
different estimates of the fixed and variable cost
components of the mixed cost.
This is to be expected because each method uses
differing amounts of the data points to provide
estimates.
Least-squares regression provides the most accurate
estimate because it uses all the data points.
47
Nonlinearity
Y
X
*
*
*
*
*
48
Structural Break
Y
X
*
*
*
*
*
*
49
Outliers
Y
X
*
*
*
*
*
*
50

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03_Chapter 3 - student.pptx

  • 1. Cost Behaviour: Analysis and Use Chapter 3
  • 2. The Activity Base A measure of what causes the incurrence of a variable cost Units produced Miles driven Labour hours Machine hours 2
  • 3. Minutes Talked Total Long Distance Telephone Bill A variable cost is a cost whose total dollar amount varies in direct proportion to changes in the activity level. Your total long distance telephone bill is based on how many minutes you talk. True Variable Cost Example 3
  • 4. Summary of Variable and Fixed Cost Behavior Cost In Total Per Unit Variable Total variable cost is Variable cost per unit remains proportional to the activity the same over wide ranges level within the relevant range. of activity. Total fixed cost remains the same even when the activity Fixed cost per unit goes Fixed level changes within the down as activity level goes up. relevant range. Types of Cost Behaviour Patterns 4
  • 5. Minutes Talked Per Minute Telephone Charge A variable cost remains constant if expressed on a per unit basis. The cost per minute talked is constant. For example, 10 cents per minute. Variable Cost Per Unit Example 5
  • 6. Volume Cost Direct materials is a true or proportionately variable cost because the amount used during a period will vary in direct proportion to the level of production activity. True Variable Cost 6
  • 7. Relevant Range A straight line closely approximates a curvilinear variable cost line within the relevant range. Activity Total Cost Curvilinear Cost Function The Linearity Assumption and the Relevant Range 7
  • 8. Summary of Variable and Fixed Cost Behavior Cost In Total Per Unit Variable Total variable cost is Variable cost per unit remains proportional to the activity the same over wide ranges level within the relevant range. of activity. Total fixed cost remains the same even when the activity Fixed cost per unit goes Fixed level changes within the down as activity level goes up. relevant range. Types of Cost Behaviour Patterns 8
  • 9. Number of Local Calls Monthly Basic Telephone Bill A fixed cost is a cost whose total dollar amount remains constant as the activity level changes. Your monthly basic telephone bill is probably fixed and does not change when you make more local calls. Total Fixed Cost Example 9
  • 10. Summary of Variable and Fixed Cost Behavior Cost In Total Per Unit Variable Total variable cost is Variable cost per unit remains proportional to the activity the same over wide ranges level within the relevant range. of activity. Total fixed cost remains the same even when the activity Fixed cost per unit goes Fixed level changes within the down as activity level goes up. relevant range. Types of Cost Behaviour Patterns 10
  • 11. Monthly Basic Telephone Bill per Local Call Number of Local Calls Average fixed costs per unit decrease as the activity level increases. The fixed cost per local call decreases as more local calls are made. Fixed Cost Per Unit Example 11
  • 12. Rent Cost in Thousands of Dollars 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 Rented Area (Square Feet) 0 30 60 Fixed Costs and Relevant Range 90 Relevant Range Total cost doesn’t change for a wide range of activity, and then jumps to a new higher cost for the next higher range of activity. 12
  • 13. • Marginal cost: the additional cost caused by producing one more unit of output (activity). – Incremental cost, avoidable cost • Average cost: the average cost per unit of output (activity). – Unit cost • Beware of unitized fixed costs Marginal Cost vs. Average Cost 13
  • 14. • January cellphone – texting plan (fixed cost) = $30 Unitized Fixed Costs – Example 14
