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COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6
Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Monday, 04 April 2016
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price Target
GISS 35.45 34.20
QFLS 155.00 149.80
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 10,251.97 -1.20 7.5
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 10,400 10,500 10,700
Support 10,250 10,000 9,800
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
Traded activity dropped even further in
the start of the week and the month for
that matter. The Index is at important
level and breaking below the 10,250 could
take us back to the 10,100 in the very
short term then 10,000 points.
Expected Resistance Level: 10,400
Expected Support Level: 10,250
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 01 Apr 31 Mar %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 108.8 490.0 -77.8
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 533.7 554.0 -3.7
Volume (mn) 3.1 10.7 -71.6
Number of Trans. 2,317 6,637 -65.1
Companies Traded 39 41 -4.9
Market Breadth 1:37 23:14 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 16,520.96 -1.2 63.6
All Share Index 2,855.73 -0.9 69.2
Banks 2,753.58 -1.4 57.2
Industrials 3,208.77 -0.3 73.1
Transportation 2,514.26 -1.7 70.0
Real Estate 2,491.62 -1.3 66.1
Insurance 4,447.14 -0.7 54.3
Telecoms 1,198.10 1.3 74.0
Consumer Goods 6,642.94 0.6 73.0
Al Rayan Islamic 4,044.34 -0.4 74.2
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QIGD 65.30 9.9 87.9
ABQK 46.00 -4.2 72.6
ZHCD 92.80 0.0 71.0
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6
GISS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 35.45 -2.34 317,398
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 36.80 37.20 40.00
Support 35.40 34.20 33.75
Commentary
Overview:
We sent out a two sell recommendations
on the name and it has been moving down
since. We reiterate the sell
recommendation; nothing changed to
reverse the expected direction of the
name. In case you have not sold the name
yet but considering doing so, please use
the below price action as a guideline.
Expected Price Retreat: QR34.20 –
QR33.75
A price breach below QR35.40 triggers the
sell recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6
QFLS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 155.00 -0.32 57,115
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 158.00 159.60 161.40
Support 154.60 149.80 147.60
Commentary
Overview:
We see that the name has gained almost
60% from its January low this year. In
addition, the RSI has been moving in
negative divergence vs the recent price
tops. As a result, the price might see a
correction if weakness persists.
Expected Price Retreat: QR149.80 –
QR147.60
A price breach below QR154.60 triggers
the sell recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 10,251.97 10,153.78 10,197.06 10,223.80 10,267.08 10,310.36 10,337.10 10,380.38 9,871.72 10,018.67 10,850.26
Total Return 16,520.96 16,362.75 16,432.49 16,475.57 16,545.32 16,615.06 16,658.14 16,727.89 15,578.69 15,689.84 16,923.56
All Share 2,855.73 2,832.32 2,842.58 2,848.92 2,859.19 2,869.45 2,875.79 2,886.06 2,664.69 2,687.62 2,901.68
Al Rayan Islamic 4,044.34 3,990.53 4,008.75 4,020.01 4,038.24 4,056.46 4,067.72 4,085.95 3,628.86 3,698.32 4,095.04
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 35.40 35.07 35.22 35.31 35.47 35.62 35.71 35.87 35.01 35.79 39.90
CBQK 40.40 39.40 39.90 40.20 40.70 41.20 41.50 42.00 42.73 44.18 49.77
DHBK 37.00 36.80 36.91 36.99 37.10 37.21 37.29 37.40 38.52 41.21 46.36
QIBK 101.60 98.53 99.87 100.70 102.03 103.37 104.20 105.53 98.11 102.97 107.59
QIIK 66.00 65.47 65.77 65.96 66.27 66.57 66.76 67.07 67.95 66.63 71.69
Insurance
QATI 82.00 79.33 80.10 80.57 81.33 82.10 82.57 83.33 76.28 73.36 77.62
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 113.90 103.37 106.38 108.25 111.27 114.28 116.15 119.17 100.90 111.53 142.58
Industrials
IQCD 107.00 105.20 105.85 106.25 106.90 107.55 107.95 108.60 104.23 104.71 117.51
QEWS 207.50 197.83 201.08 203.09 206.33 209.58 211.59 214.83 195.38 200.88 208.36
GISS 35.45 34.98 35.21 35.35 35.58 35.81 35.95 36.18 36.80 43.67 55.89
QIGD 65.30 59.17 60.92 62.01 63.77 65.52 66.61 68.37 36.00 36.41 42.55
Real Estate
BRES 35.55 34.98 35.21 35.35 35.58 35.81 35.95 36.18 35.19 37.21 42.06
UDCD 19.31 19.14 19.23 19.29 19.39 19.48 19.54 19.64 19.97 20.29 22.28
ERES 18.00 17.63 17.77 17.86 18.00 18.14 18.23 18.37 15.58 15.69 17.02
MRDS 13.90 13.53 13.69 13.79 13.95 14.11 14.21 14.37 11.96 12.78 14.55
Telecommunication
ORDS 95.00 91.47 92.69 93.44 94.67 95.89 96.64 97.87 85.57 78.70 78.44
VFQS 12.12 11.86 11.96 12.03 12.13 12.23 12.30 12.40 11.22 11.56 13.24
Transportation
QGTS 23.40 23.06 23.22 23.33 23.49 23.65 23.76 23.92 22.63 22.91 22.78
QNNS 90.10 89.17 89.70 90.03 90.57 91.10 91.43 91.97 92.28 93.48 95.48
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and
the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower
than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered
a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price
direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6
Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any
direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice.
