The slide deck with webinar audio provides a high-level overview of the operations outlook for the oil and gas industry along with the relevant charts and tables to support the key findings.

1. Photo Courtesy Syncrude Canada Ltd.
Oil Sands Operations Labour Demand Outlook
to 2023
October 30, 2014
Funded by the Government of Canada

2. Facilitator
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Caileigh Rhind:
• Communications Advisor
Presenters
Claudine Vidallo, PMP:
• Labour Market Information (LMI) Project Manager
Emma Monaghan:
• Labour Market Analyst

3. Table of Contents (Agenda)
• Labour Market Information (LMI) Products and Services
• Oil Sands Operations Outlook to 2023: Key Findings
– Scope and Methodology
– Current Workforce
– Employment and Hiring Outlooks
– Additional Projections and Analysis
o Hiring Outlook by Operations Type
o Occupations with the Greatest Labour Demand/Supply Risks
o Other Hiring Drivers
o Consolidated Construction, Maintenance and Operations Labour Demand Outlook
• Workforce Strategies
– Workforce Challenges
– Meeting Future Workforce Demands
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4. Our LMI Expertise
We produce the following LMI products:
Labour Market Outlooks: Employment and hiring projections for total industry and
by core occupation, key province and sub-sector. Supply projections and gap analysis
for total industry and by core occupation help identify risks and opportunities.
• Labour Market Outlook to 2022 for Canada’s Oil and Gas Industry
• Oil Sands Construction, Maintenance and Operations Labour Demand Outlook to
2023
HR Trends and Insights: Intelligence on current and short-term labour market
conditions and HR trends.
• Workforce Conditions in Canada’s Bakken Oil Play
• Aboriginal Employment in Saskatchewan’s Oil and Gas Industry
• Exploring Apprenticeship Completions of Skilled Trades in the Upstream Oil and
Gas Industry
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5. Poll
What other types of Labour Market Information should we produce that would be of most value to you?
a. Labour market news feed
b. Regional labour market information
c. Economic and labour market indicators (Employment data, unemployment rates, etc.)
d. Detailed labour supply studies
e. Others but not listed above (Compensation surveys, etc.)
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6. Oil Sands Operations Labour Demand Outlook to 2023
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7. Scope of Oil Sands Operations Labour Demand Outlook
Oil sands operations workforce:
• Directly employed by companies involved in the
extraction, production and upgrading of
bitumen
• Includes workers:
– located on-site
– in head and regional offices (e.g., in Calgary,
Edmonton)
*The worker must be fully supporting oil sands operations
in order to be counted in the sector’s workforce numbers.
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8. Core Operations Occupations
OIL SANDS OPERATIONS OCCUPATIONS DETAILED IN THE REPORT
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Advertising, marketing and public relations professionals Millwrights and machinists
Automotive servicers and technicians Non-destructive testers and inspection technicians
Construction estimators and managers Petroleum, gas, and chemical process operators
Contractors and supervisors, trades and related occupations Power engineers and power systems operators
Crane and heavy equipment operators Primary production managers and logistics co-ordinators
Drafting technologists and technicians
Public and environmental health and occupational health and
safety inspectors
Electrical power line and cable workers Purchasing agents and officers
Engineers: chemical, civil, electrical and electronics, geological,
mechanical, metallurgical and materials, mining, petroleum,
industrial and manufacturing engineers
Purchasing, inventory control workers and managers
Engineering technologists and technicians: chemical, civil,
industrial, instrumentation, mechanical, geological and mineral
Shippers and receivers
Engineering, facility operation and maintenance managers Steamfitters, pipefitters and sprinkler system installers
Geoscientists and oceanographers Supervisors, mining and quarrying
Heavy-duty equipment mechanics
Supervisors, supply chain, tracking and scheduling co-ordination
occupations
Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics Water and waste plant operators
Industrial and power system electricians Welders
Land survey technologists and technicians Other occupations