  • 15. Mixed-Cost Behaviour Total Costs Cost Number of Units Produced Fixed Costs Variable Costs Linearity Assumption Total cost = Fixed cost + Total variable cost 15
  • 16. Fixed Monthly Utility Charge Variable Cost per KW Activity (Kilowatt Hours) Total Utility Cost •X Y Mixed Costs The total mixed cost line can be expressed as an equation: Y = a + bX Where: Y = the total cost a = the total fixed cost (the vertical intercept of the line) b = the variable cost per unit of activity (the slope of the line) X = the level of activity 16
  • 17. If your fixed monthly utility charge is $40, your variable cost is $0.03 per kilowatt hour, and your monthly activity level is 2,000 kilowatt hours, what is the amount of your utility bill? Mixed Costs Example Y = a + bX Y = $40 + ($0.03 × 2,000) Y = $100 17
  • 18. • Methods for separating mixed costs into fixed and variable components: – Account-analysis method – Scatterplot (or visual-fit) method – High-low method – Least-squares regression – Single variable – Multiple variables Analysis of Mixed Costs 18
  • 19. • Is reasonably accurate, cost-effective, and easy to use, but is subjective • Each account is classified as either variable or fixed based on the analyst’s knowledge of how the account behaves. • Cost estimates are based on an evaluation of production methods, and material, labour and overhead requirements. Analysis of Mixed Costs Account Analysis 19
  • 20. Plot the data points on a graph (total cost vs. activity) 0 1 2 3 4 * Maintenance Cost 1,000’s of Dollars 10 20 0 * * * * * * * * * Patient-days in 1,000’s X Y Analysis of Mixed Costs The Scattergraph Method 20
  • 21. The Scattergraph Method Draw a line through the data points with about an equal numbers of points above and below the line. 0 1 2 3 4 * Maintenance Cost 1,000’s of Dollars 10 20 0 * * * * * * * * * Patient-days in 1,000’s X Y 21
  • 22. The Scattergraph Method Use one data point to estimate the total level of activity and the total cost. Intercept = Fixed cost: $? 0 1 2 3 4 * Maintenance Cost 1,000’s of Dollars 10 20 0 * * * * * * * * * Patient-days in 1,000’s X Y Patient days = ? Total maintenance cost = $? 22
  • 23. Example – Scattergraph Method Month Machine Hours Overhead $ 1 15.00 35.00 2 14.00 29.50 3 9.50 20.60 4 18.00 50.00 5 15.00 41.00 6 20.00 47.00 7 12.00 34.00 8 10.00 29.00 9 2.00 29.00 10 16.00 40.20 11 14.00 31.50 12 7.00 25.00 23
  • 25. Example – Scattergraph Method Draw a line through the data points with about an equal numbers of points above and below the line. 25
  • 26. Example – Scattergraph Method We need to know where the line we drew crosses the Y axis – this is the fixed costs Let’s say this is 5.00 – just a guess 26
  • 27. Example – Scattergraph Method Use one data point to estimate the total level of activity and the total cost. Let’s choose this one: 40.20 27
  • 28. Example – Scattergraph Method As 40.20 is a Y data point, we know that the X is 16.00 (from the original data) and Y is 40.20 28
  • 29. • So what do we have: • Where the line crosses the Y axis is “5”. This is the fixed cost – or in the equation Y=a + bX this is “a”. • We have that Y = 40.2 • We have that X = 16 • We can now solve for “b” – Y = a + bX – 40.2 = 5 + 16b – 40.2 – 5 = 16b – 35.5 = 16b – 2.21875 = b • So our equation using the scattergraph method is Y = 5 + 2.21875X Example – Scattergraph Method 29
  • 30. Example - Scattergraph Method Y = 5 + 2.219 X 30
  • 31. • Simplest method of quantitative analysis • Uses only the highest and lowest observed values • Based on linear relationship High-Low Method y = a + bx 31
  • 32. • Using the highest and lowest levels of activity, compute: – the variable cost per unit – the fixed cost – express the costs in equation form Hi –Low Method Steps y = a + bx 32
  • 33. Example – High Low Method Month Machine Hours Overhead $ 1 15.00 35.00 2 14.00 29.50 3 9.50 20.60 4 18.00 50.00 5 15.00 41.00 6 20.00 47.00 7 12.00 34.00 8 10.00 29.00 9 2.00 29.00 10 16.00 40.20 11 14.00 31.50 12 7.00 25.00 33
  • 34. Choose the highest and lowest levels of activity (from the driver). X Y MH Overhead High 20 $47 Low 2 $29 Example - High-Low Method Note: Always choose the dependant variable that goes with the corresponding driver value (i.e. Choose the high and low driver and its corresponding overhead... Not $50 as the highest overhead $) 34