We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources
that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the
accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be
different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to
amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and
opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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Daily Technical Trader - Qatar April 04, 2016

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Monday, 04 April 2016 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price Target GISS 35.45 34.20 QFLS 155.00 149.80 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 10,251.97 -1.20 7.5 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 10,400 10,500 10,700 Support 10,250 10,000 9,800 QSE Index Commentary Overview: Traded activity dropped even further in the start of the week and the month for that matter. The Index is at important level and breaking below the 10,250 could take us back to the 10,100 in the very short term then 10,000 points. Expected Resistance Level: 10,400 Expected Support Level: 10,250 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 01 Apr 31 Mar %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 108.8 490.0 -77.8 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 533.7 554.0 -3.7 Volume (mn) 3.1 10.7 -71.6 Number of Trans. 2,317 6,637 -65.1 Companies Traded 39 41 -4.9 Market Breadth 1:37 23:14 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 16,520.96 -1.2 63.6 All Share Index 2,855.73 -0.9 69.2 Banks 2,753.58 -1.4 57.2 Industrials 3,208.77 -0.3 73.1 Transportation 2,514.26 -1.7 70.0 Real Estate 2,491.62 -1.3 66.1 Insurance 4,447.14 -0.7 54.3 Telecoms 1,198.10 1.3 74.0 Consumer Goods 6,642.94 0.6 73.0 Al Rayan Islamic 4,044.34 -0.4 74.2 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI QIGD 65.30 9.9 87.9 ABQK 46.00 -4.2 72.6 ZHCD 92.80 0.0 71.0 RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6 GISS Price % Ch. Volume Last 35.45 -2.34 317,398 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 36.80 37.20 40.00 Support 35.40 34.20 33.75 Commentary Overview: We sent out a two sell recommendations on the name and it has been moving down since. We reiterate the sell recommendation; nothing changed to reverse the expected direction of the name. In case you have not sold the name yet but considering doing so, please use the below price action as a guideline. Expected Price Retreat: QR34.20 – QR33.75 A price breach below QR35.40 triggers the sell recommendation. (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6 QFLS Price % Ch. Volume Last 155.00 -0.32 57,115 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 158.00 159.60 161.40 Support 154.60 149.80 147.60 Commentary Overview: We see that the name has gained almost 60% from its January low this year. In addition, the RSI has been moving in negative divergence vs the recent price tops. As a result, the price might see a correction if weakness persists. Expected Price Retreat: QR149.80 – QR147.60 A price breach below QR154.60 triggers the sell recommendation. (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 10,251.97 10,153.78 10,197.06 10,223.80 10,267.08 10,310.36 10,337.10 10,380.38 9,871.72 10,018.67 10,850.26 Total Return 16,520.96 16,362.75 16,432.49 16,475.57 16,545.32 16,615.06 16,658.14 16,727.89 15,578.69 15,689.84 16,923.56 All Share 2,855.73 2,832.32 2,842.58 2,848.92 2,859.19 2,869.45 2,875.79 2,886.06 2,664.69 2,687.62 2,901.68 Al Rayan Islamic 4,044.34 3,990.53 4,008.75 4,020.01 4,038.24 4,056.46 4,067.72 4,085.95 3,628.86 3,698.32 4,095.04 Banks & Financials Services MARK 35.40 35.07 35.22 35.31 35.47 35.62 35.71 35.87 35.01 35.79 39.90 CBQK 40.40 39.40 39.90 40.20 40.70 41.20 41.50 42.00 42.73 44.18 49.77 DHBK 37.00 36.80 36.91 36.99 37.10 37.21 37.29 37.40 38.52 41.21 46.36 QIBK 101.60 98.53 99.87 100.70 102.03 103.37 104.20 105.53 98.11 102.97 107.59 QIIK 66.00 65.47 65.77 65.96 66.27 66.57 66.76 67.07 67.95 66.63 71.69 Insurance QATI 82.00 79.33 80.10 80.57 81.33 82.10 82.57 83.33 76.28 73.36 77.62 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 113.90 103.37 106.38 108.25 111.27 114.28 116.15 119.17 100.90 111.53 142.58 Industrials IQCD 107.00 105.20 105.85 106.25 106.90 107.55 107.95 108.60 104.23 104.71 117.51 QEWS 207.50 197.83 201.08 203.09 206.33 209.58 211.59 214.83 195.38 200.88 208.36 GISS 35.45 34.98 35.21 35.35 35.58 35.81 35.95 36.18 36.80 43.67 55.89 QIGD 65.30 59.17 60.92 62.01 63.77 65.52 66.61 68.37 36.00 36.41 42.55 Real Estate BRES 35.55 34.98 35.21 35.35 35.58 35.81 35.95 36.18 35.19 37.21 42.06 UDCD 19.31 19.14 19.23 19.29 19.39 19.48 19.54 19.64 19.97 20.29 22.28 ERES 18.00 17.63 17.77 17.86 18.00 18.14 18.23 18.37 15.58 15.69 17.02 MRDS 13.90 13.53 13.69 13.79 13.95 14.11 14.21 14.37 11.96 12.78 14.55 Telecommunication ORDS 95.00 91.47 92.69 93.44 94.67 95.89 96.64 97.87 85.57 78.70 78.44 VFQS 12.12 11.86 11.96 12.03 12.13 12.23 12.30 12.40 11.22 11.56 13.24 Transportation QGTS 23.40 23.06 23.22 23.33 23.49 23.65 23.76 23.92 22.63 22.91 22.78 QNNS 90.10 89.17 89.70 90.03 90.57 91.10 91.43 91.97 92.28 93.48 95.48 Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 6. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6 Contacts: Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509 zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa QNB Financial Services SPC Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 PO Box 24025 Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.