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Factorial design
These are the designs of choice for simultaneous
determination of the effects of several factors & their
interactions.
Used in experiments where the effects of different factors or
conditions on experimental results are to be elucidated.
Two types
 Full factorial- Used for small set of factors
 Fractional factorial- Used for optimizing more number of
factors
2012 CIPS Guntur
One Factor Designs
These are the designs where only one factor is under investigation, and
the objective is to determine whether the response is significantly
different at different factor levels. The factor can be qualitative or
quantitative. In the case of qualitative factors (e.g. different suppliers,
different materials, etc.), no extrapolations (i.e. predictions) can be
performed outside the tested levels, and only the effect of the factor on
the response can be determined. On the other hand, data from tests
where the factor is quantitative (e.g. temperature, voltage, load, etc.) can
be used for both effect investigation and prediction, provided that
sufficient data are available.
2 Factorial Designs
In factorial designs, multiple factors are investigated
simultaneously during the test. As in one factor designs,
qualitative and/or quantitative factors can be considered. The
objective of these designs is to identify the factors that have a
significant effect on the response, as well as investigate the effect
of interactions (depending on the experiment design used).
• Predictions can also be performed when quantitative factors are
present, but care must be taken since certain designs are very
limited in the choice of the predictive model. For example, in
two level designs only a linear relationship between the
response and the factors can be used, which may not be
realistic.
• General Full Factorial Designs
In general full factorial designs, each factor can have a different
number of levels, and the factors can be quantitative, qualitative or
both.
• Two Level Full Factorial Designs
These are factorial designs where the number of levels for each factor
is restricted to two. Restricting the levels to two and running a full
factorial experiment reduces the number of treatments (compared to
a general full factorial experiment) and allows for the investigation
of all the factors and all their interactions. If all factors are
quantitative, then the data from such experiments can be used for
predictive purposes, provided a linear model is appropriate for
modeling the response (since only two levels are used, curvature
cannot be modeled).
• Two Level Fractional Factorial Designs
This is a special category of two level designs where not all
factor level combinations are considered and the experimenter
can choose which combinations are to be excluded. Based on the
excluded combinations, certain interactions cannot be
determined.
• Plackett-Burman Designs
This is a special category of two level fractional factorial
designs, proposed by R. L. Plackett and J. P. Burman, where
only a few specifically chosen runs are performed to investigate
just the main effects (i.e. no interactions).
• 3 Response Surface Method Designs
These are special designs that are used to determine the settings
of the factors to achieve an optimum value of the response
Basic terminology
Factor
A factor is an assigned variable such as concentration, temperature, lubricating agent,
drug treatment,
or diet
Levels
The levels of a factor are the values or designations assigned to the factor. Examples
of levels are 30◦ and 50◦ for the factor ‘temperature,” 0.1 molar and 0.3 molar for the
factor “concentration,” and “drug” and “placebo” for the factor “drug treatment.”
The runs or trials that comprise factorial experiments consist of all combinations of all levels of all
factors.
• Effects The effect of a factor is the change in response caused by varying the level(s) of the factor.
The main effect is the effect of a factor averaged over all levels of the other factors. the main effect
due to drug would be the difference between the average response when drug is at the high level
(runs b and ab) and the average response when drug is at the low level [runs (1) and a].
• The design and analysis of experiments revolves around the understanding of the
effects of different variables on other variable(s). In mathematical jargon, the
objective is to establish a cause-and-effect relationship between a number of
independent variables and a dependent variable of interest. The dependent variable,
in the context of DOE, is called the response, and the independent variables are
called factors. Experiments are run at different factor values, called levels.
• Each run of an experiment involves a combination of the levels of the investigated
factors. Each of the combinations is referred to as a treatment.
• In a single factor experiment, each level of the factor is referred to as a
treatment. In experiments with many factors, each combination of the
levels of the factors is referred to as a treatment. When the same number of
response observations are taken for each of the treatments of an
experiment, the design of the experiment is said to be balanced.
• For this example the main effect can be
characterized as a linear response, since the
effect is the difference between the two points
shown in Figure 9.1.