9. Business Trends Impacting Oil Sands
• Market diversification
– Pipeline projects
– Rail and trucking to transport product
• New federal rules and increased scrutiny on foreign investment
– Decreased investment levels and merger and acquisition activity in 2013
– Renewed growth in 2014
• Attraction, retention and development of workers
– Shortage of workers
– Changing demographics
– Pace of industry activity
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10. Current Oil Sands Operations Workforce (2014)
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TOP 10 OIL SANDS OPERATIONS OCCUPATIONS
EMPLOYED IN 2014 (# OF JOBS)
Total Oil Sands 26,550
Power engineers and power systems operators
(9241)
4,715
Heavy equipment operators (except crane) (7521) 3,305
Facility operation and maintenance managers
(0714)
1,125
Heavy-duty equipment mechanics (7312) 1,105
Engineering managers (0211) 1,035
Petroleum engineers (2145) 1,025
Managers in natural resources production and
fishing (0811)
700
Mechanical engineers (2132) 690
Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics
(2243)
680
Industrial electricians (7242) 660
26,550
5,245
9,590
11,710

11. Oil Sands Operations Employment Outlook to 2023
Over the next decade, oil sands operations is projected to add 15,300 new jobs – with employment
estimated at 41,900 workers by 2023.
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E = Estimated; F = Forecasted

12. Occupations with Greatest
Job Increases due to
Industry Activity
Power engineers and heavy equipment
operators account for close to 30 per cent of
new jobs created between 2014 and 2023.
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TOP 10 OIL SANDS OCCUPATIONS WITH
GREATEST JOB INCREASES DUE TO INDUSTRY
ACTIVITY TO 2023
Total Oil Sands Operations 15,330
Power engineers and power systems operators (9241) 2,895
Heavy equipment operators (except crane) (7521) 1,470
Petroleum engineers (2145) 825
Engineering managers (0211) 660
Facility operation and maintenance managers (0714) 555
Heavy-duty equipment mechanics (7312) 495
Managers in natural resources production and fishing
(0811)
465
Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics (2243) 405
Mechanical engineers (2132) 375
Geoscientists and oceanographers (2113) 325

13. Net Hiring Requirements for
Oil Sands Operations Sector
Net hiring requirements = hiring due to industry expansion
+ hiring due to age-related attrition.
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TOP 10 OIL SANDS OCCUPATIONS WITH
GREATEST NET HIRING REQUIREMENTS
TO 2023 (# OF JOB OPENINGS)
Total Oil Sands 21,710
Power engineers and power systems operators (9241) 4,130
Heavy equipment operators (except crane) (7521) 2,070
Petroleum engineers (2145) 1,050
Engineering managers (0211) 980
Facility operation and maintenance managers (0714) 880
Heavy-duty equipment mechanics (7312) 735
Managers in natural resources production and fishing
(0811)
685
Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics (2243) 550
Mechanical engineers (2132) 505
Industrial electricians (7242) 460
Total oil sands operations hiring to support growth
15,330
Total hiring due to age-related attrition
6,380
Net hiring within oil sands operations to 2023
21,710

14. Net Hiring Requirements for
In Situ Operations
Total in situ hiring to support growth
10,610
Total hiring due to age-related attrition
3,340
Net hiring within in situ operations to 2023
13,950
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TOP 10 OIL SANDS IN SITU OCCUPATIONS
WITH GREATEST NET HIRING REQUIREMENTS TO
2023 (# OF JOB OPENINGS)
Total In Situ 13,950
Power engineers and power systems operators (9241) 3,380
Petroleum engineers (2145) 990
Engineering managers (0211) 730
Managers in natural resources production and fishing (0811) 540
Facility operation and maintenance managers (0714) 455
Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics (2243) 410
Purchasing agents and officers (1225) 390
Geological and mineral technologists and technicians (2212) 380
Geoscientists and oceanographers (2113) 380
Mechanical engineers (2132) 335

15. Net Hiring Requirements for
Mining Operations
Total mining hiring to support growth
4,290
Total hiring due to age-related attrition
1,990
Net hiring within mining operations to 2023
6,280
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TOP 10 OIL SANDS MINING OCCUPATIONS WITH
GREATEST NET HIRING REQUIREMENTS TO 2023
(# OF JOB OPENINGS)
Total Mining 6,280
Heavy equipment operators (except crane) (7521) 2,050
Heavy-duty equipment mechanics (7312) 515
Power engineers and power systems operators (9241) 345
Facility operation and maintenance managers (0714) 315
Petroleum, gas, and chemical process operator (9232) 215
Industrial electricians (7242) 190
Engineering managers (0211) 185
Construction millwrights and industrial mechanics (7311) 175
Welders and related machine operators (7237) 145
Mechanical engineers (2132) 125