  • 35. Compute the Variable Cost per unit using MH as the driver. X Y MH Overhead High 20 $47 Low 2 $29 Difference 18 $18 Example - High-Low Method Y / X = $18 / 18 = $1 per MH. The variable cost per unit is $1. Or in the equation Y = a + bX, “b” is $1. 35
  • 36. Compute the Compute the fixed cost: Use the equation Y = a + b X, use the data used to calculate the variable cost, and the “b” we already calculated. Use ONE of the coordinates above – either the HIGH or the LOW and sub into the equation with the b: – Y = a + bX – $47 = a + 1 * 20 – $47 – 20 = a – $27 = a Example - High-Low Method X Y MH Overhead High 20 $47 Low 2 $29 36
  • 37. Express the costs in equation form • Y = a + bX • Y = $27 + $1X or Y = $27 + X Example - High-Low Method 37
  • 38. Example - High-Low Method Y = 27 + X 38
  • 39. A method used to analyze mixed costs if a scattergraph plot reveals an approximately linear relationship between the X and Y variables Least-Squares Regression Method This method uses all of the data points to estimate the fixed and variable cost components of a mixed cost. The goal of this method is to fit a straight line to the data that minimizes the sum of the squared errors. 39
  • 40. • Regression analysis is a statistical method that measures the average amount of change in the dependent variable associated with a unit change in one or more independent variables • Is more accurate than the High-Low method because the regression equation estimates costs using information from all observations; the High-Low method uses only two observations Regression Analysis 40
  • 41. • Simple – estimates the relationship between the dependent variable and one independent variable • Multiple – estimates the relationship between the dependent variable and two or more independent variables Types of Regression 41
  • 42. • Goodness of Fit - R2 – Indicates the strength of the relationship between the cost driver and costs – The higher the percentage, the better. – the R2 test is a measure of the extent to which the independent variable explains or accounts for the variability of the of the dependent variable. • Standard error – The standard error of the estimate for regression measures the amount of variability in the points around the regression line. It is the standard deviation of the data points as they are distributed around the regression line. – The standard error of the estimate can be used to develop confidence intervals around a prediction. Terminology 42
  • 43. • T-statistic – The t-statistic for the significance of the slope is essentially a test to determine if the regression model (equation) is usable. If the slope is significantly different than zero, then we can use the regression model to predict the dependent variable for any value of the independent variable. – The larger the absolute value of t, the less likely that the actual value of the parameter could be zero. – If the absolute value of t is less than two (2) the regression model is not appropriate. Terminology continued 43
  • 44. Example – Regression Analysis Month Machine Hours Overhead $ 1 15.00 35.00 2 14.00 29.50 3 9.50 20.60 4 18.00 50.00 5 15.00 41.00 6 20.00 47.00 7 12.00 34.00 8 10.00 29.00 9 2.00 29.00 10 16.00 40.20 11 14.00 31.50 12 7.00 25.00 44
  • 45. Example – Regression Analysis SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.77 R Square 0.60 Adjusted R Square 0.56 Standard Error 5.86 Observations 12 Coefficients Standard Error t Stat Intercept 16.95196252 4.824419266 3.513783 X Variable 1 1.36640295 0.355560276 3.8429573 45
  • 46. Example – Regression Analysis Y = 16.95+ 1.366 x 46
  • 47. Comparing Results from the Three Methods The three methods just discussed provide slightly different estimates of the fixed and variable cost components of the mixed cost. This is to be expected because each method uses differing amounts of the data points to provide estimates. Least-squares regression provides the most accurate estimate because it uses all the data points. 47