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paulbarter@riccentre.com paulbarter.com @barterpaul
First A Little Context
(How we arrived at our predictions)
1.
21st Century
Fortunes
General Purpose Technologies
2.
On an average day in the early
part of the twenty-first century,
human beings generate 2.5
million trillion bytes of data
Where all this data comes from
Innovation and The Changing Nature of
Competition
3.
Existing Direct Competition Adjacent
Competition
Start-ups
IT as a GPT Changes Competition From Incremental Innovators
To Disruptive Innovators
Existential Threats
Start-ups Existing Direct Competition Adjacent
Competition
Automotive Example
Existential Threats
Start-ups Existing Direct Competition Adjacent
Competition
Top 10
Technologies
of 2019
10. Renewable
energy
9. Quantum
Computing
8. Augmented Reality / Virtual Reality
7. Advanced Materials
6. Blockchain and Cryptocurrencies
5. Internet of Things
4. Personalized Medicine
3. Cybersecurity
?
2. Software enabled hardware platforms
Your Mind in a Machine Body
1. Artificial Intelligence (machine learning)
Artificial General Intelligence
What Is Machine Learning? ( Narrow AI)
Building systems that enable a computer system to
learn some intelligent behavior by training it on
massive amounts of data.
Said another way; Replacing systems where
algorithm are programed in advance with systems
where algorithms learn from data.
90% of ML Algorithms Do One Thing
Takes an input A and delivers an output B
• Picture Is it you?
• Loan application Should you get it?
• Advertisement Will you click?
• Audio Transcript
• English French
• Image, radar Position of the car
On an average day in the early
part of the twenty-first century,
human beings generate 2.5
million trillion bytes of data
General Purpose Technologies
? ?
2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019

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2019 tech forecast jan 2 2019