• Figure 9.2 shows an example of a
curved (quadratic) response
based on experimental results
with a factor at three levels. In
many cases, an important
objective of a factorial experiment
is to characterize the effect of
changing levels of a factor or
combinations of factors on the
response variable.
Interaction
Interaction may be thought of as a lack of “additivity of factor effects.” For example, in a two factor
experiment, if factor A has an effect equal to 5 and factor B has an effect of 10, additivity
would be evident if an effect of 15 (5 + 10) were observed when both A and B are at their high levels
(in a two-level experiment).
If the effect is greater than 15 when both factors are at their high levels, the result is synergistic (in
biological notation) with respect to the two factors.
If the effect is less than 15 when A and B are at their high levels, an antagonistic effect is said to exist.
More specifically, this means that the drug effect
measured when the lubricant is at the low level [a−(1)] is
different from the drug effect measured when the
lubricant is at the high level (ab − b).
If the drug effects are the same in the presence
of both high and low levels of lubricant, the system is
additive, and no interaction exists.
In the absence of interaction, factorial designs have maximum efficiency in estimating main
effects. If interactions exist, factorial designs are necessary to reveal and identify the interactions.
Since factor effects are measured over varying levels of other factors, conclusions apply to awide
range of conditions.
Maximum use is made of the data since all main effects and interactions are calculated fromall of the
data (as will be demonstrated below).
Factorial designs are orthogonal; all estimated effects and interactions are independent of
effects of other factors. Independence, in this context, means that when we estimate a main
effect, for example, the result we obtain is due only to the main effect of interest, and
is not influenced by other factors in the experiment.
In nonorthogonal designs (as is the
case in many multiple-regression-type “fits”—see App. III), effects are not independent.
Confounding is a result of lack of independence.
Example 1: TWO SIMPLE HYPOTHETICAL EXPERIMENTS TO ILLUSTRATE THE ADVANTAGES
OF FACTORIAL DESIGNS
The problem is to determine the effects of a special diet
and a drug on serum cholesterol levels
However, suppose that patients given neither drug nor diet
would have shown a decrease of serum cholesterol of 10
mg% had they been included in the experiment.
without a fourth group, the control group (low level of diet
and drug), we have no way of assessing the presence of
interaction
.
(1) Group on normal diet without drug (drug and special diet at low level).
a Group on drug only (high level of drug, low level of diet).
b Group on diet only (high level of diet, low level of drug).
ab Group on diet and drug (high level of drug and high level of diet).
We can assume that there is no interaction, a very
reasonable assumption in the present example. (The
weights of the combined items should be the sum of the
individual weights.) The estimate of interaction in this
example is
Example 2:
The experiment that we will analyze is designed to
investigate the effects of three components (factors)—In
this example, two levels were chosen for each factor
stearate, drug, and starch—on the thickness of a tablet
formulation
Example 3:
24
LEVELS OF FACTORS IN THIS FACTORIAL DESIGN
FACTOR LOWLEVEL(mg) HIGH
LEVEL(mg)
A:stearate 0.5 1.5
B:Drug 60.0 120.0
C:starch 30.0 50.0
2012 CIPS Guntur
The average effects can be calculated using these signs as
follows. To obtain the average effect, multiply the response times
the sign for each of the eight runs in a column, and divide
the result by
2n−1, where n is the number of factors (for three factors, 2n−1 is equal to 4). This
will be illustrated for the calculation of the main effect of A (stearate). The main effect
for factor
A is
The main effect of A is interpreted to mean that the net
effect of increasing the stearate
concentration from the low to the high level (averaged
over all other factor levels) is to increase
the tablet thickness by 0.022 cm. This result is illustrated
in Figure 9.6.
29
EXAMPLE OF FULL FACTORIAL EXPERIMENT
Factor
combination
Stearate Drug Starch Response
Thickness
Cm*103
(1) _ _ _ 475
a + _ _ 487
b _ + _ 421
ab + + _ 426
c _ _ + 525
ac + _ + 546
bc _ + + 472
abc + + + 522
2012 CIPS Guntur
Response surface designs
The following designs are widely used for fitting a
quadratic model:
• Central Composite Design (uniform precision of effect estimates)
• Box-Behnken Design (almost uniform precision of effect estimates, but
usually fewer runs required than for CCD)
The choice between these models is usually decided by the
availability of these designs for a given number of runs
and number of factors.