16. Net Hiring Requirements for
Upgrading Operations
Total upgrading hiring to support growth
430
Total hiring due to age-related attrition
1,050
Net hiring within upgrading operations to 2023
1,480
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TOP 10 OIL SANDS UPGRADING
OCCUPATIONS WITH GREATEST NET
HIRING REQUIREMENTS TO 2023 (# OF JOB
OPENINGS)
Total Upgrading 1,480
Power engineers and power systems operators (9241) 400
Facility operation and maintenance managers (0714) 105
Engineering managers (0211) 60
Chemical engineers (2134) 55
Industrial electricians (7242) 50
Heavy-duty equipment mechanics (7312) 50
Mechanical engineers (2132) 45
Electrical and electronics engineers (2133) 45
Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics (2243) 45
Managers in natural resources production and fishing (0811) 40

17. Power Engineers
The greatest demand in the oil sands sector over
the next decade will be for power engineers.
Assuming the same distribution of power
engineers in 2010 over the next decade, net
hiring requirements for each power engineering
level in 2023 are as follows:
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ESTIMATED NUMBER OF NEW POWER ENGINEER
JOBS FOR OIL SANDS OPERATIONS TO 2023
Class Number of Job Openings
First 85
Second 260
Third 1,450
Fourth 1,100
Total 2,895

18. Managerial Occupations
Retirements amongst managers and supervisors
will lead to a loss of knowledge, experience and
mentoring capacity and will have a negative
impact on workforce development and
productivity.
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MANAGERIAL OCCUPATIONS WITH ABOVE-AVERAGE
NET HIRING REQUIREMENTS TO 2023
Average Net Hiring Requirements Across All Occupations: 82%
1 Purchasing managers (0113) 125%
2
Contractors and supervisors, machining, metal
forming, shaping and erecting trades and related
occupations (7201)
100%
3
Managers in natural resources production and fishing
(0811)
97%
4 Contractors and supervisors, mechanic trades (7301) 95%
5 Engineering managers (0211) 94%
6
Supervisors, supply chain, tracking and scheduling
co-ordination occupations (1215)
91%
7 Construction managers (0711) 91%
8
Contractors and supervisors, electrical trades and
telecommunications occupations (7202)
88%

19. Supply Chain Occupations
Needed for Expansion and
Production
Oil sands investment and accelerated growth are
driving demand for oil and gas services,
materials, equipment manufacturing and rentals,
contracted professional and technical services
and the need for supply chain management,
procurement and logistics occupations.
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SUPPLY CHAIN OCCUPATIONS WITH ABOVE-AVERAGE
NET HIRING REQUIREMENTS TO 2023
Average Net Hiring Requirements Across All Occupations: 82%
Purchasing managers (0113) 125%
Purchasing agents and officers (1225) 118%
Shippers and receivers (1521) 95%
Purchasing and inventory control workers (1524) 94%
Supervisors, supply chain, tracking and scheduling co-ordination
occupations (1215)
91%

20. Non-Retirement Turnover
Strong competition for workers and employee turnover will drive additional hiring within the sector.
Assuming a 3% non-retirement turnover rate across the sector, hiring requirements will increase by 9,000
over the next decade, which means 30,700 jobs may need to be filled between 2014 and 2023.
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NON-RETIREMENT
TURNOVER RATE
HIRING DUE TO
NON-RETIREMENT
TURNOVER TO 2023
0% 0
1% 2,985
3% 8,955
6% 17,915

21. Labour Productivity
The Petroleum HR Council’s labour demand model assumes that labour productivity grows at 1% per year.
If 1% annual productivity growth is not achieved or the industry is indeed experiencing a loss of productivity,
additional workers will be required.
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LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY
GROWTH RATE
NET HIRING REQUIREMENTS
TO 2023
1% 21,710
0% 27,075
- 1% 33,190