Note that there are other suitable designs (usually
available in statistical software that supports DOE).
Basic- Equations
Central Composite Design
A CCD consists of 3 parts:
• factorial points
• axial points
• centre points
A CCD is often executed by adding
points to an already performed
2p-design (highly efficient, but beware
of blocking!).
Rotatability
In a CCD there are 2 possible choices:
• number of centre points
• location axial points
By choosing the axial points at the locations (,0,…,0) etc.
with  = (# factorial points)¼ , the design becomes rotatable,
i.e. the precision (variance) of the model depends on the
distance to the origin only. In other words, one has the same
precision for all factor estimates.
Box-Behnken designs
These are designs that consists
of
combinations from 2p-designs.
Properties:
• efficient (few runs)
• (almost) rotatable
• no corner points of
hypercube
(these are extreme
conditions
which are often hard to set)
Stationary point
Near the optimum usually a quadratic model
suffices:




 



  

 


j
i
j
i ij
i
k
i
ii
i
k
i
i x
x
x
x
Y 2
1
1
0
How do find the optimum after we correctly estimated the parameters
using a response surface design (CCD or Box-Behnken)?
The next slides show the tools to derive optimal settings and the pitfalls
that have to be avoided.
• But, when there are more than two independent variables, graphs are difficult or almost impossible
to use to illustrate the response surface, since it is beyond 3-dimension. For this reason, response
surface models are essential for analyzing the unknown function f.
• Response Surface Methods are designs and models for working with continuous treatments when
finding the optima or describing the response is the goal (Oehlert 2000). The first goal for Response
Surface Method is to find the optimum response. When there is more than one response then it is
important to find the compromise optimum that does not optimize only one response
• In this graph, each value of x1 and x2 generates a y-value. This three-dimensional graph shows the
response surface from the side and it is called a response surface plot.
• What is Historical Research?
The systematic collection and evaluation of data to describe, explain, and understand actions or
events that
occurred sometime in the past. There is no manipulation or control of variables as in experimental
research.
An attempt is made to reconstruct what happened during a certain period of time as completely and
accurately as possible.
• What is Historical Research?What is Historical Research? The
systematic collection and evaluation of data to describe,
explain, and understand actions or events that occurred
sometime in the past.There is no manipulation or control of
variables as in experimental research.An attempt is made to
reconstruct what happened during a certain period of time as
completely and accurately a
Steps Involved in Historical Researchin Historical Research
Defining the Problem
Locating relevant sources
Documents
Numerical records
Oral statements
Relics
Summarizing information obtained from historical sources
Evaluation of historical sources
Internal criticism External criticis
Numerical recordscan be considered as a separate type of
source in and of themselves or as a subcategory of documents.
Oral Statementsare stories or other forms of oral expression
that leave a record for future generations.
Relics are any objects whose physical or visual characteristics
can provide some information about the
Primary vs. Secondary Sources
A primary sourceis one prepared by an individual who was a
participant in or a direct witness to the event being described.
A secondary sourceis a document prepared by an individual
who was not a direct witness to an event, but who obtained a
description of the event from someone else
Internal criticism Accuracy, trustworthiness and veracity of
materials
Is the source the result of pressure, bias or vanity?
External criticism
Authenticity and genuineness of data
Is the source a forgery, a counterfeit or a hoax?
Data Analysis in Historical Research
Historical researchers use the following methods to make sense
out of large amounts of data:
Theoretical model leading to a content analysis
Use of patterns or themes
Coding system
Quantitative data to validate interpretations
Advantages
Permits investigation of topics and questions that can be studied
in no other fashion
Can make use of more categories of evidence than most other
methods (with the exception of case studies and ethnographic
studies)
Disadvantages
Cannot control for threats to internal validity
Limitations are imposed due to the content analysis
Researchers cannot ensure representation of the sample

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Dr.rk 2

  • 1.
  • 2. 2 Factorial design These are the designs of choice for simultaneous determination of the effects of several factors & their interactions. Used in experiments where the effects of different factors or conditions on experimental results are to be elucidated. Two types  Full factorial- Used for small set of factors  Fractional factorial- Used for optimizing more number of factors 2012 CIPS Guntur
  • 3. One Factor Designs These are the designs where only one factor is under investigation, and the objective is to determine whether the response is significantly different at different factor levels. The factor can be qualitative or quantitative. In the case of qualitative factors (e.g. different suppliers, different materials, etc.), no extrapolations (i.e. predictions) can be performed outside the tested levels, and only the effect of the factor on the response can be determined. On the other hand, data from tests where the factor is quantitative (e.g. temperature, voltage, load, etc.) can be used for both effect investigation and prediction, provided that sufficient data are available.
  • 4. 2 Factorial Designs In factorial designs, multiple factors are investigated simultaneously during the test. As in one factor designs, qualitative and/or quantitative factors can be considered. The objective of these designs is to identify the factors that have a significant effect on the response, as well as investigate the effect of interactions (depending on the experiment design used).
  • 5. • Predictions can also be performed when quantitative factors are present, but care must be taken since certain designs are very limited in the choice of the predictive model. For example, in two level designs only a linear relationship between the response and the factors can be used, which may not be realistic.
  • 6. • General Full Factorial Designs In general full factorial designs, each factor can have a different number of levels, and the factors can be quantitative, qualitative or both. • Two Level Full Factorial Designs These are factorial designs where the number of levels for each factor is restricted to two. Restricting the levels to two and running a full factorial experiment reduces the number of treatments (compared to a general full factorial experiment) and allows for the investigation of all the factors and all their interactions. If all factors are quantitative, then the data from such experiments can be used for predictive purposes, provided a linear model is appropriate for modeling the response (since only two levels are used, curvature cannot be modeled).
  • 7. • Two Level Fractional Factorial Designs This is a special category of two level designs where not all factor level combinations are considered and the experimenter can choose which combinations are to be excluded. Based on the excluded combinations, certain interactions cannot be determined.
  • 8. • Plackett-Burman Designs This is a special category of two level fractional factorial designs, proposed by R. L. Plackett and J. P. Burman, where only a few specifically chosen runs are performed to investigate just the main effects (i.e. no interactions). • 3 Response Surface Method Designs These are special designs that are used to determine the settings of the factors to achieve an optimum value of the response
  • 9. Basic terminology Factor A factor is an assigned variable such as concentration, temperature, lubricating agent, drug treatment, or diet Levels The levels of a factor are the values or designations assigned to the factor. Examples of levels are 30◦ and 50◦ for the factor ‘temperature,” 0.1 molar and 0.3 molar for the factor “concentration,” and “drug” and “placebo” for the factor “drug treatment.”
  • 10. The runs or trials that comprise factorial experiments consist of all combinations of all levels of all factors.
  • 11. • Effects The effect of a factor is the change in response caused by varying the level(s) of the factor. The main effect is the effect of a factor averaged over all levels of the other factors. the main effect due to drug would be the difference between the average response when drug is at the high level (runs b and ab) and the average response when drug is at the low level [runs (1) and a].
  • 12. • The design and analysis of experiments revolves around the understanding of the effects of different variables on other variable(s). In mathematical jargon, the objective is to establish a cause-and-effect relationship between a number of independent variables and a dependent variable of interest. The dependent variable, in the context of DOE, is called the response, and the independent variables are called factors. Experiments are run at different factor values, called levels. • Each run of an experiment involves a combination of the levels of the investigated factors. Each of the combinations is referred to as a treatment.
  • 13. • In a single factor experiment, each level of the factor is referred to as a treatment. In experiments with many factors, each combination of the levels of the factors is referred to as a treatment. When the same number of response observations are taken for each of the treatments of an experiment, the design of the experiment is said to be balanced.