22. Oil Sands Construction, Maintenance and Operations
This table shows the overlapping occupations that are required for oil sands construction, maintenance and
operations.
OCCUPATION (NOC)
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BUILDFORCE
(Aggregated Oil Sands
Construction)
OILMAP
(On-site Oil Sands
Construction &
Maintenance)
PETROLEUM
HR COUNCIL
(Oil Sands Operations)
Construction millwrights and industrial
mechanics (7311) • • •
Crane operators (7371) • • •
Heavy equipment operators (except crane)
(7521) • • •
Industrial electricians (7242) • • •
Industrial instrument technicians and
mechanics (2243) • • •
Steamfitters, pipefitters and sprinkler system
installers (7252) • • •
Welders and related machine operators (7237) • • •

23. Oil Sands Construction and Operations Workforce Projections to 2023
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E = Estimated; F = Forecasted

24. Poll
What do you use Labour Market Information for?
a. Develop and implement workforce strategies to build a sustainable oil and gas workforce
b. Make effective decisions on labour, immigration, education and training policies and programs
c. Align education and training programs with industry’s occupational requirements
d. Make career or job recommendations
e. Others not listed above (please specify in chat box)
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25. Workforce Strategies
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26. Workforce Challenges for Oil Sands Operations
• Oil sands expansion
– 15,300 new jobs are required to support growth over the next decade
• Aging workforce
– 6,400 workers will be eligible for retirement over the next decade
• Difficulties recruiting to remote locations
– Higher costs of living
– Rotational work arrangements
• Shortages for certain occupations
– Occupations requiring specialized training
– Occupations coveted by other industries
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27. Meeting Future Workforce Demands
• Attracting and retaining under-represented workers
• Alternate sources of labour supply
• Training and development
– Oil Sands Learning Network
– Investing in talent management
– Temporary Foreign Workers (TFW)
– Increase apprenticeship completion for trades occupations
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28. Exploring Apprenticeship Completions of Skilled Trades
Apprenticeships are a viable solution to alleviate labour shortages but fewer apprentices are
completing their training
Registered Apprentices, New Registrations and Apprentice Completions
1991–2011, • Apprenticeship program Major Oil Producing Provinces
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registrations are increasing but
completions have not grown
proportionally.

29. Factors Affecting Apprenticeship Completions
Interrelated factors such as economic downturns and employer-specific challenges affect
apprenticeship completion rates.
LABOUR MARKET FACTORS EMPLOYER CHALLENGES APPRENTICE CONCERNS
Economic downturns, subsequent lay-offs
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and workers transition to more
stable occupations
Unable to provide apprentices with the
variety of experience required across
the scope of practice for the trade,
preventing the apprentice from
progressing
Remote worksites and challenging
working conditions
High tuition and training costs
Poor communication between mentors
and apprentices
Inadequate employer onboarding due to
rapid hiring requirements
Lost wages during training programs
Limited ability to provide time off to
attend training programs
Added level of responsibility on
becoming a journeyperson

30. Strategies to Increase Apprenticeship Completions
Specific recommendations include:
• Government and post-secondary institutions continue to increase seats in training programs, and
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provide tax incentives and grants
• Companies encourage contractors to employ apprentices and foster mentorship programs and
provide support to apprentices progressing through training
• Employers implement policies and practices that support workers through their apprenticeship
training
• Apprentices and employers be knowledgeable about transferrable skills from other industries, such
as construction, manufacturing, transportation and warehousing, utilities, agriculture and forestry to
the oil and gas industry.

31. Questions?
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32. Upcoming Product Releases
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PRODUCT TARGET RELEASE
Diversity in Canada’s Oil and Gas Industry November 2014
HR Trends and Insights Survey Results (Fall 2014 Edition) November 2014
Situational Analysis: Occupational Shifts and Shortages in
Canada’s Oil and Gas Industry
February 2015
Rotational Workforce in Alberta’s Oil and Gas Industry March 2015
Labour Market Outlook for Canada’s Oil and Gas Industry Spring/Summer 2015

33. For More Information
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Find us on social media:
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Funded by the Government of Canada