  • 14. • For this example the main effect can be characterized as a linear response, since the effect is the difference between the two points shown in Figure 9.1.
  • 15. • Figure 9.2 shows an example of a curved (quadratic) response based on experimental results with a factor at three levels. In many cases, an important objective of a factorial experiment is to characterize the effect of changing levels of a factor or combinations of factors on the response variable.
  • 16. Interaction Interaction may be thought of as a lack of “additivity of factor effects.” For example, in a two factor experiment, if factor A has an effect equal to 5 and factor B has an effect of 10, additivity would be evident if an effect of 15 (5 + 10) were observed when both A and B are at their high levels (in a two-level experiment). If the effect is greater than 15 when both factors are at their high levels, the result is synergistic (in biological notation) with respect to the two factors. If the effect is less than 15 when A and B are at their high levels, an antagonistic effect is said to exist.
  • 17. More specifically, this means that the drug effect measured when the lubricant is at the low level [a−(1)] is different from the drug effect measured when the lubricant is at the high level (ab − b). If the drug effects are the same in the presence of both high and low levels of lubricant, the system is additive, and no interaction exists.
  • 18.
  • 19. In the absence of interaction, factorial designs have maximum efficiency in estimating main effects. If interactions exist, factorial designs are necessary to reveal and identify the interactions. Since factor effects are measured over varying levels of other factors, conclusions apply to awide range of conditions. Maximum use is made of the data since all main effects and interactions are calculated fromall of the data (as will be demonstrated below). Factorial designs are orthogonal; all estimated effects and interactions are independent of effects of other factors. Independence, in this context, means that when we estimate a main effect, for example, the result we obtain is due only to the main effect of interest, and is not influenced by other factors in the experiment. In nonorthogonal designs (as is the case in many multiple-regression-type “fits”—see App. III), effects are not independent. Confounding is a result of lack of independence.
  • 20. Example 1: TWO SIMPLE HYPOTHETICAL EXPERIMENTS TO ILLUSTRATE THE ADVANTAGES OF FACTORIAL DESIGNS The problem is to determine the effects of a special diet and a drug on serum cholesterol levels However, suppose that patients given neither drug nor diet would have shown a decrease of serum cholesterol of 10 mg% had they been included in the experiment. without a fourth group, the control group (low level of diet and drug), we have no way of assessing the presence of interaction .
  • 21. (1) Group on normal diet without drug (drug and special diet at low level). a Group on drug only (high level of drug, low level of diet). b Group on diet only (high level of diet, low level of drug). ab Group on diet and drug (high level of drug and high level of diet).
  • 22. We can assume that there is no interaction, a very reasonable assumption in the present example. (The weights of the combined items should be the sum of the individual weights.) The estimate of interaction in this example is Example 2:
  • 23. The experiment that we will analyze is designed to investigate the effects of three components (factors)—In this example, two levels were chosen for each factor stearate, drug, and starch—on the thickness of a tablet formulation Example 3:
  • 24. 24 LEVELS OF FACTORS IN THIS FACTORIAL DESIGN FACTOR LOWLEVEL(mg) HIGH LEVEL(mg) A:stearate 0.5 1.5 B:Drug 60.0 120.0 C:starch 30.0 50.0 2012 CIPS Guntur
  • 25. The average effects can be calculated using these signs as follows. To obtain the average effect, multiply the response times the sign for each of the eight runs in a column, and divide the result by 2n−1, where n is the number of factors (for three factors, 2n−1 is equal to 4). This will be illustrated for the calculation of the main effect of A (stearate). The main effect for factor A is
  • 26.
  • 27. The main effect of A is interpreted to mean that the net effect of increasing the stearate concentration from the low to the high level (averaged over all other factor levels) is to increase the tablet thickness by 0.022 cm. This result is illustrated in Figure 9.6.
  • 28.
  • 29. 29 EXAMPLE OF FULL FACTORIAL EXPERIMENT Factor combination Stearate Drug Starch Response Thickness Cm*103 (1) _ _ _ 475 a + _ _ 487 b _ + _ 421 ab + + _ 426 c _ _ + 525 ac + _ + 546 bc _ + + 472 abc + + + 522 2012 CIPS Guntur
  • 30. Response surface designs The following designs are widely used for fitting a quadratic model: • Central Composite Design (uniform precision of effect estimates) • Box-Behnken Design (almost uniform precision of effect estimates, but usually fewer runs required than for CCD) The choice between these models is usually decided by the availability of these designs for a given number of runs and number of factors. Note that there are other suitable designs (usually available in statistical software that supports DOE).
  • 32. Central Composite Design A CCD consists of 3 parts: • factorial points • axial points • centre points A CCD is often executed by adding points to an already performed 2p-design (highly efficient, but beware of blocking!).
  • 33. Rotatability In a CCD there are 2 possible choices: • number of centre points • location axial points By choosing the axial points at the locations (,0,…,0) etc. with  = (# factorial points)¼ , the design becomes rotatable, i.e. the precision (variance) of the model depends on the distance to the origin only. In other words, one has the same precision for all factor estimates.
  • 34. Box-Behnken designs These are designs that consists of combinations from 2p-designs. Properties: • efficient (few runs) • (almost) rotatable • no corner points of hypercube (these are extreme conditions which are often hard to set)
  • 35. Stationary point Near the optimum usually a quadratic model suffices:                  j i j i ij i k i ii i k i i x x x x Y 2 1 1 0 How do find the optimum after we correctly estimated the parameters using a response surface design (CCD or Box-Behnken)? The next slides show the tools to derive optimal settings and the pitfalls that have to be avoided.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. • But, when there are more than two independent variables, graphs are difficult or almost impossible to use to illustrate the response surface, since it is beyond 3-dimension. For this reason, response surface models are essential for analyzing the unknown function f. • Response Surface Methods are designs and models for working with continuous treatments when finding the optima or describing the response is the goal (Oehlert 2000). The first goal for Response Surface Method is to find the optimum response. When there is more than one response then it is important to find the compromise optimum that does not optimize only one response • In this graph, each value of x1 and x2 generates a y-value. This three-dimensional graph shows the response surface from the side and it is called a response surface plot.
  • 39. • What is Historical Research? The systematic collection and evaluation of data to describe, explain, and understand actions or events that occurred sometime in the past. There is no manipulation or control of variables as in experimental research. An attempt is made to reconstruct what happened during a certain period of time as completely and accurately as possible.
  • 40. • What is Historical Research?What is Historical Research? The systematic collection and evaluation of data to describe, explain, and understand actions or events that occurred sometime in the past.There is no manipulation or control of variables as in experimental research.An attempt is made to reconstruct what happened during a certain period of time as completely and accurately a
  • 41. Steps Involved in Historical Researchin Historical Research Defining the Problem Locating relevant sources Documents Numerical records Oral statements Relics Summarizing information obtained from historical sources Evaluation of historical sources Internal criticism External criticis
  • 42. Numerical recordscan be considered as a separate type of source in and of themselves or as a subcategory of documents. Oral Statementsare stories or other forms of oral expression that leave a record for future generations. Relics are any objects whose physical or visual characteristics can provide some information about the
  • 43. Primary vs. Secondary Sources A primary sourceis one prepared by an individual who was a participant in or a direct witness to the event being described. A secondary sourceis a document prepared by an individual who was not a direct witness to an event, but who obtained a description of the event from someone else
  • 44. Internal criticism Accuracy, trustworthiness and veracity of materials Is the source the result of pressure, bias or vanity? External criticism Authenticity and genuineness of data Is the source a forgery, a counterfeit or a hoax?
  • 45. Data Analysis in Historical Research Historical researchers use the following methods to make sense out of large amounts of data: Theoretical model leading to a content analysis Use of patterns or themes Coding system Quantitative data to validate interpretations
  • 46. Advantages Permits investigation of topics and questions that can be studied in no other fashion Can make use of more categories of evidence than most other methods (with the exception of case studies and ethnographic studies) Disadvantages Cannot control for threats to internal validity Limitations are imposed due to the content analysis Researchers cannot ensure representation of the sample